TimeWise Chronicles

Preview of Cork’s evening meeting on Friday.

·

17:05 CORK – IRISH EBF AUCTION SERIES MAIDEN

Race Title and Conditions + Pace & Draw Angles:

  • Race: IRISH EBF AUCTION SERIES MAIDEN
  • Distance: 5f
  • Age: 2yo
  • Prize: €12,000
  • Surface: Turf
  • Going: Good–Good to firm in places
  • Runners: 14
  • Pace Forecast: Strong
  • Specific Pace Hint: Hold-up horses are generally disadvantaged at this trip here, and even with a strong pace, THE RIGHT ONE (IRE) is not expected to pass the advantage to A LA DURE.
  • Draw Bias: N/A.

Strongest Contenders + Main Dangers + Interesting Outsiders + Trends/Timeform Comments:

  • FAIR OF EMLY (IRE) (Stall 2):
    • Form: No previous form.
    • Pace: Bred to be sharp and profile suggests strong “go day” given the pace fit.
    • Pedigree/Class: Ticks major boxes with an ideal sprinting pedigree (by Acclamation out of a 5f-winning dam). Sire Acclamation’s progeny have won 77 flat debuts.
    • Trainer: P. Twomey boasts an excellent 27% strike rate in mid-season.
    • Overall: Looks the most forward newcomer.
  • PINTS IN PEACE (IRE) (Stall 6):
    • Form: Showed notable promise on debut, closing late for a close fourth with fastest finish sectionals.
    • Fitness: Has a 118-day layoff, which is a slight concern.
    • Potential: Profile suggests significant improvement is expected.
    • Overall: Might prefer slightly further.
  • PLUSHY (IRE) (Stall 12):
    • Form: Fair third on debut, running green but staying on late.
    • Fitness/Development: Looks to be learning fast and is one of the more likely improvers.
    • Pace/Going: Sharper test on quicker ground suits well.
    • Equipment: The hood remains on.
    • Overall: Well drawn and tactically versatile.
  • RAPHELLO (IRE) (Stall 4):
    • Form: Fair debut third but regressed to mid-pack next time.
    • Pace: Decent early speed and could be suited by the drop back to 5f.
    • Connections: Stable has a good 2yo record, but his progression is not entirely convincing.
  • THE RIGHT ONE (IRE) (Stall 9):
    • Form: Mixed efforts at 5f-6f; form has held steady but shows no improvement.
    • Pace: May be better suited by a sharper test and returns to 5f today. Tactical setup suits if ridden handy.
    • Overall: Has run to a respectable level in maidens but lacks the gear change to finish strongly.
  • A LA DURE (IRE) (Stall 3):
    • Form: Unraced newcomer.
    • Pedigree: By Zoustar, known for producing precocious sorts, and out of a sharp juvenile dam.
    • Pace/Draw: Stall 3 is ideal, and pace profile (drawn inside, quick early) suggests he may take a controlling position.
    • Overall: Market check is vital.
  • PROFIT CENTRE (Stall 8):
    • Form: Unfancied and green on debut but shaped better than the result.
    • Pedigree: Bred for speed.
    • Overall: Drop back to 5f with more experience makes him a minor player.
  • DIXIE DOODLE (IRE) (Stall 11):
    • Pedigree: Sire Dandy Man has a strong record with debutants (54 flat debut wins), and her dam line has sprint winners.
    • Overall: Could run above her odds if primed; market support would be notable.
  • DISCO VERSION (IRE) (Stall 5):
    • Form: Exposed and outclassed on both starts. No clear signs of improvement.
  • METHODTOMY MADNESS (IRE) (Stall 10):
    • Form: No form available.
    • Overall: Stiff ask on debut.
  • LA MASIA (IRE) (Stall 14):
    • Form: Failed to beat a rival in both maidens.
    • Overall: Exposed, unpromising or outpaced profile.
  • ROSIE FRITH (IRE) (Stall 1):
    • Form: Modest form.
    • Going/Distance: Fast ground and sharper trip should both help.
  • ST GOBNAIT’S CHARM (IRE) (Stall 7):
    • Form: Last of 15 in maiden.
    • Overall: Exposed, unpromising or outpaced profile.
  • WORLDLY (IRE) (Stall 13):
    • Form: Well held in maiden.
    • Overall: Exposed, unpromising or outpaced profile.

