1m1f | 0–60 | 3yo+ | Turf (Good to Firm in places) | 16 runners
Pace Forecast: Strong
Draw Bias: N/A
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🔢 Ratings Foundation
Timeform Top-Rated: Still She Blooms (70), Higher Kingdom (69), Man Is King / Deuteronomy (69), Cleopatra’s Needle (65)
Recent Figures: Higher Kingdom (consistent 3rds), Still She Blooms (unlucky 9th LTO), Deuteronomy (won latest in visor)
Form Trends:
✅ Still She Blooms – recent effort best ignored
⬆️ Deuteronomy – recent win, trainer trying visor again
⬇️ Master Garvey / Tartaraghan – out of sorts
🔼 Academe – big step forward in blinkers
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🧭 Race Conditions Match
Trip Suitability: All main contenders stay 9–10.5f
Ground: All proven on good/good-to-firm
Course Form: Cleopatra’s Needle / Sayfa Fad / Pegula have Leopardstown placed form
Weight OK?
✅ Still She Blooms / Higher Kingdom / Deuteronomy – fair weight-for-OR balance
Draw: Wide stalls not penal here over 9f – neutral
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⚖️ Race Shape / Tactical Fit
Forecast Pace: Strong gallop predicted
Pace Bias: Could suit those ridden just off the speed
Prominent Runners: Still She Blooms, Man Is King, Sayfa Fad, Cleopatra’s Needle
Hold-Up Types Helped: Higher Kingdom, Academe, Deuteronomy – all usually ridden cold
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📉 Form & Fitness Profile
Still She Blooms: Strong recent form despite troubled trip; consistent in 2025
Higher Kingdom: Reliable sort; pace scenario ideal if away clean
Deuteronomy: Comes here off a win; visor retained
Academe: Blinkers key; trainer in form
Dolce Far Niente: Won latest but needs to prove that wasn’t a one-off
Sayfa Fad: Reliable if pace is strong, but can fluff start
Master Garvey / Knockmore Prince / Wonderwalk: Hard to fancy on balance
Tartaraghan: Big price and profile flatlining
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🧬 Connections & Intent
Hot Trainers: Mrs J Harrington (Academe), McGuinness (Higher Kingdom)
Jockey Uplifts: S. Coen (claiming 7 on Tartaraghan), Adam Caffrey (value 5lbs on HK)
Multiple Runners – McConnell (Tartaraghan, Knockmore Prince) – possible pace role?
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🧨 Market & Setup
Still She Blooms: Backed LTO (9/4f); unlucky in run – a “go day” candidate
Deuteronomy: Backed LTO; market usually informative with Burns
Academe: Surprise improvement LTO in blinkers – again fitted
Dolce Far Niente: Won well but inconsistent profile
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📂 Extra Angles
Timeform Flags: “Horse in Focus” – Still She Blooms
Smart Stats: Harrington’s 3yo handicappers have +20% ROI in low-grade turf events
Recent Form Franked?: HK and Deuteronomy ran in races that have produced next-time-out winners
Unexposed / Scope?: Academe (3yo), Amavasya (3yo), Pegula (long layoff)
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📊 Groupings & Value Assessment (lbs from Top-Rated 70)
Runner Lbs Off Top Group Rating/10 Notes
Still She Blooms 0 A 8.5 Unlucky LTO, right setup
Higher Kingdom 1 A 8 Solid, but needs clean break
Deuteronomy 1 A 7.5 Won latest, likes setup
Academe 2 B 7.5 Improving, stable hot
Cleopatra’s Needle 5 B 6.5 Not always best placed
Dolce Far Niente 6 B 6.5 Needs to back up Fairyhouse win
Sayfa Fad 3 B 6.5 Strong pace helps, unreliable break
Man Is King 1 A 6 Regressive profile but fair mark
Master Garvey 5 C 5.5 Fairyhouse run underwhelming
Famous Enough 7 C 5 One good run, needs repeat
Tartaraghan 4 C 4.5 Hard to fancy
Amavasya 10 D 4 Early days, not proven at trip
Pegula ? D 3.5 Long layoff, one good run 8 months ago
Knockmore Prince 6 D 3.5 Unconvincing
Celtic Druid ? D 3 Bits of promise, not enough
Wonderwalk ? D 2.5 Outclassed on evidence
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💷 Tissue Estimate (100%)
11/2 Still She Blooms
13/2 Higher Kingdom
7/1 Deuteronomy
8/1 Academe
10/1 Dolce Far Niente
11/1 Sayfa Fad
14/1 Cleopatra’s Needle
16/1 bar
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🔍 Final Filter – How It’ll Play Out
A strong early pace looks assured, likely suiting closers and mid-division runners who can settle early. Still She Blooms rates a strong candidate if avoiding traffic – she’s well treated and ran better than bare result last time. Higher Kingdom will be dangerous late if breaking better than usual, while Deuteronomy could go close if repeating his Gowran effort. Academe is a lively dark horse with scope for more in blinkers, and Dolce Far Niente may be overpriced again if that latest win wasn’t a fluke.
20:20 Leopardstown – BOYLESPORTS ‘BEST ODDS FROM 8AM’ HANDICAP (Div II)
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