Race 1: 13:40 HADWINS NOVICES’ HURDLE (Class 4) – 2m 6f 31y – Good to Soft

Main Theme: A novice hurdle with a clear standout on form, despite a weak pace forecast.

Key Ideas/Facts:

• Pace Forecast: Very Weak. This is noted as suiting horses with a turn of foot or those who can sit prominently without a strong gallop. CAUGHTINYOURTRANCE (IRE) is explicitly mentioned as being unaffected by this.
• Top Contender: CAUGHTINYOURTRANCE (IRE) (6, 11-7, TFR 126) is the “clear standout on form”.
• “Bolted up over C&D last time (20 lengths) and is clearly effective at Cartmel.”
• “Strong adjusted rating of 126 and excellent Timefigs across last two starts.”
• “Tactically versatile and race shape should suit. Up in weight, but handles it.”
• Private Tissue Estimate: 11/8.
• Main Danger: MIGHTY FLEUR (5, 10-7, TFR 120p) is highlighted as “Promising” with “upside.”
• “Unexposed mare who shaped well in a strong mares’ maiden at Newton Abbot in April.”
• “Fitness to prove after 100-day layoff.”
• “Smart play angle if ready.”
• Other Notables:SANG POUR SANG (FR) (5, 11-0, TFR 116+) is a “fair French recruit” who “took a step forward” but the “slower pace could catch him out.”
• FIRST EVER (IRE) (4, 10-2) is an “Interesting Outsider” with a “stamina-laden pedigree” but is “Not a win player today, but a watching brief for future handicaps.”
• Smart Play: Win Bet on CAUGHTINYOURTRANCE.

Race 2: 14:15 CARTMEL NOVICES’ LIMITED HANDICAP HURDLE (Class 5) – 2m 1f 46y – Good to Soft

Main Theme: A weak handicap with an even pace, favouring prominent racers, featuring several unexposed or returning types.

Key Ideas/Facts:

• Pace Forecast: Even. This typically “suits front runners or those racing prominently” at Cartmel. “Hold-up horses are disadvantaged.”
• Strongest Contender: HOPE HILL (IRE) (7, 10-12, TFR 107) is “Promising”.
• “Strong-finishing winner last time, showing notable determination despite trouble in running.”
• Returns after a wind operation, which is “slightly disconcerting” according to Timeform.
• “A repeat of that Bangor effort would be competitive here.”
• Private Tissue Estimate: 3/1.
• Main Dangers:JLOW (IRE) (4, 11-4, TFR 106) is “Progressive” and “on a consistent upward curve” with “strong recent figures and consistency.” A viable Each-Way option.
• INGENNIO (FR) (7, 11-12, TFR 103+) is “Proven” but “reverting to hurdles on return from a long break (370 days).” Sharpness is a question.
• ARCTIC FOX (9, 11-6, TFR 108) is highlighted as “Interesting” and “well-handicapped based on past Flat ability.” The “switch to a visor and fit from the Flat make her a market watcher.” Also a potential Each-Way play.
• Smart Play: Win Bet on HOPE HILL. Each-Way Saver: JLOW or ARCTIC FOX.

Race 3: 14:50 BURLINGTON FEMALE JOCKEYS’ HANDICAP HURDLE (Class 3) – 2m 1f 46y – Good to Soft

Main Theme: A competitive female riders’ handicap with a strong pace forecast, which will impact tactics and favour closers.

