Pace/Draw Outlook:
A strong pace is forecast, which often undermines front-runners over this trip at Haydock. Prominent or patiently-ridden types could be favoured. High draws typically fare worse here and may be a negative for wide-drawn runners such as Best Adventure (10) and Crackergee (7).


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Contenders and Key Profiles:

Best Adventure (10) – Progressive profile and well-backed winner over 10f at Newmarket on quicker ground. Travelled strongly and did it nicely in a race that’s working out well. Step up to 12f should suit. Carries a 7 lb rise. Stays, thrives in a strong pace setup. Rating: 8/10

Kurakka (6) – Well-bred and unbeaten this season. Made a strong reappearance when taking a Chelmsford novice. Open to more improvement, but did get a relatively easy lead that day, and strong pace here could pose a different test. Rating: 7/10

Crackergee (7) – Ran with promise on handicap debut, only narrowly beaten at Kempton behind a next-time-out winner. Travels smoothly and looks well handicapped. Still unexposed and should come on for that return. Rating: 8/10

Atlantic Sunset (3) – Big run at Thirsk on handicap debut from a poor position, staying on well. Clear potential improver if sharper from the run. Blinkered again. Risk of being caught too far back, but this setup should help him. Rating: 7.5/10

Harpsichord (5) – Solid on AW and handled turf fine in a small-field Oaks Trial, albeit well held. Could struggle in a more competitive scenario here and not obviously ahead of her mark. Rating: 6.5/10

Last Galileo (2) – Eyecatching pedigree but hasn’t gone on as hoped after winning at Ayr last year. Finished tired at York latest and needs more stamina to emerge. Burke yard in form though. Rating: 6/10

Kuredu King (9) – Needs to find more off current mark. No real excuses at Chester, even if it was a messy race. Cheekpieces now off. Rating: 5.5/10

Is I Right (8) – Got the job done over C&D last time when well positioned and responding well. Not obviously thrown in under his penalty but has form under similar conditions. Rating: 7/10

Patagonia Girl (4) – Outsider at Chester on return but ran with credit in third. May have more to offer now upped further in trip and with that run behind her. Rating: 6.5/10

Stormy Monday (1) – Reappeared with a poor run at Sandown and was flattered by weak company when winning nursery at Yarmouth last autumn. This looks tougher and others are preferred. Rating: 5/10


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Trainers to Note:

Andrew Balding (Best Adventure) – in-form and his 3yos are going well in middle-distance handicaps.

K. R. Burke (Last Galileo) and Hughie Morrison (Crackergee) both with recent hot trainer stats.

No historical winning trainers in this exact race.


Hold-up Risks:
Atlantic Sunset and Crackergee are likely to be held up – they’ll benefit from the strong pace if gaps appear. Both shaped as needing luck in running previously.

Market Watch Guidance:

Keep an eye on Kurakka and Crackergee, both coming off breaks of over 90 days. If either drifts late it may suggest they’re not expected to peak here.

In-form returners like Is I Right who scored recently and turns out quickly can stay hot – positive signs if solid in the market again.



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Each-Way Angles (10 runners):

Atlantic Sunset is interesting E/W value, showing clear signs of improvement and finishing power off a low weight.



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Private Tissue Estimate:

Best Adventure – 9/2

Crackergee – 5/1

Atlantic Sunset – 11/2

Kurakka – 11/2

Is I Right – 15/2

Harpsichord – 10/1

Patagonia Girl – 12/1

Last Galileo – 14/1

Kuredu King – 16/1

Stormy Monday – 20/1