Pace & Draw Angles: A very weak pace is forecast, making prominent runners or those that can sit handy a major advantage. Hold-up types will require race pace luck. Notably, Aurora Majesty should be well positioned early. Draw bias data is inconclusive here over 7f at Epsom in small fields, but a low-to-middle draw typically aids those with tactical speed.
—
Main Contenders:
MISS COLLADA (3yo, R. Hannon, Sean Levey)
Profile: Sturdy filly, shaping with promise in strong 6-7f handicaps. Best run when fourth in a 22-runner York handicap (1¾L behind Frankies Dream). Back to form latest at Newmarket.
Tactics: Can race handily but has been slowly away recently—luck-in-running required.
Trainer: R. Hannon has a strong record with 3yo handicappers stepping up mid-season.
Rating: 8/10 – Progressive, unexposed over 7f, fair mark.
DIAMONDONTHEHILL (7yo, R. Newland & J. Insole, K. Shoemark)
Profile: Consistent, race-fit veteran; 2nd to a sharp winner at Goodwood latest. Has tactical pace and trades short in-running due to prominent style.
Tactics: Handy runner – well suited to likely slow pace.
Trainer: Hot form; £17.51 profit per £1 on single flat runners.
Rating: 8/10 – Proven, race fit, strong tactical profile.
AURORA MAJESTY (3yo, A. Watson, Hollie Doyle)
Profile: Lightly raced, impressive early-season all-weather form, lost chance from wide draw at Lingfield last time. Could bounce back.
Tactics: Likely prominent; well placed here with weak pace.
Rating: 7.5/10 – Promising, may now be underestimated.
MAFNOOD (4yo, G. Baker, J. Crowley)
Profile: Useful ex-Hannon; fair recent Goodwood run despite pulling. May need stronger tempo.
Tactics: Can be keen, may be restrained again, moderate pace a slight concern.
Rating: 7/10 – Capable, but needs a race to fall right.
HODLER (6yo, J. Boyle, L. Catton)
Profile: CD winner; running better than bare results. Not ideally placed at Salisbury last time.
Tactics: Generally midfield, risks being outpaced early.
Rating: 6.5/10 – Honest, but better suited to stronger pace.
—
Interesting Outsiders:
DREAM OF MISCHIEF (5yo, A. Perrett, D. Muscutt)
Profile: Has Epsom CD form, but unreliable and held up. Needs a strong pace and luck.
Rating: 5.5/10 – Hold-up type in wrong set-up.
MARLAY PARK (7yo, J. Boyle, P. Bradley)
Profile: Slowly away, out of weights, recent Epsom run hinted at regression.
Rating: 4.5/10 – Conditions not ideal, risky.
BRAVE EMPIRE (4yo, I. Furtado, B. Loughnane)
Profile: Breathing op, well beaten in both 2025 starts, possible return to form with fitness now.
Rating: 4/10 – Not shown enough yet, market watch advised.
—
Race Ratings (Suitability out of 10):
Miss Collada – 8
Diamondonthehill – 8
Aurora Majesty – 7.5
Mafnood – 7
Hodler – 6.5
Dream of Mischief – 5.5
Marlay Park – 4.5
Brave Empire – 4
—
Trends & Trainer Watch:
Jim Boyle has had 2 wins in the past 10 editions.
Miss Collada and Aurora Majesty are 3yos in a race won by 3yos in 2 of the last 5 runnings.
Monitor market support for Brave Empire (post-op), and Aurora Majesty (second run in a handicap).
—
Private Tissue Estimate:
Miss Collada – 4/1
Diamondonthehill – 9/2
Aurora Majesty – 11/2
Mafnood – 7/1
Hodler – 8/1
Dream of Mischief – 10/1
Marlay Park – 14/1
Brave Empire – 16/1
—
Summary & Smart Play:
A steadily run race is forecast, suiting those who race close up. Diamondonthehill is rock solid and well drawn, while Miss Collada could still have improvement as a 3yo with strong recent form in bigger fields. Aurora Majesty appeals as a bounce-back prospect, better drawn and better placed tactically this time.
Smart Play:
Win Bet: DIAMONDONTHEHILL – proven, consistent and suited by setup.
Each-Way Alternative: MISS COLLADA – 3yo filly trending the right way, decent mark, value.
Market moves for Aurora Majesty or Brave Empire would be noteworthy on the day.
21:00 Epsom Downs – BETFRED ‘PICK YOUR PUNT’ HANDICAP (Class 4) – 7f 3y – 3yo+ – (0–85) – Turf: Good (Good to Firm in places)
Get updates
From art exploration to the latest archeological findings, all here in our weekly newsletter.
Subscribe
Leave a comment