Key Ideas/Facts:

• Pace Forecast: Strong. This is “significant for Cartmel at this trip.” It is predicted to “move the advantage away from MISS MAVERICK to SALIGO BAY (IRE),” as “prominent racers are usually favoured at this trip here but the pace is forecast to be very strong.”
• Strongest Contender: SALIGO BAY (IRE) (7, 10-9, TFR 131) is “Proven” and “well-suited by race shape; proven course form.”
• “Game winner of a similar contest over C&D last time, just fending off Book of Secrets.”
• “Tightly matched on ratings but tactically advantaged.”
• Private Tissue Estimate: 7/2.
• Main Dangers:BOOK OF SECRETS (IRE) (7, 10-12, TFR 130+) is “Progressive” and gave an “eyecatching second to Saligo Bay last time, where the rider mistook the winning post.” “Could turn the tables with sharper riding.” A strong Each-Way option.
• BITTALEMON (4, 11-0, TFR 125) is “Promising,” a “recent C&D winner,” and “upwardly mobile, ideally weighted, needs to prove herself in deeper waters.”
• MISS MAVERICK (8, 11-12, TFR 128) is “Proven,” but her “front-running style is not favoured in this predicted strong-pace setup.” There is a “Risk of pace burnout.”
• BOBBY’S FORTUNE (IRE) (6, 10-5, TFR 129) is “Interesting” and “suited by expected tempo; will finish off well.” He “sprung back to form with a dominant win… after being ridden more patiently.” An appealing Each-Way play.
• Smart Play: Win Bet on SALIGO BAY. Each-Way Saver: BOOK OF SECRETS or BOBBY’S FORTUNE.

Race 4: 15:22 PSR MARQUEES CRYSTAL CUP HANDICAP HURDLE (Class 3) – 2m 6f 31y – Good to Soft

Main Theme: A competitive handicap where a weak pace forecast is crucial, favouring prominent runners.

Key Ideas/Facts:

• Pace Forecast: Weak. This is “crucial at Cartmel over 2m6f, where steadily-run races usually favour those who race handily or can inject pace early.” “Hold-up types are disadvantaged.”
• Strongest Contender: GO GO CHICAGO (IRE) (8, 11-5, TFR 137) is “Progressive” and “still improving despite being an 8yo.”
• “Won narrowly at Perth then just failed to land a double here when beaten a short-head.”
• “Races prominently, ideal for this tactical setup.”
• Private Tissue Estimate: 3/1.
• Main Dangers:WUDYA (IRE) (6, 10-13, TFR 136) is “Promising” and “took a step forward for new connections when cruising home at Bangor.” “Lightly raced, and if replicating the same tactical position here, he’s a threat.”
• EVENWOOD SONOFAGUN (IRE) (7, 10-6, TFR 135) is “Proven” and a “dual C&D winner” who “benefits from returning to Cartmel.”
• AL SAYAH (5, 11-3, TFR 131) is “Progressive” with “two Newton Abbot wins and a neck second at Bangor.” “Carries less weight than most and is tactically versatile.” Makes appeal for an Each-Way bet.
• Other Notables:IMPERIAL DATA (IRE) (8, 11-5, TFR 135) is “Unreliable” and “prone to jumping errors” but “well-handicapped if jumping holds.”
• OUR SAM (9, 10-5, TFR 138) is identified as a “Hold-Up Risk” whose “racing style is a liability under this setup.”
• Smart Play: Win Bet on GO GO CHICAGO. Each-Way Saver: AL SAYAH.

Race 5: 16:00 WINDERMERE SCHOOL HANDICAP CHASE (Class 4) – 2m 5f 34y – Good to Soft

Main Theme: A handicap chase with a weak pace forecast, putting emphasis on tactical speed and sound jumping.

Key Ideas/Facts:

• Pace Forecast: Weak. This “should benefit those with tactical speed and solid jumping.” “River of Joy, typically delivered late, could be disadvantaged.”
• Strongest Contenders:BENY NAHAR ROAD (IRE) (6, 11-7, TFR 128) is “Progressive” and “rejuvenated this season.” “Has the turn of foot and versatility to sit prominently if needed.” “Big run likely.”
• SEAN OG (IRE) (7, 11-2, TFR 127) is “Proven” and “loves it at Cartmel (three C&D wins), won easily last time, and has ideal stalking style.” “Tactically favoured.”
• Private Tissue Estimate for Beny Nahar Road: 4/1.
• Main Dangers:DO NO WRONG (IRE) (9, 12-0, TFR 123) is “Proven” and has “strong chance if pace lifts mid-race.”
• RIVER OF JOY (8, 11-1, TFR 132p) is “Promising” and “looked smart on chase debut,” but “needs a stronger tempo; today might not suit.”
• CLOUGHROE (IRE) (7, 11-10, TFR 126) is an “Improver” and “worth considering EW at a price – solid and improving.”
• Smart Play: Win Bet on BENY NAHAR ROAD. Each-Way Saver: CLOUGHROE.

