Pace Angle: Forecast even pace. Prominent racers should be favoured, especially on Beverley’s uphill finish.
Draw Angle: Historically, high draws are at a disadvantage over 5f at Beverley; lower stalls nearer the rail tend to fare better.
Pace & Draw Interaction: CHEERLEADER is well suited here, combining pace with a middle-low draw. LADY ROXBY, although in form, could be inconvenienced if shuffled back from a middle stall.
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Strong Contenders
CHEERLEADER (7/10) – Returned improved for new yard, winning both starts in May. Impressive win latest at Catterick. Handles ground, has pace, and draws well in stall 7. Proven and progressive. Danger if repeating form.
ATOMIC MASS (7/10) – Back in form with Wetherby win and solid Doncaster third. Handles ground, goes well at sprint trips, well drawn in 3. On the upgrade.
LADY ROXBY (6/10) – Best effort yet at Thirsk latest, but that race was muddling and she had trouble in running. Has early speed but needs a clear run. Draw not ideal.
BRAZILIAN BELLE (6/10) – Consistent and stuck on well in same Thirsk race. Form ties in with others, capable if repeating, but stall 1 demands fast start.
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Dangers and Outsiders
ANGELIC BUGLER (5/10) – Showed more last time behind Blue Anthem. Good Beverley draw and lightly raced, but lacks finishing kick.
JUNO STAR (6/10) – Down in trip; form solid for grade, but may find pace a bit sharp. Still, back to 5f could catch some off-guard from stall 4.
LARCHILL LASS (5/10) – Has Beverley form, but inconsistent and vulnerable to stronger finishers.
ALFA SEA BREEZE (5/10) – Unexposed, made the running at Doncaster. Likely to adopt positive tactics. One for market check on second handicap start.
BLUE LAKOTA (4/10) – Not shown much since AW win, but pacey and has traded short in running before. Risky.
FAIR CALL (4/10) – Plugged on last time after layoff, probably needs further or slower ground.
INVINCIBLE CROWN (3/10) – In poor form and drawn wide. Hard to fancy.
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Trends & Comments
Recent winners include improvers like SHERDIL and BELLA KOPELLA. In-form, progressive sprinters with recent wins are usually key.
CHEERLEADER has a breathing op in the past and may now be better suited physically – that can be significant.
Watch for market support on second handicap start for ALFA SEA BREEZE and any drifts on those off >90 days (none today).
Tim Easterby (ANGELIC BUGLER) and Michael Dods (BRAZILIAN BELLE) have a solid Beverley record.
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Ratings out of 10 (Track/Distance/Going Suitability & Profile Fit)
CHEERLEADER – 8
ATOMIC MASS – 7
LADY ROXBY – 6
BRAZILIAN BELLE – 6
ANGELIC BUGLER – 5
JUNO STAR – 6
LARCHILL LASS – 5
ALFA SEA BREEZE – 5 (unexposed)
BLUE LAKOTA – 4
FAIR CALL – 4
INVINCIBLE CROWN – 3
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Private Tissue Estimate (Win odds guide)
CHEERLEADER – 3/1
ATOMIC MASS – 5/1
LADY ROXBY – 6/1
BRAZILIAN BELLE – 13/2
JUNO STAR – 9/1
ANGELIC BUGLER – 10/1
ALFA SEA BREEZE – 12/1
LARCHILL LASS – 14/1
FAIR CALL – 16/1
BLUE LAKOTA – 20/1
INVINCIBLE CROWN – 33/1
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Summary
A competitive 3yo sprint handicap with several in-form or improving types. CHEERLEADER is chasing a hat-trick and looks ideally placed by draw and pace setup. ATOMIC MASS is solid and improving, while LADY ROXBY needs luck from her draw but has ability.
Smart Play
Win bet – CHEERLEADER (Proven & progressive)
Each-way saver – ATOMIC MASS (Progressive & well drawn)
15:23 BEVERLEY – GEORGE KILBURN MEMORIAL HANDICAP (Class 5) – 5f – 3yo – £4,004 – Good to Firm (Good in places)
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