16:50 Downpatrick – DOWNLOAD THE TOTE APP MARES HANDICAP HURDLE (0–100, 2m2f185y, Good-Good to Firm in Places, 4yo+)

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Pace Angles: An even pace is forecast. Up-with-the-pace runners tend to be favoured at this trip and track. HURRICANE HONEY and EVIES COURT are expected to be best positioned.
Draw Angles: Not applicable – hurdles race.


Strongest Contenders + Main Dangers + Interesting Outsiders

Top Contender – MISS GITANA:
Showed improved form on the Flat at Tramore last week and has recent placed hurdles form at Downpatrick. Still lightly raced over timber and could be peaking now with confidence boosted. Jumping can still improve. Progressive and fit.

Main Danger – AR NOS NA GAOITHE (IRE):
Consistent mare who bounced back to form here last time and remains competitively weighted. Won convincingly earlier this year and looks ideally placed in this field. Proven and holding form well.

Others:

  • EVIES COURT (IRE): Two solid efforts over further recently. Slight drop in trip a question but she’s well-handicapped on peak figures. May lack tactical speed late. Proven, stays further.
  • SEA OF DOUBT (IRE): Good Tramore second in spring but mixed jumping remains an issue. Still, has more raw ability than many. Talented but error-prone.
  • TAMLAGHT EYES (IRE): Lightly raced but missed a couple of seasons. Needs to back up latest Perth second. Lightly raced and unexposed.
  • DEMANDING GERRY (IRE): Fitness assured after recent run. Bit to prove but has run well here before. Can be competitive with clear round.

Runner Scores and Suitability Analysis

  • MISS GITANA: 8/10 – Form on the up; fit and handles the track/trip.
  • AR NOS NA GAOITHE: 7.5/10 – Solid recent efforts; very reliable at this level.
  • EVIES COURT: 7/10 – Ground/trip fine; late pace may not suit.
  • SEA OF DOUBT: 6.5/10 – Strong figures when she jumps cleanly.
  • TAMLAGHT EYES: 6/10 – Unexposed, could progress but risky profile.
  • DEMANDING GERRY: 6/10 – Can bounce back on this ground; monitor market.
  • BAYONETTA: 5/10 – Reliable but limited; best at longer trips.
  • HOB’S ANGEL: 4.5/10 – Often well beaten; risky proposition.
  • HURRICANE HONEY: 4/10 – Long absence, bled previously; fragile.
  • SHING SHILLA: 3.5/10 – Poor form; untrustworthy.
  • SPECIAL PROTECTOR: 3.5/10 – Little appeal despite minor improvement.
  • PERFECTWAY: 3/10 – Minor step forward last time but overall limited.
  • LADY’S CHOICE: 2.5/10 – Beaten miles in weak races; hard to support.

Keep an eye on the market for support or big drifts for runners returning from layoffs of 90+ days, notably HURRICANE HONEY and TAMLAGHT EYES.


Each-Way Angles (13 Runners)

Each-way terms are applicable. Potential each-way plays:

  • SEA OF DOUBT – Jumping is a risk, but figures and past second here offer value.
  • DEMANDING GERRY – Backed on last start and could improve again.

Private Tissue Estimate

  • MISS GITANA – 4/1
  • AR NOS NA GAOITHE – 5/1
  • EVIES COURT – 6/1
  • SEA OF DOUBT – 7/1
  • DEMANDING GERRY – 8/1
  • TAMLAGHT EYES – 10/1
  • BAYONETTA – 12/1
  • Others – 16/1+

Market watch advised for returning types like HURRICANE HONEY and market support for handicap debutants or form switchers.


Summary + Professional Punter View (Smart Play)

Wide open contest with many exposed types and a few form risers. MISS GITANA has the best recent form and looks a filly in top shape, while AR NOS NA GAOITHE is reliable and consistent. Race could fall apart behind them.

Smart Play:
Win – MISS GITANA – Unexposed over hurdles, back in form and well-handicapped.
Each-Way – SEA OF DOUBT – Can place if jumping holds up; has figures to win this.

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