Runner Scores and Suitability Analysis:

  • Fair of Emly: 8/10 – Suited by 5f, fast ground, prominent racing style, top connections. Ideal setup.
  • Pints In Peace: 7/10 – Improvement likely but layoff of 118 days a concern. Might prefer stiffer test.
  • Plushy: 7/10 – Good debut, improving, quick enough to contend.
  • Raphello: 6.5/10 – Track and trip should suit; tactical position could help.
  • The Right One: 6/10 – Return to 5f helps, but lacks pace turn.
  • A La Dure: 6/10 – Interesting newcomer, pace profile fits race well.
  • Profit Centre: 5.5/10 – Learning but draw and profile decent.
  • Dixie Doodle: 5/10 – Potentially sharper type; check market signals.
  • Rosie Frith: 5/10 – Fast ground, sharper trip both help.
  • Methodtomy Madness: 4/10 – Stiff ask on debut.
  • Worldly / La Masia / St Gobnait’s Charm / Disco Version: ≤3/10 – Exposed, unpromising or outpaced profiles.

Each-Way Angles (14 runners):

  • Plushy (9/2) – Shaped well on debut, entitled to improve, prominent racing style a plus.
  • Profit Centre (14/1) – Likely to step forward from initial run, drawn well.

Private Tissue Estimate:

  • Fair of Emly – 3/1
  • Pints In Peace – 4/1
  • Plushy – 9/2
  • Raphello – 8/1
  • The Right One – 9/1
  • A La Dure – 10/1
  • Profit Centre – 14/1
  • Others – 20/1+

Summary + Professional Punter View (Smart Play):

  • Summary: A strong-pace 5f maiden with several unraced or lightly raced types.
  • Win: FAIR OF EMLY. Reasoning: She rates the most likely winner based on pedigree, trainer strike rate, and race setup.
  • Each-way saver: PLUSHY. Reasoning: Appeals as a reliable each-way option with improvement to come and an ideal racing style for this trip.

17:37 CORK – IRISH STALLION FARMS EBF RATED RACE

Race Title and Conditions + Pace & Draw Angles:

  • Race: IRISH STALLION FARMS EBF RATED RACE
  • Distance: 5f
  • Age: 2yo
  • Prize: €18,000
  • Surface: Turf
  • Going: Good–Good to firm in places
  • Runners: 5
  • Pace Forecast: Weak
  • Specific Pace Hint: Hold-up horses aren’t generally favoured at this trip here, and the anticipated steady pace ought to mean KANSAS (IRE) will be better placed than OH CECELIA (IRE).
  • Draw Bias: N/A.

Strongest Contenders + Main Dangers + Interesting Outsiders + Trends/Timeform Comments:

  • KANSAS (IRE) (Stall 2):
    • Form: Steadily improved, boasts a strong adjusted rating (92). Bolstered by three rock-solid efforts before winning at Tipperary in cheekpieces.
    • Pace/Tactics: Tactically versatile, goes forward, and today’s small field with a weak pace should play into his strengths.
    • Connections: Trainer Aidan O’Brien’s stable is red-hot (23% strike rate with sprinters, 21% mid-season).
  • JACK THE BACHELOR (IRE) (Stall 5):
    • Form: Runner-up twice in a row, both behind fair sorts including Kansas.
    • Progression: Continues to progress and is well suited by today’s trip.
    • Pace/Tactics: Tactical versatility.
    • Weight: Meets Kansas on better terms with a 3lb weight pull.
  • OH CECELIA (IRE) (Stall 1):
    • Form: Cork winner earlier this season. Her limitations were exposed when pitched into a Group 3 at Ascot.
    • Pace/Tactics: Returns to a suitable trip and track, though her come-from-behind style could be tactically compromised by today’s expected slow gallop.
    • Overall: Will need the leaders to underperform or fold late.
  • SIR ALFIE (IRE) (Stall 4):
    • Form: Made all to win at Down Royal and ran creditably under a 7lb claimer next time at Naas.
    • Fitness/Pace: Should be sharper now and is another who can go forward.
    • Connections: Trainer G. M. Lyons has a 21% strike rate at Cork.
    • Overall: May not have the raw ability of the top pair.
  • PARKSIDE LAD (IRE) (Stall 3):
    • Form: Took advantage of a weak maiden at Bellewstown but was exposed for class when well beaten at the Curragh.
    • Overall: Genuine but lacks the finishing gear to trouble the main contenders unless they underperform.

Runner Scores and Suitability Analysis:

  • Kansas: 8.5/10 – Very well-suited by pace setup and small field. Track and trip ideal. Trainer and rider in form.
  • Jack The Bachelor: 8/10 – Improving profile and solid sectionals. Well drawn, strong tactical fit.
  • Oh Cecelia: 7/10 – Trip ideal, but hold-up style is a tactical worry. Return to Cork helps.
  • Sir Alfie: 6.5/10 – Honest type, prominent runner, but probably a notch below the top two.
  • Parkside Lad: 5/10 – Up against it class-wise, and last effort exposed limitations.

Each-Way Angles:

  • Not applicable – only 5 runners.

