🧭 Race Conditions & Overview
Type: Maiden (Flat)
Trip: 1 mile
Surface: Turf
Pace Forecast: Even
Draw Bias: Favours high numbers
Race Profile: 3yo+ maiden with 19 declared; field includes a mix of well-bred newcomers, exposed types and improvers. High draw and forward placement expected to be advantageous in this big field.
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🧩 Contender-by-Contender Ratings & Insights
🟨 1. COPPER CRAFT (C.D. Hayes / A. Oliver)
Draw 4 | No form | Well-bred, but low-impact yard; dam produced winners. Likely to need this.
Pace/Draw: Neither favoured
Fitness: 73-day break, watch market
Rating: 3/10
🟨 2. COWZER SOZE (Amy Jo Hayes / A. Slattery)
Draw 16 | No form | First foal, sprint pedigree. Yard cold. May need shorter.
Pace/Draw: Wide but pace could help
Fitness: Fresh but lacks race nous
Rating: 2/10
🟨 3. DALER (C.T. Keane / G.M. Lyons)
Draw 3 | TF 80 | OR 79 | Consistent, honest type who shapes as a solid maiden. One of the most reliable here.
Pace/Draw: Poorly drawn but might hold position
Fitness: Fully fit and proven
Rating: 8/10
🟨 4. HARRY’S MAGIC (J. Kearney / J.A. Kinsella)
Draw 6 | No form | Interesting pedigree (Channel’s half-brother) but very green stable.
Pace/Draw: Mid draw okay
Fitness: First start – guesswork
Rating: 3/10
🟨 5. HELLORHIGHWATER (G.F. Carroll / G. Cromwell)
Draw 1 | No form | Dam from good family. Stable red-hot. Live dark horse from worst stall.
Pace/Draw: Tricky draw; needs luck
Fitness: Fresh and ready
Rating: 6/10
🟨 6. KEVIN THE GREAT (S. Foley / Mrs J. Harrington)
Draw 17 | TF 59 | Outpaced last time over 7f, bred for further. Step back to 1m suits.
Pace/Draw: Well drawn, sits handy
Fitness: Fit and progressing
Rating: 7/10
🟨 7. LAHORE DA KING (L.T. McAteer / A. Mullins)
Draw 18 | No form | Pedigree okay, dam stayed 1m. Trainer not known for maidens.
Pace/Draw: High draw helps
Fitness: Could be sharp
Rating: 3/10
🟨 8. LEOPOLD THE FIRST (R.C. Colgan / A. Lee)
Draw 10 | TF 78+ | Big step forward LTO. Bred to improve over 10f+, but should be finishing well.
Pace/Draw: Okay draw for hold-up
Fitness: Fit and improving
Rating: 8/10
🟨 9. NAPLES (W.J. Lee / P. Twomey)
Draw 2 | Debut | Nicely bred, smart connections. Has been backed. Dam a winner over 11f. Top yard’s only runner.
Pace/Draw: Inside a concern in big field
Fitness: Should be ready
Rating: 8/10
🟨 10. PETE’S DREAM (A.J. Slattery / A. Slattery)
Draw 12 | TF 75 | Big improvement last time; form boosted by winner. Might still have more to come.
Pace/Draw: Decent position
Fitness: Peaking
Rating: 7/10
🟨 11. TERO D’ROSA (D.W. O’Connor / R. O’Sullivan)
Draw 7 | No form | Unraced dam. Moderate yard form. No angles here.
Pace/Draw: Mid draw
Fitness: Unknown
Rating: 2/10
🟨 12. VALOROUS POWER (D.B. McMonagle / J.P. O’Brien)
Draw 7 | TF 83p | Best form here; shaped 2nd best LTO. Strong pace suits. High draw helps. Looks well in.
Pace/Draw: Positively placed
Fitness: Fit, peaking
Rating: 9/10
🟨 13. WOODSHAW (D. McDonogh / J.P. O’Brien)
Draw 8 | TF 68 | €500k buy. Well held on debut over further. Will improve, but draw only neutral.
Pace/Draw: Neutral
Fitness: Should sharpen
Rating: 6/10
🟨 14. LADY LUCK (L.F. Roche / R. Sweeney)
Draw 13 | No form | Poor stable record in maidens, limited pedigree.
Pace/Draw: Wide enough
Fitness: Guess
Rating: 2/10
🟨 15. LITTLE MISS P (N.M. Crosse / W. McCreery)
Draw 9 | TF 77p | Huge run LTO from poor draw. Well-bred. One of the main players.
Pace/Draw: Midfield ideal
Fitness: Fully fit
Rating: 8/10
🟨 16. SARA VERDIER (J.A. Powell / M.D. O’Callaghan)
Draw 11 | No form | From an okay family but form limited to barrier trial.
Pace/Draw: No strong edge
Fitness: Unknown
Rating: 3/10
🟨 17–19. Reserves
MADAM ALKATERINA, SHOW YOUR WORKINGS, MASTER OF PUPPETS – All have shown little to nothing and would rate 1–2/10 if they get in.
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📊 Ratings Summary (Top 6)
Horse Rating /10
Valorous Power 9
Daler 8
Little Miss P 8
Leopold The First 8
Naples 8
Kevin The Great 7
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🎯 Private Tissue (100% Book)
Valorous Power – 4/1
Daler – 6/1
Little Miss P – 6/1
Naples – 13/2
Leopold The First – 13/2
Pete’s Dream – 9/1
Kevin The Great – 12/1
Woodshaw – 16/1
Hellorhighwater – 20/1
Others – 25/1+
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🏁 Summary
Most Likely Winner: VALOROUS POWER – Looks the pick on form, fitness and track profile. The even pace and decent draw should see him well positioned to strike.
Dangers: Daler (solid and battle-hardened), Little Miss P (strong Gowran run), Naples (smart pedigree, top connections) and Leopold The First (stayed on strongly LTO).
Value E/W Selection (19 runners): LEOPOLD THE FIRST – Improving with racing, stays well, drawn nicely, and may be underestimated off that Dundalk second.
17:50 LIMERICK – IRISH STALLION FARMS EBF MAIDEN (3yo+, 1m, Good to Firm in Places, 19 runners)
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