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13:25 Doncaster – SKY BET GO-RACING-IN-YORKSHIRE SUMMER FESTIVAL NURSERY HANDICAP (Class 4, 7f 6y, Soft, 2yo 0-85)

Pace & Draw Angles:
A weak gallop is anticipated in this six-runner nursery. Hold-up runners typically have a better record at this trip at Doncaster, and the steady pace should favour COMMANDER’S INTENT (FR) over KAWTHAR, who might be disadvantaged if forced to go too fast early. There is no discernible draw bias under these conditions.

Runner Comments:

• SENORITA VEGA (IRE)
  • Form: Fair form, won a maiden at Brighton in May but then 10th of 17 in the Albany Stakes at Royal Ascot.
  • Pace: Unsuited to longer trips on soft ground against stronger stayers.
  • Fitness: Ran 34 days ago.
  • Class: Exposed but capable, more exposed than most rivals.
• DODGE CITY (FR)
  • Form: Fair form, progressed well to be 2nd at Ayr last time. On an upward trajectory.
  • Pace: Has early tactical speed to race handy. Step up to 7f is a positive.
  • Fitness: Ran 18 days ago.
  • Class: Likely well treated from OR 79, making nursery debut.
  • Flags: Hot trainer (Brian Meehan).
• COMMANDER’S INTENT (FR)
  • Form: Fairly useful form, won at Yarmouth in May, then 3rd at Newmarket. Progressive and appeals most on handicap debut.
  • Pace: Tactically versatile and well-suited by a steady pace.
  • Fitness: Ran 33 days ago.
  • Class: Makes handicap debut from OR 87 with more to offer. Proven on ground with some give. Strong profile.
  • Flags: Hot trainer (George Scott). Callum Shepherd has a 35% strike rate on favourites.
• BOILING OVER (IRE)
  • Form: Fairly useful form, 4th at Haydock last time after doing too much too soon, but solid maiden form including a 2nd at Sandown.
  • Pace: Did too much early last time, needs to settle better.
  • Fitness: Ran 21 days ago.
  • Class: Likely improver now handicapping, open to further improvement. The trainer’s yard is flying, with a 30% strike rate with 2yos in similar July races.
  • Flags: Hot trainer (K. R. Burke).
• KAWTHAR
  • Form: Modest form, 2nd at Wetherby in June, 4th at Doncaster last time.
  • Pace: Likely compromised by the steady pace; high early figures (FS%) suggest inefficient energy use and potential late fading. Soft ground and uphill finish are not ideal.
  • Fitness: Ran 26 days ago.
  • Class: Exposed, with an early speed bias.
  • Flags: BF (Beaten Favourite).
• IBSHARA
  • Form: Fair form, placed in all 3 starts, including 2nd at Newmarket and 3rd at Epsom last time. Fair but plateauing.
  • Pace: Sectionals hint at a more one-paced profile.
  • Fitness: Ran 22 days ago.
  • Class: Solid frame contender but possibly vulnerable for the win, with less scope than others.
  • Flags: BF (Beaten Favourite).

Private Tissue Odds:

• COMMANDER’S INTENT – 3/1
• BOILING OVER – 10/3
• DODGE CITY – 9/2
• IBSHARA – 11/2
• SENORITA VEGA – 7/1
• KAWTHAR – 8/1

ChatGPT Smart Plays:

• Win Bet: COMMANDER’S INTENT – A well-handicapped debutant with his form validated and ideal race conditions.
• Saver: BOILING OVER – Unexposed, showing promise in stronger novice events.

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14:00 Doncaster – BRITISH STALLION STUDS EBF RESTRICTED NOVICE STAKES (Qualifier) (Class 2, 7f 6y, Soft, 2yo)

Pace & Draw Angles:
A weak pace is forecast. SUNSET ON LEROS is tactically favoured due to his low draw (1) and ability to control or track a modest pace. There is no prevailing draw bias on this straight 7f on soft ground.

Runner Comments:

• CIAO CAPO (IRE)
  • Form: Showed some encouragement on debut, finishing 7th, but was slowly away and not unduly punished, expected to progress.
  • Pace: Drawn to track the leaders.
  • Fitness: Ran 28 days ago.
  • Class: Related to 2yo winners and likely improver.
  • Flags: P (potential for improvement).
• DOUBLE EAGLE (IRE)
  • Form: Debutant, no racecourse evidence.
  • Pace: May settle just behind the lead.
  • Fitness: Debutant.
  • Class: Well-bred by Dark Angel (94 debut winners from his progeny). George Boughey’s debutants can be forward.
• ERBIL (IRE)
  • Form: Debutant, no racecourse evidence.
  • Pace: Wide draw (11) is not ideal, but flexible with a weak pace.
  • Fitness: Debutant.
  • Class: Scopey pedigree, half-brother to smart winners like Sky Defender. Trainer capable of sending them ready.
• SUNSET ON LEROS
  • Form: Ran with promise on debut at Newmarket, shaping better than the result after hitting the line with energy.
  • Pace: Not concerned by any pace scenario. Low draw positions him well to control or track the pace.
  • Fitness: Ran 33 days ago.
  • Class: Solid raw ability (FS% 102.5, TFR 66, Adj 73) and market confidence (traded sub-50% BSP). Soft ground and experience make him a serious player.
  • Flags: P (potential for improvement). Benoit de la Sayette has a 36% strike rate on favourites.
• ALLEGRESSE
  • Form: Debutant, no racecourse evidence.
  • Pace: Not explicitly stated.
  • Fitness: Debutant.
  • Class: Well-bred (Oasis Dream sire, 72 debut winners). Andrew Balding has a strong 2yo record at Doncaster. Likely to improve for the run but capable first time out.
• CAPTAIN BRUCE (IRE)
  • Form: Well held in minor events, shaped poorly on debut with no notable sectional merit.
  • Pace: Not explicitly stated.
  • Fitness: Ran 28 days ago.
  • Class: Looks to require more time.
• HOOD WINK
  • Form: Very green and well-beaten on debut, shaped poorly with no notable sectional merit.
  • Pace: Not explicitly stated.
  • Fitness: Ran 37 days ago.
  • Class: Looks to require more time.
• RASPOUTINE
  • Form: Well-beaten and very slowly away on debut, shaped poorly with no notable sectional merit.
  • Pace: Not explicitly stated.
  • Fitness: Ran 16 days ago.
  • Class: Looks to require more time.
  • Flags: Hot trainer (Sir Mark Prescott Bt).
• RUPERT RITZIK (IRE)
  • Form: Well held on debut, shaped poorly with no notable sectional merit.
  • Pace: Prominent racer.
  • Fitness: Ran 14 days ago.
  • Class: Looks to require more time.
• CALCHAS
  • Form: Well held and green on debut, subsequently gelded.
  • Pace: Prominent racer.
  • Fitness: Ran 69 days ago, gelded since.
  • Class: Pedigree suggests improvement; trainer’s horses often improve for a run. Potential for a big step forward.
• BALDOSA (IRE)
  • Form: Well held on debut, shaped poorly with no notable sectional merit.
  • Pace: Not explicitly stated.
  • Fitness: Ran 14 days ago.
  • Class: Looks to require more time.

Private Tissue Odds:

• SUNSET ON LEROS – 11/4
• DOUBLE EAGLE – 7/2
• ALLEGRESSE – 4/1
• ERBIL – 6/1
• CALCHAS – 10/1
• CIAO CAPO – 12/1
• RASPOUTINE – 25/1
• HOOD WINK – 40/1
• BALDOSA – 40/1
• CAPTAIN BRUCE – 66/1
• RUPERT RITZIK – 66/1

ChatGPT Smart Plays:

• Win Bet: SUNSET ON LEROS – His debut form, overall profile, and tactical setup all strongly point towards a robust second-up performance.
• Each-Way Saver: CALCHAS – Flying under the radar and gelded since his debut, he could be a significant improver.

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14:35 Doncaster – SKY BET EXTRA PLACES HANDICAP (Div I) (Class 6, 7f 213y, Soft, 4yo+, 0-65)

Pace & Draw Angles:
A strong gallop is forecast, which should explicitly favour hold-up runners. Doncaster’s straight 8f can be taxing on soft ground, with history showing rear-positioned horses often fare better when the pace collapses. JEZ BOMB and REIGNMAN appear tactically advantaged, while front-runners like DIDDY MAN and RATAFIA may be vulnerable late. There is no discernible draw bias.

Runner Comments:

• DIDDY MAN
  • Form: Fair handicapper, won at Wolverhampton in April but has failed to see it out strongly since, including fading at Chepstow.
  • Pace: Often slowly away, which could worsen in a fast-run race. Susceptible to being caught late.
  • Fitness: Ran 38 days ago.
  • Class: Capable but suspect finisher.
  • Flags: CD (Course and Distance winner).
• GOLDEN PHARAOH (IRE)
  • Form: Fair handicapper, 2nd at Southwell in May, but below form at York last time after racing freely.
  • Pace: Usually front runner/races prominently. Has been too keen in better races.
  • Fitness: Ran 26 days ago.
  • Class: Unreliable, though competitive on best form.
  • Flags: S (Stallion).
• JEZ BOMB
  • Form: Fair handicapper, won at Thirsk in April and ran creditably to be 3rd at Ripon last time. Consistent in recent runs.
  • Pace: Explicitly aided by a strong gallop. His running style and previous Timefigure (100+) make him a standout, suited by a collapsing pace.
  • Fitness: Ran 17 days ago.
  • Class: Back to the mark from which he won at Thirsk. Acts well on soft/heavy ground.
  • Flags: D (Distance winner). SP (Special Performance).
• LESRICO
  • Form: Fair maiden, too free when 7th at Chester last time.
  • Pace: Often starts slowly.
  • Fitness: Ran 12 days ago.
  • Class: No current form to recommend.
  • Flags: S (Stallion).
• RATAFIA
  • Form: Fair handicapper, won at Yarmouth in June but well below form last time. Inconsistent.
  • Pace: Usually races off pace, may benefit from being held up.
  • Fitness: Ran 20 days ago.
  • Class: Temperament and reliability remain concerns.
  • Flags: D (Distance winner). S (Stallion). Hot trainer (Michael Herrington).
• AUTUMN FESTIVAL
  • Form: Modest handicapper, step back in right direction with 6th at Ffos Las last time.
  • Pace: Usually races close up.
  • Fitness: Ran 25 days ago.
  • Class: Lacks consistency.
  • Flags: D (Distance winner). B (Blinkers).
• FLAG OF LOVE (IRE)
  • Form: Standout effort (fair form) in 2024, but little show this season.
  • Pace: Not explicitly stated.
  • Fitness: Ran 15 days ago.
  • Class: Limited upside.
• MISS WILLOWS
  • Form: Fair handicapper, won at Catterick in April but tailed off there last time. Inconsistent.
  • Pace: Not explicitly stated.
  • Fitness: Ran 15 days ago.
  • Class: No current form to recommend.
• JACK DANIEL (IRE)
  • Form: Fair handicapper, back to form with a 4th at Chester last time.
  • Pace: Usually races prominently.
  • Fitness: Ran 41 days ago.
  • Class: Rarely wins, occasionally runs on, better on AW.
  • Flags: D (Distance winner).
• REIGNMAN
  • Form: Modest form, made a positive start to his handicap career when 3rd at Kempton last time.
  • Pace: Predicted strong pace will likely work against him from the specific pace hint, but tactically well-drawn to benefit from pace overall.
  • Fitness: Ran 15 days ago.
  • Class: Well-handicapped off 54, looks to have a finish in him, improving profile. Strong place claims.
• LOCKDOWN LASS
  • Form: Modest handicapper, 5th at Chester last time.
  • Pace: Often races freely. Could snatch a place with a strong pace to bury behind.
  • Fitness: Ran 41 days ago.
  • Class: Course and Distance (CD) winner with a liking for stiff tracks. Inconsistent.
  • Flags: CD (Course and Distance winner). Horse for course. P (Pace).

Private Tissue Odds:

• JEZ BOMB – 7/2
• REIGNMAN – 4/1
• DIDDY MAN – 6/1
• LOCKDOWN LASS – 8/1
• GOLDEN PHARAOH – 8/1
• RATAFIA – 10/1
• AUTUMN FESTIVAL – 12/1
• JACK DANIEL – 14/1
• FLAG OF LOVE – 25/1
• LESRICO – 28/1
• MISS WILLOWS – 33/1

ChatGPT Smart Plays:

• Win Bet: JEZ BOMB – Back on a winning mark, perfectly positioned for a pace collapse.
• Each-Way Saver: REIGNMAN – An improving type with clear upside, expected to run close again.

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15:10 Doncaster – SKY BET EXTRA PLACES HANDICAP (Div II) (Class 6, 7f 213y, Soft, 4yo+, 0-65)

Pace & Draw Angles:
An even pace is forecast, which could tactically suit those capable of tracking just off the speed. The specific pace hint suggests this is bad for BARLEYBROWN but good for OVERLOOKED (IRE). OVERLOOKED (IRE) and EY UP ITS JAZZ are highlighted as best positioned. No discernible draw bias for this trip at Doncaster on soft.

Runner Comments:

• FLAG CARRIER (IRE)
  • Form: Fair handicapper, won at Chelmsford last time (career-best), but generally inconsistent and returns from a break.
  • Pace: Travels smoothly.
  • Fitness: Ran 119 days ago.
  • Class: Soft turf and 1m hold no fears. A minor player if repeating his AW win.
  • Flags: P (Pace).
• EY UP ITS JAZZ
  • Form: Fair handicapper, won at Ayr last time, following a solid reappearance. Proven.
  • Pace: Front runner/races prominently. Has tactical speed to hold position; pace shape just manageable for him.
  • Fitness: Ran 17 days ago.
  • Class: Reliable, brings a solid adjusted TFR (78). Potentially vulnerable to improvers but a reliable yardstick.
  • Flags: K (Kicking).
• ELECTRIC AVENUE
  • Form: Fair handicapper, won at Redcar in May, then encouragement when 5th at Thirsk last time after being hampered.
  • Pace: Usually races off pace. With a slightly muddling pace, she could get marooned off the tempo.
  • Fitness: Ran 22 days ago.
  • Class: Hold-up risk, needs more luck in running than others. Capable of placing if she gets a clear run.
  • Flags: D (Distance winner). S+T (Stallion + Trainer).
• HARBOUR VISION
  • Form: Fair handicapper, best effort for a while when 2nd at Yarmouth last time, showing resurgence.
  • Pace: Usually races close up.
  • Fitness: Ran 8 days ago.
  • Class: His TFR (70) and Tfig (103+) backed by solid form. A stiff mile on soft suits him well; veteran still capable of high-level runs.
  • Flags: CD (Course and Distance winner). B (Blinkers).
• BARLEYBROWN
  • Form: Fair handicapper, 2nd at Redcar in June, but looked half-hearted when 6th at Ripon last time.
  • Pace: Predicted even pace is explicitly bad for him. May need a stronger tempo to perform at his best.
  • Fitness: Ran 17 days ago.
  • Class: Has a slightly quirky and temperamental profile, making him risky.
  • Flags: D (Distance winner). S (Stallion).
• ASTRONOMICA
  • Form: Fair handicapper, runner-up twice in 2024, but looked rusty when 7th at Ripon last time after a 7-month break.
  • Pace: Not explicitly stated.
  • Fitness: Ran 50 days ago.
  • Class: Strong on soft ground last year. Past Timefigures (100+) suggest potential, but fitness needs to be assumed now second up. Likely to improve from reappearance.
  • Flags: D (Distance winner).
• SIR MAXI
  • Form: Fair handicapper, won in January and March, but below form in his last 2 starts.
  • Pace: Often starts slowly and usually races in the rear.
  • Fitness: Ran 19 days ago.
  • Class: Little to recommend on recent efforts.
  • Flags: S (Stallion).
• OVERLOOKED (IRE)
  • Form: Fair maiden handicapper, respectable 5th at Beverley last time. Has shaped solidly in all three turf runs this season.
  • Pace: Predicted even pace is explicitly good for him. Usually front runner/races prominently and is tactically best positioned.
  • Fitness: Ran 20 days ago.
  • Class: His figures (Tfigs 97-104, TFRs 60-63) are competitive. Soft ground should not pose a problem. Trainer (Harriet Bethell) is in form. Potential to run a career best.
  • Flags: BF (Beaten Favourite). T (Tongue tie). S+T (Stallion + Tongue tie).
• ELECTRIC LIGHTNING
  • Form: Modest maiden, shaped as if needing the run when 6th at Ayr last time after a 9-month break.
  • Pace: Sometimes slowly away.
  • Fitness: Ran 17 days ago.
  • Class: Little to recommend on recent efforts.
  • Flags: S (Stallion).
• OBEE JO (IRE)
  • Form: Modest handicapper, shaped better than distance beaten suggests when 4th at Thirsk last time.
  • Pace: Not explicitly stated.
  • Fitness: Ran 9 days ago.
  • Class: Little to recommend on recent efforts.
  • Flags: S (Stallion). P (Pace).

Private Tissue Odds:

• OVERLOOKED (IRE) – 3/1
• EY UP ITS JAZZ – 4/1
• HARBOUR VISION – 4/1
• FLAG CARRIER – 8/1
• ELECTRIC AVENUE – 10/1
• ASTRONOMICA – 12/1
• BARLEYBROWN – 14/1
• Others – 20/1+

ChatGPT Smart Plays:

• Win Bet: OVERLOOKED (IRE) – Consistent, improving, and strategically well-drawn for the anticipated pace setup.
• Each-Way Saver: ASTRONOMICA – A soft-ground performer who is expected to significantly improve from her reappearance.

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15:45 Doncaster – DARLEY EBF NOVICE STAKES (Class 2, 1m 3f 197y, Soft, 3yo+, 5 runners)

Pace & Draw Angles:
A very weak pace is forecast, with no obvious front-runner. THE CURSOR and BLUE MARTINI show the most early speed on the Pace Map but may end up dawdling early. Tactical positioning will be critical, and late sprinting ability could decide the outcome. The draw is irrelevant over this trip with so few runners and no rail bias.