Private Tissue Estimate:

  • Kansas – 15/8
  • Jack The Bachelor – 2/1
  • Oh Cecelia – 4/1
  • Sir Alfie – 13/2
  • Parkside Lad – 10/1

Summary + Professional Punter View (Smart Play):

  • Summary: This tactical 5f contest will likely hinge on positioning. The anticipated slow pace puts a premium on early speed and prominent placement.
  • Win: KANSAS. Reasoning: He is the most complete package: tactically adaptable, consistently solid on the clock, and trained by a yard in blistering form.
  • Saver: JACK THE BACHELOR (if drifting above 5/2). Reasoning: Continues to improve and meets Kansas again on better terms, making him a real threat.

18:12 CORK – DONERAILE HANDICAP

Race Title and Conditions + Pace & Draw Angles:

  • Race: DONERAILE HANDICAP
  • Distance: 5f
  • Age: 3yo+
  • Prize: €27,000
  • Surface: Turf
  • Going: Good–Good to firm in places
  • Runners: 12
  • Pace Forecast: Extreme
  • Specific Pace Hint: The anticipated pace could see BRIGID’S CLOAK languishing and KENDALL ROY prospering, for all prominent racers at this trip usually have the best of things.
  • Draw Bias: N/A. Middle stalls have flexibility, but tracking the leaders from just off the pace looks optimal.

Strongest Contenders + Main Dangers + Interesting Outsiders + Trends/Timeform Comments:

  • KEKE (Stall 5):
    • Form: Useful handicapper. Arrives off a career-best TFR 106+ when quickening up smartly to beat RED EVOLUTION. Fastest on the clock last time.
    • Pace/Tactics: Often slowly away and may be challenged for early speed, potentially leaving him wide or in traffic.
    • Overall: Still improving and is the class horse, goes well at Cork. Wears tongue tie.
  • HARRY’S HILL (Stall 9):
    • Form: Fairly useful performer. Won with authority at Tipperary, recording a solid speed figure.
    • Pace/Tactics: Prominent run style is a plus here, though drawn wider than ideal.
    • Overall: Continues to hold form and has strong credentials. Wears tongue tie.
  • RED EVOLUTION (IRE) (Stall 11):
    • Form: Fairly useful performer. Runner-up to KEKE last time, finishing well off a solid pace. Already won over course and distance in May.
    • Pace/Tactics: Seems best when dropped in just behind the front wave; should be perfectly suited by the anticipated burn-up.
  • KENDALL ROY (Stall 4):
    • Form: Useful handicapper. Last year’s winner of this race.
    • Fitness: Returns after a long break.
    • Pace/Tactics: Suited by the return to 5f and goes well fresh. A quiet ride might bring him into it late.
  • ECLAIRAGE (IRE) (Stall 12):
    • Form: Useful performer. Posted a serious TFR p115+ with a big AW win last time.
    • Potential: While this is turf and stronger company, the style of that win suggests more to come.
    • Pace/Tactics: Has shown she can handle fast turf and may be a fly in the ointment for front-runners. Front runner.
  • MOLTOPHINO (IRE) (Stall 8):
    • Form: Useful handicapper with solid season form lines.
    • Overall: Has had trouble getting a clean run. Back at 5f, off strong fractions, the race may just get run to suit him. Capable but needs luck. Wears headgear/tongue tie.
  • CUBAN GREY (Stall 10):
    • Form: Fairly useful handicapper. Improving 5f specialist who won a big field handicap last weekend.
    • Fitness: Trainer opts to run him quickly again—a positive.
    • Pace/Tactics: Will be ridden forward, so stamina may be tested under these early fractions. Wears headgear/tongue tie.
  • AURORA NOVA (IRE) (Stall 3):
    • Form: Fairly useful handicapper. Comes in hot, backing up quickly.
    • Pace/Tactics: Another who’ll be prominent.
    • Overall: Not obviously well-in, but in the form of her life and not dismissed.
  • BRIGID’S CLOAK (Stall 1):
    • Pace/Tactics: Will be dropped out.
    • Course Suitability: This track is typically unforgiving for closers at 5f.
    • Overall: Fast pace might help, but others are preferred. Wears cheekpieces.
  • SEATTLE (FR) (Stall 7):
    • Form/Class: Fairly useful form. Thrown into a listed race last time.
    • Progression: Likely to be dropped in but may improve now handicapping.
    • Connections: Trainer Aidan O’Brien has strong stats with sprinters (23%) and handicap debutants (17%).
    • Overall: Not ruled out but hard to weigh up.
  • AGOUTI BEAR (IRE) (Stall 2):
    • Progression: Improving.
    • Overall: May find this hot. Usually front runner/races prominently.
  • TAWAAZON (IRE) (Stall 6):
    • Form: Fair handicapper on turf, fairly useful on all-weather.
    • Overall: Looks outclassed on recent form. Was beaten last time when trading at 50% or less of his starting Betfair SP. Wears headgear/tongue tie.

