Pace & Track Suitability:

Newbury’s straight mile often rewards those ridden prominently. Despite the strong pace forecast, a prominent position can still be crucial here. Horses proven over a stiff mile on good to firm ground are preferred, especially those who stay on strongly.


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Key Contenders:

SEA FOUNDER [89]: Lightly raced 3yo who shaped well when fourth in a red-hot Haydock handicap last time. Proven at the mile, may improve for a stronger gallop and looks ideally suited to Newbury’s straight test. 8/10

SILVER TRUMPET [88]: Bounced back to form after a breathing op when runner-up over 7f here. The mile is well within range, and this looks a golden opportunity. Market support last time was telling. 8/10

ABUNDANCE [80]: Won a Lingfield novice but that looked a weak race. Needs a step forward but is in the right hands and unexposed. 6/10

CITY OF YORK [84]: Needs a strong pace and a clear run from behind. Can hit the frame but finds winning hard. 6/10

SUNNY CORNER [86]: Stretched by 10f last time. Return to 1m is ideal and a course winner in 2024. 6/10



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Others and Outsiders:

PREVISE [86]: Has shown ability but folded tamely last time and remains unconvincing temperamentally. 5/10

SPIRIT OF ALBION [82]: Looked disappointing last time and questions over trip and attitude. Amanda Perrett has a good solo-runner record but needs to bounce back. 5/10

ARKENDALE [?]: Back from hurdles, change of yard, fitness a big concern. 2/10



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Ratings (Going, Class, Pace, Track/Trip Suitability):

Horse Suitability Rating

SEA FOUNDER 8
SILVER TRUMPET 8
ABUNDANCE 6
CITY OF YORK 6
SUNNY CORNER 6
PREVISE 5
SPIRIT OF ALBION 5
ARKENDALE 2



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Private Tissue Estimate:

Sea Founder 7/2

Silver Trumpet 4/1

Abundance 6/1

City Of York 13/2

Sunny Corner 7/1

Previse 10/1

Spirit Of Albion 14/1

Arkendale 25/1



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Summary:

This race looks set to go to a prominent or tactical runner who can quicken off a strong gallop. SEA FOUNDER brings the strongest form and upside, while SILVER TRUMPET’s bounce-back effort at this track shouldn’t be overlooked. Both are well treated and unexposed over this exact setup.


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Smart Play:

WIN – SEA FOUNDER (Well-handicapped, strong recent form, suited to track and pace)
E/W – SILVER TRUMPET (Solid form return, extra furlong a plus, good market signals)

Market watch is advised on ABUNDANCE, who could progress again but may need to prove strength of his Lingfield win.