Runner Comments:

• STEM (IRE)
  • Form: Won by 9½ lengths on soft ground at Newbury last September, visually impressive.
  • Pace: Not explicitly stated.
  • Fitness: Returns from 306 days off; likely fit enough but has a penalty to concede.
  • Class: Massive scope to improve if he stays the markedly longer trip, potentially high-class but unproven at this distance.
  • Flags: P (potential for improvement).
• ARABIAN POET
  • Form: Still learning, ran green on debut but much better second up at Newmarket over 10f.
  • Pace: Not explicitly stated.
  • Fitness: Ran 274 days ago, subsequently gelded.
  • Class: Well-bred (Dubawi out of a high-class mare, half-brother to Mogul, Japan). Almost certain to progress given pedigree and connections; strong long-term project.
  • Flags: BF (Beaten Favourite). Hot trainer (Charlie Appleby). Charlie Appleby has a 27% strike rate over 10f+ and 28% in mid-season.
• BLUE MARTINI (FR)
  • Form: Debutant, no prior form.
  • Pace: Shows early speed on Pace Map but may dawdle early.
  • Fitness: Debutant.
  • Class: Appeals on paper with a strong pedigree (Persian King, half-sister to Treve) screaming middle-distance/stamina. Trainer (David Menuisier) has good stats with debutants. A sharp ask on debut in this company.
• CODIAK (IRE)
  • Form: Debutant, no prior form.
  • Pace: Not explicitly stated.
  • Fitness: Debutant, with blinkers on for debut.
  • Class: First-time blinkers suggest mental immaturity. Sibling profile is decent but unlikely to match rivals on debut figures.
  • Flags: B (Blinkers).
• THE CURSOR
  • Form: Fairly useful form; narrowly denied at Doncaster in March, then unsuited by quicker conditions when 14th in a top handicap at Royal Ascot. Stood out on debut.
  • Pace: Unlikely to be inconvenienced by pace. Tactical pace profile suits.
  • Fitness: Ran 35 days ago.
  • Class: Well above this field on adjusted TFRs (86–87+) and Timefigures (104.4–109.8). Well-bred (Frankel x Prix de l’Opera winner) and should relish 12f. Proven performer with a class edge.
  • Flags: P (potential for improvement).

Private Tissue Odds:

• THE CURSOR – 11/8
• STEM – 9/4
• ARABIAN POET – 3/1
• BLUE MARTINI – 12/1
• CODIAK – 16/1

ChatGPT Smart Plays:

• Win Bet: THE CURSOR – Proven, consistent, and exceptionally well-equipped for today’s specific setup.
• (No each-way option due to field size of 5 runners).

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16:20 Doncaster – AUTISM IN RACING AT DONCASTER TODAY HANDICAP (Class 5, 7f 6y, Soft, 4yo+, 0-72, 11 runners)

Pace & Draw Angles:
A weak pace is projected, with no habitual front-runner. Horses that can race handily without over-racing may be best placed. The weak pace will probably work against BEALE STREET in favour of AMAYRETTO. Soft-ground form and the ability to quicken off a slow gallop will be key. There is no draw bias at this trip on soft.

Runner Comments:

• NOVELLO LAD
  • Form: Fairly useful handicapper, on a strong upward curve this summer, with recent close C&D efforts followed by a clear-cut Nottingham win. Appeared to have plenty left in the tank.
  • Pace: Prominent racer and well drawn to get first run.
  • Fitness: Ran 6 days ago, race-fit and peaking.
  • Class: Carries a 5 lb penalty but still looks ahead of his mark (Adj TFR 87+). Effective on soft ground. Thriving and still well treated.
  • Flags: CD (Course and Distance winner). Horse in focus, horse for course. P (Pace). Hot trainer (Paul Midgley).
• BEALE STREET
