Distance: 1m 40y | Surface: Turf | Class: 0–60 Handicap
Going: Yielding to soft-soft in places | Field Size: 18
Pace Forecast: Strong
Draw Bias: Against low

Pace & Tactical Angle:
Although the pace map suggests a strong early gallop, low draws tend to be a disadvantage over this trip at Killarney. Runners racing prominently from mid-to-high stalls are favoured, while deeper closers may struggle to land a blow despite the projected gallop.

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Contenders, Dangers & Angles

Strongest Contender:

• LIAMO (Progressive) – Lightly raced this year and hit new form levels when winning at Listowel latest. Had previously hinted at capability and now raised just 4 lb with a good draw to sit handy. No exposed types among the principals and looks likely to remain competitive off current mark.

Main Dangers:

• EXCEEDING (Progressive) – Up 6 lb for a tidy Bellewstown win, his best to date. Travelled smoothly and settled the race with ease that day. Backed that up with consistent efforts prior; trainer-jockey combo often strikes in summer staying handicaps.
• STILL SHE BLOOMS (Proven) – Shaped like a winner in waiting last time when just collared late over 9f at Leopardstown. Had been ridden aggressively and stays this trip well; stall 2 isn’t ideal per draw bias but positive tactics could offset that.
• SAITH SEREN (Proven) – Course second in 2024 reads well and acts on soft. The wide draw is less of a worry for her prominent style and past Killarney form boosts confidence.
• SO MESSI (Proven) – Strong record at Killarney and placed off similar marks in deeper races. Stall 14 isn’t a killer here and if the pace collapses, could run on into the frame.

Interesting Outsiders:

• UNTERBERG (Unexposed) – Bolted up at Leopardstown 6 days ago and escapes with just a 7 lb penalty. Strong pace again in favour and 9f form bodes well for this. Still feasibly treated.
• JAZZ DREAMERS (Inconsistent) – Hard to catch right but placed in this grade recently; could sneak a place if pace favours midfielders.

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Runner Scores & Suitability

• LIAMO: 8/10 – Well positioned, strong recent win, scope for more.
• EXCEEDING: 8/10 – Progressive, good recent win, track looks suitable.
• STILL SHE BLOOMS: 7/10 – In good heart, draw a concern, aggressive ride may help.
• UNTERBERG: 7/10 – Well handicapped under penalty, thriving, draw manageable.
• SAITH SEREN: 7/10 – Course form, consistent; bit of tactical risk.
• SO MESSI: 7/10 – Horse for course, hard to rule out, setup ideal.
• JAZZ DREAMERS: 6/10 – Capable, hard to predict, vulnerable to improvers.
• HALE BOPP: 5/10 – Regressive profile, risky on current form.
• RELEVANT RANGE: 5/10 – Capable, but temperament/draw big negatives.
• SERAFINA: 4/10 – Very long layoff, best watched.
• MY MINERVINA: 3/10 – No evidence of retained ability post-absence.
• AMIRANERAS, HAN SOLO, SEVEN ELEVEN: 3/10 – All out of form, hard to fancy.
• Others: 2–4/10 – Exposed and regressive or unlikely to handle the setup.

Keep an eye on the market for support or big drifts for runners returning from layoffs of 90+ days.
Watch out for in-form sprinters returning quickly; they can be hot.

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Each-Way Angles (18 runners)

• UNTERBERG – Could follow up under penalty; strong pace again favours.
• SO MESSI – Horse for course with stamina for strong pace finish.
• SAITH SEREN – Strong at this venue and may control things early from wide.

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Private Tissue Estimate

• Liamo – 9/2
• Exceeding – 11/2
• Still She Blooms – 13/2
• Unterberg – 15/2
• Saith Seren – 8/1
• So Messi – 9/1
• Jazz Dreamers – 14/1
• Others – 16/1+

Market watch advised for runners making their 2nd start.

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Summary + Smart Play

Summary:
A strong pace, mid-to-high draw advantage, and a good mix of proven course performers and unexposed improvers give this race an open feel. LIAMO is on the up and nicely drawn to stalk and pounce. EXCEEDING also appeals on form. UNTERBERG could be thrown in under a penalty.

Smart Play:

• Win: LIAMO – form peaking at the right time, scope for further progress.
• Each-Way Saver: UNTERBERG – thriving and underrated under 7 lb penalty.