14:08 Wexford: WEXFORD TOWN MARES BEGINNERS CHASE
This is a 2m Beginners Chase with a prize of €6,600, open to horses aged 4 years and older. There are 7 declared runners competing on Yielding going. The Pace Forecast is Very Weak, with a specific hint that this should not inconvenience COSTANUCI (IRE).
Analyst’s Verdict & Key Contenders (Timeform): The Timeform analyst gives the main vote to COSTANUCI (IRE). Jeaniemacaroney (IRE) is identified as a potential big threat if she takes to chasing on debut, and Gers Gigi (IRE) is expected to build on her recent course chase debut.
Smart Stats to Consider:
• No specific “Smart Stats” are provided for trainers/jockeys in this particular race from the Timeform analyst perspective, however, Joseph Patrick O’Brien, who saddles JEANIEMACARONEY (IRE), has a profit of £12.43 to a £1 level stake with only one runner on the card in chases.
Pertinent Comments for All Runners:
• 1 BYNX (IRE) (Jockey: Sean Flanagan, Age: 7, Wgt: 11-7, TFR: ?)
◦ A fair handicap hurdler, who was below form on her final 2024/25 outing.
◦ Pulled up on her chasing debut.
◦ Stays 21f and acts on heavy going.
◦ Considered regressive and likely to be outpaced by ChatGPT.
◦ EPF (Early Position Forecast): 1.5.
• 2 COSTANUCI (IRE) (Jockey: B. Hayes, Age: 8, Wgt: 11-7, TFR: 131)
◦ A winning hurdler and fairly useful maiden chaser.
◦ Shaped as if retaining ability with a 3rd place after 11 months off.
◦ Stays 23f and acts on heavy going.
◦ Proven over fences, bringing the best chase form and solid timefigures to the race.
◦ EPF: 2.5.
• 3 GERS GIGI (IRE) (Jockey: Sam Ewing, Age: 6, Wgt: 11-7, TFR: 122p)
◦ A bumper winner and fairly useful hurdler, who won a mares maiden at Sligo.
◦ Shaped as if in need of experience on her chasing debut and should do better.
◦ Promising and expected to improve second time over fences, as Gordon Elliott-trained mares often do.
◦ Stays 2½m and acts on soft and good to firm going.
◦ EPF: 4.
• 4 JEANIEMACARONEY (IRE) (Jockey: S. D. Torrens, Age: 5, Wgt: 11-7)
◦ Fairly useful on Flat (won at Tramore) and a fairly useful hurdler (won at Roscommon and Thurles).
◦ An interesting chasing newcomer, likely to be a front-runner.
◦ Her trainer, Joseph Patrick O’Brien, has a notable profit with single runners in chases.
◦ Raced mainly around 2m and acts on heavy going.
◦ EPF: 3.5.
• 5 LITTLEBIGGIE (IRE) (Jockey: Liam Quinlan, Age: 8, Wgt: 11-7)
◦ An easy point winner and fairly useful hurdler, who won a mares maiden at Killarney.
◦ Has been well held in handicaps on both comeback runs this term.
◦ Tends to pull hard if restrained.
◦ Considered out of form and difficult to trust by ChatGPT.
◦ EPF: 5.
• 6 MA BELLE ETOILE (IRE) (Jockey: D. J. O’Keeffe, Age: 6, Wgt: 11-7, TFR: 104+)
◦ A bumper winner and fairly useful hurdler, who won a novice at Cork.
◦ Struggled badly on her chasing debut at Tramore, but should prove capable of better.
◦ Trainer Henry de Bromhead has a 21% strike rate at Wexford since 2021/22.
◦ Raced around 17f and usually races close up.
◦ EPF: 2.
• 7 TELL ME THIS (IRE) (Jockey: Keith Donoghue, Age: 7, Wgt: 11-7, TFR: 107+)
◦ Fell in all 3 point-to-point starts and is a fair hurdler, winning a conditional jockeys maiden at Ballinrobe.
◦ Was well below par on her chasing debut.
◦ Her yard is adept at progressing chasing types, making her one not to rule out entirely if she bounces back.
◦ Stays 2¼m and acts on soft going.
◦ EPF: 4.5.
Private Tissue Estimate:
• Costanuci: 15/8
• Gers Gigi: 10/3
• Jeaniemacaroney: 4/1
• Ma Belle Etoile: 7/1
• Tell Me This: 10/1
• Littlebiggie: 16/1
• Bynx: 33/1
ChatGPT Smart Plays:
• Win Selection: Costanuci – holds the best chase form and is ideally suited by the race profile.
• Saver: Gers Gigi – an improving sort with the trainer angle on side, expected to go close.
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14:38 Wexford: FORTH MOUNTAIN TRAILS BEGINNERS CHASE
This is a 2m Beginners Chase with a prize of €6,600, open to horses aged 4 years and older. There are 6 declared runners competing on Yielding going. The Pace Forecast is Very Weak, with a hint that LE COQ HARDI (IRE) should be immune to race tactics.
Analyst’s Verdict & Key Contenders (Timeform): If LE COQ HARDI (IRE) reproduces his Kilbeggan form, he will be hard to stop. YOU OUGHTA KNOW (IRE), runner-up on the same Kilbeggan card, is highlighted as the obvious threat.
