Race Conditions

Surface: Polytrack (Standard to Slow)

Trip: 1m3f219y (extended 1m4f)

Field: 5 runners (no each-way angle)

Pace Forecast: Uncontested – race expected to be tactically run, favouring a prominent or front-running type.

Draw Bias: N/A on round course here.



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Pace / Draw / Race Shape

There’s no draw bias to consider given the trip and small field size, but the lack of pace suggests MAGIC RUNNER could control this from the front. Horses who want a strong gallop (ZIZI, LESSON OF LIFE, PHRYGIA) could be disadvantaged unless someone unexpectedly forces the issue.


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Runner-by-Runner Breakdown

1. LADY ODETTE (IRE) (Ollie Sangster / Kieran Shoemark)

TF Adj Rating: 65

Profile: Slowly away on last two starts but shaped OK in better races. Third foal; dam a 2yo 6f winner.

Pace Position: Mid/back

Trainer/Jockey: Trainer has profitable 1-runner stats at meetings (+£10.15 LSP), but the filly’s form is unconvincing in context.

Fitness: 35-day break is fine; fitness not an issue.

Verdict: Needs to settle better and race handier in this small field.

Rating: 5/10


2. PHRYGIA (James Ferguson / Daniel Muscutt)

TF Adj Rating: 71

Profile: Career best when 4th at Wolverhampton (1¾L behind, staying on). Stamina unlocked and lightly raced.

Pace Position: Likely held up or mid-div

Trainer/Jockey: Ferguson in hot form; Muscutt rides plenty of winners in small fields.

Fitness: Off 46 days, but improved last time off a break—should be spot on now.

Verdict: Stamina now her strength, may need a stronger gallop but best form.

Rating: 8/10


3. ZIZI (IRE) (Richard Hughes / Tom Marquand)

TF Adj Rating: 70

Profile: Won maiden in 2024, showed some spark last time at Haydock. Form reads better than it first looks.

Pace Position: Usually off the pace

Trainer/Jockey: Trainer quiet; Marquand in solid nick.

Fitness: Fit from recent runs, including turf.

Verdict: Slightly one-paced but consistent and well-weighted.

Rating: 7/10


4. LESSON OF LIFE (Ralph Beckett / Rossa Ryan)

TF Adj Rating: 66

Profile: Well bred, stamina influence strong. Looked in need of the run last time and this step up in trip is ideal.

Pace Position: Off the pace

Trainer/Jockey: Beckett flying, Rossa Ryan a plus.

Fitness: Fit, with a good run off 7-week break recently.

Verdict: Could come alive now stepped up to a stiffer test.

Rating: 7/10


5. MAGIC RUNNER (GER) (Andrew Balding / Callum Hutchinson)

TF Adj Rating: 69

Profile: Well bred; looks a slow-maturing stayer. Run style and form suggest front-running will suit in this small field.

Pace Position: Front-runner (likely leader)

Trainer/Jockey: Balding in good form; Hutchinson experienced at setting fractions.

Fitness: 27 days since last run, fit and should improve again.

Verdict: May get things her own way; tactical angle big here.

Rating: 7/10



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Private Tissue (100% Book)

Horse Rating Odds

Phrygia 8/10 9/4
Zizi 7/10 3/1
Lesson of Life 7/10 3/1
Magic Runner 7/10 3/1
Lady Odette 5/10 9/1



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Verdict

Most Likely Winner: PHRYGIA – going the right way and bred to appreciate this test; will improve again with race fitness and stamina now proven.

Main Dangers:

ZIZI – tough and consistent, may be sharper than most.

MAGIC RUNNER – has a big tactical edge if allowed to dictate.