16:15 Kilbeggan – Tote Maiden Hurdle
- Race Conditions & Pace Angles: This is a 4yo only Tote Maiden Hurdle over 2m 2f 200y at Kilbeggan. The going is Good-good to yielding in places. The pace is forecast to be even, which should suit most running styles. POWER OF WORDS (IRE) is specifically noted as unlikely to be inconvenienced by any pace scenario.
- Runner Comments & Private Tissue Odds:
- LOVE ME TENDER (FR) (W. P. Mullins / P. Townend):
- Comments: Impressive bumper debut winner, quickening smartly under hands-and-heels. Bred to thrive over hurdles and shaped with abundant class; track, trip, and surface look ideal. “Horse in Focus” flag. P. Townend has a 50% strike rate on hurdling favourites. Needs to hurdle fluently.
- Private Tissue Odds: 5/4.
- POWER OF WORDS (IRE) (G. Elliott / J. W. Kennedy):
- Comments: Twice a runner-up in maiden hurdles, holding the best hurdle form in this field (Timeform Adjusted 125). Versatile tactically and handles varying conditions. Has been beaten once before when trading at odds-on in-running. Seen as reliable and consistent. “Top Rated” flag.
- Private Tissue Odds: 3/1.
- GUIDED BY YOU (IRE) (P. Roche / M. P. Walsh):
- Comments: Two solid efforts in maiden hurdles, shaping like she’ll stay further. Likely to sit mid-division and can run into the frame with improvement.
- Private Tissue Odds: 8/1.
- BLACK GEM (IRE) (J. McConnell / A. Harvey):
- Comments: Fair maiden on Flat. Shaped better than the result on hurdling debut; will improve significantly with experience. From a yard that does well with these types.
- Private Tissue Odds: 14/1.
- ONEINTHEWELL (IRE) (T. Cooper / D. Meyler):
- Comments: Won bumper on debut but shaped as if amiss next time. Had a fitness query after 124 days off.
- Private Tissue Odds: 16/1.
- RIVERWOODS (IRE) (H. de Bromhead / D. J. O’Keeffe):
- Comments: First foal; no prior form but bred to be capable and debuts for a powerful yard. May need the run, but market support should be watched.
- Private Tissue Odds: 20/1.
- BUTTERMERE RIDGE (IRE) (O. McKiernan / P. Enright):
- Comments: Fairly useful on Flat. Well held in all three maiden hurdles.
- Private Tissue Odds: Not estimated in private tissue; falls into ‘Others – 25/1 to 200/1’ category.
- BUILD A BRIDGE (IRE) (A. Sexton / H. E. Sexton):
- Comments: Modest form in bumpers. Hard to recommend on hurdling debut.
- Private Tissue Odds: Not estimated in private tissue; falls into ‘Others – 25/1 to 200/1’ category.
- CHANTILLY WINGS (IRE) (C. M. Collins / J. C. Gainford):
- Comments: Mild promise shown; considered a longer-term type.
- Private Tissue Odds: Not estimated in private tissue; falls into ‘Others – 25/1 to 200/1’ category.
- CLEVER COURT (IRE) (P. J. Rothwell / T. P. Roche):
- Comments: No prior form.
- Private Tissue Odds: Not estimated in private tissue; falls into ‘Others – 25/1 to 200/1’ category.
- HUNGRY HENRY (IRE) (E. C. McCarthy / G. B. Noonan):
- Comments: No prior form. Cold trainer flag.
- Private Tissue Odds: Not estimated in private tissue; falls into ‘Others – 25/1 to 200/1’ category.
- HOWAYAHONEY (IRE) (E. C. McCarthy / C. M. Hogan):
- Comments: No prior form. Cold trainer flag.
- Private Tissue Odds: Not estimated in private tissue; falls into ‘Others – 25/1 to 200/1’ category.
- KING BOB (IRE) (P. J. Rothwell / Reserve):
- Comments: Well beaten in maiden bumper.