Smart Stats to Consider:
• Trainer Henry de Bromhead, who saddles LE COQ HARDI (IRE), has 2 winners in the past 7 runnings of this race. He also boasts a 21% strike rate at Wexford since the start of the 2021/22 season.
• Trainer W. P. Mullins, who saddles YOU OUGHTA KNOW (IRE), has a 30% strike rate with chasers running up to 2m3f.
Pertinent Comments for All Runners:
• 1 FIVEONEFIVE (IRE) (Jockey: Jordan Colin Gainford, Age: 7, Wgt: 11-12, TFR: 144)
◦ A useful handicap hurdler, who won at Cartmel for the third successive season in June.
◦ He tends to race well off the pace, which could be a disadvantage in a weakly run race.
◦ Makes his chase debut at the age of 7 and is not bred for chasing.
◦ Stays 23f and acts on soft going.
◦ EPF (Early Position Forecast): 3.5.
• 2 LE COQ HARDI (IRE) (Jockey: D. J. O’Keeffe, Age: 6, Wgt: 11-12, TFR: 149)
◦ Has shown fairly useful form over hurdles and has taken well to chasing (useful form).
◦ Ran well under a change of tactics when 2nd at Kilbeggan last time, demonstrating versatility.
◦ Sets the highest standard in the race with a TFR of 149.
◦ Stays 2½m and acts on good to soft going.
◦ EPF: 4.5.
• 3 RAUZAN (IRE) (Jockey: J. J. Slevin, Age: 5, Wgt: 11-12)
◦ A fairly useful hurdler who recorded a 4-timer in the first half of 2024/25.
◦ Needs fitness and jumping to prove after a break.
◦ Likely more effective over further, needs a softer pace.
◦ Stays 2¾m and acts on good to soft going.
◦ EPF: 4.
• 4 WAR CORRESPONDENT (IRE) (Jockey: Mr P. J. Cody (7), Age: 6, Wgt: 11-12)
◦ Fairly useful on Flat and a fairly useful handicap hurdler.
◦ His temperament is questionable, and his long-term profile does not suggest he is suited to fences.
◦ Stays 21f and acts on soft going.
◦ EPF: 1.5.
• 5 YOU OUGHTA KNOW (IRE) (Jockey: P. Townend, Age: 7, Wgt: 11-12, TFR: 142)
◦ A dual bumper winner and has shown fairly useful form over hurdles.
◦ Shaped well when 2nd on his completed chase start at Kilbeggan.
◦ Is lightly raced over fences and likely to show further improvement.
◦ Stays 3m and acts on soft going.
◦ EPF: 2.5.
• 6 MISS OREO (IRE) (Jockey: P. Hanlon (7), Age: 7, Wgt: 11-5, TFR: 116)
◦ A winning pointer and hurdler, but a fair maiden chaser at best.
◦ Often jumps left and shows little finishing effort.
◦ A long-priced outsider with no real upside at this level.
◦ Stays 2½m and acts on soft going.
◦ EPF: 1.
Private Tissue Estimate:
• Le Coq Hardi: 11/10
• You Oughta Know: 2/1
• Fiveonefive: 7/1
• Rauzan: 14/1
• War Correspondent: 25/1
• Miss Oreo: 100/1
ChatGPT Smart Plays:
• Win Selection: Le Coq Hardi – strong chase form and well-handled tactical setups.
• Saver: You Oughta Know – a progressive Mullins type making his second run over fences.
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15:08 Wexford: ADARE MANOR OPPORTUNITY HANDICAP CHASE
This is a 2m Opportunity Handicap Chase with a prize of €9,900, open to horses aged 4 years and older. There are 9 declared runners competing on Yielding going. The Pace Forecast is Strong, which typically disfavours hold-up horses but may offset that bias in this specific instance. The forecast suggests KILASHEE (IRE) will be vulnerable while BE FIERCE (IRE)’s prospects look better.
Analyst’s Verdict & Key Contenders (Timeform): WONLEG (IRE) is taken to win and provide Henry de Bromhead with a second successive win in this race. BE FIERCE (IRE) is the chief threat if he’s recovered from his fall. SPELLACY’S CROSS (IRE) is also mentioned as a potential contender.
Smart Stats to Consider:
• Trainer Philip Fenton, who saddles LAKE CHAD (IRE), has a notable profit of £49.50 to a £1 level stake with only one runner on the card in chases.
• Trainer Henry de Bromhead, who saddles WONLEG (IRE), has a 21% strike rate at Wexford since 2021/22 and a 19% strike rate with handicap chase debutants.
Pertinent Comments for All Runners:
• 1 WONLEG (IRE) (Jockey: Patrick Michael O’Brien (4), Age: 5, Wgt: 11-12, TFR: 127+)
◦ An improving horse over fences, who shaped well when 3rd last time.
◦ Makes his handicap debut from a workable mark and his jumping is sharpening.
◦ The de Bromhead stable has won this race before and has strong Wexford stats.
◦ Stays at least 2½m and acts on soft going.
◦ EPF (Early Position Forecast): 4.5.
