Preview of the Wexford card on Thursday evening.

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16:35 Wexford – Kilmore Quay (C & G) Maiden Hurdle

  • Pace Angles: Forecast an even pace. Multiple midfield and prominent types (including CROOKED TANNIE and FRONT DOOR FAMOUS) suggest a fair gallop but not overly contested. CROOKED TANNIE (IRE) should not be inconvenienced by any pace scenario.
  • Draw Angles: With 17 declared runners, field shape will naturally spread; draw is less of a factor over hurdles at Wexford.
  • Individual Price Hint: CROOKED TANNIE (IRE) has been beaten twice before when trading at odds-on in-running.

Runner Comments:

  • CROOKED TANNIE (IRE): Proven. Rated 127 and holds clear form superiority, having finished second in a competitive handicap. That run showed solid cruising speed and energy efficiency (Tfig 118, FS% 103.5). Now returns to maiden company. The long layoff (330 days) is the primary concern. Hood remains on. Track/trip fine.
  • FRONT DOOR FAMOUS (IRE): Promising. Showed a promising debut when third at Downpatrick (Tfig 106.2, Adj 110). Bred for stamina and looks sure to improve with experience. Suited by today’s trip and ground. Strong hurdles debut.
  • CLAUDE (IRE): Promising. Was green but hinted at ability in two bumpers (Tfig 117.2 on debut). The switch to hurdles and addition of first-time cheekpieces suggest intent. Nicely bred and from a top yard. Risky on hurdles debut.
  • HUDSON (FR): Proven. Has one fair effort over hurdles in stronger company and shaped reasonably on the Flat. Down the field latest, but that was a messy race. Has the tools to hit the frame if returning to his Leopardstown form. Ground/trip suited, back to calmer waters. Tried in tongue tie.
  • COMPLETE FICTION (IRE): Proven. Decent second at Fairyhouse on seasonal debut (TFR 106). Has regressed on Flat since and is not progressing. Could place if rediscovering best. Tried in tongue tie.
  • FINE PRINT (IRE): Progressive. Backed up two AW wins with a fair Turf run before a poor last outing. Timefigs show he’s capable (Wolverhampton wins rated 73+). Now returns to hurdles off a break. The McConnell yard is profitable with such hurdlers up in trip (+£17.41). Unexposed over hurdles, strong stamina profile. Wears tongue tie.
  • LICEO (FR): Needs big step forward but pedigree gives some hope. Well held in 2 maiden hurdles.
  • MARALINGA (IRE): Minimal form, little obvious upside. Well held both starts in maiden hurdles.
  • CHOLO (IRE): Minimal form, little obvious upside. Well held in bumpers/maiden hurdles. In hood last time.
  • HERON’S BUTLER (IRE): Minimal form, little obvious upside. Hinted at ability when well held in maiden hurdle on debut.
  • RYNOK SQUARE (IRE): Exposed or debuting off poor runs. Tailed off in 3 maiden hurdles.
  • DARK BERKSHIRE (IRE): Exposed or debuting off poor runs. Well held in maiden hurdle on debut.
  • DEED POLE (IRE): Exposed or debuting off poor runs. Well held in 2 maiden hurdles.
  • THE MONKEY POLE (IRE): Exposed or debuting off poor runs. Pulled up both starts in points.
  • BEAU COUP (FR): Exposed or debuting off poor runs. Maiden pointer. 31¾ lengths ninth of 14 on hurdling debut.

Private Tissue Estimates:

  • CROOKED TANNIE – 15/8
  • FRONT DOOR FAMOUS – 11/4
  • CLAUDE – 6/1
  • HUDSON – 10/1
  • COMPLETE FICTION – 11/1
  • FINE PRINT – 14/1
  • Others 20/1+

ChatGPT Smart Plays:

  • Win Selection: CROOKED TANNIE – Too well-in if ready; a repeat of Bellewstown form should suffice.
  • Each-Way Saver: FINE PRINT – Stepping up in trip, with stamina assured and yard stat positive.