Runner Scores and Suitability Analysis:

  • Keke: 9/10 – Strong recent form, tactically at risk if breaks slowly.
  • Harry’s Hill: 8.5/10 – Suited by pace, has track speed, solid figures.
  • Red Evolution: 8/10 – Suited by fast pace, excellent course form.
  • Eclairage: 7.5/10 – Improving, might prefer AW but figures translate.
  • Kendall Roy: 7.5/10 – Back class, strong late closer, race winner last year.
  • Moltophino: 7/10 – Consistent, needs clear run, good sectionals.
  • Cuban Grey: 6.5/10 – In form, tactically suited.
  • Aurora Nova: 6/10 – Also in form, but exposed vs. better sprinters.
  • Brigid’s Cloak: 6/10 – May be outpaced mid-race.
  • Agouti Bear: 6/10 – Improving but may find this hot.
  • Seattle: 5.5/10 – Unexposed, needs strong pace to feature.
  • Tawaazon: 4.5/10 – Looks outclassed on recent form.

Each-Way Angles (12 runners):

  • RED EVOLUTION (4/1) – Will enjoy the likely collapse up front and runs Cork well.
  • CUBAN GREY (12/1) – Sprinter in form, looks worth a saver at the prices.

Private Tissue Estimate:

  • Keke – 11/4
  • Harry’s Hill – 4/1
  • Red Evolution – 5/1
  • Eclairage – 6/1
  • Kendall Roy – 7/1
  • Moltophino – 8/1
  • Cuban Grey – 10/1
  • Brigid’s Cloak – 12/1
  • Aurora Nova – 14/1
  • Seattle – 16/1
  • Agouti Bear – 18/1
  • Tawaazon – 25/1

Summary + Professional Punter View (Smart Play):

  • Summary: The Doneraile Handicap looks set to be run at a ferocious pace, suiting strong travellers with a late kick.
  • Win: KEKE. Reasoning: He is the best horse in the race and could defy the setup with a clean break.
  • Each-way saver: RED EVOLUTION. Reasoning: He is the most interesting each-way proposition, ideally drawn and suited by the track and conditions.

18:45 CORK – VALDIR RODRIGUES DE SOUSA MEMORIAL MAIDEN

Race Title and Conditions + Pace & Draw Angles:

  • Race: VALDIR RODRIGUES DE SOUSA MEMORIAL MAIDEN
  • Distance: 6f
  • Age: 3yo+
  • Prize: €7,200
  • Surface: Turf
  • Going: Good–Good to firm in places
  • Runners: 17
  • Pace Forecast: Very Strong
  • Specific Pace Hint: Those that race prominently at this trip are usually favoured, but a very strong pace is on the cards and that will probably take the advantage away from STELLA ALPINA (IRE) and towards WOOLRIDGE.
  • Draw Bias: N/A. Strong pace should negate low draw advantage; horses drawn mid-to-wide with a hold-up style could be ideally placed.

Strongest Contenders + Main Dangers + Interesting Outsiders + Trends/Timeform Comments:

  • STELLA ALPINA (IRE) (Stall 9):
    • Form: Fairly useful maiden. Showed promise, twice finishing a close second before running below form last time (not knocked about).
    • Class/Ratings: Top-rated on adjusted TFR.
    • Pace/Tactics: A habitual front-runner in a race stacked with early pace, which could be a vulnerability.
    • Equipment: First-time headgear (cheekpieces) applied – possibly a sign of intent from the yard.
  • WASHINGTON STREET (IRE) (Stall 2):
    • Form: Fairly useful maiden. Rock-solid and consistent, finishing runner-up on last three starts, including behind well-handicapped types.
    • Pace/Tactics: Handles a strong pace and his efficient energy use (high FS%) suggests he’ll benefit from the collapse of front-runners. Drawn ideally to track pace and pounce.
    • Connections: Trainer G. M. Lyons has a 21% strike rate at Cork.
  • COLTER BAY (FR) (Stall 13):
    • Form: Fairly useful form. Good debut at the Curragh, shaping better than the result. Stumbled at the start last time, effort best forgiven.
    • Potential: His pedigree (Hello Youmzain) and physical profile suggest more to come, fitting the bill as a second-time improver.
    • Draw: Drawn middle in stall 13, which is tactically useful.
  • GLORY TO BE (IRE) (Stall 14):
    • Form: Fair form. Unlucky not to win at Cork last time.
    • Distance/Pace: Should relish a return to 6f. Tactically versatile and will appreciate the strong tempo.
    • Potential: Could be the best filly of those still learning.
  • WOOLRIDGE (Stall 7):
    • Form: One run and showed late promise amidst greenness.
    • Potential: Expected to improve. Pace scenario should help him settle and finish.
    • Connections: Trainer has a decent record with this type.
  • PETE’S DREAM (IRE) (Stall 10):
    • Form: Fair form. Solid and reliable.
    • Distance: Likely better over 7f, so the shorter trip may blunt his edge.
    • Overall: Will be staying on.
  • AMICITIA (IRE) (Stall 5):
    • Form: Modest form. Shaped nicely on reappearance after 8 months off.
    • Distance: Breeding suggests 7f+ in time.
    • Overall: Could run into the frame if the race collapses.
  • CLASHAWLEY MIST (IRE) (Stall 12):
    • Form: Amiss when pulled up.
    • Overall: Showed very little so far and would need major improvement. Pace meltdown could flatter closers.
  • DOCTOR G (IRE) (Stall 11):
    • Form: Well held on debut.
    • Overall: Showed very little so far and would need major improvement.
  • JACK MAJOR (IRE) (Stall 6):
    • Form: Modest form.
    • Overall: Showed very little so far and would need major improvement.
  • LADY LUCK (IRE) (Stall 8):
    • Form: Modest form.
  • MICHEIL CEE (IRE) (Stall 15):
    • Form: Very green when well held on debut.
    • Overall: Showed very little so far and would need major improvement.
  • NOT SIMPLE (IRE) (Stall 16):
    • Form: Well held in 2 maidens.
    • Overall: Showed very little so far and would need major improvement.
  • PICK A WINDOW (IRE) (Stall 3):
    • Form: No form available.
    • Overall: Showed very little so far and would need major improvement.
  • POSH SPIRIT (IRE) (Stall 4):
    • Form: Well held in 3 maidens.
    • Overall: Showed very little so far and would need major improvement.
  • SUERTE (IRE) (Stall 1):
    • Form: Fair maiden. Below that level last 2 starts.
  • THREE SIXTEEN (IRE) (Stall 17):
    • Form: No form available.
    • Overall: Showed very little so far and would need major improvement.

