Pace Forecast: Even
Draw Bias: No noted draw bias.
Pace Note: Prominent racers tend to be favoured here. BEACH POINT (IRE) and MILTEYE look best suited by the likely tempo, while ROMAN SECRET (IRE) may not be ideally positioned if ridden patiently again.


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Leading Contenders

BEACH POINT (IRE) – Consistent profile this term with back-to-back runner-up efforts prior to a lesser run at Yarmouth last time. Up with the pace and suited by race shape. Has form at the trip and handles all surfaces. Timeform adjusted rating: 83. Trainer William Knight’s runners are profitable to follow when solo at meetings.
Rating: 8/10

DAWN OF LIBERATION (IRE) – Beverley winner last time in a small field, finding plenty late after racing without headgear. Has had a breathing operation and showed fair form prior. Carr’s yard does well with quick returners.
Rating: 7.5/10

MILTEYE – Well supported last time at Southwell (3rd) and placed both starts this year. Possibly quirky and has a patchy record, but racing prominently and on form. Trainer Harriet Bethell also profitable with single runners.
Rating: 7.5/10

UNIVERSAL STORY (IRE) – Likely improver now stepping up in trip. Not knocked about at Yarmouth and shaped with promise at Wolverhampton before. Pedigree suggests further should suit and Kingscote booked. Second handicap start, so market check important.
Rating: 7.5/10


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Main Dangers & Interesting Outsiders

EEETEE (IRE) – In frame multiple times last season and ran well at Ripon latest. Stays the trip and acts on most ground, though often seen in lower-grade company.
Rating: 7/10

LA FLEUR PETRUS (USA) – Maiden winner but not settled fully for new yard. Pulled hard and faded latest but now drops in grade slightly. Tongue-tie retained.
Rating: 6.5/10

MOLLY VALENTINE (IRE) – Two wins on AW this year. Below form on return from a short break last time. Might still be capable of bouncing back if refreshed.
Rating: 6.5/10

GHOST STORY (IRE) – Holds a course win but profile is patchy. May be better off on softer ground and could need a stronger pace to be effective. Can miss the break.
Rating: 6/10

ROMAN SECRET (IRE) – Good Redcar second last autumn, but holds-up and tactically at risk in this setup. Changed yards and returns from 226 days off – market watch vital.
Rating: 5.5/10

ISLAND OF SKYE – Below form on reappearance and may need another run. Former winner at Thirsk but has plenty to prove.
Rating: 5.5/10

LANDING BOARD (IRE) – Shown little since returning and hasn’t built on encouraging 3yo debut. Poor last two efforts.
Rating: 4.5/10

THE HUN (IRE) – Ex-Karl Burke. Has regressed significantly since placing at Chester last summer. Off 174 days and hard to support unless market suggests otherwise.
Rating: 3/10


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Each-Way Angles

With 12 runners declared, this is an each-way betting race. UNIVERSAL STORY appeals as a potential improver on his second handicap start and DAWN OF LIBERATION looks solid off a recent win with scope to follow up.


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Private Tissue Estimate

Based on adjusted ratings, profiles, trainer form, and pace suitability:

BEACH POINT (IRE) – 7/2

DAWN OF LIBERATION (IRE) – 5/1

MILTEYE – 11/2

UNIVERSAL STORY (IRE) – 13/2

EEETEE (IRE) – 8/1

LA FLEUR PETRUS (USA) – 10/1

MOLLY VALENTINE (IRE) – 12/1

GHOST STORY (IRE) – 14/1

ROMAN SECRET (IRE) – 16/1

ISLAND OF SKYE – 20/1

LANDING BOARD (IRE) – 33/1

THE HUN (IRE) – 50/1



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Summary

This looks competitive for the grade but BEACH POINT (IRE) holds the best recent adjusted form and will be suited by an even pace. DAWN OF LIBERATION (IRE) and UNIVERSAL STORY (IRE) are interesting dangers, especially the latter on his second handicap start with stamina in his pedigree. MILTEYE is solid but may need everything to drop right. Keep an eye on market signals for ROMAN SECRET (IRE) and any support for UNIVERSAL STORY (IRE).