Class 5 | 5f 42y | (0–75), 4yo+ | £4,397 | Good ground
7 declared | Pace Forecast: Weak | Draw Bias: None reported


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🧭 Race Setup & Tactical Angle

Pace forecast is on the weak side, which typically helps prominent racers at this sharp 5f on the straight.

That leans against AGOSTINO and THUNDER STAR, while TORFRIDA, a habitual front-runner, is better positioned — but her in-running stats suggest vulnerability when under pressure.

No major draw bias noted, so pace placement is the stronger variable.



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🧮 Runner-by-Runner Guide & Ratings (/10)

1. MAID IN CHELSEA (IRE) – Jim Crowley / Jack Jones
🏇 TFR 85 | OR 74
Solid recent profile; Bath second was a decent piece of turf form. Excuses at Lingfield (poorly placed) and returns to a track/trip more in her favour. Cheekpieces retained.
✅ Trip/ground fine | ✅ Trainer in decent nick
➕ Prominent style will help
Rating: 7.5/10


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2. THUNDER STAR – George Wood / Jessica Macey
🏇 TFR 87 | OR 72
Doncaster win was strong, but was below par at Beverley in a messy heat. Might not be ideally placed in a race forecast to lack early zip.
❌ Not the ideal setup for her hold-up style
Rating: 6.5/10


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3. FRANK THE SPARK – Robert Havlin / Paul Midgley
🏇 TFR 88 | OR 73
Solid 5f type, excuses latest (outer flank at Thirsk). Form behind Hover On The Wind at Beverley looks solid.
✅ Trip, ground and class suitable | ⛔ Needs to bounce back
➕ Likely to track pace
Rating: 7/10


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4. AGOSTINO – Marco Ghiani / Robert Cowell
🏇 TFR 86 | OR 68
Chelmsford win fresh, but below par since. Cowell yard ice-cold (0-22 past fortnight). Likely to be held up — not ideal today.
❌ Trainer form | ❌ Pace setup
Rating: 5.5/10


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5. TORFRIDA – Kieran O’Neill / Pam Sly
🏇 TFR 90 | OR 65
Clear pace angle. Pontefract second to One More Dream reads well. Flopped latest (short price), but could bounce back if handed a soft lead.
✅ Front-runner in a weak pace race
⛔ Slightly patchy record when fancied
Rating: 7.5/10


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6. JUNGLE RUN (IRE) – Daniel Muscutt / Tom Clover
🏇 TFR 83 | OR 73
Can pop up but not consistent. Goodwood last of 5 a backward step. Visor off, tongue tie tried.
❌ Unreliable | ❓ New headgear mix
Rating: 5.5/10


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7. ANGLE LAND – Silvestre de Sousa / Robert Cowell
🏇 TFR 88 | OR 61
Drawn wide at Lingfield, so can excuse the effort. SDS booked is eye-catching. Will be prominent; CD winner.
✅ Course/surface suited | ➕ Better draw today
Rating: 7/10


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📊 Groupings (by Timeform rating)

Top 2: TORFRIDA (90), FRANK THE SPARK (88)

Closely Bunched: ANGLE LAND (88), THUNDER STAR (87), MAID IN CHELSEA (85)

Slightly Lower: JUNGLE RUN (83), AGOSTINO (86) [inflated?]



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📈 Market & Setup Watch

TORFRIDA: Price-sensitive; can trade very short in running but fade late.

MAID IN CHELSEA: One to watch if support comes, given the excuse last time.

Cowell runners (AGOSTINO, ANGLE LAND): both from an out-of-form yard. Proceed cautiously unless there’s a plunge.



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💷 Tissue Estimate (100% book)

Maid In Chelsea – 3/1

Torfrida – 7/2

Frank The Spark – 4/1

Angle Land – 6/1

Thunder Star – 13/2

Jungle Run – 9/1

Agostino – 12/1



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🧮 Summary

A race lacking depth and with few solid pace angles.

MAID IN CHELSEA is a fair pick to bounce back with a cleaner trip.

TORFRIDA is well-drawn for a solo on the front if left alone, but is no banker late on.

FRANK THE SPARK has solid form and excuses last time.

ANGLE LAND is worth monitoring with SDS up — a bounceback wouldn’t surprise.