- Private Tissue Odds: Not estimated in private tissue; falls into ‘Others – 25/1 to 200/1’ category.
- LITTLE BOY SIVOLA (FR) (P. J. Rothwell / S. D. Torrens):
- Comments: Mid-field at best in bumper/maiden hurdles; lacks finishing kick.
- Private Tissue Odds: Not estimated in private tissue; falls into ‘Others – 25/1 to 200/1’ category.
- MIND YOUR FEW BOB (IRE) (J. J. Hanlon / P. Hanlon):
- Comments: Tailed off in juvenile/novice hurdles.
- Private Tissue Odds: Not estimated in private tissue; falls into ‘Others – 25/1 to 200/1’ category.
- WIZZLEOUT (G. Elliott / Reserve):
- Comments: Well beaten on maiden hurdle debut.
- Private Tissue Odds: Not estimated in private tissue; falls into ‘Others – 25/1 to 200/1’ category.
- BLUE WATERS (IRE) (G. Elliott / Reserve):
- Comments: No prior form.
- Private Tissue Odds: Not estimated in private tissue; falls into ‘Others – 25/1 to 200/1’ category.
- LOVE ME TENDER (FR) (W. P. Mullins / P. Townend):
- ChatGPT Smart Plays:
- Win Selection: LOVE ME TENDER – Classy bumper winner, looks above this level and is ready to win on hurdling debut.
- Each-Way Saver: GUIDED BY YOU – Improving with each start and looks sure to be involved.
16:50 Kilbeggan – Tom McCormack Memorial Cup Maiden Hurdle
- Race Conditions & Pace Angles: This is a 4yo+ maiden hurdle over 2m 2f 200y at Kilbeggan. The going is Good-good to yielding in places. The pace is forecast to be strong, which usually favors prominent racers at this trip and track, but the fierce pace might work against front-runner HALF PAST TIPSY (IRE) in favour of TIME IN A BOTTLE. Kilbeggan is a sharp, right-handed track.
- Runner Comments & Private Tissue Odds:
- DYSART DASHER (IRE) (W. P. Mullins / P. Townend):
- Comments: Returned from a two-year layoff to post a highly respectable third, shaping as though the run would bring him on. Lightly raced and from the family of top-class hurdlers. Gets P. Townend (jockey uplift flag). Track and trip well-suited to his racing style. W. P. Mullins has a 25% strike rate with hurdlers running between 2m2f and 2m6f, and a 25% strike rate in summer.
- Private Tissue Odds: 3/1.
- KARA DE THAIX (FR) (W. P. Mullins / D. E. Mullins):
- Comments: Showed ability in bumpers. Posted a solid third on hurdling debut, open to improvement. Stays well and will appreciate a stiffer test. Noteworthy that Townend is on Dysart Dasher. Traded at 50% or less of starting Betfair SP when beaten last time out. “p” flag.
- Private Tissue Odds: 9/2.
- TIME IN A BOTTLE (H. de Bromhead / Mr J. H. Williamson):
- Comments: In frame in both mares maiden hurdles, including a good 4th over 2m3f. Strong traveller who should benefit from the anticipated strong pace and possible pace collapse. Consistent and represents solid place claims with a race-fit profile. “p” flag. Worn a hood/tongue tie in last 5 starts.
- Private Tissue Odds: 11/2.
- HALF PAST TIPSY (IRE) (G. P. Cromwell / E. Staples):
- Comments: Fair maiden hurdler, including a near miss at Wexford. May have needed the run at Kilbeggan earlier this month. The strong pace forecast will likely work against her usual front-running tactics. “BF” flag.
- Private Tissue Odds: 7/1.
- HEFFAY (IRE) (W. P. Mullins / S. F. O’Keeffe):
- Comments: Well held in one bumper, but bred for hurdling. Backed on debut, clearly thought capable. Needs a big leap but trainer has done it before with similar profiles.
- Private Tissue Odds: 10/1.