17:10 Wexford – Curragh to Curragh Charity Cycle Mares Maiden Hurdle

  • Pace Angles: Even pace expected. Front-end runners such as TEQUILA TALKIN’ could enjoy tactical control if the tempo is not overly strong. Prominent racers have a good record here.
  • Draw Angles: Not relevant over hurdles at this track.
  • Individual Price Hint: SOPHIA ROSE (IRE) traded at 50% or less of her starting Betfair SP when beaten on her latest outing.

Runner Comments:

  • TEQUILA TALKIN’ (IRE): Promising. Highly encouraging return when third at Listowel (Adj 119+), her first start in 20 months and only second over hurdles. Was still travelling well when falling on debut in 2023. From a stamina-rich family and now goes up in trip, which suits. Lightly raced with upside, strong return, suited by track and trip. Wears hood.
  • MUMMY DERRY (IRE): Promising. Bumper winner at Punchestown and runner-up in a Listed event next time (Tfig 101.7, Adj 108). Fluffed her lines at Sandown in a G2, but this is a steep drop in class. Bred to stay further. Returns from a 161-day break. Quality bumper performer, ground/trip fine.
  • HILLHEAD RUNNER (IRE): Progressive. Shaped with much improved form on latest hurdle outing when second at Bellewstown (TFR 118+). Travelled smoothly and stayed on, showing good tactical speed and energy distribution. From an upwardly mobile yard. Reliable, improving profile. Wears tongue strap.
  • SOPHIA ROSE (IRE): Proven. Solid second at Downpatrick (Tfig 111.8, Adj 116). Has more experience than most and is from a consistent mare line. Traded significantly shorter in-running last time and may benefit from patient tactics here. Needs to settle better to stay 2m4f.
  • ZANOOSH (IRE): Progressive. Fair form in bumpers, notably when fourth in a well-run Punchestown race last time (Tfig 112.5). Has shaped well in a maiden hurdle at Fairyhouse and remains open to improvement. A fair yard record with similar types. Upward trajectory, handles trip.
  • WATCHING THE CLOCK (IRE): Promising. Caught the eye on debut when third at Tipperary. Has scope to improve and fits the profile of one who may handle this longer trip better than some. Scopey type, needs to jump fluently.
  • OCTOBER HILL (IRE): Promising. Shaped with promise when third at Roscommon (TFR 103). Has a long stride and her pedigree points to stamina. May be more competitive in a race with this setup.
  • WEST END VICTORY (IRE): Absent since 2022/23. Fairly useful form in bumpers.
  • YOURE A DERRY GIRL (IRE): Modest form over hurdles. Hard to weigh up; recent form just fair.
  • AN CAPALL LIATH (IRE): In need of experience when well held in bumper.
  • RUTLAND ROSE (IRE): Little impact over hurdles. Wears tongue tie.
  • CHASING CROWNS (IRE): Pulled up all 4 starts in points. No form under Rules.
  • FERVIDA (IRE): Well held in bumper.
  • URBAN LEE (IRE): No form under Rules. Dam poor maiden hurdler.
  • WILLUHAVEAMINERAL (IRE): Well held in maiden hurdle.
  • DOYEN LADY (IRE): Modest form at best in bumpers. Tailed off in 2 mares maiden hurdles.

Private Tissue Estimates:

  • TEQUILA TALKIN’ – 7/2
  • MUMMY DERRY – 9/2
  • HILLHEAD RUNNER – 5/1
  • SOPHIA ROSE – 6/1
  • ZANOOSH – 8/1
  • OCTOBER HILL – 12/1
  • WATCHING THE CLOCK – 16/1
  • Others 25/1+

ChatGPT Smart Plays:

  • Win Selection: TEQUILA TALKIN’ – Returning mare with clear promise, more to come.
  • Each-Way Saver: ZANOOSH – Profile suggests a step forward is imminent.

17:45 Wexford – WTW Willis Ladies Handicap Hurdle

  • Pace Angles: A weak pace is forecast, likely suiting those ridden prominently. KNOCKRAHA EAGLE (IRE) and LADIAM (IRE) are tactically positioned to benefit. A steadily run race will assist KNOCKRAHA EAGLE (IRE) at the likely expense of WARM IN GOREY (IRE).
  • Draw Angles: Not applicable over hurdles.
  • Individual Price Hint: LADIAM (IRE) is likely to take up a forward position but has disappointed before after trading much lower than Betfair SP.

