Pace & Draw Angles:
Pace looks even with no clear front-running dominance. Usuario Amigo and Eyema Candy Girl show early dash but tend to fade late. Draw bias is not specified, but Limerick over this trip often favours those who can settle and produce a finishing kick down the straight.


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Strongest Contenders:

NO ALIBI (81p) – Highly progressive 3-y-o filly for Paddy Twomey (27% strike rate over 7f–10f), narrowly landed Cork maiden last time when short odds. Strong pedigree, open to major improvement, should relish this 6f 150y trip.

JA’MARR (87) – Two AW wins in 2024 and solid turf placed efforts in stronger races. Looks consistent and can track pace from a wide draw. Yard in form.

NEVER SHOUT NEVER (85) – Ultra-consistent in this grade, run at the Curragh last time easily excused (too far back). Proven over 6f/7f and runs well for this 3lb claimer.


Main Dangers:

GRAN HABANO (83) – Yet to win, but multiple placed efforts including recent third at the Curragh. Races prominently, adaptable, but might find one or two too good again.

LINGER FOR LONGER (85) – Won this race last year from a 1lb lower mark. Hasn’t found form this season but returns to favoured venue and trip. Each-way claims if bouncing back.


Interesting Outsiders:

EYEMA CANDY GIRL (84) – Won well at Dundalk in 2024 but hasn’t built on that since. Could get a handy sit but needs to settle better to stay.

USUARIO AMIGO (NR) – Useful-looking gelding, but off 67 days and hard to assess on recent form. Previous AW win came in a weak race and turf form has been poor since.



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Suitability Ratings (out of 10):

Horse Track Trip Going Class Trainer Jockey Temperament Suitability Score

No Alibi 8 9 9 9 10 9 7 8.7
Ja’marr 8 8 8 8 9 8 7 8.2
Never Shout Never 7 8 9 8 7 7 7 7.6
Gran Habano 7 7 7 7 6 7 7 6.8
Eyema Candy Girl 6 6 6 6 7 7 5 6.2
Linger For Longer 8 7 8 6 5 6 6 6.5
Usuario Amigo 5 7 6 6 5 5 4 5.4



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Private Tissue Estimate (Value Odds):

No Alibi – 6/4

Ja’marr – 7/2

Never Shout Never – 5/1

Gran Habano – 7/1

Linger For Longer – 12/1

Eyema Candy Girl – 14/1

Usuario Amigo – 25/1



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Summary:

A small field where the lightly-raced No Alibi holds all the aces. A solid pace should help her settle early before picking up late. Ja’marr and Never Shout Never appeal as proven handicappers at the trip and level, with Gran Habano consistent but vulnerable to improvers.


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Smart Play:

Win Bet: No Alibi – Progressive filly from a yard that places them well. Strong finisher, ideal trip.
Saver Bet: Ja’marr – Solid handicapper with proven consistency, could capitalise if No Alibi isn’t at her best.

These two are well clear of the rest on current form and profile.