3yo-only 0–60 handicap over 7f200y (extended mile).

Going: Good, good to firm in places.

Field: 12 declared.

Pace Forecast: Weak – few confirmed front-runners, could turn tactical.

Draw Bias: No significant data, but inside draws can help over this trip if pace is muddling.



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Contenders and Suitability:

OICHE RUA – [Rating: 7.5/10]
Got a strong pace last time to break maiden tag at Bellewstown (33/1). Might have been flattered by the setup but now up 6 lb and drawn wide. Stays the trip, but more pace would suit. Suited by firm ground.

JASMINE AFFANALIS – [Rating: 8.5/10]
Hot trainer; big improver latest when runner-up here over 7f. Going, trip, and pace all look ideal again. Often held up, and with the field short on pace, could sit closer. Progressive.

KATIE ROSS – [Rating: 7/10]
Fair maiden, shaped with promise on second run for Gavin Cromwell. Draw not ideal but has tactical speed and should stay this trip. Blinkers/tongue-tie combo maintained.

SHAHADA ACE – [Rating: 7.5/10]
Third behind Oiche Rua last week at Bellewstown, came home well. Seems to want a strong pace and possibly further. Inside draw helps but profile less progressive than others.

SPANISH TEMPTRESS – [Rating: 6.5/10]
Comes off a 91-day break. Has hinted at ability and is from a staying pedigree. Market watch advised. Could improve sharply but hard to weigh with confidence.

STIORRA – [Rating: 6/10]
Profile a bit patchy; best run over slightly longer. Poor last time and needs to bounce back. Vulnerable to improvers.

GALAXY WONDER – [Rating: 5.5/10]
Lightly raced but struggling to land a blow in recent runs. Blinkers again, but stamina might be stretched back to 8f.

DEEP VEIN – [Rating: 5.5/10]
Back from 227-day break, joined Noel Meade. Yard can spark improvement but form so far has been poor. Market check essential.

SHANGAR – [Rating: 5/10]
Off 225 days and returns in modest form. First-time turf in a while, unproven profile.

VOICE OF NORTHEAST – [Rating: 4.5/10]
Struggling in handicaps. Draw okay but needs drastic form revival.

VOVATIA – [Rating: 5/10]
Shown a little on occasion but holds no recent strong form. Drawn inside but temperament a slight concern.

BUNGLE LICHIOUS – [Rating: 4/10]
Poor and inconsistent; no recent indication of form revival. Hard to recommend.



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Private Tissue Estimate (Win Market):

Jasmine Affanalis – 3/1

Oiche Rua – 4/1

Shahada Ace – 6/1

Katie Ross – 7/1

Spanish Temptress – 10/1

Deep Vein – 14/1

Stiorra – 16/1

Galaxy Wonder – 20/1

Vovatia – 25/1

Others – 33/1+



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Summary:

This weak 0–60 lacks depth, but there are at least two progressive types – Jasmine Affanalis (David Marnane) who ran a cracker here last time, and Oiche Rua, a surprise Bellewstown scorer now needing to back that up under a penalty. The tactical pace may favour those who can race closer to the speed.


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Smart Play:

Win – JASMINE AFFANALIS: Big run last time, trainer in red-hot form, ground/trip ideal.

Each-Way – KATIE ROSS (if 3 places available): Better with Cromwell and could improve again if pace collapses.


Market watch is strongly advised on Spanish Temptress and Deep Vein who return from breaks and may attract support if fancied.