Runner Comments:

  • ROSE BOUM (FR): Progressive. Improving mare who won a 12-runner female riders event at Punchestown last time (TFR 111, strong FS%). Travelled smartly and found off the bridle, giving the impression there’s more in the locker. Well-in off her revised mark. Should stay 3m; acts on soft going. Ground/trip ideal. Wears blinkers.
  • WARM IN GOREY (IRE): Proven. Back-to-back placed efforts at Punchestown and over fences at Wexford (Tfigs 103.1 and 98.3). Tactically versatile and returns to hurdles with a handy 7 lb claim. Just held by Rose Boum previously but arguably produced a slightly stronger sectional profile, suggesting a reversal is possible if the race becomes tactical. Stays 2½m; acts on heavy going. Wears cheekpieces.
  • LADIAM (IRE): Proven. Has returned in strong form, winning at Sligo then backing up with a solid sixth in a deeper field. Runs prominently and is suited by this setup. Rider has a 30% strike rate when riding handy types. Her tactical speed will be a weapon in a race lacking pace. Usually races prominently. Consistent. Wears tongue tie.
  • TO THE WIRE (IRE): Progressive. Possibly didn’t stay when upped to 3 miles at Wexford. Return to 2½m could help unlock more. Penultimate effort suggested upside. Has a neat cruising speed and the Timeform EPF confirms his tactical fit here. Will be finishing.
  • KNOCKRAHA EAGLE (IRE): Promising. Third in a Kilbeggan handicap on latest (Tfig 106.2, Adj 110), suggesting he’s on the right path. Prominent racing style suits the predicted race shape, and the 7 lb claim helps. More improvement to come at this trip. Races forward. Wears cheekpieces and tongue tie.
  • MI LUCKY CAILIN (IRE): Proven. Solid in recent efforts. May find the drop back from 21.6f to 2½m a help. Consistent Timefigs (around 104-105) put her close to frame level again, though she lacks the scope of some rivals. Trip/ground fine.
  • LADY BEE GREAT (IRE): Modest form over hurdles. Best effort when ½-length second in mares maiden in May. In hood last 3 starts.
  • FEAST (IRE): No show in maiden/handicap hurdles. Has had breathing operation. Tried in hood/tongue tie.
  • FEAR THE DEERE (IRE): Poor maiden handicap hurdler. Below form last 2 starts. Wears cheekpieces.
  • HEY BABBS (IRE): Unexposed. Lightly raced in handicaps, but pedigree and race profile suggest there’s some upside. If the race unfolds slowly early, she could be one of those staying on late. Poor form over hurdles. Wears tongue tie.

Private Tissue Estimates:

  • ROSE BOUM – 4/1
  • WARM IN GOREY – 5/1
  • LADIAM – 6/1
  • TO THE WIRE – 13/2
  • KNOCKRAHA EAGLE – 13/2
  • MI LUCKY CAILIN – 8/1
  • HEY BABBS – 10/1
  • Others 20/1+

ChatGPT Smart Plays:

  • Win Selection: ROSE BOUM – Recent win was solid; more to come.
  • Each-Way Saver: LADIAM – Tactical speed key, well positioned to strike.

18:15 Wexford – Fleadh Cheoil Wexford Handicap Hurdle (Div I)

  • Pace Angles: Weak pace expected. Best suited will be those racing forward or with strong mid-race tactical speed. SMALL TOWN HERO, KINGKONG CIERGUES (if getting in), and HATFIELD HAMMER are best positioned to exploit this. A steady pace should work to the advantage of ONEFORTHEDITCH (IRE) more than LUMMI ISLAND (IRE).
  • Draw Angles: Not applicable over hurdles.
  • Individual Price Hint: KINGKONG CIERGUES (FR) is likely to be one of those prominent early but has lost out before after trading much lower than Betfair SP.

