Pace Forecast: Weak
Bias Note: Prominent racers usually favoured here, especially if it’s steadily run – boosts McGregors Charge, weakens Traveling Soldier.


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🧭 Race Conditions Match

Trip: Several look better suited by 19f+ – trip should be fine for most.

Going: Good ground suits key players like McGregors Charge, Jimmyjeroo, Traveling Soldier.

Track: Worcester suits prominent types – Jimmyjeroo and McGregors Charge likely better placed.

Weight: McGregors Charge very well-in; others near ceiling of 0–100 class.



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⚖️ Race Shape / Tactical Fit

Pace looks weak, so forward types get a boost:

✅ McGregors Charge (usually races prominently)

✅ Jimmyjeroo (often leads)

❌ Traveling Soldier (may be held up)


With little pressure up front, leaders may get an easy time.



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📉 Form & Fitness Profile

McGregors Charge: Very close 2nd last week (stayed on strongly); improving and lightly raced since long layoff.

Jimmyjeroo: Strong Fontwell 2nd, trip drop against him last time, back up in trip now – very solid profile.

Traveling Soldier: Big effort LTO over wrong trip; still unexposed but trainer form masks tactical concerns.

Slade Shore: Chasing debut, bred for fences, likely to do better now but bit to prove on bare hurdles form.

Ballybeg Boss: Long absence but chasing type; fitness may be issue.

Electric Annie: Old form OK, but tailed off last time. Unreliable.

Lord Maher, Mo Zola: Very hard to fancy on recent evidence.



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🧬 Connections & Intent

🔥 Olly Murphy is in flying form – Traveling Soldier a live one despite setup concerns.

⚠️ Donald McCain (22% summer strike rate) – Ballybeg Boss might be fitter than feared.

✅ Ben Godfrey regularly used by Ella Pickard – McGregors Charge setup feels targeted.

🔺 Harry Bannister 1 chase runner stat for Bandey is eye-catching (Slade Shore).



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🧨 Market & Setup

McGregors Charge opened short again after going so close last week – profile screams “go day”.

Jimmyjeroo could drift but has excuses last time and now back to ideal trip.

Traveling Soldier also supported but shape of race questionable for him today.



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📂 Extra Angles

🔍 McGregors Charge got strong form boost from winner LTO.

🔍 Jimmyjeroo has been reliable and consistent in this grade.

🔍 Slade Shore not without promise – strong pedigree for chasing.



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📊 Ratings / Grouping / Value

Using McGregors Charge (111) as top-rated:

Horse Adjusted Rating Notes Score/10

McGregors Charge 111 Strong form LTO, suited by race setup 8.5
Jimmyjeroo 106 Trip drop forgivable; good chance back up in trip 8
Traveling Soldier 107 Not ideally placed in likely tactical shape 7
Slade Shore 101? Big chase potential but only fair over hurdles 6
Ballybeg Boss 99? Absent 545 days, may need run 5
Electric Annie 105+ Unreliable; lost shoe LTO; fringe place at best 5
Lord Maher — Regarded very modest 2
Mo Zola — Impossible to recommend 1



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💷 Private Tissue Estimate (100%)

McGregors Charge – 5/2

Jimmyjeroo – 3/1

Traveling Soldier – 4/1

Slade Shore – 7/1

Ballybeg Boss – 10/1

Electric Annie – 12/1

Others – 25/1+



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🧠 Final Filter

> “If this wins, will I feel I missed something obvious?”



McGregors Charge – No, everything points to him. Ideal setup.

Jimmyjeroo – No, consistent and forgiven last run.

Traveling Soldier – Possibly – but tactics could scupper him here.



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Verdict:
McGregors Charge holds the strongest tactical and form claims under ideal conditions. Jimmyjeroo is a solid alternative if the fav underperforms. Traveling Soldier has ability but may be tactically compromised in a slow-run race.