Runner Scores and Suitability Analysis:

  • Stella Alpina: 8.5/10 – Classy and clear form pick, but pace vulnerability.
  • Washington Street: 8/10 – Well-drawn stalker; everything set up for him.
  • Colter Bay: 7.5/10 – Bounce back expected, good draw, second-start angle.
  • Glory To Be: 7/10 – Strong last run, pace and track suit.
  • Pete’s Dream: 6.5/10 – Honest, but trip too sharp?.
  • Woolridge: 6.5/10 – Will improve; each-way material.
  • Amicitia: 5.5/10 – Not dismissed, but probably one for 7f.
  • Others: 5/10 or below – Most exposed or tactically outgunned.

Each-Way Angles (17 runners):

  • WOOLRIDGE (20/1) – Each-way potential with improvement and strong pace setup.
  • COLTER BAY (9/2) – If fully recovered from last start stumble, could go close.

Private Tissue Estimate:

  • Stella Alpina – 4/1
  • Washington Street – 9/2
  • Colter Bay – 9/2
  • Glory To Be – 6/1
  • Woolridge – 10/1
  • Pete’s Dream – 10/1
  • Amicitia – 14/1
  • Others – 25/1+

Summary + Professional Punter View (Smart Play):

  • Summary: A large maiden likely to be torn apart by a fierce gallop, potentially favouring those drawn wide or ridden cold. STELLA ALPINA is the most talented filly in the field, but she may be softened up by competition for the lead.
  • Win: WASHINGTON STREET. Reasoning: Looks ideally placed to take advantage and deserves a breakthrough.
  • Each-way saver: WOOLRIDGE. Reasoning: A lively outsider.

19:20 CORK – FOLLOW US ON SOCIAL MEDIA HANDICAP

Race Title and Conditions + Pace & Draw Angles:

  • Race: FOLLOW US ON SOCIAL MEDIA HANDICAP
  • Distance: 6f
  • Age: 3yo+
  • Prize: €6,000
  • Rated: (0-60)
  • Surface: Turf
  • Going: Good–Good to firm in places
  • Runners: 23
  • Pace Forecast: Very Strong
  • Specific Pace Hint: The likelihood that there is unlikely to be any let-up in a very strong pace will probably benefit BLUE WOOD (IRE) rather than LISMACBRYAN HILL (IRE).
  • Draw Bias: N/A.

Strongest Contenders + Main Dangers + Interesting Outsiders + Trends/Timeform Comments:

