Race Setup: This 0-85 1m all-weather handicap features 11 runners aged 4yo+, with a weak pace forecast. The draw bias at Kempton is generally against high-numbered stalls over this trip, especially when the pace is steady. Hold-up horses are typically disadvantaged here, and a low to mid draw with a prominent racing style is usually ideal.


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Contenders and Angles:

Strongest Contenders:

CHALK MOUNTAIN (7/10) – A consistent performer on the all-weather, unlucky not to win at Newbury last time, and well suited by pace, track and trip. He races prominently, which is ideal given the forecast pace and draw set-up. Proven and well handicapped.

AL AMEEN (7/10) – Three-time Kempton winner this year, including a dominant success last time. Best form at 7f but strong Kempton profile is undeniable. Possible pace and trip stretch queries but thriving and from a stable with a good AW record.

RACINGBREAKS RYDER (7/10) – In-form and nearly scored at Goodwood last time. Has placed at Kempton over 7f but flopped here over 1m in April. Tendency to race freely might not suit if pace is slow.


Main Dangers:

COMMANDING PRINCE (6/10) – Front-runner suited by setup and track. However, has been turned over at short odds in lesser company. Blinkers off; bounce back possible but risky. Draw a concern.

DEMBE (6/10) – Multiple AW wins earlier this year, but his best form may be behind him. Big field might help his hold-up style if there’s some pace, but the setup isn’t ideal.


Interesting Outsiders:

FARASI LANE (6/10) – Excuses last time, good effort at Kempton two runs ago when best of those prominent. Capable at this level and from a stable with a solid individual runner record. Needs to break alertly.

WALEEFY (5/10) – Shaped better than results imply this season. Stable in flying form. Significant market check advised.


Needs Luck in Running:

TADREEB (4/10) & REY DE LA BATALLA (4/10) – Hold-up types not ideally suited to the tactical shape of this race. Both return from breaks, so a market watch is key.

HIERONYMUS (3/10) – Tends to race handy but faded badly last time and trainer out of form.

METAVERSE (3/10) – Off the bridle early last two starts, questionable current form and not obviously suited by the step up.



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Notable Trends & Comments:

Timeform Highlight: CHALK MOUNTAIN was noted as “unlucky not to win” last time.

Trainer Watch: George Baker (Hieronymus) has profitable single runner stats at meetings; same applies to Simon Pearce (Dembe) and Dr Richard Newland & Jamie Insole (Farasi Lane).

Historical Race Trend: Favourably treated 4–5yos often dominate; 7–9yos less so in recent renewals.



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Runner Ratings (out of 10):

Chalk Mountain – 7

Al Ameen – 7

Racingbreaks Ryder – 7

Commanding Prince – 6

Dembe – 6

Farasi Lane – 6

Waleefy – 5

Tadreeb – 4

Rey De La Batalla – 4

Hieronymus – 3

Metaverse – 3



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Private Tissue:

Chalk Mountain – 4/1

Al Ameen – 9/2

Racingbreaks Ryder – 5/1

Commanding Prince – 8/1

Farasi Lane – 10/1

Dembe – 10/1

Waleefy – 12/1

Tadreeb – 16/1

Rey De La Batalla – 20/1

Hieronymus – 25/1

Metaverse – 25/1



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Summary: This looks a tactical race where early positioning will be vital due to the expected steady pace. Proven all-weather performers with tactical speed and good Kempton records like CHALK MOUNTAIN and AL AMEEN hold the edge. Racingbreaks Ryder is respected but must settle better over this trip.

Smart Play – Pro View:

Win Bet: CHALK MOUNTAIN – unlucky last time, ideal setup here.

Each-Way Saver (EW angle valid with 8+ runners): FARASI LANE – better than result suggests, tactically suited if breaking well.