Pace Forecast: Even
Pace Bias: Prominent racers typically fare well at this venue even with a solid tempo.
Draw/Track Notes: Track position and jumping rhythm hold more weight than draw. Wexford’s right-handed track puts the emphasis on efficient jumping and tactical positioning.


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Key Contenders & Tactical Picture:

1. MAY CALL YOU BACK – [Score: 9.5/10] – Proven/Progressive

Trainer: W. P. Mullins | Jockey: B. Hayes

TFR: 116 | OR: 88 (7 lb penalty)

3 wins from last 4 since joining Mullins. Landed a gamble at Tipperary earlier this week with ease.

Track/Going/Trip: Effective around 2m on good-soft; no issue with 2m3f.

Pace Angle: Travels well, likely to sit just off the leaders.

Profile: Highly progressive chaser, turned out quickly under a penalty.

Risk: Turnaround is tight (3 days), but he’s thriving.

Trainer Trends: Mullins 30% strike rate with chasers up to 2m3f.

✅ Clear top-rated. Tactically and form-wise, the one to beat.


2. BURRU – [Score: 8.5/10] – Promising

Trainer: Liam Kenny | Jockey: Mr R. Sugrue (7)

TFR: 111p | OR: 100

Strong return from a break at Roscommon; shaped best of prominent runners in deep ground.

Going/Trip/Track: Stays 2m5f, adaptable to most ground.

Pace Fit: Prominent racer—ideal here.

Profile: Promising switch to fences, potential improver.

Flag: Brought down betting favourite last time. Should go close if building on that.

✅ Next best and could take advantage if fav underperforms.


3. CROWSATEDAPPLETART – [Score: 7.5/10] – Proven

Trainer: Michael Winters | Jockey: D. J. O’Keeffe

TFR: 113 | OR: 92

Ran on late behind May Call You Back at Tipperary; honest, consistent handicapper.

Going/Trip: Acts well on testing ground, stays 21f.

Pace/Draw: May be shuffled back early, best finishing off a strong gallop.

Temperament: Reliable type, lacks change of gear.

✅ Solid each-way value if 8+ run. Place claims again.


4. EARLY ARRIVAL – [Score: 7/10] – Proven

Trainer: James M. Barcoe | Jockey: P. M. O’Brien (7)

TFR: 111+ | OR: 82

Front-runner, returned with promising chase effort behind Kyle Valley.

Trip/Going: Stays well, prominent run style suits this course.

Profile: May strip fitter now.

✅ Could outrun odds with aggressive ride, if jumping holds up.


5. WARM IN GOREY – [Score: 6.5/10] – Exposed but fit

Trainer: P. J. Rothwell | Jockey: T. P. Roche (5)

TFR: 109x | OR: 97

Third over hurdles last time, moderate over fences. Makes the odd error.

Tactics: Best when held up; vulnerable if race turns tactical.

⚠️ Had in-running support last time – watch market.


6. ROMAN PARISH – [Score: 6.5/10] – Slightly Progressive

Trainer: D. M. O’Brien | Jockey: D. E. Mullins

TFR: 109 | OR: 80

Second to Kyle Valley at Tramore latest. Struggled previously but hinted at ability.

Trip: Stays 3m, better when ridden handily.

⚠️ Could be a place player if building on latest.



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Main Dangers & Outsiders:

ALIUNDE (Score: 6/10) – Capable on best form, pulled up last time with error. Rebound possible.

DEFINITEADARE (Score: 6/10) – Long layoff but consistent last autumn; might need run.

U ASKING ME (Score: 5.5/10) – Best on good ground, pulled up latest, inconsistent.

MIDNIGHT MOONSHINE (Score: 5/10) – Tame second in a weak race, limited upside.

MISS OREO (Score: 4.5/10) – Patchy form, jumps left, headgear no longer helping.

WESTERN COMANDOR (Score: 4/10) – Not competitive in recent hurdles; chasing switch unconvincing.

ANNIE QUESTIONS / THE VIRGINIAN / HAVEUSEENTHERAIN – All 3 Score: ≤3/10 – Out of form or pulled up regularly, hard to support.



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Each-Way Angles (If 8+ runners)

CROWSATEDAPPLETART – Reliable, placed behind the favourite, tactically sound.

ROMAN PARISH – Stayed on at Tramore, low weight, sneaky chance.



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Private Tissue Estimate (Top 5)**

Horse Tissue Odds

MAY CALL YOU BACK 9/4
BURRU 6/1
CROWSATEDAPPLETART 9/1
EARLY ARRIVAL 10/1
ROMAN PARISH 11/1



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Summary:

This handicap chase revolves around MAY CALL YOU BACK, who has thrived for Willie Mullins and looked well ahead of the assessor when bolting up at Tipperary. A 7 lb penalty is unlikely to anchor him if in similar form. BURRU looks the most progressive alternative, shaping well on return and open to further improvement over fences. CROWSATEDAPPLETART offers place consistency, while EARLY ARRIVAL could nick a place if securing a soft lead.


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Smart Play (Professional Punter View):

Win Bet: MAY CALL YOU BACK – He’s in form, tactically versatile, and looks well-treated despite the penalty.

Each-Way Saver: CROWSATEDAPPLETART (if 8+ run) – Reliable, stays well, and won’t be far off.


Verdict: MAY CALL YOU BACK can defy the penalty if holding form. BURRU is the danger. CROWSATEDAPPLETART is best of the rest for place money.