1. 13:20 Curragh – Sycamore Lodge Equine Hospital Irish EBF Fillies Maiden (7f, 2yo, Turf)
• Pace Angles: This race is expected to be weakly run, with no natural front-runners. This scenario could favour handy or prominently ridden types.
• Draw Bias: The high draw is favoured.
• Strongest Contender: SIGNORA (Aidan O’Brien, Ryan Moore) is the standout. Despite being well held in the Albany, she was sent off as the 15/8 favourite, suggesting high regard at Ballydoyle, and she is dropping significantly in class to a maiden. Her debut run was high-class (3rd in a Group 3), and she holds a standout Timeform Rating (TFR) of 102p. The tactical pace should suit her, and she handles various ground conditions.
• Main Danger: YOU’LL THINK OF ME (Donnacha O’Brien, G.M. Ryan) cost €500,000 and possesses a classy pedigree. The ‘Smart Stats’ indicate Kingman’s strong record with debut winners, and a high draw further enhances her prospects.
• Also Interesting: SUGAR ISLAND (Aidan O’Brien, W.M. Lordan) is a Dubawi filly from the Minding family. While she might be considered the stable’s second string based on jockey bookings, she is still of serious interest. GREEN INTERLUDE (Joseph O’Brien, D.B. McMonagle) is an €80,000 filly from a quality sprinting family, and her yard is known for readying horses first time out.
• Private Tissue Estimate:
◦ SIGNORA – 5/6
◦ YOU’LL THINK OF ME – 13/2
◦ SUGAR ISLAND – 15/2
◦ GREEN INTERLUDE – 10/1
◦ DEFINE – 14/1
◦ PUNICA GRANATUM – 20/1
◦ Others – 25/1 bar
• Smart Play:
◦ Win: SIGNORA – proven in Group company, drops into a soft maiden.
◦ Each-Way Saver: YOU’LL THINK OF ME – top pedigree, high draw, likely forward type.
2. 13:55 Curragh – Mongey Communications Irish EBF Fillies Handicap (1m, 3yo+, Turf)
• Pace Angles: This race is anticipated to be strongly run, with several habitual front-runners. This scenario could favour those with hold-up or stalking profiles.
• Draw Bias: No significant draw bias is reported. Mid-to-wide gates might offer a smoother passage due to the aggressive pace.
• Strongest Contender: EMPRESS ARTEMIS (G.M. Lyons, Nicola Burns) caught the eye when runner-up over the course and distance (C&D) last month. She travelled well, suggesting she is ahead of her mark, and now gets a first-time tongue tie. She is well-handicapped and tactically versatile.
• Main Danger: VARSHINI (J.A. Stack, Seamie Heffernan) won well at Gowran before a disappointing run that can be forgiven due to race tempo. She is unexposed, well-bred, and should be better suited by the strong pace expected here.
• Each-Way Angle: DAGODA (Jennifer Lynch, R.C. Colgan) was an eye-catcher on her reappearance over an inadequate 6f, hitting a low in-running. She is better over a mile and has won at the track. DARKDESERTHIGHWAY is also highlighted as an each-way angle due to her strong closing style, which could benefit from a pace collapse.
• Private Tissue Estimate:
◦ EMPRESS ARTEMIS – 4/1
◦ VARSHINI – 11/2
◦ DAGODA – 6/1
◦ DARKDESERTHIGHWAY – 8/1
◦ DECLAREE – 9/1
◦ GLORIOUSLY GLAM – 10/1
◦ PINK OXALIS – 12/1
◦ Others – 14/1+
• Smart Play:
◦ Win: EMPRESS ARTEMIS – ready to strike based on her C&D prep run.
◦ Each-Way Saver: DAGODA – strong finish last time and steps up in trip.
3. 14:30 Curragh – Al Shira’aa Racing Meadow Court Stakes (Group 3, 1m2f, 4yo+, Turf)
• Pace Angles: A strong pace is forecast, which is likely to penalise prominent runners and suit those who settle and finish. TASMANIA‘s running style is considered ideal.
• Draw Bias: No bias is reported.
• Strongest Contender: TASMANIA (Sir Mark Prescott, Luke Morris) returned from a year off with a strong second in the Hoppings Stakes. She was Group 1-placed in France, handles good to soft ground, and has posted high TFRs. Her tactical position off a likely strong pace is advantageous.
• Main Danger: ONE LOOK (P. Twomey, W.M. Lordan) is a classy filly who won a Group 3 and was second in a Group 2. Her last run can be ignored, and she is likely to stay 1m2f, making her suited by the step up in trip and being a “horse for course”.
• Big Player: BEECHWOOD (P. Twomey, Shane Foley) is a smart performer with an excellent TFR of 119. However, her preferred front-running style might be blunted by a contested strong pace.