  • LISMACBRYAN HILL (IRE) (Stall 15):
    • Form: Modest maiden. Eye-catching third at Bellewstown where she ran on late after being caught too far back.
    • Pace: Returns to 6f where she can make a significant impact. Suited to a strong-run scenario.
    • Overall: Timeform cites her late kick and shift back in trip as positives. Main win prospect. Wears tongue tie.
  • LAKOTA LADY (IRE) (Stall 21):
    • Form: Fair form. Clawed into place at Dundalk.
    • Jockey/Weight: Gets a full-rider upgrade. Lightly weighted.
    • Pace: Stamina for the strong pace. Timeform flagged as “dangerous at the foot of the weights”.
    • Overall: Place potential, strong each-way value.
  • ZARAGOZA (IRE) (Stall 16):
    • Form: Fair handicapper. Honest operator with consistent form, holding OR 65.
    • Pace/Going: Moves to 6f may suit, has firm-ground experience. Durable and keeps hitting the line.
    • Overall: Classy enough to test the leaders late. Solid runner for the frame. Usually in headgear.
  • MOUNT RUAPEHU (IRE) (Stall 3):
    • Form: Showed pace-suited fourth at Down Royal last time.
    • Connections: Trainer Mark Fahey has an excellent level-stake profit per Smart Stats (£100.65 to a £1 level stake when having one runner).
    • Overall: Each-way with upside.
  • AMERICAN IN PARIS (IRE) (Stall 5):
    • Form: Modest handicapper. Recent narrow winner at Naas.
    • Pace: Suited by strong pace. Stays well in fast-run races.
    • Overall: E/W threat if pace collapses. Usually races prominently. Wears headgear/tongue tie.
  • EL FONTENARO (IRE) (Stall 6):
    • Form: Fair maiden. Respectable 2¾ lengths fourth last time.
    • Pace/Tactics: Holds pace-map advantage; likely tucked in, and pace-filled race ideal for his lurking style. Likely two-paced.
    • Overall: Good each-way value with a strong late kick.
  • BLUE WOOD (IRE) (Stall 23):
    • Pace/Tactics: Prominent pacemaker (Pace Map suggests strong early speed). Likely to take advantage if tempo collapses late. Specific Pace Hint: Very strong pace will probably benefit BLUE WOOD (IRE) rather than LISMACBRYAN HILL (IRE).
    • Overall: Modest handicapper on turf, poor on all-weather. Usually races close up. Wears tongue tie.
  • THERIVERRUNSDEEP (IRE) (Stall 4):
    • Form: Modest handicapper. Below form last 5 starts.
    • Market Signals: Was beaten last time out when trading at 50% or less of her starting Betfair SP.
    • Overall: Risky, may struggle under pressure. Wears headgear/tongue tie.
  • PINMONEY (Stall 7):
    • Pace: Front-runner (Pace Map 0.625 for 5 furlongs). Likely to press on from the front.
    • Overall: Never dangerous in varied events. In tongue tie latest outing.
  • SOVEREIGN BANTER (IRE) (Stall 8):
    • Pace: Likely to press on from the front.
    • Overall: Modest maiden. Below form both starts since. In cheekpieces last 4 starts.
  • JACKIE BROWN (IRE) (Stall 2):
    • Form: Modest handicapper. Well below form 2 starts.
    • Connections: Trainer A. J. Martin has £16.96 profit to a £1 level stake when having one runner at a flat meeting.
    • Overall: Wears tongue tie.
  • SANDI O MALI (IRE) (Stall 22):
    • Form: Fair form.
    • Distance: Worth a try at 6f.
  • LORR’S GIRL (IRE) (Stall 1): No specific Timeform comments provided in analysis.
  • GIMMIEMINNIE (IRE) (Stall 9):
    • Form: Modest maiden.
    • Health: Has bled.
    • Overall: Wears tongue tie.
  • HASTILY (Stall 11):
    • Form: Modest handicapper. Hinted at revival last time.
    • Pace/Tactics: Often starts slowly, usually races in rear.
    • Overall: Wears headgear.
  • NORDIC PASSAGE (IRE) (Stall 19):
    • Form: Modest handicapper. Respectable 2¾ lengths third in January. Merely closed up late last time.
    • Overall: Wears headgear/tongue tie.
  • PLATINO BIANCO (IRE) (Stall 17):
    • Form: Fair maiden. Out of sorts since.
    • Overall: Wears headgear/tongue tie.
  • SOBRIETY BLUE (IRE) (Stall 14):
    • Form: Modest maiden handicapper. Stepped up on reappearance.
    • Overall: Wears tongue tie.
  • STIORRA (IRE) (Stall 20): No specific Timeform comments provided in analysis.
  • ARCOIRIS (Stall 12):
    • Form: Modest form.
  • WHATSWRONGNOW (IRE) (Stall 13): Non-runner.

Runner Scores and Suitability Analysis:

  • Lismacbryan Hill: 8.5/10 – Perfectly set up by pace; track, trip, ground all suit.
  • Zaragoza: 8/10 – In-form, reliable, and track conditions suit.
  • Lakota Lady: 7.5/10 – Lightly raced, drawn wide for a stalker—positive setup.
  • American in Paris: 7/10 – Strong recent win; wide draw an issue but has tactical speed.
  • El Fontenaro: 6.8/10 – Needs luck but very capable if strong pace collapses front-runners.
  • Mount Ruapehu: 6.7/10 – Under the radar; possible late surprise package.
  • Others: 5.0–6.5 – Mid-fielders or unfit longshots.

