Pace/Draw Angle: The predicted pace is strong, which often suits those racing prominently over this track and trip. Ghostman is expected to be well placed, whereas Another Abbot is drawn in 3 which could be less than ideal if the rail is favoured.


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Contender Assessment

Strongest Contenders:

Another Abbot (W J Haggas / Cieren Fallon) – [Rating: 86]
Improved with the switch to a tongue tie and kept on well into second at Redcar last week. That was a career-best run and the adjusted figures support it. He’s lightly raced, progressive, and the Haggas yard has a 22% strike rate with sprinters. Slight draw concern in stall 3 on a track where stand rail bias can come into play.

Ghostman (Dylan Cunha / Josephine Gordon) – [Rating: 83]
Made all from a favourable position here two weeks ago and is a proven C&D winner. Repeat effort not ruled out, but he’s now up in the weights and drawn away from the rail in 5. Needs to dominate again, which may be harder in a field with more early speed.

Sandscreendeliverd (Peter Crate / T P Queally) – [Rating: 83]
Beaten narrowly by Ghostman here latest, but better placed than most in a race that favoured the front. Lightly raced and the pedigree suggests more to come, but this may require a step up.

Solar Edge (Christopher Mason / Gina Mangan) – [Rating: 82]
Comes here in form and has won over C&D before. Posted a solid second on the all-weather at Wolverhampton last time. Drawn low in 2 which might help if racing close up. Trainer in solid form (21% 90-day strike rate), and the horse fits the race profile well.


Main Dangers:

Pouting (Richard Hughes / Finley Marsh) – [Rating: 79]
Consistent without winning. Finished third behind a next-time-out winner at Ripon. Has tried headgear combinations and may still have a small win in her, but isn’t improving quickly. Could be a luck-in-running type if ridden quietly.

Skellig Isle (Tom Ward / Hollie Doyle) – [Rating: 81]
Maiden winner last season, shaped as if needing the run on comeback at Windsor. Likely to come forward, but better over 6f. Each-way player if handling drop back in trip.


Interesting Outsiders:

Bretton Wood (R M H Cowell / David Egan) – [Rating: 79]
First start for the Cowell yard after a break. Lightly raced and bred to be better than shown so far. Trainer profitable with runners off 90+ day layoffs and David Egan booked. Needs monitoring in the market.

Flicka’s Girl (M J Attwater / William Carson) – [Rating: 82]
Long-standing maiden and well held by Ghostman and others here last time. Not discounted from a pure rating perspective, but others are more solid.



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Trends & Notable Timeform Comments:

No trainer has previously won this race.

Timeform highlight Another Abbot as the one to beat, despite a slightly awkward draw.

Ghostman and Solar Edge noted as favourably drawn and suited by pace shape.

Sandscreendeliverd has repeatedly run well at this level and could go close again if improving.


Hold-Up Risks / Needs-Luck Types:

Pouting and Skellig Isle could be ridden more patiently; they’re at risk of getting caught behind if the pace advantage goes to those drawn high and racing forward.



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Runners – Marks out of 10:

Horse Rating Score /10

Another Abbot 86 8.5
Ghostman 83 8
Sandscreendeliverd 83 7.5
Solar Edge 82 7
Pouting 79 6.5
Skellig Isle 81 6
Bretton Wood 79 5.5
Flicka’s Girl 82 4.5



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Tissue Estimate (Private Market View):

Another Abbot – 9/4

Ghostman – 4/1

Sandscreendeliverd – 5/1

Solar Edge – 6/1

Pouting – 15/2

Skellig Isle – 9/1

Bretton Wood – 20/1

Flicka’s Girl – 33/1



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Summary:

This is a tightly matched 3yo sprint where Another Abbot looks the most likely winner based on his Redcar run and progressive profile, though his draw in 3 is slightly less than ideal. Ghostman made all to win over C&D last time and sets a good standard but may not get such an easy lead. Sandscreendeliverd and Solar Edge are consistent types capable of running into a place. Bretton Wood makes his stable debut after a long absence and should be noted if strong in the market. Any strong market move for Skellig Isle (second run back) or a sudden drift on layoff horses should be watched closely.