• 2 BE FIERCE (IRE) (Jockey: Shane O’Callaghan (2), Age: 8, Wgt: 11-11, TFR: 126p)
◦ Looked progressive last season, winning a novice race and travelling comfortably before falling on reappearance.
◦ Timefigures from last season suggest he is well-handicapped.
◦ Travels well and should be suited by a strong pace, but there’s a minor fitness concern.
◦ Stays 19f and acts on heavy going.
◦ EPF: 3.5.
• 3 YOUR HONOR (IRE) (Jockey: Gearoid Patrick Brouder, Age: 6, Wgt: 11-10, TFR: 122)
◦ A fairly useful handicap hurdler, but currently operating below his best.
◦ Has shown patchy form and has only minor claims.
◦ Probably stays 19f and acts on heavy going.
◦ EPF: 1.
• 4 LAKEFIELD FLYER (IRE) (Jockey: P. Hanlon (4), Age: 7, Wgt: 11-6, TFR: 125)
◦ Consistent over fences with 2 wins and 2 seconds from 4 completed starts.
◦ Displayed toughness to hold on gamely last time and is effective on most goings.
◦ A hard-knocking sort who is fully fit.
◦ Stays 19f and acts on soft and good to firm going.
◦ EPF: 1.5.
• 5 LAKE CHAD (IRE) (Jockey: Niall Moore (2), Age: 10, Wgt: 11-5, TFR: 120x)
◦ A fair handicap hurdler and chaser, who has won multiple times.
◦ Has yet to fire this season, and his form is tailing off, with mistakes being a problem.
◦ Prone to mistakes over fences.
◦ Effective at 2m to 2¾m and acts on heavy going.
◦ EPF: 2.5.
• 6 PRINCE OF AIR (FR) (Jockey: Alex Harvey, Age: 8, Wgt: 11-1, TFR: 125)
◦ A modest handicap hurdler and fair handicap chaser, with wins at Thurles and Tramore.
◦ A solid operator at this level with consistent placed form, but with little upside.
◦ Stays 2½m and acts on soft going.
◦ EPF: 2.
• 7 SOLLY ATTWELL (IRE) (Jockey: Tiernan Power Roche, Age: 7, Wgt: 10-12, TFR: 119+)
◦ A fair handicap hurdler, seemingly being brought along gradually over fences.
◦ Hit an in-running low when beaten last time, suggesting he’s better than bare results.
◦ A watching brief is advised today due to a long absence (68 days) and lack of market support.
◦ Stays 3m and acts on good to soft going.
◦ EPF: 5.
• 8 KILASHEE (IRE) (Jockey: Conor Clarke (4), Age: 10, Wgt: 10-8, TFR: 129)
◦ A fair handicap hurdler and chaser, with multiple wins.
◦ Made the running and was only caught late last time.
◦ A strong pace could leave her vulnerable in the finish.
◦ Stays 23f and acts on heavy going.
◦ EPF: 0.5.
• 9 SPELLACY’S CROSS (IRE) (Jockey: P. T. Smithers (4), Age: 6, Wgt: 10-0, TFR: 124)
◦ Has shown good placed efforts in his last two hurdle starts, signalling a form resurgence.
◦ His chase record is moderate to date, and his jumping reliability must improve.
◦ Stays 3¼m and acts on good to firm and heavy going.
◦ EPF: 2.5.
Private Tissue Estimate:
• Wonleg: 3/1
• Be Fierce: 7/2
• Lakefield Flyer: 4/1
• Prince of Air: 7/1
• Spellacy’s Cross: 10/1
• Kilashee: 10/1
• Your Honor: 16/1
• Lake Chad: 25/1
• Solly Attwell: 33/1
ChatGPT Smart Plays:
• Win Selection: Wonleg – progressive over fences and likely to find more off his current mark.
• Each-Way Saver: Prince of Air – well positioned to stay on into the places.
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15:38 Wexford: WEXFORD RACECOURSE SUPPORTERS CLUB HANDICAP CHASE
This is a 2m Handicap Chase for horses rated 0-100, aged 4 years and older. There are 14 declared runners competing on Yielding going. The Pace Forecast is Even, with a hint that this should boost the chances of CROWSATEDAPPLETART (IRE) over KATAKANA (FR).
Analyst’s Verdict & Key Contenders (Timeform): CHARLIES PRIDE (IRE) is taken to defy the handicapper due to his potential for further improvement. CROWSATEDAPPLETART (IRE) is the second choice, being another last-time-out winner. KATAKANA (FR) is also considered a potential contender.
Smart Stats to Consider:
• Trainer Henry de Bromhead, who saddles KATAKANA (FR), has a 21% strike rate at Wexford since 2021/22 and a 19% strike rate with handicap chase debutants.
Pertinent Comments for All Runners:
• 1 CHARLIES PRIDE (IRE) (Jockey: Liam Quinlan, Age: 6, Wgt: 12-0, TFR: 109p)
◦ A winning hurdler, who confirmed promise of his chasing debut by winning a handicap at Roscommon last time.
◦ He is on an upward curve, unexposed over fences, and likely has more to come.
◦ Raced mainly around 2m and acts on soft going.
