Pace Forecast: Even
Pace/Draw Angle: There’s potential for a contested pace, which may help strong finishers. SHE’S A FINE WINE can stalk the pace and should benefit. MR SAXOBEAT may lead or sit close up but has failed to convert similar setups before.
Field Size: 11 runners – EW terms apply.


—

Leading Contenders:

SHE’S A FINE WINE (7/10)
Progressive mare from Henry de Bromhead, came forward markedly from reappearance to win a Kilbeggan handicap over this trip. She’s still open to improvement and will relish a truly-run race. De Bromhead has a solid 21% strike rate at Wexford.

HO MY LORD (8/10)
Ran well on stable debut for Padraig Roche and shaped as if more success is close. Nicely treated and effective at this trip. Still a maiden over fences but has shaped like a winner-in-waiting.

CLARENS (7/10)
Has won two of his last three, albeit at shorter. Steps up in trip and looks progressive, though whether he truly stays this far remains a slight query.

THAT’S ABOUT RIGHT (6/10)
Back from a break but very progressive before it. Course form is a plus. Lacks tactical speed and may need luck in running.

NT FIELD MINNESOTA (6/10)
Chased home She’s A Fine Wine last time, back from a long break. Could improve for that run and represents the powerful Mullins yard (30% strike rate with chasers at this trip).


—

Secondary Players / Outsiders to Note:

LIGHTKEEPER (5/10)
Hints of revival last time after a poor spell, may need further but interesting if backed.

ENCANTO BRUNO (5/10)
Two recent placings but lacked finishing punch. May prefer slightly better ground.

FASCILE MODE (3/10)
Often let down by jumping. Needs a clean round and a confidence boost.

MR SAXOBEAT (4/10)
Tactically well positioned but lacks finish – market drifter potential, usually trades short without winning.

VISIONARIAN (2/10)
Smart at his peak but badly out of form and off a layoff. Best watched.

MUST BE OBEYED (4/10)
Long losing run, capable but vulnerable to younger, more progressive types.


—

Trends/Trainer Notes:

De Bromhead has a solid record here; W. P. Mullins has a 30% strike rate with chasers at this distance.

Horses returning from 90+ days (e.g., THAT’S ABOUT RIGHT, VISIONARIAN, MR SAXOBEAT) require close market scrutiny.

Winners tend to be aged 6-9, and 4 of the last 5 carried under 11-0.



—

Each-Way Angles (11 runners):

CLARENS and NT FIELD MINNESOTA look solid EW options if holding their prices. Watch betting on LIGHTKEEPER and MR SAXOBEAT for signals of connections’ confidence.


—

Private Tissue (Odds estimate):

She’s A Fine Wine – 4/1

Ho My Lord – 9/2

Clarens – 5/1

Nt Field Minnesota – 6/1

That’s About Right – 8/1

Encanto Bruno – 12/1

Lightkeeper – 14/1

Mr Saxobeat – 16/1

Must Be Obeyed – 20/1

Fascile Mode – 25/1

Visionarian – 33/1



—

Summary:

A competitive 11-runner contest with a fairly even pace forecast. The most progressive and proven horse at this level is SHE’S A FINE WINE, with HO MY LORD the chief danger on stable debut promise. CLARENS has upward potential but must prove stamina.


—

Smart Play:

Win Bet: SHE’S A FINE WINE – proven and progressive with race conditions to suit.
Each-Way Saver: CLARENS – promising profile, just needs to stay the trip.