Race 6: 16:35 MB DIGITAL HANDICAP CHASE (Class 5) – 3m 1f 107y – Good to Soft

Main Theme: A staying handicap chase where a steady even gallop is expected, favoring positive, momentum-driven runners.

Key Ideas/Facts:

• Pace Forecast: Even. “Front-runners like Judicial Review and Bumpy Evans in the line-up, expect a fair test.” “Cartmel often suits positive types who can maintain momentum off the home turn.” “Hold-up runners will need everything to fall right.”
• Strongest Contender: BUMPY EVANS (IRE) (7, 11-7, TFR 112p) is “Progressive” and “rapidly improving since switching to fences.”
• “Chasing hat-trick turned four-timer looks on – latest win at Bangor strongly backed by timefigure and energy efficiency.”
• “Can dominate again. Short break no concern.”
• Private Tissue Estimate: 2/1.
• Main Dangers:ALI STAR BERT (9, 12-0, TFR 106§) is “Proven” and “acts very well here and shaped strongly behind Judicial Review last time.” “Strong each-way option.”
• JUDICIAL REVIEW (IRE) (7, 10-12, TFR 105) is “Improving” and “returned to form with bold C&D success.” “Might not get the same tactical edge today.”
• Other Notables:MR MCWHINNY (IRE) (7, 11-0) is “Unreliable” but has “bits of Irish form give hope.”
• JELSKI (GER) (11, 11-0, TFR 100+) is described as “Regressive” with recent runs being “uninspiring” and “the spark looks to have gone.”
• LIGHTS ARE GREEN (IRE) (8, 11-4) “Won this race in 2024 but pulled up last time and profile since has been poor.”
• Smart Play: Win Bet on BUMPY EVANS. Each-Way Saver: ALI STAR BERT.

Race 7: 17:10 SHOREFIELDS HANDICAP CHASE (Class 5) – 2m 1f 61y – Good to Soft

Main Theme: A small-field handicap chase where a very weak pace forecast ensures a tactical contest, favoring prominent runners.

Key Ideas/Facts:

• Pace Forecast: Very Weak. This “makes this a tactical affair, with an edge to runners who race prominently.” “Hold-up types like Lady’s Present could find themselves disadvantaged.”
• Strongest Contenders:COULDBEAWEAPON (IRE) (8, 10-10, TFR 105) is “Progressive” and “hit form since a tongue tie went on.” “Tactical speed suits a stop-start race.” “Drawn to take control if allowed.”
• PITTSBURG (IRE) (9, 11-8, TFR 108) is “Proven” with “four chase wins this season and returns to fences after a modest hurdles effort.” “Effective at this venue and has tactical versatility.”
• Private Tissue Estimate: Couldbeaweapon 9/4.
• Main Danger: RORY’S STORY (IRE) (6, 10-3, TFR 106) is “Promising” and “best when allowed to stride freely and today’s race setup could finally fall his way.” “Potential value if getting an easy lead.”
• Other Notables:LADY’S PRESENT (IRE) (8, 10-5, TFR 105) is described as “Flat-lining” and “might not have the pace to challenge late if they crawl.”
• RESTANDBETHANKFUL (9, 12-0) is “Regressive” and “hasn’t shown much spark this year.”
• SKY LUNA (IRE) (8, 11-5) is “Unexposed” over fences but “pedigree and profile uninspiring.”
• Smart Play: Win Bet on COULDBEAWEAPON. Value Alternative: RORY’S STORY. (No Each-Way advice due to field size under eight runners.)