◦ EPF (Early Position Forecast): 1.5.
• 2 CROWSATEDAPPLETART (IRE) (Jockey: Gearoid Patrick Brouder (3), Age: 8, Wgt: 12-0, TFR: 112)
◦ A fair handicap hurdler and chaser, who won convincingly at Wexford last time.
◦ He is in excellent form, with robust timefigures.
◦ Suited by the pace, track, and distance, and expected to be hard to beat if he repeats his last effort.
◦ Stays 21f and acts on heavy going.
◦ EPF: 2.
• 3 GET IT RIGHT (IRE) (Jockey: S. F. O’Keeffe, Age: 7, Wgt: 12-0, TFR: 106)
◦ A maiden hurdler with modest form over fences, who won a handicap in May but was pulled up last time.
◦ Has an inconsistent profile which limits trust.
◦ Stays 2¾m and acts on good to soft going.
◦ EPF: 0.5.
• 4 RIVER VALE (IRE) (Jockey: S. Fitzgerald, Age: 9, Wgt: 12-0, TFR: 100)
◦ A point winner with fair form over hurdles.
◦ His mark is workable, and he may improve for a switch to fences, but he lacks chase experience.
◦ Stays 19f and acts on soft going.
◦ EPF: 3.
• 5 FINNIANS ROW (IRE) (Jockey: Patrick Michael O’Brien (7), Age: 9, Wgt: 11-10, TFR: 107?)
◦ A maiden hurdler and modest handicap chaser, who won at Gowran.
◦ Has been below form in his last three starts.
◦ Usually races prominently.
◦ Stays 2½m and acts on soft and good to firm going.
◦ EPF: 0.5.
• 6 KATAKANA (FR) (Jockey: D. J. O’Keeffe, Age: 5, Wgt: 11-10, TFR: 99p)
◦ A dual bumper winner in France, with modest form over hurdles.
◦ Shaped encouragingly when placed on her chasing debut and is open to improvement.
◦ Nicely weighted and has scope to improve over fences.
◦ Stays 2¼m and acts on good to soft going.
◦ EPF: 3.5.
• 7 FIGUREHEAD (IRE) (Jockey: P. Cleary (7), Age: 8, Wgt: 11-6, TFR: 108)
◦ A fair maiden on Flat and modest maiden hurdler.
◦ Seemed stretched by the longer trip on his chasing debut.
◦ Usually races close up.
◦ Best up to 2¾m and acts on heavy going.
◦ EPF: 4.5.
• 8 MUST BE DREAMING (IRE) (Jockey: J. J. Slevin, Age: 8, Wgt: 11-4, TFR: 108)
◦ A winning hurdler and modest handicap chaser, who won at Tramore.
◦ Has been well below form in her last two starts.
◦ Capable on a going day but risky.
◦ Stays 2¾m and acts on good to soft going.
◦ EPF: 2.5.
• 9 FOREVER FRANKIE (IRE) (Jockey: C. M. Quirke, Age: 9, Wgt: 11-1, TFR: 99+)
◦ A modest maiden hurdler, who shaped as if retaining ability on his return after 14 months off.
◦ Raced around 2m and acts on good to soft going.
◦ EPF: 2.
• 10 ONEBRIGHTBLUEROSE (IRE) (Jockey: D. King, Age: 6, Wgt: 10-10, TFR: 107)
◦ A modest handicap hurdler, who won at Wexford.
◦ Has shown only poor form over fences so far.
◦ Form is patchy over fences, but she handles Wexford and stays on late.
◦ Unproven beyond 17f and acts on good to soft going.
◦ EPF: 1.
• 11 ADDED BONUS (IRE) (Jockey: Phillip Enright, Age: 11, Wgt: 10-7, TFR: ?)
◦ A poor maiden handicap hurdler and modest handicap chaser at best.
◦ Stays 2¾m and acts on heavy going.
◦ EPF: 5.
• 12 ROMELLA (IRE) (Jockey: Sam Ewing, Age: 11, Wgt: 10-3, TFR: ?)
◦ A modest handicap hurdler, who won at Thurles but was pulled up last time.
◦ Well held in all 3 starts in handicap chases.
◦ Unproven beyond 17f and acts on good to soft going.
◦ EPF: 3.
• 13 KATE ILL KNOW (IRE) (Jockey: M. P. O’Connor, Age: 12, Wgt: 10-2, TFR: 106)
◦ A modest handicap hurdler, who won at Wexford.
◦ Has finished mid-field in all 3 starts in handicap chases.
◦ Stays 2½m and acts on heavy going.
◦ EPF: 4.
• 14 SPECIAL PROTECTOR (IRE) (Jockey: Shane O’Callaghan (5), Age: 7, Wgt: 10-0)
◦ A poor maiden hurdler, unplaced in all 13 starts.
◦ Unproven beyond 2m and acts on soft going.
◦ EPF: 3.52.
Private Tissue Estimate:
• Crowsatedappletart: 3/1
• Charlies Pride: 7/2
• Katakana: 6/1
• River Vale: 8/1
• Get It Right: 10/1
• Must Be Dreaming: 14/1
• Onebrightbluerose: 16/1
• Others: 20/1+
ChatGPT Smart Plays:
• Win Selection: Crowsatedappletart – a repeat of his last effort will make him hard to beat.