• Value Angle: NAOMI LAPAGLIA (G.M. Lyons, G.F. Carroll) stays well and is suited by this ideal trip. She is often overlooked but consistently hits high TFRs.
• Private Tissue Estimate:
◦ TASMANIA – 3/1
◦ ONE LOOK – 4/1
◦ BEECHWOOD – 6/1
◦ NAOMI LAPAGLIA – 7/1
◦ ULURU – 8/1
◦ AZADA – 10/1
◦ LEMSARIBAT – 14/1
◦ HIGHER LEAVES – 16/1
◦ Others – 20/1+
• Smart Play:
◦ Win: TASMANIA – classy mare with peak form and a setup in her favour.
◦ Each-Way Saver: NAOMI LAPAGLIA – stays well, proven at the track, overlooked.
4. 15:05 Curragh – Kwiff: Home of Supercharged Betting Handicap (1m2f, 3yo, Turf)
• Pace Angles: The pace is expected to be even, providing a fair tactical scenario. GLEN TO GLEN is well-suited to a settling and closing ride.
• Draw Bias: No draw bias applies in this small field of seven runners.
• Strongest Contender: GLEN TO GLEN (Joseph O’Brien, D.B. McMonagle) made a promising start for his new yard when fourth at Royal Ascot off an unchanged mark. His closing style is suited to the likely pace, and he carries a notably high TFR of 99.
• Main Danger: OUR FRIEND MOUSE (Andrew Oliver, G.F. Carroll) progressed from an eye-catching debut to win a C&D maiden, showing toughness. His TFR (90p) suggests more to come, and he looks well-treated on his breeding for this trip.
• Other Dangers: VALOROUS POWER (Joseph Patrick O’Brien, Declan McDonogh) is a promising colt by Frankel who won his maiden last time. LADY IN PARIS (Mrs J. Harrington, Shane Foley) is in good form and stays well.
• Private Tissue Estimate:
◦ GLEN TO GLEN – 5/2
◦ OUR FRIEND MOUSE – 7/2
◦ VALOROUS POWER – 9/2
◦ LADY IN PARIS – 6/1
◦ MOCKING – 10/1
◦ ITS ALL PEACHY – 14/1
◦ TRACKER ISSUE – 20/1+
• Smart Play:
◦ Win: GLEN TO GLEN – form in deeper races, ideal conditions, high rating.
◦ Saver/Forecast: OUR FRIEND MOUSE – improving profile, course winner.
5. 15:40 Curragh – ROMANISED MINSTREL STAKES (Group 2, 7f, 3yo+, Turf)
• Pace Angles: A strong gallop is expected with ROOM SERVICE set to lead. Prominent racers drawn high hold a tactical edge.
• Draw Bias: Favours High.
• Strongest Contender: DIEGO VELAZQUEZ (Aidan O’Brien, Ryan Moore) is the top-rated at 123 TFR and a dual Group winner. He needed his last run after a layoff and drops in class here, expected to be sharper.
• Main Danger: ROOM SERVICE (Kevin Ryan, Tom Eaves) finished strongly for second in the Group 3 Criterion Stakes. He has a good turn of foot and is well-drawn.
• Interesting Outsider: CHICAGO CRITIC (John Patrick Murtagh, Ben Martin Coen) is tough and consistent, having overcome a pace bias to win the Group 3 Amethyst Stakes. He is tactically versatile and suited by a strong pace.
• Private Tissue Estimate:
◦ Diego Velazquez – 2/1
◦ Room Service – 4/1
◦ Chicago Critic – 6/1
◦ Vespertilio – 8/1
◦ California Dreamer – 9/1
◦ Mutasarref – 10/1
◦ Easy – 14/1
◦ Big Gossey – 16/1
◦ Lord Massusus – 20/1
◦ East Hampton – 28/1
◦ Queen Of Thunder – 40/1
• Smart Play:
◦ Win Bet: DIEGO VELAZQUEZ – proven Group 2 form and fitter for his Ascot run.
◦ Each-Way Saver: CHICAGO CRITIC – value pick with a strong profile at this level.
6. 16:15 Curragh – KWIFF: Proud Sponsors of the Supercharge Series Handicap (5f, 3yo+, Turf)
• Pace Angles: A very strong pace is forecast, which will benefit front-runners and high-drawn speedsters.
• Draw Bias: Strongly against low draws, favouring high draws.
• Strongest Contenders:
◦ MAGICAL VISION (Aidan Anthony Howard, C.D. Hayes) is low-mileage for her age and previously won over this C&D off this mark. Her comeback run suggests she is fit and improving.
◦ BEANO POWER (Edward Lynam, W.M. Lordan) races handy and prefers a fast-paced scenario. She underperformed last time but was backed deep in the betting, suggesting she is a bounce-back candidate, especially with W.M. Lordan’s 36% strike rate on favourites.