- WILD MANDATE (IRE) (M. McNiff / P. Enright):
- Comments: Fair bumper performer. Improved hurdling effort at Sligo gives her an outside place chance. Could pick up pieces late if others fade. “p” flag.
- Private Tissue Odds: 12/1.
- SPEAKASYOUFIND (IRE) (P. J. Rothwell / Mr B. J. Walsh):
- Comments: Placed only start in points. Respectable 5th on hurdling debut; likely to improve and will be suited by further than 17f. “p” flag.
- Private Tissue Odds: 16/1.
- ANOTHER GIRL (IRE) (D. A. McLoughlin / P. O’Hanlon):
- Comments: Mid-division in mares maiden bumpers. Made frame on first of 2 mares maiden hurdles. Will prove suited by further than 2¼m.
- Private Tissue Odds: Not estimated in private tissue; falls into ‘Others – 20/1 to 150/1’ category.
- BACKWITHYOUROWN (IRE) (J. M. Burke / N. Moore):
- Comments: Modest bumper performer. Showed aptitude when 5th on hurdling debut.
- Private Tissue Odds: Not estimated in private tissue; falls into ‘Others – 20/1 to 150/1’ category.
- BOLD FURY (IRE) (S. Crawford / Reserve):
- Comments: Winning pointer. Fair form in hunter chases. Shaped better than distance beaten suggests last time, finished tired. “BF” flag.
- Private Tissue Odds: Not estimated in private tissue; falls into ‘Others – 20/1 to 150/1’ category.
- BREEZINGWITHDSTARS (IRE) (M. Flannery / A. M. King):
- Comments: No prior form.
- Private Tissue Odds: Not estimated in private tissue; falls into ‘Others – 20/1 to 150/1’ category.
- DARK BERKSHIRE (IRE) (P. J. Rothwell / T. P. Roche):
- Comments: Well held in maiden hurdle on debut.
- Private Tissue Odds: Not estimated in private tissue; falls into ‘Others – 20/1 to 150/1’ category.
- DOYEN LADY (IRE) (M. Butler / Reserve):
- Comments: Modest form at best in bumpers. Tailed off in 2 mares maiden hurdles.
- Private Tissue Odds: Not estimated in private tissue; falls into ‘Others – 20/1 to 150/1’ category.
- MARCH ON DAVE (IRE) (M. O. Quigley / J. J. Slevin):
- Comments: Placed in points. 5th on hurdling debut, well positioned.
- Private Tissue Odds: Not estimated in private tissue; falls into ‘Others – 20/1 to 150/1’ category.
- MARFA (IRE) (M. Molloy / Reserve):
- Comments: Well held completed start in maiden hurdles; fell last time.
- Private Tissue Odds: Not estimated in private tissue; falls into ‘Others – 20/1 to 150/1’ category.
- STREAMSFORTH LAD (IRE) (G. Elliott / J. W. Kennedy):
- Comments: Best effort over hurdles when 4th at Uttoxeter. Pulled up on chasing debut. “NT” (new trainer) flag.
- Private Tissue Odds: Not estimated in private tissue; falls into ‘Others – 20/1 to 150/1’ category.
- TIMURSHAH (IRE) (P. M. Byrne / A. P. Kelly):
- Comments: Fairly useful form in maidens on Flat. Now with a small yard, interesting at a price. P. M. Byrne has a £22.50 profit to a £1 level stake when having only one runner on the card.
- Private Tissue Odds: Not estimated in private tissue; falls into ‘Others – 20/1 to 150/1’ category.
- WAKEY WAKEY MAN (IRE) (E. Holden / J. C. Gainford):
- Comments: No show in 2 maiden hurdles. “NT” (new trainer) and “trainer uplift” flags.
- Private Tissue Odds: Not estimated in private tissue; falls into ‘Others – 20/1 to 150/1’ category.
- YOUKNOWME (IRE) (P. J. Rothwell / S. D. Torrens):
- Comments: Green when well held in maiden hurdle.