Runner Comments:

  • SMALL TOWN HERO (IRE): Promising. Lightly raced and improved for first-time cheekpieces when making all at Roscommon (Adj 109+). Energy profile (Tfig 110.9) suggests he can go further in staying events. 4 lb rise is lenient. Looks to control the pace again in a similar setup. Definite upside and tactically advantaged. Tried in tongue tie.
  • HATFIELD HAMMER (IRE): Progressive. Has taken big steps forward since joining Paul Nolan. Recent second at Wexford (Adj 105+) again demonstrated his ability to travel well and see out his race at this trip. Strong pace efficiency figures (FS% 103.5) and always travels smoothly. Has scope from this mark still and yard continues in form. Often travels strongly. Wears cheekpieces.
  • ONEFORTHEDITCH (IRE): Proven. Step back in right direction when third at Kilbeggan, shaping well on the figures (Tfig 99.9, Adj 112+). Consistent at this trip before. A good-value 7 lb claimer helps her cause. Has a solid finishing kick when races are steadily run. Winning pointer.
  • FIRE CORAL (IRE): Progressive. Unexposed for current yard and returned to form at Downpatrick (Tfig 104.4, Adj 106). Clearly capable of winning off this mark. Smart Stat: S. Curling has +£67.99 profit when saddling sole hurdles runner on the card. Wears tongue tie.
  • LUMMI ISLAND (IRE): Promising. Best form of late has come under patient tactics. Was in control when falling at Limerick and ran a big race at Tipperary after a break. Stays well, has upside. Hold-up style may clash with pace setup here. Usually waited with. Tried in cheekpieces.
  • BALLERINA BOXER (IRE): Proven. Back to form with a win at Punchestown before running with credit in a stronger handicap. Shapes like one that will continue to pick up minor honours at this level. Place chances at best. Wears hood and tongue tie.
  • ARNACOEUR (FR): Promising. Wexford winner earlier this year. Pulled up last time after a slow start. Could go well if bouncing back. Could outrun odds if back to Wexford form. Usually dropped out. Wears hood.
  • SYLVIA’S SECRET (IRE): Little impact in maiden hurdles. Capable of better now sent handicapping. Wears tongue tie.
  • ALRIGHT DARLING (IRE): Poor maiden hurdler. Below form last time. Best form on soft/heavy going. Sometimes in tongue tie.
  • RUST TO RICHES (IRE): Poor maiden handicap chaser nowadays. Winning pointer. Often in headgear/tongue tie. Held when slipped up last time.
  • APPLES IN WINTER (IRE): Modest maiden hurdler, below best in 2024/25. Wears cheekpieces and tongue tie.
  • CLOSE ENOUGH (IRE): Modest handicap hurdler at best. Mostly out of sorts since. Tried in hood.
  • TUFF DAYS (IRE): Maiden hurdler. Modest form at best in chases. Wears headgear. Often let down by jumping over fences.
  • GLAOINN AN AIRGEAD (IRE): Little impact in varied company over hurdles. Never-dangerous last time.
  • KINGKONG CIERGUES (FR): Modest form over hurdles. In frame in handicaps last 2 starts. Will stay beyond 2½m.
  • STRETCHEMOUT (IRE): Modest form over hurdles. Wears cheekpieces and tongue tie. Should stay further than 2½m.
  • SPRINKLES (IRE): Modest form over hurdles. Will prove best at shorter than 19f. Wears hood.

Private Tissue Estimates:

  • SMALL TOWN HERO – 3/1
  • HATFIELD HAMMER – 9/2
  • ONEFORTHEDITCH – 13/2
  • FIRE CORAL – 15/2
  • LUMMI ISLAND – 9/1
  • BALLERINA BOXER – 10/1
  • ARNACOEUR – 14/1
  • Others 20/1+

ChatGPT Smart Plays:

  • Win Selection: SMALL TOWN HERO – Tactical leader, improving, value still in mark.
  • Each-Way Saver: FIRE CORAL – Yard angle strong, figures back her up.