• Each-Way Saver: Katakana – back over fences with conditions ideal.
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16:10 Wexford: http://www.wexfordraces.ie BEGINNERS CHASE
This is a 2m 3f 100y Beginners Chase with a prize of €6,600, open to horses aged 4 years and older. There are 11 declared runners competing on Yielding going. The Pace Forecast is Even, with a hint that this shouldn’t bother WEST AWAY (IRE).
Analyst’s Verdict & Key Contenders (Timeform): WEST AWAY (IRE) sets a good standard and is expected to come out on top. GREATNESS AWAITS (IRE) is in top form, and Nouvotic (FR) and Yoradreamer are also of interest.
Smart Stats to Consider:
• Trainer Henry de Bromhead, who saddles NOUVOTIC (FR) and THE ELECTRICAL KID (IRE), has a 21% strike rate at Wexford since 2021/22.
• Trainer W. P. Mullins, who saddles YORADREAMER, has a 30% strike rate with chasers up to 2m3f and a 26% strike rate in summer.
Pertinent Comments for All Runners:
• 1 GREATNESS AWAITS (IRE) (Jockey: Jordan Colin Gainford, Age: 6, Wgt: 11-12, TFR: 124+)
◦ A fairly useful handicap hurdler, who has been successful in 2 of his 3 starts since joining Cian Collins.
◦ Comes into chasing in top form and has proven stamina and attitude, though his jumping ability needs to be proven.
◦ Stays 23f and acts on good to firm and heavy going.
◦ EPF (Early Position Forecast): 4.5.
• 2 IAMAGETAWAY (IRE) (Jockey: K. C. Sexton, Age: 6, Wgt: 11-12, TFR: 128)
◦ Improved significantly when 2nd on his chasing debut, jumping well and clearing the rest of the field.
◦ Could be a place player if he repeats that effort.
◦ Stays 2¾m and acts on good to soft going.
◦ EPF: 0.5.
• 3 MACINAMILLION (IRE) (Jockey: Keith Donoghue, Age: 5, Wgt: 11-12, TFR: 127)
◦ Has fairly useful form over fences, but his latest run saw him pulled up.
◦ Considered risky due to inconsistency, but capable on his day.
◦ Raced mainly around 2m and acts on heavy going.
◦ EPF: 3.
• 4 MASTERBOY DAVIS (FR) (Jockey: Danny Gilligan, Age: 6, Wgt: 11-12)
◦ Has fair form over hurdles, but was tailed-off on his return.
◦ Looks like a handicap project rather than a contender here.
◦ Should stay beyond 3m and acts on soft going.
◦ EPF: 1.5.
• 5 NOUVOTIC (FR) (Jockey: D. J. O’Keeffe, Age: 5, Wgt: 11-12, TFR: 124p)
◦ Showed promise when 3rd on his chasing debut despite a bad mistake that cost him 2nd place.
◦ Represents de Bromhead and has plenty of scope for improvement over fences.
◦ Stays 2¾m and acts on heavy going.
◦ EPF: 2.
• 6 PALAMON (IRE) (Jockey: Sean Flanagan, Age: 6, Wgt: 11-12)
◦ Has shown fairly useful form on Flat and over hurdles, but inconsistent.
◦ Fences might help him.
◦ Stays 2½m and acts on heavy going.
◦ EPF: 3.5.
• 7 RUN FOR PAT (IRE) (Jockey: Sam Ewing, Age: 8, Wgt: 11-12, TFR: ?)
◦ A fairly useful hurdler who fell heavily on his chasing debut and has been absent since (767 days).
◦ His jumping needs watching after such a long layoff.
◦ Stays 3m and acts on soft going.
◦ EPF: 0.5.
• 8 THE ELECTRICAL KID (IRE) (Jockey: M. P. O’Connor, Age: 8, Wgt: 11-12, TFR: 112p)
◦ Showed encouragement on his chasing debut and is open to improvement.
◦ Has scope, especially for handicaps down the line.
◦ EPF: 2.5.
• 9 WEST AWAY (IRE) (Jockey: C. Stone-Walsh, Age: 7, Wgt: 11-12, TFR: 136)
◦ Set a good standard on his Kilbeggan 4th and is expected to come out on top.
◦ His Kilbeggan run, despite a bad mistake at the last, showed a solid profile.
◦ Possesses hurdling form in the 120s and tactical adaptability.
◦ Stays 2¾m and acts on good to firm and heavy going.
◦ EPF: 0.5.
• 10 YORADREAMER (IRE) (Jockey: P. Townend, Age: 6, Wgt: 11-12)
◦ Won a weak maiden hurdle well, but a pulled-up effort next time raises questions.
◦ He is a Mullins runner with Paul Townend in the plate, and the market will be informative.
◦ Stays 19f and acts on soft going.
◦ EPF: 4.5.
• 11 LUCY WANG (IRE) (Jockey: Phillip Enright, Age: 5, Wgt: 11-5)
◦ Showed fair form once as a juvenile, but has had little impact since.
◦ Considered vulnerable.