  • Form: Fairly useful handicapper, won at Newcastle in February, and back on track with a strong-finishing 3rd at Doncaster last time. Reliable.
  • Pace: Predicted weak pace may work against him according to specific hint. Energy distribution is solid.
  • Fitness: Ran 14 days ago.
  • Class: Holds form well and proven in soft/sticky going. Should run to his mark again.
  • Flags: D (Distance winner).
• BELLA BISBEE
  • Form: Fairly useful handicapper, won at Doncaster and Southwell in 2024, good 2nd at Doncaster last time.
  • Pace: Usually races in the rear. Hold-up risk; needs luck with a muddling pace.
  • Fitness: Ran 26 days ago.
  • Class: Career best when runner-up over a mile here last time. Good recent run.
  • Flags: CD (Course and Distance winner). Horse for course. S (Stallion). Hot trainer (Ed Dunlop).
• ONE NIGHT THUNDER
  • Form: Fair handicapper, hinted at a revival with 6th at Ayr last time in first-time hood.
  • Pace: Can race too freely, but if weak pace allows him to settle, he will be dangerous.
  • Fitness: Ran 17 days ago.
  • Class: His peak RPRs (TFRs 78–84) fit well in this grade. Capable if settling and well-treated on old form. Appeals as a bounce candidate.
  • Flags: D (Distance winner). H (Hood). P (Pace).
• JOE MASSERIA (IRE)
  • Form: Fair handicapper, well held at Newcastle last time.
  • Pace: Not explicitly stated.
  • Fitness: Ran 27 days ago.
  • Class: Off form or unreliable profile.
  • Flags: D (Distance winner).
• RED MIRAGE (IRE)
  • Form: Fair handicapper, below form when 6th at Ayr last time.
  • Pace: Usually races prominently.
  • Fitness: Ran 17 days ago.
  • Class: Formerly useful but now unpredictable and seems regressive. Needs to be forgiven recent efforts.
  • Flags: D (Distance winner). S (Stallion).
• RICH RHYTHM
  • Form: Fair handicapper, won in January and April, but 8th at Chelmsford last time.
  • Pace: Usually slowly away.
  • Fitness: Ran 23 days ago.
  • Class: Outsider with upside, trainer (Harriet Bethell) is in form. Could improve on turf.
  • Flags: D (Distance winner). S (Stallion). Jockey uplift (Callum Rodriguez).
• CLIFFCAKE (IRE)
  • Form: Fairly useful handicapper, won in February but not in same form since.
  • Pace: Not explicitly stated.
  • Fitness: Ran 53 days ago.
  • Class: Off form or unreliable profile.
  • Flags: D (Distance winner). F (Flag).
• HIGHLAND OLLY
  • Form: Fair handicapper, won at Nottingham in May, but did too much too soon when 4th at Pontefract last time.
  • Pace: Usually races prominently and often freely. Needs a strong gallop and better harnessing of energy.
  • Fitness: Ran 62 days ago.
  • Class: Potential to win this grade but too headstrong.
  • Flags: D (Distance winner). BF (Beaten Favourite). P (Pace).
• WILDFELL (IRE)
  • Form: Fairly useful handicapper at best, but well held at Wolverhampton last time after an 11-month layoff.
  • Pace: Sometimes slowly away.
  • Fitness: Ran 31 days ago.
  • Class: Off form or unreliable profile.
  • Flags: CD (Course and Distance winner). SP (Special Performance).
• AMAYRETTO
  • Form: Fair handicapper, won at Doncaster in April and Redcar in May, then bounced back with a 2nd at Doncaster last time. Proven and in form.
  • Pace: Usually races prominently. Pace setup today may fall into her lap if she can sit close early.
  • Fitness: Ran 5 days ago.
  • Class: Good cruising speed and acts well in soft conditions. Course & Distance scorer.
  • Flags: CD (Course and Distance winner). Horse for course.