18:47 Wexford – Fleadh Cheoil Wexford Handicap Hurdle (Div II)

  • Pace Angles: A weak pace is forecast again, favouring those with tactical speed or able to race prominently. TACKLETOMMYWOOWOO and CAPTAIN P are best drawn to benefit. Closers like ROYAL CAVE and JOLLIE COSMOS may struggle to land a blow unless tempo lifts late. The likelihood that the pace will be steady should boost the prospects of TACKLETOMMYWOOWOO (IRE) more than those of ROYAL CAVE (IRE).
  • Draw Angles: Not applicable over hurdles.
  • Individual Price Hint: TACKLETOMMYWOOWOO (IRE) can be expected to be up with the pace but has a record of disappointing after trading much lower than Betfair SP.

Runner Comments:

  • TACKLETOMMYWOOWOO (IRE): Progressive. Solid second at Listowel (TFR 109, strong closing FS%). Still in contention when falling at the last in a stronger Kilbeggan handicap. Overall profile is upwardly mobile. One of few likely to be forwardly placed in a slowly-run affair. The pace and trip combination are ideal. Front-runner.
  • CAPTAIN P (IRE): Promising. Lightly raced and showed distinct promise when 5th on handicap debut at Downpatrick (Tfig 109.7, Adj 88). Shapes as though a thorough test suits. With an EPF of 3.54, he should be well-positioned tactically. An improver in a weak race. Unexposed in handicaps.
  • TECHNOLOGY (IRE): Proven. Best of the hold-up types here, running with credit at Roscommon last time. His recent Tfigs (110.9) suggest he’s performing at the upper end of the 0–100 bracket. The race setup again presents a tactical hurdle given his EPF of 1.0. Reliable figures, but style a concern in this setup. Wears tongue tie.
  • STELLAR SYMPHONY (IRE): Proven. Runner-up at Cork and effective at staying trips on good ground. Her Tfigs are strong in this context (e.g., 115.9 at Cork). Not always convincing off the bridle and may again find a couple with greater tactical strength finishing in front. Strong closing effort last time, lacks gear change. Wears tongue tie.
  • JOLLIE COSMOS (IRE): Unexposed. Back on track with a staying-on 4th at Kilbeggan (Adj 98+). Lightly raced in handicaps and showed a finishing effort that suggests potential upside. A soft early pace could be an issue, but she’s one to keep onside in a similar contest. May be on the improve, track pace not ideal.
  • ROYAL CAVE (IRE): Unreliable but capable. Showed her best form when looking the winner before falling last season. Ran poorly last time but may strip fitter now. Risks are clear.
  • FILL THE TANK (IRE): Proven. Didn’t run too badly when 5th at Kilbeggan. Has dropped in the weights and goes well when things fall right. An outsider to note if others falter late. On a fair mark, one-paced but game. Wears cheekpieces.
  • DERBY ROCK (IRE): Proven. Better effort last time and bred to stay well. One-paced type who may plug on into a place if the leaders misjudge things. Limited upside, could grab minor money. Wears cheekpieces and tongue tie.
  • BOB THE BUILDER (IRE): Little solid form under Rules. Dual point winner. Tried in cheekpieces.
  • PHOENIX COWBOY (USA): Modest maiden handicap hurdler. Well below form last time. Wears headgear and tongue tie.
  • GALI FLIGHT (FR): Fair hurdler. Weak finisher. Wears cheekpieces/tongue tie.
  • BALLINABOOLA JET (IRE): Poor form over hurdles. Well held in bumper.
  • PHILDANTE (IRE): Poor maiden hurdler. Stepped up on reappearance last time. Wears tongue tie.
  • CAPTAIN KATE (IRE): Poor maiden hurdler. Well below form last time. Wears headgear.
  • SCHIEHALLION (IRE): Modest maiden handicap hurdler. Good effort when second at Down Royal. Wears cheekpieces.
  • GLENDINE BILLY (IRE): Fair maiden hurdler. Shaped as if needing run last time.
  • I’M FLATTERED (IRE): Little show in maiden hurdles. Well held in bumper. Wears tongue tie.