◦ Unproven beyond 17f and acts on heavy going.
◦ EPF: 1.
Private Tissue Estimate:
• West Away: 7/2
• Greatness Awaits: 9/2
• Nouvotic: 6/1
• Iamagetaway: 13/2
• Yoradreamer: 7/1
• The Electrical Kid: 10/1
• Macinamillion: 12/1
• Palamon: 20/1
• Run For Pat: 25/1
• Masterboy Davis: 33/1
• Lucy Wang: 100/1
ChatGPT Smart Plays:
• Win Selection: West Away – strong chase debut with scope for more.
• Each-Way Saver: Nouvotic – an improving type with a solid trainer angle.
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16:45 Wexford: SUPPORT THE IRISH INJURED JOCKEYS FUND HANDICAP CHASE
This is a 3m 1f 110y Handicap Chase with a prize of €8,700, open to horses aged 5 years and older. There are 11 declared runners competing on Yielding going. The Pace Forecast is Weak, suggesting this should boost the chances of FAIRYHILL RUN (IRE) more than SAM MAGEE (IRE).
Analyst’s Verdict & Key Contenders (Timeform): PRIDE OF PLACE (IRE) is selected to follow up his Tipperary win. SEA ASTER (IRE) is considered a strong player, and SAM MAGEE (IRE) could improve on his second run back.
Smart Stats to Consider:
• Trainer Henry de Bromhead, who saddles SAM MAGEE (IRE) and HAND OVER FIST (FR), has a 21% strike rate at Wexford since 2021/22.
Pertinent Comments for All Runners:
• 1 SAM MAGEE (IRE) (Jockey: D. J. O’Keeffe, Age: 8, Wgt: 12-0, TFR: 131)
◦ A fairly useful chaser who pulled up on reappearance due to racing too freely.
◦ His profile is inconsistent, and a slow pace today will not help him settle.
◦ Stays 3m and acts on good to soft going.
◦ EPF (Early Position Forecast): 1.5.
• 2 SEA ASTER (IRE) (Jockey: F. Brickley (7), Age: 7, Wgt: 11-12, TFR: 128x)
◦ A fairly useful handicap chaser, who returned to form with a win at Perth last time.
◦ She was a solid second in this race last year, marking her as a reliable benchmark.
◦ Prone to mistakes over fences.
◦ Stays 3¼m and acts on good to firm and heavy going.
◦ EPF: 3.5.
• 3 HASCOEUR CLERMONT (FR) (Jockey: Shane O’Callaghan (5), Age: 8, Wgt: 11-8, TFR: 128§)
◦ A fairly useful handicap chaser who has been below best in all 3 starts since changing trainers.
◦ Considered regressing and looks vulnerable.
◦ Stays 3¼m and acts on heavy going.
◦ EPF: 2.
• 4 GORGEOUS SUSPECT (FR) (Jockey: S. D. Torrens, Age: 9, Wgt: 11-4, TFR: 129)
◦ A winning hurdler with fair form over fences.
◦ Showed a lacklustre effort on his return after 13 months off.
◦ Stays 2¾m and acts on soft going.
◦ EPF: 4.
• 5 HAND OVER FIST (FR) (Jockey: M. P. O’Connor, Age: 8, Wgt: 11-4, TFR: 130)
◦ A fair handicap chaser who looked back in form last time, travelling better than most before weakening.
◦ Has shown flashes of form but is inconsistent.
◦ Stays 25f and acts on good to soft going.
◦ EPF: 2.5.
• 6 CEROC (IRE) (Jockey: Phillip Enright, Age: 7, Wgt: 11-2, TFR: 131§)
◦ A fairly useful chaser who finished a good 2nd last time, but he can be a moody sort.
◦ Expected to take up a forward position, but has a record of disappointing after trading lower than Betfair SP.
◦ Stays 25f and acts on soft going.
◦ EPF: 1.
• 7 RIGGS (IRE) (Jockey: L. A. McKenna (5), Age: 10, Wgt: 11-2, TFR: 128)
◦ A fair handicap chaser who showed a resurgence in form with back-to-back wins in May, including over this C&D.
◦ Capable of grinding out a result, but not always the most reliable.
◦ Stays 3¼m and acts on heavy going.
◦ EPF: 0.5.
• 8 DORANS LAW (IRE) (Jockey: Tiernan Power Roche (5), Age: 7, Wgt: 11-1, TFR: 128)
◦ Has shown fair form over fences, including a 2nd place over a similar trip.
◦ Is well handicapped if he can return to his peak, but jumping frailties remain.
◦ Stays 3¼m and acts on soft going.
◦ EPF: 2.5.
• 9 PRIDE OF PLACE (IRE) (Jockey: C. G. O’Dwyer (5), Age: 6, Wgt: 11-1, TFR: 130p)
◦ Broke through with a dominant 3-length win at Tipperary last time and is open to further progress.
◦ Considered a lightly raced improver who remains ahead of the assessor.
◦ Stays 23f and acts on heavy going.
◦ EPF: 0.5.
• 10 IK’S MAN (FR) (Jockey: J. P. Shinnick (3), Age: 9, Wgt: 11-0, TFR: 129)
◦ A fair chaser who won a handicap at Clonmel and was soon back to form with a 4th place at Killarney.