Each-Way Angles (23 runners):

  • ZARAGOZA (16) – Reliable type, rarely runs a bad race, handles this ground, and drawn perfectly to launch late.
  • LAKOTA LADY (21) – Could be underestimated in the market; the profile and weight entitle her to a big run.
  • EL FONTENARO (6) – Speculative but viable at large odds, given setup.

Private Tissue Estimate:

  • LISMACBRYAN HILL – 4/1
  • ZARAGOZA – 6/1
  • LAKOTA LADY – 13/2
  • AMERICAN IN PARIS – 8/1
  • MOUNT RUAPEHU – 10/1
  • EL FONTENARO – 16/1
  • Others – 16/1+

Summary + Professional Punter View (Smart Play):

  • Summary: A wide-open sprint handicap set up for closers, thanks to a relentless early gallop. With 23 runners and a strong pace expected, race positioning and draw will be critical. Late kickers drawn middle to high (like LISMACBRYAN HILL and ZARAGOZA) are well placed to benefit.
  • Win Bet: LISMACBRYAN HILL. Reasoning: Ideal conditions, proven closer, and improving.
  • Each-Way Saver: ZARAGOZA. Reasoning: Reliable and drawn to advantage in this pace-heavy race.

19:55 CORK – BUY TICKETS ONLINE AT http://www.corkracecourse.ie MEDIAN AUCTION

Race Title and Conditions + Pace & Draw Angles:

  • Race: BUY TICKETS ONLINE AT http://www.corkracecourse.ie MEDIAN AUCTION
  • Distance: 1m
  • Age: 3yo+
  • Prize: €10,200
  • Surface: Turf
  • Going: Good–Good to firm in places
  • Runners: 5
  • Pace Forecast: Very Weak
  • Specific Pace Hint: A slowly-run race should assist those up with the pace and SONORAN (IRE) ought to be better placed than NANCY J (IRE).
  • Draw Bias: N/A for this small field and race type.

Strongest Contenders + Main Dangers + Interesting Outsiders + Trends/Timeform Comments:

  • SONORAN (IRE) (Stall 3):
    • Form: Strong debut winner at Tipperary over 7.1f, travelling fluently before quickening clear.
    • Progression: Progressive profile, still open to serious improvement.
    • Pedigree: By Arizona out of a Danehill Dancer mare – bred to stay 1m well.
    • Pace/Tactics: Most tactically advantaged in a weak-pace setup; projected to race handy or on the lead.
    • Connections: From the G. M. Lyons yard (21% strike rate at Cork).
  • MOJAVE RIVER (FR) (Stall 1):
    • Form: Fairly useful performer. Won valuable newcomers race at Deauville (7f) in 2024. Fifth in Group 3 company this year (Athasi), but well held in Sandringham Handicap at Royal Ascot last time.
    • Class: Drops significantly in class here and holds the best raw form.
    • Pace/Tactics: Probably better suited to a true-run mile than today’s crawl. Usually races close up.
    • Equipment: Tongue-tie retained.
    • Market Signals: Was turned over last time out when trading at 50% or less of her Betfair SP.
  • NANCY J (IRE) (Stall 4):
    • Form: Fairly useful performer. Ran credibly in huge fields this season, including eighth in the Sandringham Handicap.
    • Pace/Tactics: Typically sits off the pace – a real concern in a five-runner crawl, as she is likely to be disadvantaged by a hold-up ride.
    • Going/Distance: Ground and trip are fine.
    • Equipment: In cheekpieces last 3 starts.
  • MEN OF HONOUR (IRE) (Stall 5):
    • Form: Has only had three starts. Showed more when fifth last time.
    • Progression/Pedigree: Promising. Related to a Group horse and bred to stay this trip.
    • Pace/Tactics: Outsider of note if race becomes tactical and he’s ridden positively.
  • LA TULIPE NOIRE (IRE) (Stall 2):
    • Form: Fairly useful handicapper at best, though no better than modest form of late.
    • Overall: Exposed and modest. Wears headgear.

Runner Scores and Suitability Analysis:

  • SONORAN: 8.5/10 – Ideal race shape; progressive; tactically favoured.
  • MOJAVE RIVER: 7.8/10 – Class drop; ground fine; but not well positioned for pace.
  • NANCY J: 7.5/10 – Good form but risks traffic in a slow-run race.
  • MEN OF HONOUR: 6.2/10 – Unexposed; minor place chance if ridden forward.
  • LA TULIPE NOIRE: 4.0/10 – Exposed and modest; poor form.

Each-Way Angles:

  • Not applicable – field size under 8 runners.