Private Tissue Estimates:

  • TACKLETOMMYWOOWOO – 4/1
  • CAPTAIN P – 5/1
  • TECHNOLOGY – 6/1
  • STELLAR SYMPHONY – 7/1
  • JOLLIE COSMOS – 8/1
  • ROYAL CAVE – 10/1
  • FILL THE TANK – 14/1
  • Others 20/1+

ChatGPT Smart Plays:

  • Win Selection: TACKLETOMMYWOOWOO – Consistent, tactically suited, strong form at the trip.
  • Each-Way Saver: CAPTAIN P – Second start in handicaps, big potential.

19:17 Wexford – WTW Willis Handicap Hurdle (Div I)

  • Pace Angles: Weak pace forecast. Forward goers like SHARETHEKNOWLEDGE and BALLYCOMMON CHAPEL are tactically advantaged. Hold-up types such as SPLENDID CHOICE and CHOSEN SHANT face track-position risks. The suspicion the pace will be steady should boost the chances of SHARETHEKNOWLEDGE (IRE) more than those of BALLYCOMMON CHAPEL (IRE).
  • Draw Angles: Not applicable over hurdles.
  • Individual Price Hint: SHARETHEKNOWLEDGE (IRE) is likely to take up a forward position but has lost out before after trading much lower than Betfair SP.

Runner Comments:

  • SHARETHEKNOWLEDGE (IRE): Progressive. Front-running style suits the projected weak pace. Went close behind Adaliz at Clonmel (Adj 110+). Fourth at Limerick last time in a stronger race, and his FS% was solid (103.3). Form has depth and a tactical setup in his favour. Retains upside off this mark and is one of few solid options from the front. Wears tongue tie.
  • CHOSEN SHANT (IRE): Proven. Back on track when second at Cork last time in mares’ company (Adj 108). Has posted several credible efforts in similar contests. Her EPF of 2.21 suggests she may again find herself mid-pack without a strong pace to aim at. Needs gaps to appear late but looks fit and firing. Sometimes in tongue tie (left off last time).
  • SPLENDID CHOICE (IRE): Proven. C&D winner in May and ran well again here on latest start when 5th (Tfig 106, Adj 103). Tends to be ridden patiently, which isn’t ideal for today’s setup. Clearly likes the track and has a solid profile for a place. Yard operating well in similar contests. Usually wears headgear.
  • THE BORDER BOY (IRE): Proven. Patchy profile but not without merit. Ran better than for a while when 8¼ lengths fourth at Tramore. May surprise with sharper placement early. Wears headgear and tongue tie. Usually races in rear.
  • CAILIN AIBREAN (IRE): Interesting. Ran her best race at Bellewstown last summer (Adj 111). Off since. If ready, that effort alone would see her in the mix. Tongue-tied for stable debut and worth monitoring in the market. Unproven beyond 17f.
  • CRUISIN SUSAN (IRE): Course Specialist. Well handicapped based on her C&D win in 2024 (Adj 108+). Form has dipped since but is well drawn. If fit off the break, she’s capable of springing a place shock. Wears hood.
  • KATE ILL KNOW (IRE): Proven. Wexford scorer. Shaped as if in need of the run at Roscommon. Strong FS% figures on occasion suggest she’s capable when on song, but there’s an element of trust needed. Wears tongue tie.
  • BEARAMI CREEK (IRE): Modest form over hurdles. Ran poorly on handicap debut last time.
  • BALLYCOMMON CHAPEL (IRE): Modest maiden handicap hurdler. Well below form last time. Tried in blinkers.
  • STORMY JENN (IRE): Modest maiden hurdler at best. Will prove best at bare 2m. Tried in hood.
  • LADYBELA (IRE): Little impact over hurdles. Often in hood. Smart Stat: P. Kiely’s profit when having only one runner on the card (+£17.50).
  • TENNESSE BOY (IRE): Little show in maiden/handicap hurdles. Wears tongue tie.
  • KIR ROYAL BLOU (FR): No form over hurdles. Wears tongue strap and cheekpieces.
  • SURVIVING MURMANSK (IRE): Poor maiden handicap hurdler. Unproven beyond 17f. Tried in blinkers.
  • SLEA HEAD (IRE): No show in 4 maiden hurdles.
  • SIDIRIYA (IRE): Modest maiden hurdler. Shaped as if retaining ability last time. Tried in cheekpieces.
  • BELLE OF BOSTON (IRE): Little show in maiden hurdles. Racing freely.

