Distance: ~2m 2f 185y

Going: Good to Yielding (inspection at 7:30am)

Field: 8 runners

Pace Forecast: Strong

Key Pace Note: The expected strong gallop will suit front‑running types. Leitzel looks best positioned to exploit this if she can lead; Theflyingbee, a hold‑up type, could struggle to mark off the pace.

Market Insight: Rockview Consort tumbled to 25% of SP in‑running last time despite running on—suggesting she might outrun market expectations again.



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Contenders & Profiles

Rockview Consort (John McConnell / D. A. Kidd)

Accurate horse-for-course; narrowly beaten over this C&D in May when defying a 2 lb lower mark.

Honest and consistent, travels well into a strong pace.

Profile: Proven, well-weighted, tactically suitably.


Maxios Prime (P. J. Rothwell / Ciaran Gethings)

Showed promise over the Cheltenham Grade 3 juvenile handicap in April.

Lightly raced, progressive, likely to improve again.

Tactically adaptable, though inexperienced on this type of course.


Dame Rapide (Cian Hughes / G. P. Brouder)

Fair handicap hurdler with a win at Fairyhouse.

Solid return from 6 months off at Ballinrobe, albeit only third.

Stays well and likes to be prominent; proven and reliable.


Theflyingbee (F. G. Hand / P. M. O’Brien)

Fair hurdler and bumper-placed, effective over this trip.

Done best when prominent, but could be vulnerable to a truly strong pace.


Mexican Moonshine (G. Elliott / K. C. Sexton)

Maiden hurdles winner but regressive in novice handicap last season.

Absent since Nov ’24—fitness and form are questionable.


Leitzel (A. McNamara / D. P. Maxwell)

Modest form but likely to get an accurate run of the race if prominent.

Needs to show she can hold up to the pace.


Brianna Lily (J. M. Barcoe / Cian Cullinan) & Influential Lady

Both have poor recent form and seem outclassed.



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Runner Ratings (Out of 10)

(Form, is it track-fit, profile suitability, pace fit, weight, ratings & Timeform data)

1. Rockview Consort – 9.0 (Course specialist, well handicapped, strong gallop suits)


2. Maxios Prime – 8.5 (Progressive, Grade 3 contest form, versatile but inexperienced)


3. Dame Rapide – 8.0 (Consistent, race-fit, stamina assured)


4. Theflyingbee – 7.5 (Fair form; hold‑up style not ideal here)


5. Leitzel – 6.5 (Tactically positioned but exposed)


6. Mexican Moonshine – 6.0 (Fair form but long absence)


7. Brianna Lily – 4.5 (Poor recent form)


8. Influential Lady – 4.0 (Struggled recently)




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Profile & Trend Summary

Proven at the trip/track: Rockview Consort, Dame Rapide

Progressive type: Maxios Prime

Hold‑up risks in strong gallop: Theflyingbee

Front‑end potential: Leitzel may control early fractions



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Private Tissue Odds Estimate

(Based on all factors: form, profile, value, pace shape)

Rockview Consort – 5/2

Maxios Prime – 11/4

Dame Rapide – 7/2

Theflyingbee – 5/1

Leitzel – 8/1

Mexican Moonshine – 12/1

Brianna Lily & Influential Lady – 20/1+



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Each‑Way Angles (8 runners)

With ¼ odds each way available and a strong pace setup, Maxios Prime and Dame Rapide could offer solid value. If the favourites falter up front, their chances rise.


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Summary

This looks the domain of a strong galloper well‑weighted to take advantage of an accurate pace. Rockview Consort is the standout: consistent, well‑handicapped, and course‑smart. Maxios Prime is potentially improving and deserves respect, while Dame Rapide remains a solid, enduring type with stamina to burn. Theflyingbee and Leitzel carry appeals but have tactical questions. Market support for Maxios Prime could confirm confidence; otherwise, Rockview Consort rates the clear benchmark.

Likely Winner: Rockview Consort
Main Danger: Maxios Prime
Each‑Way Pick: Dame Rapide