Private Tissue Estimate:

  • SONORAN – 7/4
  • MOJAVE RIVER – 2/1
  • NANCY J – 5/2
  • MEN OF HONOUR – 10/1
  • LA TULIPE NOIRE – 66/1

Summary + Professional Punter View (Smart Play):

  • Summary: This is a small field lacking pace, which gives SONORAN a real tactical edge. The others have stronger historical form, but are likely to be disadvantaged by position if SONORAN gets a soft lead.
  • Win Bet: SONORAN. Reasoning: Lightly raced, bred for the mile, and will control a slowly-run race.
  • No each-way saver due to small field.

20:30 CORK – RACING AGAIN AUGUST 4th HANDICAP

Race Title and Conditions + Pace & Draw Angles:

  • Race: RACING AGAIN AUGUST 4th HANDICAP
  • Distance: 1m 4f
  • Age: 3yo only
  • Prize: €6,000
  • Rated: (0-60)
  • Surface: Turf
  • Going: Good–Good to firm in places
  • Runners: 7
  • Pace Forecast: Very Weak
  • Specific Pace Hint: A slowly-run race should assist those up with the pace and WHATS NEW (IRE) ought to be better placed than HANDMEDOWNMYBIBLE (IRE).
  • Draw Bias: N/A in this small field over middle distance.

Strongest Contenders + Main Dangers + Interesting Outsiders + Trends/Timeform Comments:

  • WHATS NEW (IRE) (Stall 1):
    • Form: Fair maiden handicapper. Regularly gives his running. Returned to best when runner-up at Killarney over 11.3f, staying on well late.
    • Pace/Tactics: Best placed tactically, projected to race prominently. Likely to get a tactical edge in this race shape.
    • Going/Distance: Handles good ground. Course and trip look ideal.
    • Equipment: Visor retained.
  • VERVAIN (IRE) (Stall 4):
    • Form: Modest maiden. Bounced back to form when third at Naas in a stronger field.
    • Progression/Stamina: Lightly raced and stamina likely to be well served by 12f.
    • Connections: Joseph G. Murphy’s yard profits historically when running a single horse on the card (+£43.00 level stake).
    • Equipment: In cheekpieces last 3 starts.
  • MISCHIEF MAN (IRE) (Stall 7):
    • Form: Modest maiden. Rarely travels or finishes his races. Shaping better of late.
    • Pace/Tactics: Hold-up type, so faces a positional disadvantage unless tactics change. Better if ridden handily, though that’s not his norm.
    • Equipment: Tongue-tie retained.
  • AMAVASYA (IRE) (Stall 6):
    • Form: Modest maiden. Posted career best when fifth last time over 9f.
    • Progression/Pedigree: Trainer steps her up to 12f—a positive on pedigree (Sea The Moon × Siyouni mare).
    • Overall: Could take a leap forward if she stays.
  • KILGHARRAHS LOVE (IRE) (Stall 3):
    • Form: Modest maiden. Reverts to handicap company.
    • Pace/Tactics: Lacks tactical positioning in a slow pace.
    • Going: Best form on heavy going.
    • Market Signals: Went under 50% of her starting Betfair SP last time out.
    • Equipment: Wears visor.
  • ORANZONA (IRE) (Stall 2):
    • Form: Modest form.
    • Distance: Likely to stay 1½m.
    • Overall: Modest and stamina stretch.
  • HANDMEDOWNMYBIBLE (IRE) (Stall 5):
    • Form: Modest maiden handicapper at best. Well held last 3 starts.
    • Pace/Tactics: Hold-up type, faces a positional disadvantage. Slow finisher.
    • Equipment: Wears cheekpieces/tongue tie.

Runner Scores and Suitability Analysis:

  • WHATS NEW: 8.0/10 – Strong recent form; well placed tactically.
  • VERVAIN: 7.4/10 – Rebounding; stamina looks OK.
  • AMAVASYA: 6.8/10 – Could improve for step up in trip.
  • MISCHIEF MAN: 6.6/10 – Needs to settle better; small field may help.
  • KILGHARRAHS LOVE: 6.0/10 – Weak pace may not suit late running style.
  • ORANZONA: 5.6/10 – Modest and stamina stretch.
  • HANDMEDOWNMYBIBLE: 5.2/10 – Slow finisher; held by form and shape.

Each-Way Angles:

  • No each-way angles advised due to field size (7).

Private Tissue Estimate:

  • WHATS NEW – 9/4
  • VERVAIN – 7/2
  • AMAVASYA – 9/2
  • MISCHIEF MAN – 6/1
  • KILGHARRAHS LOVE – 8/1
  • ORANZONA – 12/1
  • HANDMEDOWNMYBIBLE – 20/1

Summary + Professional Punter View (Smart Play):

  • Summary: Tactically shaped for a prominent racer with stamina and positioning. WHATS NEW has the profile, recent form, and early speed to dominate.
  • Win Bet: WHATS NEW. Reasoning: Can dominate in a slow-run race over an ideal trip.
  • No each-way saver due to field size.

Leave a comment

Get updates

From art exploration to the latest archeological findings, all here in our weekly newsletter.

Subscribe