Private Tissue Estimates:

  • SHARETHEKNOWLEDGE – 3/1
  • CHOSEN SHANT – 4/1
  • SPLENDID CHOICE – 11/2
  • THE BORDER BOY – 7/1
  • CAILIN AIBREAN – 8/1
  • KATE ILL KNOW – 10/1
  • Others 16/1+

ChatGPT Smart Plays:

  • Win Selection: SHARETHEKNOWLEDGE – Front-runner, course form, has pace control.
  • Each-Way Saver: CAILIN AIBREAN – Back class and strong adjusted ratings when right.

19:47 Wexford – WTW Willis Handicap Hurdle (Div II)

  • Pace Angles: Even pace forecast. No standout trailblazers, tactical advantage lies with adaptable types or those with tactical speed. The likelihood that the pace won’t be overly strong should boost the prospects of APPLEJACK POET (IRE) over REDCLIFF GLEN (GER).
  • Draw Angles: Not applicable in NH races.
  • Individual Price Hint: N/A.

Runner Comments:

  • KAIKOURA (FR): Progressive. Looked a big threat when a close third here earlier this month (Adj 107+), blundering 2 out but still showing the best overall Tfig (110) in this field. Kept fresh and returns to identical conditions. Back class and improving trajectory mark him as a serious player. Suited by the even pace scenario and prominent racing style. Wears tongue strap and hood.
  • MENAS MIRACLE (IRE): Proven & improving. Bolted up over C&D 20 days ago, beating subsequent form horses. Form is solid (Adj 104+) and although now 10 lb higher, she retains winning potential under the same conditional. Her FS% and closing efficiency indicate a turn of foot that will be useful in an evenly-run contest. Wears tongue tie.
  • QUINN THE ESKIMO (GER): Promising. Let down by a modest effort at Limerick last time. Prior Down Royal win was smooth and earned him an Adj 109+. Still has scope to progress and can bounce back if previous run is forgiven. Drawn mid-pack and may need breaks but certainly of interest.
  • APPLEJACK POET (IRE): Proven. Consistent without winning this term. Has track form and was placed in solidly-run contests. Tactically versatile but seems best when not having to force things. Often travels well but doesn’t find much off the bridle. Wears headgear/tongue tie.
  • ONLY A DOLLAR (IRE): Modest but genuine. Has shown glimpses of form at this trip (Adj 107 last time). Not progressive but a grinder who can stick on into the frame if things fall right. Better around 17f, so today’s trip poses a slight stamina question. Often in hood.
  • PLEASUREOFPRESSURE (IRE): Unexposed. Off a featherweight, showed some promise behind MENAS MIRACLE last time. Quietly progressive but yet to fully convince over this sharp trip. Should travel into it if the tempo lifts. Usually races off pace.
  • PAUL’S DREAM (IRE): Trainer persistence. Midfield on reappearance. Better expected second up, and fits the mould of an “unexposed type” at 0–100 level. Has stamina for a finish, and trainer tends to bring them on.
  • REDCLIFF GLEN (GER): Inconsistent. Flopped last time but retains a back form line (Limerick win) that would put him in the frame. Hard to trust. Wears tongue tie.
  • LILY’S CHOICE (IRE): Modest maiden hurdler. Absent since 2023/24. Wears hood.
  • YOU PLAYED WELL (IRE): Modest form over hurdles. Well held in handicap in May. Wears tongue tie.
  • DONTDOODDSON (FR): One-time fair handicap hurdler/winning chaser. Tailed off over hurdles last time.
  • LAURO LADY (IRE): Little form in maiden/handicap hurdles.
  • MONNOW VALLEY (IRE): Well held in maiden/handicap hurdles. Wears cheekpieces and tongue tie.
  • HOPE SHE FLIES (IRE): Poor form over hurdles.
  • KAZBEK (IRE): Modest form in bumpers. Mid-division at best in maiden hurdles. Should be suited by at least 2½m.

