Ground: Good (Good to Firm in places)
Field: 9 runners
Pace Forecast: Even
Bias: None noted

🔢 Ratings Foundation & Race Conditions Match

Horse TFR Timeform Flags Form Trend Trip/Ground Draw Comments

Deep Water Bay 77p 🔥 “Horse in Focus” Upward Will stay 1¾m+ Good Could run up a sequence; fast-finishing win latest
Rommie The Miracle 73 – Progressive Proven at trip Good Johnston improver; got run of race latest
Bellator Bullet 75 – Upward Proven Good May trade short again; ½l win last time
Maywedance 73 – Holding form Stayed 14f – Well held by Rommie latest, but should be suited by trip
Brave Emerald 73 – Mixed Likely to stay – Not ideally placed latest; type to improve upped in trip
Pure Theory 74 – Patchy Might stay – Minor place form on AW, now back on turf
Sovereign Applause 71 – Downward Unproven – Beaten miles latest, not bred to stay
Yes Honey 70 – Poor Trip unproven – No evidence of staying ability
Jester Queen ? – Poor Not guaranteed – Nothing in the formbook to go on



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⚖️ Tactical Setup & Connections

Pace Setup: Even pace. Hold-up types often suited here over this trip.

Suited by shape: Deep Water Bay & Rommie The Miracle likely to benefit; Maywedance at risk of being marooned.

Trainers in form: Sir Mark Prescott (26% over 10f+; 24% mid-season)

Jockeys: Joe Fanning (Rommie) and Luke Morris (Deep Water Bay) both on the right types tactically.

Headgear/Trends: Deep Water Bay unexposed and typical Prescott improver. Bellator Bullet tends to hit flat spots but finishes.



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🧨 Market & Setup

Deep Water Bay: 8/11 – strong fav, Prescott type to follow once they get going.

Rommie The Miracle: 4/1 – has won on pace-favoured setups, but not guaranteed same scenario.

Bellator Bullet: 5/1 – trades short in-running; won last two on merit.

Others: Maywedance and Brave Emerald plausible frame claims if race falls apart.



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📊 Runner Scores (Out of 10)

Horse Score Comments

Deep Water Bay 9/10 Prescott plot horse. Huge improver. Very solid on all counts.
Rommie The Miracle 7.5/10 Solid Johnston improver; might not get same favoured pace scenario.
Bellator Bullet 7/10 Reliable handicapper, but slight suspicion he’s near his ceiling.
Maywedance 6.5/10 Better last time, but work to do to reverse form with Rommie.
Brave Emerald 6/10 Should stay this far; possible improver in big field.
Pure Theory 5/10 Not the strongest profile, but lightly raced. Could run on late.
Sovereign Applause 3.5/10 Trip and form questions.
Yes Honey 3/10 Little promise since return.
Jester Queen 2.5/10 Form well below standard. Hard to fancy.



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📉 Tissue Estimate (100% Book)

Deep Water Bay – 6/5

Rommie The Miracle – 9/2

Bellator Bullet – 6/1

Maywedance – 10/1

Brave Emerald – 12/1

Pure Theory – 14/1

Sovereign Applause – 20/1

Yes Honey – 25/1

Jester Queen – 50/1



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🧭 Final Verdict

Deep Water Bay looks a typical Sir Mark Prescott improver stepping up in trip and should take beating if repeating his Wolverhampton effort. Rommie The Miracle is respected but may not get quite as soft a lead, while Bellator Bullet is solid but less progressive.

Each-way frame outsider: Brave Emerald – bred to relish this trip and ran better than result latest.