Private Tissue Odds:

• NOVELLO LAD – 9/4
• ONE NIGHT THUNDER – 6/1
• BEALE STREET – 13/2
• AMAYRETTO – 15/2
• BELLA BISBEE – 10/1
• RED MIRAGE – 12/1
• Others – 20/1+

ChatGPT Smart Plays:

• Win Bet: NOVELLO LAD – Still well treated under a penalty and ideally placed, showing peak form and tactical versatility.
• Each-Way Saver: BEALE STREET – A consistent, strong finisher with solid form, making him a reliable each-way option.

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16:55 Doncaster – 50 DAYS UNTIL THE ST LEGER HANDICAP (Class 5, 1m 2f 43y, Soft, 3yo, 0-75, 11 runners)

Pace & Draw Angles:
This race is forecast to be strongly run, which will suit those with stamina reserves and the ability to settle. BENTBASA and KOMODO ISLAND are likely to press the pace. Low numbers are favoured at this trip on soft ground, so draws 1–4 have an edge if they can sit handy or stalk the leaders.

Runner Comments:

• SONG BROCADE
  • Form: Fairly useful form, won maiden at Ffos Las last month, quickening well on soft ground. Impressed and looked a different proposition on soft.
  • Pace: The strong gallop forecast might negate her wide draw (10) if she relaxes.
  • Fitness: Ran 25 days ago.
  • Class: Profile screams progression (TFR 81+), and trainer (Ralph Beckett) excels with improving handicappers over this trip. Remains with potential and is bred to get better. Most likely to improve past her mark.
  • Flags: D (Distance winner). P (potential for improvement). Hector Crouch has a 37% strike rate on favourites.
• ONE MORE CHROME (IRE)
  • Form: Fair form, improved when winning maiden at Nottingham last time.
  • Pace: Tactical profile ideal for this setup, and drawn in stall 1 to advantage.
  • Fitness: Ran 53 days ago.
  • Class: Lightly raced and bred to stay 10f+ well, with more to come. Trainer’s stats with single runners at meetings are notably strong.
  • Flags: P (potential for improvement).
• KING AL
  • Form: Fair form when winning at Haydock at 2yrs, but well held at Wolverhampton last time.
  • Pace: Not explicitly stated.
  • Fitness: Ran 58 days ago, subsequently gelded.
  • Class: Lacks tactical and form credentials to feature prominently.
• CASPIAN KING (GER)
  • Form: Fair maiden, below expectations and looked awkward when 7th at Sandown last time.
  • Pace: Not explicitly stated.
  • Fitness: Ran 41 days ago.
  • Class: Talent evident from Timefigures (p86 peak), but temperament doubts. Gelding operation might help long term.
  • Flags: BF (Beaten Favourite). T (Tongue tie).
• KOMODO ISLAND
  • Form: Fair form when 6th at Wolverhampton in 2024, but well held at Wetherby last time.
  • Pace: Likely to press the pace. Stamina for strong pace on soft is unproven. Might be given another chance to dominate from close to the pace.
  • Fitness: Ran 88 days ago.
  • Class: Well bred (Frankel out of a 1000 Guineas winner) but hasn’t fired yet; big pedigree, small return so far. Remains open to improvement.
  • Flags: P (potential for improvement).
• WEST TYRONE
  • Form: Fair handicapper, won at Southwell in March, but pulled hard when last at Haydock last time.
  • Pace: Usually leads.
  • Fitness: Ran 20 days ago.
  • Class: Lacks tactical and form credentials to feature prominently.
  • Flags: D (Distance winner). S (Stallion).
• VERY MUDDY WATERS
  • Form: Fair form when 2nd in 2024 but well below that level in both outings this year.
  • Pace: Not explicitly stated.
  • Fitness: Ran 37 days ago.
  • Class: Shown little since fair debut.
  • Flags: P (Pace).
• BENTBASA (IRE)
  • Form: Fair maiden, shaped well when 3rd at Wolverhampton in April, but unsuited by trip drop when 10th at Ffos Las last time. Better than latest suggests.
  • Pace: The strong gallop forecast should be a real boost for him. Front-runner angle, drawn middle to go forward, may surprise if things fall right up front.
  • Fitness: Ran 24 days ago.
  • Class: Bounce-back candidate.
  • Flags: S (Stallion).
• LEGEND FOREVER
  • Form: Fair form, 6th at Carlisle last time after a 7-month break.
  • Pace: Not explicitly stated.
  • Fitness: Ran 66 days ago.
  • Class: Lacks tactical and form credentials to feature prominently.
  • Flags: T (Tongue tie).
• TELEPATHIC (IRE)
  • Form: Fair handicapper, won nursery in 2024, and good 2nd at Newbury last time, which was his best effort yet.
  • Pace: Races freely but has pace and races prominently. Ability to sit handy could mitigate his wide draw (7).
  • Fitness: Ran 21 days ago.
  • Class: Stays 1¼m. Solid and pace-suited. Consistent and capable.
  • Flags: BF (Beaten Favourite). H+T (Hood + Tongue tie). P (Pace). Simon & Ed Crisford have a 20% strike rate with horses over 10f+.
• REQUIEM
  • Form: Fair maiden, 4th at Redcar last time, hanging and losing ground, but previous Haydock effort suggests ability.
  • Pace: Should stay beyond 1½m. Will try to make all and could get soft fractions if not challenged.
  • Fitness: Ran 58 days ago.
  • Class: Blinkered for the first time. Low draw (2) is perfect for his tactics. Blinkers could revive him. Stamina and trainer (Sir Mark Prescott Bt) are known for striking with seasonal plans.
  • Flags: BF (Beaten Favourite). B (Blinkers). S (Stallion). Hot trainer (Sir Mark Prescott Bt).

Private Tissue Odds:

• SONG BROCADE – 5/2
• ONE MORE CHROME – 4/1
• TELEPATHIC – 5/1
• REQUIEM – 13/2
• CASPIAN KING – 8/1
• KOMODO ISLAND – 14/1
• BENTBASA – 16/1
• Others – 20/1+

ChatGPT Smart Plays:

• Win Bet: SONG BROCADE – Progressing rapidly and appears the most likely candidate to improve beyond her current mark.
• Each-Way Saver: REQUIEM – The addition of blinkers, his low draw, and the trainer’s known handicap template make him a well-suited each-way play.

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17:30 Doncaster – DOWNLOAD THE RACEDAY READY APP HANDICAP (Class 5, 6f 2y, Soft, 3yo, 0-75, 11 runners)

Pace & Draw Angles:
An even pace is expected, with several runners capable of going forward including LESLEY’S BOY, PROMISE TIME, and LICENCE TO CONQUER. The draw bias is against mid stalls, with low (1–3) or wide (9–11) appearing more favourable in this soft-ground setup. Prominent racers drawn high may gain a positional advantage. The expected even pace should benefit DARK ROSA (IRE) at the expense of STIRRUP CUP.