Private Tissue Estimates:

  • KAIKOURA – 7/2
  • MENAS MIRACLE – 4/1
  • QUINN THE ESKIMO – 6/1
  • APPLEJACK POET – 8/1
  • ONLY A DOLLAR – 10/1
  • PLEASUREOFPRESSURE – 10/1
  • Others 14/1+

ChatGPT Smart Plays:

  • Win Selection: KAIKOURA – Progressive, track form, peak run incoming.
  • Each-Way Saver: APPLEJACK POET – Consistent placer, good track record.

20:17 Wexford – Park Run At Wexford Racecourse Saturday Mornings I.N.H. Flat Race

  • Pace Angles: Even pace forecast. Hold-up runners have an edge over this course and trip, but today’s expected even tempo may favour more tactically versatile types rather than deep closers. The pace will sway things against BIDDY EARLY (IRE) in favour of ALASKAN VIEW (IRE).
  • Draw Angles: Not applicable.
  • Individual Price Hint: BIDDY EARLY (IRE) was beaten last time out when trading at 50% or less of her starting Betfair SP.

Runner Comments:

  • ALASKAN VIEW (IRE): Promising. Runner-up on debut at Tramore (good-ground bumper), showing strong travel and responsiveness. Return to ~2m is ideal. Her sectionals in that Tramore race suggested she has a turn of foot, and her top EPF rating confirms tactical pace. 98-day layoff not concerning for a bumper mare. Key stats: 56% strike rate for rider (Mr J. L. Gleeson) on bumper favourites. Wears tongue tie.
  • MISTYBURN (IRE): Interesting debutant. Brother to bumper winner, and dam was a dual-purpose winner. Impressed when winning a point in May. Represents a stable with a strong bumper record. Market support could be telling. Winning pointer. No form under Rules yet.
  • KOOL RUNNINGS (IRE): Improving type. Shaped with definite promise at Kilbeggan (5th of 16), where he was a touch keen early and green late but travelled notably well. Timefigure (81+) from that run is competitive. With natural improvement he’s a serious each-way player. Wears hood and tongue strap.
  • BIDDY EARLY (IRE): Promising, but with a warning. Eye-catching second on debut at Clonmel but flopped badly next time when well-supported in the market. Her closing sectionals on debut suggested potential, but the regression on second start plus negative pace bias today makes her risky.
  • GOVERNORS ROCK (IRE): Likely improver. 8th at Bellewstown was a typical quiet debut. Dam’s family includes stayers and he’s likely to progress. The trip may be sharp. Scope for significant improvement though unproven.
  • BRADLEY’S ROW (IRE): Minor encouragement. Moved up stylishly turning in on debut before fading. That experience should bring him on but he’ll need to step up plenty to feature.
  • TALAS KERA (IRE): Unknown profile. Well-bred filly making debut for a yard that can ready one. No market evidence yet. Respect any late moves. Wears hood. No form under Rules yet.
  • JALFREZI (IRE): Very hard to assess on evidence so far. Likely watching brief. No form under Rules yet.
  • CAILIN FORT (IRE): Very hard to assess on evidence so far. Likely watching brief. No form under Rules yet.
  • POINTWELLTAKEN (IRE): Very hard to assess on evidence so far. Likely watching brief. Outpaced on debut.
  • OWL’S DELIGHT (IRE): Unraced or poor figures to date. No form under Rules yet. Wears hood and tongue strap.
  • KERSHAW (IRE): Unraced or poor figures to date. Runner-up sole start in points. No form under Rules yet.

Private Tissue Estimates:

  • ALASKAN VIEW – 5/2
  • MISTYBURN – 3/1
  • KOOL RUNNINGS – 9/2
  • BIDDY EARLY – 6/1
  • GOVERNORS ROCK – 8/1
  • Others 14/1+

ChatGPT Smart Plays:

  • Win Selection: ALASKAN VIEW – Clear best effort on form; ideal conditions.
  • Each-Way Saver: KOOL RUNNINGS – Solid figure and will improve with experience.

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