Pace: Even | Going: Good (Good to Firm in places)


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Pace/Draw Notes

Prominent racers tend to be favoured on the straight 7f track at Leicester, especially on quicker ground. The even pace forecast suggests horses that race close to the lead may still hold an advantage. This suits Commanding Prince, Jungle Land, and Chalk Mountain, and potentially blunts hold-up types like Infinity Blue.


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Runner-by-Runner Breakdown

1. Commanding Prince (Archie Watson / Tom Marquand)

Timeform: 96 | RapidView: Solid across recent form and distance | Draw: 2
Front-runner in peak form, having won twice on the AW and second at Ayr latest (hung left). Proven over 7–8f, travels prominently and benefits from today’s pace setup. Still progressing and handles quick ground.
Rating: 8/10

2. Sword (David O’Meara / Daniel Tudhope)

Timeform: 92§ | RapidView: Weak recent | Draw: 1
Talented but temperament remains a question. Fair form in 2024 for Gosdens but bombed out on stable debut for O’Meara at York (22nd of 22). Often free-going and hard to settle. On a retrieval mission.
Rating: 4/10

3. Liamarty Dreams (K R Burke / Sam James)

Timeform: 94 | RapidView: Regressive recent figures | Draw: 5
Now 6yo and a touch exposed. Performed respectably at Chester before a flat effort at Thirsk. Trainer in form, but this one looks vulnerable to younger rivals on the upgrade.
Rating: 5/10

4. Chalk Mountain (W S Kittow / Rob Hornby)

Timeform: 98 | RapidView: Strong at distance and recent class | Draw: 3
Reliable handicapper with wins on AW this season. Eye-catching reappearance third at Kempton and has turf form. Tends to travel well and could improve with tongue-tie retained. Well suited by race setup.
Rating: 8/10

5. Jungle Land (George Boughey / Callum Shepherd)

Timeform: 95 | RapidView: Strong career profile, consistent over 6f | Draw: 4
Running well on the AW including a Wolverhampton win and two narrow defeats. Yet to fully prove himself on turf and at 7f, but in-form yard and early pace style are both positives.
Rating: 7/10

6. Manhattan Mirage (Adrian Wintle / Rossa Ryan)

Timeform: 90 | RapidView: Sparse data, not discredited in maidens | Draw: 6
Lightly raced, maiden status remains. Not disgraced in Newcastle maiden before switching yards. Needs to improve for the break and turf return. Rossa Ryan a positive booking, but form lines still unconvincing.
Rating: 5/10

7. Infinity Blue (Julie Camacho / Lewis Edmunds)

Timeform: 95 | RapidView: Poor recent form under both codes | Draw: 7
Returned from hurdles with an OK run at Musselburgh. Formerly useful at Newmarket last season but hasn’t built on it. Trainer red-hot but drop back to 7f and hold-up style may work against him here.
Rating: 6/10


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Private Tissue Estimate

Horse Odds

Commanding Prince 3/1
Chalk Mountain 7/2
Jungle Land 9/2
Infinity Blue 7/1
Liamarty Dreams 15/2
Manhattan Mirage 9/1
Sword 10/1



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Race Summary

This looks a fairly open Class 4 contest, but several indicators point to a strong showing from Commanding Prince, who brings consistent, prominent-racing form and is ideally positioned from a pace perspective. Chalk Mountain is the most reliable value option off a solid reappearance and returns to turf with potential for more. Jungle Land has raw speed and is tactically versatile, while Infinity Blue has talent but may be compromised by the pace setup.

The remainder have varying questions to answer — Sword has talent but ran a dismal race last time; Liamarty Dreams is now looking exposed; and Manhattan Mirage remains a maiden after six runs.

Most Likely Winner: Commanding Prince
Main Danger: Chalk Mountain
Each-Way Play (if 3 places offered): Jungle Land
Watch for a Move: Manhattan Mirage (market support would suggest readiness after long layoff)