Pace Forecast: Weak
Pace Hint: With a steady gallop anticipated, those ridden handily should be at an advantage. FERRET JEETER is likely to be well placed to exploit this, whereas confirmed hold-up types such as POOROLDMACKLEY may find things against them unless there’s a mid-race injection of pace.


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Contenders, Dangers & Outsiders

Strongest Contenders:

FERRET JEETER (Anthony Honeyball) – Adjusted Rating: 108p
Won decisively on handicap debut at Fontwell (10L, 21.8f), and still on the upgrade before falling early when strong favourite next time. Remains a potential improver over staying trips. Acts on decent ground, trainer 20% strike rate in summer. Likely to race handily.

GETUPTHEYARD (Nigel Hawke) – Adjusted Rating: 107
Runner-up on last three starts, collared on the line at Uttoxeter when making most. In form and stays well. Has worn tongue tie. Should be prominent again and has built up a consistent profile at this level.


Main Dangers:

CHER MONSIEUR (Neil Mulholland) – Adjusted Rating: 106
Took a step forward when third at Uttoxeter (2m5f) on handicap debut and shapes like a stayer. Trainer-jockey combo had a winner at Stratford recently. Could be sharper again now.

JACK’S JURY (Alison Thorpe) – Adjusted Rating: 104
Modest profile but returned with a second over 3m at this course. Stays well and is unexposed over this trip. Can’t be dismissed if improving again.


Interesting Outsiders:

MISTERTOMMYSHELBY (Ryan Potter) – No recent adjusted rating
Poor profile overall but close third over fences at Southwell in April. Lightly raced lately and not without a squeak if that revival continues.

TALK OF THE MOON (Kim Bailey) – 912 days off
Long absence but profile reads better than most at the foot of the weights. Inexperienced over staying trips but market strength would be notable on return.


Hold-Up Risks:

POOROLDMACKLEY – Usually ridden quietly, so with no strong pace forecast, may require luck or a mid-race move to feature.

MIND HUNTER – Poor recent efforts and also races back; suspect stamina and better ground likely needed.


Trainer Trends:
No trainer in this field has previously won this specific race in recent years. Notably, Anthony Honeyball’s summer strike rate (20%) offers a reliable baseline for FERRET JEETER, especially considering Fontwell form has transferred well here in the past.


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Runner Ratings (Out of 10)

FERRET JEETER – 9/10

GETUPTHEYARD – 8/10

CHER MONSIEUR – 7/10

JACK’S JURY – 7/10

POOROLDMACKLEY – 6/10 (needs pace and luck in running)

MISTERTOMMYSHELBY – 6/10 (revival effort but patchy overall)

INSPECTOR LYNLEY – 5/10 (ran behind FERRET JEETER LTO, needs more)

TALK OF THE MOON – 5/10 (long absence, market check essential)

MIND HUNTER – 3/10 (out of sorts, stamina unproven)


Note: Watch the market carefully for TALK OF THE MOON (912-day layoff) and MIND HUNTER (91 days off), with particular attention to support or drifts.


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Each-Way Angles

With 9 declared runners, standard place terms apply (1/5 odds, 3 places).

CHER MONSIEUR and JACK’S JURY look sound each-way options if available at 8/1+.



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Private Tissue Estimate

Horse Tissue Odds

Ferret Jeeter 9/4
Getuptheyard 7/2
Cher Monsieur 13/2
Jack’s Jury 7/1
Pooroldmackley 10/1
Mistertommyshelby 12/1
Inspector Lynley 14/1
Talk Of The Moon 14/1
Mind Hunter 33/1



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Summary

This looks a good opportunity for FERRET JEETER to regain the winning thread, provided he jumps fluently and races prominently. GETUPTHEYARD is reliable and should be on the premises again. CHER MONSIEUR is unexposed and could be the most interesting of the rest, while JACK’S JURY rates a solid each-way player. With no obvious pace, hold-up horses like POOROLDMACKLEY could need luck. Market moves should be monitored for those off a break, particularly TALK OF THE MOON.