Pace Forecast: Even
Going: Good (Good to Yielding in places)
Number of Runners: 16

Pace/Draw Analysis

The pace is expected to be even, and while it should not disadvantage any particular type of horse, those who are forward-going are likely to have an edge given the steady tempo. Wholelotofbusiness (IRE) is likely to be well placed in this scenario, as the race is expected to unfold at a manageable speed for him.


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Horse-by-Horse Analysis

1. At The Wings (IRE) – Rating: 5/10
Trainer: Norman Lee, Jockey: T.P. Harney
A horse with fair bumper form, but he has shown little over hurdles to date. Most recent hurdle run was disappointing, and while he is still a young horse, he would need a marked improvement to be competitive here.


2. Boy Gin Go (IRE) – Rating: 6/10
Trainer: Eugene M. O’Sullivan, Jockey: E. Walsh
This one has shown improvement after a poor point-to-point debut. A fair fourth place in a Listowel maiden hurdles suggests he is heading in the right direction. Not without a chance here if he progresses further.


3. Garadice (IRE) – Rating: 5/10
Trainer: David Christie, Jockey: B. W. Harvey
A horse who has shown some improvement over hurdles but was still beaten by over 18 lengths last time out. Needs to step up significantly here.


4. Jumble Light (FR) – Rating: 4/10
Trainer: Mark McNiff, Jockey: Patrick O’Hanlon
A maiden pointer with modest form in bumpers. Made a slow start over hurdles, and while he showed some promise, he would need to improve significantly to feature in the finish here.


5. Mane Attraction (IRE) – Rating: 3/10
Trainer: Norman Lee, Jockey: A. M. McCurtin
Unplaced in two starts over hurdles, with the latest effort seeing him well beaten. Needs to show more before he can be considered a serious contender.


6. Quantum Boy (IRE) – Rating: 8/10
Trainer: W.P. Mullins, Jockey: Gearoid Patrick Brouder
This well-bred 6-year-old was a wide-margin winner in points but failed to perform in his bumper debut at Punchestown. He is well-bred and a likely improver on his hurdling debut, which gives him the edge here, despite the disappointing bumper performance.


7. Saint Peregrine (IRE) – Rating: 7/10
Trainer: John Patrick Ryan, Jockey: L. A. McKenna
Good run last time out when second at Sligo, but needs to continue to build on that form. He is a solid contender here, and his recent hurdling form puts him in the mix.


8. Shudawudacuddagh (IRE) – Rating: 6/10
Trainer: James Andrew Fahey, Jockey: K.C. Sexton
Has shown some ability in bumpers but will need to improve on his two previous runs over hurdles. A promising 2nd last time out, though he may need to step up further.


9. Tom Sarah Evelyn (IRE) – Rating: 7/10
Trainer: John Patrick Ryan, Jockey: J. Aherne
A horse that has shown considerable improvement in his last two starts, and after finishing second in a maiden at Clonmel, he’s now more experienced and could be a serious threat in this field.


10. Wholelotofbusiness (IRE) – Rating: 9/10
Trainer: Eoin Christopher McCarthy, Jockey: G.B. Noonan
The clear standout in terms of hurdling form. His form over hurdles is strong, with a second place in a Killarney maiden. He has the best overall form in the race and is expected to feature prominently. However, he has been beaten once when trading odds-on in-running, so it’s worth watching his in-running price to assess his chances during the race.


11. Bearami Creek (IRE) – Rating: 6/10
Trainer: Peter Fahey, Jockey: J. Coen
Shows decent form, though his recent hurdle runs have been unremarkable. He’s one to watch if there is any market support.


12. Call Me Rose (IRE) – Rating: 4/10
Trainer: Cian Michael Collins, Jockey: C.P. Millar
Has yet to show significant form and is unlikely to be involved here based on current form.


13. CJ’s Darling (IRE) – Rating: 5/10
Trainer: Gavin Patrick Cromwell, Jockey: K.E. Buckley
A horse with little form to speak of but is trained by a leading yard. Needs to improve sharply.


14. Graigstar (IRE) – Rating: 4/10
Trainer: Declan Queally, Jockey: J.P. O’Sullivan
Unplaced in his only previous hurdle run and needs to step up a great deal.


15. Hope She Flies (IRE) – Rating: 5/10
Trainer: Brian Francis Cawley, Jockey: Ryan Treacy
Had a modest run last time out, but needs to show more over hurdles to be competitive.


16. Lilac Lady (IRE) – Rating: 4/10
Trainer: Mark McNiff, Jockey: A.M. King
Ran a poor race on debut over hurdles and will need to significantly improve to feature here.




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Tissue Odds Estimate:

7/2 Quantum Boy

5/1 Wholelotofbusiness (IRE)

7/1 Tom Sarah Evelyn (IRE)

10/1 Saint Peregrine (IRE)

12/1 Boy Gin Go (IRE)

14/1 Shudawudacuddagh (IRE)

16/1 Garadice (IRE)

18/1 Bearami Creek (IRE)

20/1 At The Wings (IRE)

25/1 Lilac Lady (IRE)



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Summary

Wholelotofbusiness (IRE) looks to be the most likely winner, holding solid hurdle form and should cope well with the even pace. Quantum Boy represents a strong threat and, given his pedigree and point-to-point win, should improve significantly over hurdles. Tom Sarah Evelyn (IRE) could be an interesting outsider, particularly after his last run.