◦ Has a limited profile and his form has tailed off.
◦ Stays 23f and acts on heavy going.
◦ EPF: 3.5.
• 11 FAIRYHILL RUN (IRE) (Jockey: D. King, Age: 10, Wgt: 10-6, TFR: 133)
◦ A veteran mare who is no longer the force of old but remains effective and has been given a chance by the handicapper.
◦ Has been in the frame in 4 of her last 5 starts.
◦ Well suited to a slow gallop and could pick up the pieces if the pace collapses late.
◦ Stays 29f and acts on heavy going.
◦ EPF: 1.
Private Tissue Estimate:
• Pride of Place: 3/1
• Sea Aster: 5/1
• Riggs: 13/2
• Ceroc: 8/1
• Fairyhill Run: 9/1
• Sam Magee: 10/1
• Dorans Law: 12/1
• Hand Over Fist: 14/1
• Gorgeous Suspect: 16/1
• Ik’s Man: 20/1
• Hascoeur Clermont: 33/1
ChatGPT Smart Plays:
• Win Selection: Pride of Place – remains ahead of the assessor.
• Each-Way Saver: Fairyhill Run – value in a race likely to play to her staying strengths.
——————————————————————————–
17:20 Wexford: RACING AGAIN TOMORROW HANDICAP CHASE
This is a 3m 1f 110y Handicap Chase for horses rated 0-100, aged 5 years and older. There are 19 declared runners competing on Yielding going. The Pace Forecast is Weak, with a specific hint that this should further the chances of LE GRAND VERT (FR) rather than THE LITTLE YANK (IRE).
Analyst’s Verdict & Key Contenders (Timeform): The Timeform analyst gives the main vote to DUE COURSE (IRE), hoping he stays the new trip. Other likely contenders highlighted are The Little Yank (IRE) and the Ayr winner Le Grand Vert (FR).
Smart Stats to Consider:
• Trainer Martin Brassil, who saddles IT’S NEVER SIMPLE (IRE), has a notable profit of £45.33 to a £1 level stake when he has only one runner on the card in chases, and a 23% strike rate with chasers running between 19f and up to 3m.
• Trainer Gavin Patrick Cromwell, who saddles SIGHTS UNSEEN (IRE), has a 19% strike rate with handicap chase debutants.
Pertinent Comments for All Runners:
• 1 LE GRAND VERT (FR) (Jockey: Mr O. McGill (5), Age: 9, Wgt: 12-0, TFR: 110+)
◦ A workmanlike gelding with a breathing operation.
◦ A fair handicap chaser who won at Roscommon and Ayr in commanding fashion.
◦ Thrived since joining Noel Kelly and is proven at the trip.
◦ Stays 3¼m and acts on heavy going.
◦ EPF (Early Position Forecast): 0.5.
• 2 YEWTREE HILL (IRE) (Jockey: B. W. Harvey, Age: 8, Wgt: 12-0, TFR: 106)
◦ A dual point winner, who has been down the field in his two maiden chases.
◦ Tried in a tongue tie.
◦ EPF: 5.
• 3 DUE COURSE (IRE) (Jockey: Keith Donoghue, Age: 7, Wgt: 11-13, TFR: 93P)
◦ A winning pointer and fair handicap hurdler, who won at Bellewstown and Punchestown.
◦ Has shown just modest form over fences so far, but remains open to plenty of improvement.
◦ Races off pace and looks a potential sleeper at these weights.
◦ Stays 2½m and acts on soft going.
◦ EPF: 4.
• 4 SIGHTS UNSEEN (IRE) (Jockey: A. Balfe (7), Age: 6, Wgt: 11-13, TFR: 95p)
◦ A fair handicap hurdler, who won at Downpatrick.
◦ Only 15¾ lengths 3rd on chasing debut, suggesting he should do better and has definite room for improvement.
◦ Unexposed and well placed for this test.
◦ Stays 2¾m and acts on heavy going.
◦ EPF: 3.5.
• 5 ALEISH LASS (IRE) (Jockey: Mr L. Burke-Ott (7), Age: 6, Wgt: 11-12, TFR: 97p)
◦ A winning pointer and fair hurdler, who won a handicap at Limerick.
◦ Was let down by jumping on her only chase outing, but is open to improvement.
◦ Considered one-paced and prone to errors by ChatGPT.
◦ Stays 3m and acts on heavy going.
◦ EPF: 4.5.
• 6 EAGLE TERRACE (IRE) (Jockey: C. Stone-Walsh, Age: 7, Wgt: 11-10, TFR: 109)
◦ A fair hurdler, but a modest handicap chaser, who was below best in all 3 starts in the first half of 2024/25 (absent since).
◦ Has solid chasing form including a win in 2023/24, and a return to a staying trip may suit.
◦ Stays 25f and acts on heavy going.
◦ EPF: 1.
• 7 SOLO FLIGHT (IRE) (Jockey: Alex Harvey (5), Age: 7, Wgt: 11-10, TFR: ?)
◦ Has shown fair form over hurdles, but below that level over fences, and looked a hard ride last time.
◦ Considered well handicapped but needs more resolution.
