Class 5 | 1m7f170y | Standard (AW) | 4yo+ | 0–70 | 6 runners

Pace & Tactical Setup

Forecast pace is weak, which tends to disadvantage hold-up types here. On that basis, Donald Llewellyn looks well positioned to race prominently, whereas Poncho may be too far back if ridden as usual. No significant draw bias.

---

Strongest Contenders

• Star Legend (James Owen, 5/2, TFR 77)
  In cracking form, chasing a hat-trick after Chelmsford and Catterick wins (up to 2¼m). Still looks fairly treated under a 7lb claimer and stays well. Versatile on surface and going.
• Dubai Harbour (Pat Phelan, 4/1, TFR 83)
  Steps up in trip but breeding supports the move (Galileo dam line). Finished strongly over shorter on last two starts and looks the type to improve further now tackling staying trips.
• Poncho (G&J Moore, 12/5, TFR 84)
  Has solid back-form over this distance on AW but can race too freely and tends to be dropped in. That could count against him given the predicted steady gallop. Risk/reward proposition.

---

Main Danger

• Donald Llewellyn (G&J Moore, 9/2, TFR 81)
  Often runs well when able to dictate. Looked rejuvenated when third at Kempton and is likely to be close up again here. Capable at this level.

---

Interesting Outsider

• Home And Dry (T Faulkner, 9/2)
  On a retrieval mission after some modest hurdle runs, but returns to AW with stamina proven and Silvestre De Sousa booked. Could surprise if allowed a soft lead.

---

Unlikely Winner

• Certain Style (L Mongan, 25/1)
  Exposed and needs to bounce back from a heavy defeat over shorter last week. Best watched despite course form.

---

Ratings (Out of 10)

Horse	Rating
Star Legend	8.5
Dubai Harbour	8
Poncho	7.5
Donald Llewellyn	7
Home And Dry	6
Certain Style	3.5

---

Private Tissue Estimate

• Star Legend – 5/2
• Dubai Harbour – 11/4
• Poncho – 4/1
• Donald Llewellyn – 6/1
• Home And Dry – 10/1
• Certain Style – 25/1

---

Summary

A small-field contest where the likely muddling gallop makes race tactics pivotal. Star Legend is the one with momentum, already proven at the trip and thriving on the AW. Dubai Harbour is untested at the distance but looks bred to enjoy it and could take a step forward. Donald Llewellyn might get the run of the race, while Poncho, although the highest-rated, has a risky profile if held up. Watch for any market interest in Home And Dry, who is capable if bouncing back on this surface.