◦ BILLIE BE QUICK (Mrs J. Harrington, K.G. Kennedy) is a promising 3yo with back-to-back solid efforts and could improve further in a strong pace setup.
◦ MY GIRL SIOUX (A. Slattery, J.S. Dalton) is a consistent runmaker who regularly hits the frame.
• Private Tissue Estimate:
◦ Magical Vision – 7/1
◦ Billie Be Quick – 8/1
◦ Beano Power – 9/1
◦ Surpass and Shine – 10/1
◦ My Girl Sioux – 11/1
◦ Rappell – 11/1
◦ Fair Taxes – 16/1
◦ Desert Power – 20/1
◦ Mary Shoelaces – 22/1
• Smart Play:
◦ Win Selection: MAGICAL VISION – proven C&D form, fitter for return, drawn for tactical options.
◦ Each-Way Saver: BILLIE BE QUICK – progressive 3yo with strong form and nicely drawn to stay off the speed.
7. 16:50 Curragh – Hong Kong Thoroughbred Breeders Alliance Irish EBF Maiden (1m4f, 3yo+, Turf)
• Pace Angles: The pace forecast is weak, with no established front-runners. This implies a tactical race where track position and jockey nous will be decisive, favouring strong staying types or those with a turn of foot.
• Draw Bias: Neutral.
• Strongest Contender: LIGHT AS AIR (Aidan O’Brien, Ryan Moore) ran respectably in a strong Royal Ascot handicap and drops significantly in class to a maiden. He brings Group-race calibre form and is comfortably the one to beat, though a weak pace might blunt his late finish.
• Main Dangers:
◦ EDELAK (John Patrick Murtagh, Ben Martin Coen) is progressive and nearly broke his maiden last time. He is better suited to a slowly run contest and may control the race from a handy spot.
◦ WINSTON JUNIOR (Mrs J. Harrington, K.G. Kennedy) is steadily improving, with his recent second at Down Royal being a career-best. His stamina is proven, and a rail draw allows him to sit close.
• Interesting Outsiders: KINGSTONIAN (Mrs J. Harrington, Shane Foley) is unexposed and was well-backed before scoping dirty. SLANEY DRIVE (J.S. Bolger, Declan McDonogh) makes his debut with a promising pedigree and is from a yard with a good record in this contest.
• Private Tissue Estimate:
◦ Light As Air – 7/4
◦ Edelak – 3/1
◦ Winston Junior – 9/2
◦ Kingstonian – 8/1
◦ Onaqui – 10/1
◦ Slaney Drive – 12/1
◦ Down To Business – 14/1
◦ Theflyingbee – 40/1
◦ Isthatrightkatie – 66/1
◦ Rock Solid Spirit – 100/1
• Smart Play:
◦ Win Selection: EDELAK – going the right way and tactically versatile for this pace scenario.
◦ Each-Way Saver: WINSTON JUNIOR – strong Down Royal effort, drawn to sit close, improving profile.
8. 17:25 Curragh – Visit Keadeenhotel.ie Irish EBF Fillies Maiden (1m1f, 3yo, Turf)
• Pace Angles: The pace forecast is weak. Horses needing a strong gallop may be compromised, while tactical sitters or those with a turn of foot will have the upper hand. GUARDED is tactically versatile.
• Draw Bias: No strong historical bias at 9f, so track position and tactical speed may be vital.
• Strongest Contender: GUARDED (Aidan O’Brien, Ryan Moore) is a proven performer with three strong runs, including a Naas second. She is well-bred, now fitted with first-time cheekpieces, and will appreciate the extra furlong. She has the highest Adjusted Rating and is the clear form standout.
• Main Dangers:
◦ TREASURE ROSE (John Patrick Murtagh, Ben Martin Coen) is consistent, with her best run coming at the Curragh. She usually races prominently, which suits this slow-run scenario.
◦ METAMORPHIC (Mrs J. Harrington, Shane Foley) is an improving Frankel filly from Harrington’s yard who should be better over longer distances.
• Other Dangers: NOLI TIMERE (M.D. O’Callaghan, D.B. McMonagle) is lightly raced and is dropping to a more suitable trip. QUEEN OF THE BOGS (John Joseph Murphy, G.F. Carroll) shaped nicely on debut and has a stamina-rich pedigree, making her suited by the step up in trip.
• Private Tissue Estimate:
◦ Guarded – 9/4
◦ Treasure Rose – 7/2
◦ Metamorphic – 5/1
◦ Noli Timere – 6/1
◦ Queen of the Bogs – 8/1
◦ Sunlight Dance – 10/1
◦ Adrienne – 12/1
◦ Rest Your Mind – 14/1
◦ Carmel’s Phoenix – 25/1
◦ Bhean Liath – 66/1
• Smart Play:
◦ Win Selection: GUARDED – class edge, proven ability, ideal race shape.
◦ Each-Way Saver: METAMORPHIC – stamina pedigree, should relish this trip.
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