16:17 Naas – Irish EBF Pat Smullen Stakes (Listed Race), 1m, 2yo, Turf, Good Ground

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Pace & Draw Angles:
This 1-mile contest features an even pace forecast. Hold-up horses can struggle at this trip on this track unless everything falls into place. North Coast, with a more tractable style, is seen to have an edge over hold-up types like Blue Blue Moon. There’s no pronounced draw bias.




Contenders Breakdown:

1. Daytona (98p, Aidan O’Brien) – 8/10

Going/Track/Distance: Should handle conditions; debut win over 7f showed stamina and acceleration.

Form: Stylish 2½L win in maiden at Gowran. Bred to stay this trip; improvement expected.

Pace: Tactical speed shown, can race prominently.

Trainer: Aidan O’Brien is 26% at Naas since 2021.

Comment: Promising. Sure to progress. Major player.


2. Flanker Jet (94p, Adrian Murray) – 7/10

Form: Encouraging debut, ran on for 4th over 7f. Will improve with experience.

Distance/Going Suitability: Likely to stay; bred for further.

Pace: Closer; may benefit if they go too hard early.

Comment: Interesting outsider if market vibes are positive.


3. Green Soul (97p, Joseph O’Brien) – 8/10

Form: Narrow maiden winner last time, holds upside.

Pedigree: Stamina-laden background; mile no problem.

Pace/Temperament: Straightforward and professional.

Trainer: In hot form.

Comment: Proven and progressive. Respected.


4. North Coast (103p, Joseph O’Brien) – 9/10

Form: Impressive 5½L winner at Down Royal. Travelled strongly, quickened well.

Pace Profile: Can race close-up; major plus here.

Trainer/Jockey Suitability: Stable in form; McMonagle rides.

Comment: Progressive, proven, and best profile. Solid claims.


5. Wyman – 4/10

Form: Debutant, trainer’s 2yo record decent but 93-day layoff.

Market Watch: Needed. Others preferred for win purposes.

Comment: Watch for late support but risky.


6. Blue Blue Moon – 3/10

Form: Yet to run; 78-day absence. Dam’s family has stamina/class.

Hold-up style a negative here.

Comment: Not fancied today. Needs time.


7. Genchev – 5/10

Trainer: Lyons knows how to ready a 2yo.

Form: No run but bred to get further.

Pace Suitability: Not known yet.

Comment: Interesting on breeding, but more of a watching brief.


8. Leblon Queen (91) – 4/10

Form: Won a weak maiden at 80/1, flopped badly in stronger grade.

Pace/Distance: Returns to further but class doubts.

Comment: Hard to support with confidence.





Summary and Trends

Strongest Contenders: North Coast, Daytona, Green Soul

Main Dangers: Flanker Jet (if improving), Genchev (market support watch)

Interesting Outsiders: Flanker Jet (if price holds 8/1+), market check for Wyman

Trends: Prominent runners fare better at this track/trip.

Trainer Note: No trainer has a prior win in this race; O’Brien’s Naas stats are notable.





Ratings (out of 10)

Horse Score

North Coast 9
Daytona 8
Green Soul 8
Flanker Jet 7
Genchev 5
Wyman 4
Leblon Queen 4
Blue Blue Moon 3





Private Tissue Estimate:

North Coast – 15/8

Daytona – 5/2

Green Soul – 6/1

Flanker Jet – 10/1

Genchev – 14/1

Wyman – 25/1

Blue Blue Moon – 33/1

Leblon Queen – 33/1





Smart Play (Professional Punter View):

Win Bet: North Coast – Proven at 7f with a powerful finishing kick; versatile pace profile, ideal conditions.
Each-Way Saver: Flanker Jet – Signs of promise on debut, stamina in pedigree, could outrun odds if improving.

Watch market moves for Genchev and Wyman — particularly significant if either shortens notably.

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