Pace & Draw Overview:
Pace forecast is even, with no anticipated front-end pressure. There’s a slight disadvantage for low draws. Hold-up types may find traffic if positioned too far back turning in.


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Contenders, Dangers & Interesting Outsiders

Leading Contender – ANGELO PIO (Joseph O’Brien) – Rating: 85 – 8/10
Returned to turf with two solid efforts, most recently third at Sligo where he met trouble and was closing well. Carries a tongue tie and is often slowly away, so will need a clear run late. O’Brien is in red-hot form and has won this race previously.

Main Danger – BROADSTONE (Mrs John Harrington) – Rating: 80 – 7.5/10
Improving steadily and shaped better than result at Limerick last time, running green and awkward under pressure. Hood tried now, stays well, and likely to be suited by trip. Yard is well capable in this sphere.

Interesting Outsider – ELECTRIC BEAUTY (K J Condon) – Rating: 81p – 7/10
Turf debutante with decent pedigree and strong runs at Dundalk over shorter trips. Has shaped as though 10f will suit, and could step forward under Billy Lee.

Also Consider:

COOLEY’S MIST (Natalia Lupini) – Rating: ? – 6.5/10
Big price last time but showed promise in a better race at Leopardstown. Yard going well, and Heffernan booked. Unexposed.

MINELLA BOSS (John Nallen) – Rating: 79 – 6/10
Wasn’t knocked about on return from 6 months off. Better expected now fitter, but market will guide.

GEORG ZHUKOV (Noel Meade) – Rating: 76 – 5.5/10
One fair run and then did too much too soon latest. Suspect temperament but workable mark if he settles.

LADY PLIMSOLL (John O’Donoghue) – Rating: 77 – 6/10
Reasonable Dundalk form and not disgraced in a fair Ayr maiden. Could be sharper now and likely to appreciate this trip.

SUMMER ISLAND (J McConnell) – Rating: 72 – 5/10
Started big prices but improved on second start, shaping as though 10f will suit. May outrun odds if he takes another step forward.



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Other Runners (Rated Below 75):

RUBADUB DUBH (G M Lyons) – 4.5/10
Some promise but needs to improve a chunk. Trainer in strong form.

NAKATOMI (Adrian Murray) – 5.5/10
Races off the pace, can finish late but has looked awkward. Might sneak into a place with luck.

ALBA CHIARA – 4.5/10
Probably needed run last time after 6-month layoff. May improve again but looks more a staying type.

TIRHAKAH (J P Murtagh) – 4/10
Modest form in two starts, steps up in trip which might help but needs to improve.

BEAT THE DEVIL – 3.5/10
Moderate profile, struggled at shorter trips. Others preferred.

DIVA TIME – 3/10
Long layoff and little in the book so far. Would be a surprise.



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Summary

Strongest Contender: Angelo Pio (clear form pick, needs better start)

Main Dangers: Broadstone (trip ideal), Electric Beauty (turf debut potential)

Interesting Outsider: Cooley’s Mist (improving quietly)



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Tissue Estimate (Private Odds)

ANGELO PIO – 4/1

BROADSTONE – 6/1

ELECTRIC BEAUTY – 7/1

COOLEY’S MIST – 15/2

MINELLA BOSS – 9/1

GEORG ZHUKOV – 10/1

LADY PLIMSOLL – 10/1

NAKATOMI – 12/1

SUMMER ISLAND – 14/1

RUBADUB DUBH – 16/1

ALBA CHIARA – 20/1

TIRHAKAH – 20/1

BEAT THE DEVIL – 33/1

DIVA TIME – 50/1



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Note: Market support (or weakness) for layoff returners like Minella Boss and Alba Chiara will be informative. Hold-up horses such as Nakatomi and Angelo Pio are likely to need luck in running given the even pace projection and field size. In-form stables like Lyons, Harrington, and O’Brien deserve respect in maidens.

Stats view

🔹 Hot Trainers

G M Lyons

21% 1-year strike rate

Trains Rubadub Dubh

Trainer/Jockey combo with Colin Keane running at 21%

Reliable with improving 3yo maidens


Joseph Patrick O’Brien

27% at this track

17% TD, 18% class, 24% DC

Trains Angelo Pio, well supported by stats


Adrian Murray

19% at this distance

Trains Nakatomi, whose pedigree also rates well



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🔹 Hot Jockeys

W J Lee

21% over 7 days

Rides Electric Beauty for Ken Condon

Rider/trainer combo has a history of spring/summer maiden success


Dylan B McMonagle

43% TD rate with J P O’Brien

27% at the track, 21% at the distance

On Angelo Pio, one of the top profiles


W M Lordan

25% last 30 days

Riding Alba Chiara, though stable form is moderate



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🔹 Top Performer Horses (Multiple Suitability Tags)

Angelo Pio (Joseph O’Brien / McMonagle)

Sottsass × Angelical (Dark Angel)

Sire’s stats not yet elite, but dam side offers balance

All-round positive markers for going, distance, and jockey/trainer combo

Big TD strike and a sharp profile for improvement


Broadstone (Mrs John Harrington / Shane Foley)

New Bay × Frankel mare — stamina-loaded cross

Dam sire Frankel offers a 19% DS/RT rate

Bred to stay well; late-maturing profile and not without promise


Electric Beauty (Ken Condon / W J Lee)

Mastercraftsman × Set Fire

Dam has elite suitability: 29% D/Dst, 40% D/RT, 40% D/Trk

Sire also a noted influence for stamina and maidens

Trainer and jockey are quietly effective with fillies of this profile


Cooleys Mist (Miss Natalia Lupini / J A Heffernan)

Churchill progeny are 24% at this track and 33% TRT

Pedigree suggests he’s likely to relish 10f+

Ratings building gradually — one for progression



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🔹 Breeding Standouts

Set Fire (dam of Electric Beauty)

40% at track, 29% at this distance


Frankel (dam sire of Broadstone)

19% DS/RT, 20% DS/TD


Make Believe (dam sire of Diva Time)

18–20% across distance and going


Calyx (sire of Tirhakah)

29% at this distance, 18% RT – underrated source of stamina




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🔹 Summary

Statistically, Angelo Pio brings the best combination of trainer form, jockey stats, and progressive profile for the trip. Broadstone and Electric Beauty both bring strong breeding influences and have the staying profiles for 10f+ maidens on good ground. Cooleys Mist is a credible improver for each-way consideration, and Tirhakah is bred for this trip but may need a bit more time.

From a data-first viewpoint, the top trio to monitor closely in the market are:

1. Angelo Pio – all-round top profile


2. Electric Beauty – massive dam-side angle


3. Broadstone – bred to improve with experience and trip



Watch market support late on for any McMonagle or Colin Keane runners – both can be big indicators of yard confidence.