Field of 7 | Pace Forecast: Weak | Draw Bias: N/A
—
🔢 Ratings Foundation
Top Timeform Adjusted Rating: LOVE ROCK (72), CHEEKY STANLEY (71), JAGETME (70), FLICKA’S GIRL (70)
Recent timefigures: LOVE ROCK has a career-best C&D win but bombed last start. CHEEKY STANLEY previously posted fair figures and was overkeen LTO. JAGETME has been consistent without winning.
Form Trend Summary:
LOVE ROCK: progressive pre-break, flopped latest (layoff?)
CHEEKY STANLEY: a bit in-and-out; likely better than Kempton run
JAGETME: improving gradually, often slowly away
FLICKA’S GIRL / ART OF FOX: holding form modestly
THE VOOMINATOR: totally unreliable
SHE WENT WHOOSH: decent Lingfield win but regressed since
—
🧭 Race Conditions Match
LOVE ROCK – C&D winner; solid on polytrack; trip ideal ✅
CHEEKY STANLEY – Course winner; stamina fine; now gelded ✅
JAGETME – 5–6f fine; polytrack fine ✅
FLICKA’S GIRL – 5f fine, form mainly AW, track ok ✅
SHE WENT WHOOSH – versatile going; AW win ✅
ART OF FOX – yet to fire, but suited by conditions ⬅️ needs improvement
THE VOOMINATOR – trip ok, surface fine ❌ attitude major worry
—
⚖️ Race Shape / Tactical Fit
Pace Forecast: Weak
Likely to benefit: Prominent racers. Hold-ups at disadvantage here.
LOVE ROCK – usually leads, positive
CHEEKY STANLEY – can go forward, good
FLICKA’S GIRL – can sit handy
SHE WENT WHOOSH – often held up, negative
JAGETME – slow away, suffers in this setup
THE VOOMINATOR – reluctant, risky
ART OF FOX – can race handily, moderate positive
—
📉 Form & Fitness Profile
LOVE ROCK – flopped latest but may have needed the run after break. Hood added. 🟡
CHEEKY STANLEY – gelded since bombing off too hard; excuses. 🟢
JAGETME – gradually sharpening up; close at Salisbury. 🟢
FLICKA’S GIRL – some signs of life recently. 🟡
SHE WENT WHOOSH – run of regressions post-win. 🔴
ART OF FOX – not progressing, but trainer hot. 🟡
THE VOOMINATOR – refused to race LTO. ❌
—
🧬 Connections & Intent
Trainer Strike Rates:
Richard Hannon – 🔥
George Baker – ❄️
Ismail Mohammed – one-runner angle profitable (£38.19) ✅
Jockey Note:
Tommie Jakes (5lb) good value on LOVE ROCK
Cosgrave a positive for CHEEKY STANLEY
No pacemakers involved.
—
🧨 Market & Setup
LOVE ROCK – class drop, return to C&D win scene, hood on = Go Day candidate 🔔
CHEEKY STANLEY – market positive despite last flop, recent gelding ✔️
JAGETME – support last two starts, close up ✔️
SHE WENT WHOOSH – slight drift likely warranted ⛔
ART OF FOX – capable of a move with Hannon form 🔄
—
📂 Extra Angles
Timeform Verdict: Love Rock gets the nod based on previous C&D win and pace edge.
Smart Stat: Baker +£55 when sending sole runner = CHEEKY STANLEY angle
Flags: None present.
—
📊 Groupings & Value Assessment
Top Rated (72–71): LOVE ROCK, CHEEKY STANLEY – Tissue 10/3
Next Band (70): JAGETME, FLICKA’S GIRL – Tissue 9/2–6/1
Midband (68): ART OF FOX – 7/1
Backmarker (60): THE VOOMINATOR – 33/1
—
🏇 Runner Ratings (out of 10)
Horse Score Note
LOVE ROCK 7.5 C&D win, hood on, prominent style
CHEEKY STANLEY 7 Likely better than LTO, gelded
JAGETME 6.5 Consistent but poor starter
FLICKA’S GIRL 5 Fair AW form but not threatening
ART OF FOX 5 Hannon runner, but no spark yet
SHE WENT WHOOSH 4 Regression continues
THE VOOMINATOR 2 Refused last time, high risk
—
🔍 Final Filter Summary
A race lacking depth but with a few angles. LOVE ROCK is a strong contender returning to C&D with conditions and tactics in her favour. CHEEKY STANLEY is a danger if the Kempton run is ignored – gelding and Cosgrave can spark revival. JAGETME has the form but could miss the beat at the start again in a race where early position matters.
Provisional Tissue:
LOVE ROCK 10/3
CHEEKY STANLEY 7/2
JAGETME 4/1
ART OF FOX 7/1
FLICKA’S GIRL 8/1
SHE WENT WHOOSH 10/1
THE VOOMINATOR 33/1
19:00 Chelmsford – RACING VALUE AT BET365 HANDICAP (Class 6, 3yo, 5f, £3,664, Standard)
Get updates
From art exploration to the latest archeological findings, all here in our weekly newsletter.
Subscribe
Leave a comment