1. Race Conditions & Pace Angle

This is a two-year-old novice stakes restricted to horses eligible for the EBF, run over six furlongs. The going is good. Fourteen runners are declared, with several newcomers from respected yards. The pace is forecast to be weak, and Timeform suggests that a steady gallop could favour the more tactically sharp runners, particularly those with experience. Mister Moet is likely to be better suited by this tempo than a filly like Ellie’s De Vega, who may struggle for tactical speed.


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2. Leading Contenders and Profiles

Mister Moet brings the best racecourse form into the race, finishing second in a maiden at Hamilton last time. He showed notable improvement from his debut and finished well, shaping like a colt with more to offer. He sets the standard on known form and looks well positioned for a race with an ordinary early pace.

Showtown represents Kevin Ryan, whose juveniles often improve for a run, but also has a solid strike rate with debutants. He’s a well-bred type by Showcasing and is expected to know his job. Any market support would be significant.

Snake Charmer debuts for Archie Watson, whose yard is known for early-season juvenile success. The pedigree suggests speed, and Watson’s juveniles are typically well-prepared.

Clear Above is another newcomer from a big yard. Richard Fahey’s strike rate is below par just now, but this colt is bred to be sharp and is likely to be forward enough to make a decent first impression.

Our Hero Matty has improved with each start. He shaped well when fourth at Redcar just three days ago and could build on that again if he handles the quick turnaround. He showed more speed than previously and should be competitive if able to repeat the effort.

Power Supreme unseated at the start on debut. It’s hard to assess ability from that, but the fact he was reasonably fancied (sent off 18/5) suggests connections think there’s something to work with. Needs to behave better at the start.

Ellie’s De Vega, Daydreama, and Believeinthisone all look up against it on either breeding or what they’ve shown so far. Several other debutants – such as Stoic Poet, Go Teejay, and Northern Tempest – represent quieter yards but may be best watched unless strong in the market.


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3. Each-Way and Market Considerations

This is a field of 14, so standard each-way terms apply. There are enough unknowns among the newcomers to make this an open race. The safest each-way consideration would be Mister Moet, given his proven ability and likely pace advantage.

If looking for a debutant at a price, Showtown or Snake Charmer could be worth including if they attract support in the market pre-race.

Keep an eye on the betting for:

Clear Above, representing a stable whose juveniles usually sharpen up quickly

Power Supreme, after his unseating

Any market support for Northern Tempest or Stoic Poet, both bred for speed



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4. Private Tissue Estimate

Mister Moet – 4/1

Showtown – 6/1

Snake Charmer – 6/1

Clear Above – 7/1

Our Hero Matty – 8/1

Power Supreme – 10/1

Northern Tempest – 14/1

Stoic Poet – 16/1

Daydreama – 20/1

Ellie’s De Vega – 25/1

Believeinthisone – 25/1

Go Teejay – 25/1

Surgeon Commander – 25/1

Ingleby Emma – 33/1



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Summary

Mister Moet is the solid benchmark with race experience and improvement already shown. Among the newcomers, Showtown, Snake Charmer, and Clear Above have the right profiles to figure on debut. Our Hero Matty appeals as a reliable type progressing the right way and could be in the mix again. Expect betting support to tell plenty given the unraced profile of the majority of the field.

Here’s a RapidView summary preview for the 6:50 Carlisle – Pricedup.Bet EBF Restricted Novice Stakes (Class 3, 2yo, 6f, Good to Soft, 14 runners), highlighting hot trainers/jockeys and horses showing multiple suitability/top performer tags:


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🔥 Hot Trainers & Jockeys

K. A. Ryan: Ticks nearly every box — 1-year, track, distance, class, recent form — trainer to follow here.

Adrian Nicholls: Active and effective in the 30-day window; his juveniles have been well-prepped.

Archie Watson: Solid 90-day and race-type stats; often targets these early-season 2yo races with good types.

Iain Jardine: Excellent 22% class stat and has the top jockey combo with Paul Mulrennan, who is in fine form and boasts 27% trainer/jockey combo.


Among jockeys:

S. H. James (25% 7-day) and Paul Mulrennan (track 19%, TD 27%) are riding with authority.

Tom Eaves and James Sullivan show high class/distance combo stats.



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🐎 Standout Horses Based on Tags and Breeding

✅ Mister Moet (Adrian Nicholls / Harrison Shaw)

Sire: Nando Parrado – good distance suitability.

Dam Champagne Aerial also features across class and going indicators.

Multiple breeding tags, showing up strong in distance and recent-type suitability.

Stable in form and this one is well-bred for the task.


✅ Power Supreme (I Jardine / Paul Mulrennan)

Supremacy as a sire is ticking multiple suitability boxes (class, race type).

Dam side (Slade Power) supports speed/stamina blend.

Backed by one of the best trainer/jockey combos today – live contender on paper.


✅ Showtown (K. A. Ryan / Tom Eaves)

Showcasing x Mukhadram cross brings pace and ground adaptability.

Ticks across trainer form, class and race type — with strong adjusted metrics.

Ryan yard’s profile here is notably hot — this one looks well set.


💡 Our Hero Matty (B Ellison / Ben Robinson)

Aali progeny with strong going (43%) and race type (26%) suitability.

Shows up with a high number of suitability flags — under-the-radar but pedigree fits conditions nicely.


⚠️ Go Teejay (C Lidster / J Sullivan)

Tasleet runner with standout track, distance and race type tags.

Lacks flashy adjusted figures but flagged multiple times for breeding suitability — sneaky type at a price.



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🧬 Notable Breeding Standouts (Sire/Dam lines)

Tasleet – showing strong tags across track, type, and race conditions. His progeny here include Go Teejay.

Mukhadram – suits distance and going; Showtown benefits from this line.

Aali – elite in going and race-type performance; Our Hero Matty is the key runner from this line.

New Approach (dam-sire line) – strong track, type, and distance indicators show up via Daydreama.



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Summary Notes:

The clear shortlist on suitability and connections includes Mister Moet, Power Supreme, and Showtown.

Our Hero Matty and Go Teejay both hit multiple pedigree flags — could be big-price players if fit first time.

Trainer angles favour Karl Burke, Iain Jardine, and Adrian Nicholls — especially with strong 2yo strike rates.

Watch for late market confidence, particularly for runners with these breeding tags and top jockeys like Mulrennan or James.