Runner Comments:

• LESLEY’S BOY
  • Form: Fair handicapper, but yet to fire this season. Currently out of sorts.
  • Pace: Usually races off pace, but capable of going forward.
  • Fitness: Ran 12 days ago.
  • Class: Needs blinkers to spark a revival.
  • Flags: D (Distance winner). V (Visor). S (Stallion).
• ZUBARU
  • Form: Fair form, 2nd at Doncaster on return, but his last run is excused due to missing the break and being bumped.
  • Pace: Not explicitly stated.
  • Fitness: Ran 61 days ago.
  • Class: Unexposed with scope; could bounce back if he breaks on terms. His prior Doncaster 2nd rates well.
  • Flags: BF (Beaten Favourite). S+T (Stallion + Tongue tie). Hot trainer (George Scott).
• LICENCE TO CONQUER (IRE)
  • Form: Fair form, won maiden at Lingfield last time despite racing freely, showing steady improvement.
  • Pace: Has a tendency to race freely, but learning to settle better. Capable of going forward.
  • Fitness: Ran 47 days ago.
  • Class: Blinkers remain on, and his profile suggests more to come. Has speed and a class edge on some rivals. The “dark horse” with further progress possible.
  • Flags: B (Blinkers). S (Stallion).
• HAAZEEZ (IRE)
  • Form: Fair maiden, stepped up on reappearance when 3rd at Thirsk last time.
  • Pace: Not explicitly stated.
  • Fitness: Ran 48 days ago.
  • Class: Reliable but vulnerable to improvers; lacks the change of gear to win from midfield unless everything falls perfectly. A useful marker for others.
  • Flags: S (Stallion).
• ANN TERRY
  • Form: Fair performer, won a minor event in 2024, but well below form in both starts since.
  • Pace: Usually front runner/races prominently.
  • Fitness: Ran 28 days ago, off a 7-month break.
  • Class: Moderate current form.
  • Flags: D (Distance winner). B (Blinkers).
• DARK ROSA (IRE)
  • Form: Fair handicapper, back on track with a 3rd at Doncaster last time.
  • Pace: Explicitly benefits from the expected even pace. Usually races close up. Close-up placement and efficiency (FS%) signal a good tactical fit. Could pounce late if getting a tow. Strong-finishing filly.
  • Fitness: Ran 14 days ago.
  • Class: Will benefit from return to 6f. Consistent Timefigure profile and solid soft-ground form (TFR 85). Proven and promising.
  • Flags: D (Distance winner). BF (Beaten Favourite). Horse for course. T (Tongue tie).
• RAN AMOK (IRE)
  • Form: Fair performer, won a maiden in 2024, better effort this year when 7th at Haydock in May.
  • Pace: Not explicitly stated.
  • Fitness: Ran 19 days ago.
  • Class: Moderate current form.
  • Flags: D (Distance winner). T (Tongue tie). SP (Special Performance).
• INITIAL BLUE (IRE)
  • Form: Fair handicapper, won in 2024 but well held at Chepstow last time.
  • Pace: Not explicitly stated.
  • Fitness: Ran 47 days ago.
  • Class: Moderate current form.
  • Flags: D (Distance winner). S (Stallion).
• STIRRUP CUP
  • Form: Fair handicapper, won a nursery in 2024, but hasn’t built on that form. 7th at Ayr last time.
  • Pace: Explicitly at a disadvantage with the expected even pace. Faces a tactical risk and drawn amid horses. Needs a better setup.
  • Fitness: Ran 17 days ago.
  • Class: Hold-up risk.
  • Flags: D (Distance winner). B (Blinkers). S (Stallion).
• PROMISE TIME
  • Form: Fair handicapper, won at Carlisle in May and followed up at Doncaster last time, thriving. Latest win was in a fast time for the grade.
  • Pace: Often races freely, but capable of going forward and drawn in stall 1 to stalk or lead. Prominent racer.
  • Fitness: Ran 39 days ago.
  • Class: Looks feasibly treated and is on a roll. Up 7 lb, but still well treated on visual impression (Adj TFR 86+). Trainer (Nigel Tinkler) won this race in 2020 and 2024. In-form, track-suited, and thriving.
  • Flags: CD (Course and Distance winner). Horse in focus.
• THE VITAL SPARK
  • Form: Fair handicapper, won at Newcastle in March, but well held at Pontefract last time.
  • Pace: Not explicitly stated.
  • Fitness: Ran 16 days ago, had a breathing operation.
  • Class: Best form at 5f. Could surprise if bouncing back, with headgear applied and a drop into an easier race. Visor could revive him.
  • Flags: D (Distance winner). B (Blinkers).

Private Tissue Odds:

• PROMISE TIME – 5/2
• DARK ROSA – 4/1
• LICENCE TO CONQUER – 11/2
• ZUBARU – 13/2
• HAAZEEZ – 15/2
• THE VITAL SPARK – 10/1
• Others – 14/1+

ChatGPT Smart Plays:

• Win Bet: PROMISE TIME – Offers the ideal combination of trip, ground, draw, and tactical scenario for a decisive performance.
• Each-Way Saver: DARK ROSA – A strong-finishing filly who is exceptionally well-drawn to launch a late attack.

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