Here are the “Private Tissue Estimates” from the sources for the Cartmel races on Saturday 19 July 2025:

13:40 Cartmel – HADWINS NOVICES’ HURDLE (Class 4) – 2m 6f 31y – Good to Soft
The private tissue estimates for this race are:

• Caughtinyourtrance – 11/8
• Mighty Fleur – 2/1
• Sang Pour Sang – 4/1
• First Ever – 14/1
• Jysuis – 33/1
• Kalo Athena – 40/1
• Cross Of Redmoor – 66/1
  Market watch is advised for runners making their 2nd start.

14:15 Cartmel – CARTMEL NOVICES’ LIMITED HANDICAP HURDLE (Class 5) – 2m 1f 46y – Good to Soft
The private tissue estimates for this race are:

• Hope Hill – 3/1
• Jlow – 4/1
• Ingennio – 9/2
• Arctic Fox – 7/1
• Dusky Days – 12/1
• Kingston Bresil – 14/1
• Balally Park – 16/1
• Platenium, Ascension Day, City Of Ruins – 25/1+
• Raincloud, Mr Globalist – 40/1+
  Market watch is advised for runners making their 2nd start.

14:50 Cartmel – BURLINGTON FEMALE JOCKEYS’ HANDICAP HURDLE (Class 3) – 2m 1f 46y – Good to Soft
The private tissue estimates for this race are:

• Saligo Bay – 7/2
• Book of Secrets – 9/2
• Bittalemon – 5/1
• Miss Maverick – 6/1
• Bobby’s Fortune – 7/1
• Winds of Winter – 10/1
• Luttrell Lad – 14/1
• Calevade, Elogio, Expelliarmus – 25/1+
  Market watch is advised for runners making their 2nd start.

15:22 Cartmel – PSR MARQUEES CRYSTAL CUP HANDICAP HURDLE (Class 3) – 2m 6f 31y – Good to Soft
The private tissue estimates for this race are:

• Go Go Chicago – 3/1
• Wudya – 9/2
• Al Sayah – 11/2
• Evenwood Sonofagun – 7/1
• Imperial Data – 9/1
• Harper Valley – 10/1
• Our Sam – 12/1
• Wbee – 14/1
• Others – 20/1+
  Market watch is advised for runners making their 2nd start.

16:00 Cartmel – WINDERMERE SCHOOL HANDICAP CHASE (Class 4) – 2m 5f 34y – Good to Soft
The private tissue estimates for this race are:

• Beny Nahar Road – 4/1
• Sean Og – 9/2
• River of Joy – 5/1
• Do No Wrong – 11/2
• Cloughroe – 7/1
• Cuzco du Mathan – 9/1
• No But I Will – 10/1
• High Moon – 16/1
• Dalyotin – 25/1
• Vroomoz Eile – 33/1
  Market watch is advised for runners making their 2nd start.

16:35 Cartmel – MB DIGITAL HANDICAP CHASE (Class 5) – 3m 1f 107y – Good to Soft
The private tissue estimates for this race are:

• Bumpy Evans – 2/1
• Ali Star Bert – 4/1
• Judicial Review – 5/1
• Ballydangan – 8/1
• Mr McWhinny – 9/1
• Iturgeon du Breuil – 10/1
• Lights Are Green – 16/1
• Jelski – 20/1
• Euchan Falls – 25/1
• Thatsy – 33/1
  Market watch is advised for runners making their 2nd start.

17:10 Cartmel – SHOREFIELDS HANDICAP CHASE (Class 5) – 2m 1f 61y – Good to Soft
The private tissue estimates for this race are:

• Couldbeaweapon – 9/4
• Pittsburg – 3/1
• Rory’s Story – 4/1
• Lady’s Present – 11/2
• Restandbethankful – 7/1
• Sky Luna – 12/1
  Market watch is advised for runners making their 2nd start.