◦ Stays 3¼m and acts on good to soft going.
◦ EPF: 3.5.
• 8 THE LITTLE YANK (IRE) (Jockey: D. King, Age: 10, Wgt: 11-10, TFR: 112)
◦ A sturdy gelding and fair handicap hurdler, who won at Kilbeggan.
◦ On a long losing run over fences, but is potentially very well handicapped.
◦ Often needs a strong gallop, which the weak pace forecast will hinder.
◦ Stays 3¼m and acts on heavy going.
◦ EPF: 8.
• 9 EMILY’S CHOICE (IRE) (Jockey: E. Staples (7), Age: 7, Wgt: 11-4, TFR: ?)
◦ A winning pointer and dual winning hurdler, but has been down the field in chases.
◦ Considered to have had a poor return and is not proven at this trip.
◦ Unproven beyond 17f, best form on heavy going.
◦ EPF: 2.5.
• 10 IT’S NEVER SIMPLE (IRE) (Jockey: R. A. Doyle, Age: 7, Wgt: 11-3, TFR: ?)
◦ A modest maiden hurdler with a good 4th in a handicap.
◦ Well-beaten on chasing debut, noted as not ideally placed.
◦ Trainer Martin Brassil has strong “Smart Stats” for chasers with single runners and over specific distances, suggesting potential for improvement.
◦ Stays 3m.
◦ EPF: 1.5.
• 11 BONDI BOY BLUE (IRE) (Jockey: Donagh Meyler, Age: 7, Wgt: 10-13, TFR: 106)
◦ A poor maiden hurdler with similar form over fences.
◦ Possibly needed the run on his return after 6 months off.
◦ Considered hard to assess with occasional promise.
◦ Stays 3¼m and acts on good to soft going.
◦ EPF: 1.5.
• 12 STORMY MASTER (IRE) (Jockey: Liam Quinlan, Age: 11, Wgt: 10-13, TFR: 107)
◦ A maiden hurdler and modest handicap chaser, who won at Wexford in 2024/25 and was the winner of this race in 2023.
◦ Considered regressive with limited upside.
◦ Stays 25f and acts on heavy going.
◦ EPF: 1.
• 13 WESTERN COMANDOR (IRE) (Jockey: P. Hanlon (7), Age: 7, Wgt: 10-13, TFR: ?)
◦ Has had a breathing operation and is a winning hurdler, but a modest maiden chaser at best.
◦ Was well held in a handicap last time.
◦ Unproven beyond 2½m, acts on heavy going.
◦ EPF: 0.5.
• 14 THEHAIRYFELLA (IRE) (Jockey: P. Cleary (7), Age: 10, Wgt: 10-12, TFR: 108§)
◦ A lightly-raced hurdler and modest handicap chaser, who won at Downpatrick last time, rallying to lead again run-in.
◦ Unreliable but capable.
◦ Stays 25f and acts on soft and good to firm going.
◦ EPF: 3.
• 15 OSCAR TONIC (IRE) (Jockey: S. F. O’Keeffe, Age: 10, Wgt: 10-2, TFR: ?)
◦ A dual winning pointer and poor maiden hurdler, who had a good 5th on return.
◦ Considered to lack spark, but the trip should help.
◦ Stays 25f and acts on heavy going.
◦ EPF: 2.5.
• 16 IMBOLC (IRE) (Jockey: Patrick Michael O’Brien (7), Age: 7, Wgt: 10-0, TFR: ?)
◦ A modest maiden hurdler at best, who has lost his way and failed to complete both starts in handicap chases.
◦ Considered regressive with limited upside.
◦ Stays 2¾m, best form on heavy going.
◦ EPF: 4.5.
• 17 DEFINITEADARE (IRE) (Jockey: Reserve, Age: 11, Wgt: 10-12, TFR: 106?)
◦ A winning hurdler and modest handicap chaser.
◦ Possibly needed the run on return after 8 months off.
◦ Stays 25f and acts on soft going.
◦ EPF: 0.5.
• 18 HAVEUSEENTHERAIN (IRE) (Jockey: Reserve, Age: 10, Wgt: 10-0, TFR: ?)
◦ A poor maiden handicap hurdler with similar form over fences.
◦ On return after 6 months off.
◦ EPF: 0.5.
• 19 RACING DAISY (IRE) (Jockey: Reserve, Age: 8, Wgt: 10-8, TFR: ?)
◦ A maiden pointer and poor maiden hurdler, who was well-beaten on return.
◦ Stays 3m and acts on good to soft going.
◦ EPF: 3.5.
Private Tissue Estimate:
• Le Grand Vert: 4/1
• Sights Unseen: 9/2
• Due Course: 6/1
• Thehairyfella: 7/1
• The Little Yank: 10/1
• It’s Never Simple: 12/1
• Eagle Terrace: 12/1
• Aleish Lass: 16/1
• Solo Flight: 20/1
• Bondi Boy Blue: 20/1
• Others: 25/1+
ChatGPT Smart Plays:
• Win Selection: Le Grand Vert – a proven winner who thrives off a steady pace.
• Each-Way Saver: Due Course – low-mileage over fences, capable of surprising.
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