- Private Tissue Odds: Not estimated in private tissue; falls into ‘Others – 20/1 to 150/1’ category.
- DYSART DASHER (IRE) (W. P. Mullins / P. Townend):
- ChatGPT Smart Plays:
- Win Selection: DYSART DASHER – Profile screams improvement; P. Townend booked.
- Each-Way Saver: TIME IN A BOTTLE – Strong-travelling mare with a pace-favouring setup.
17:20 Kilbeggan – Massey Ferguson Johnston Farm Equipment Longford Handicap Hurdle (Div I)
- Race Conditions & Pace Angles: This is a 0-100 handicap hurdle for 4yo+ over 2m 2f 200y at Kilbeggan. The going is Good-good to yielding in places. The pace is forecast to be even, with prominent racers tending to be favoured on Kilbeggan’s sharp circuit. This tactical edge could benefit ANGELSWORKNOVRTIME (IRE), while hold-up types like REAL EMPIRE may be compromised.
- Runner Comments & Private Tissue Odds:
- ANGELSWORKNOVRTIME (IRE) (J. A. Fahey / A. Harvey):
- Comments: Modest handicap hurdler. Good 3¾ lengths second at Sligo recently. Course winner of this very race (Div II) last year. Very well drawn tactically in a race where early pace is likely to suit handy types. Reliable, genuine, and acts well at this venue. “Horse for Course” flag. Wears tongue tie. “2” (winner) flag.
- Private Tissue Odds: 4/1.
- FARROKH (FR) (B. Connell / S. Flanagan):
- Comments: Modest hurdler, won handicap at Tipperary. Hampered last time. Slipped to an attractive mark. Consistent finishing effort. Acts on soft going. “X” (prone to mistakes) flag. Barry Connell has a 21% strike rate with hurdlers running between 2m2f and 2m6f.
- Private Tissue Odds: 5/1.
- TIR OG (IRE) (E. Seymour / C. M. Hogan):
- Comments: Modest maiden hurdler. Good effort when 2nd in a handicap at Sligo. Below form last time, but prior figures suggest she’s very capable in this class. Lightly raced 4yo filly with solid handicap form. Should stay 19f. Acts on soft going. “2” flag.
- Private Tissue Odds: 6/1.
- REAL EMPIRE (J. J. Hanlon / P. Hanlon):
- Comments: Modest maiden hurdler. Not fluent and below-form last of 6 on return from 11 weeks off. Strong traveller on his day but rarely finds much off the bridle. Wide draw and potential to get shuffled back in a muddling gallop make him a hold-up risk. Best form on good going. “s” (worn cheekpieces) flag. “1” (winner) flag.
- Private Tissue Odds: 13/2.
- MY GOOD PAL (IRE) (G. P. Cromwell / Mr B. M. Coonan):
- Comments: Poor maiden handicap hurdler. Running with credit in low-grade handicaps without threatening to win. Placed chances again but doesn’t have much in hand. Usually in tongue tie.
- Private Tissue Odds: 8/1.
- GARADICE (IRE) (D. Christie / B. W. Harvey):
- Comments: Mid-division in maiden/handicap hurdles. Likely to prove best at sharp 2m. David Christie has a strong level-stakes ROI with single hurdle runners. Has a decent mid-race cruising speed. Sharp track might bring out best in him if delivered late. “s” (worn cheekpieces) flag. “1” (winner) flag.
- Private Tissue Odds: 10/1.
- SPRINKLES (IRE) (P. Roche / A. P. Kelly):
- Comments: Little impact in maidens/handicap on Flat. Modest form over hurdles. Will prove best at shorter than 19f. Unexposed 4yo; may progress with trip. Wears hood. “1” (winner) flag.
- Private Tissue Odds: 14/1.
- CRAIC EILE (IRE) (D. K. Budds / Reserve):
- Comments: Modest handicap hurdler, runner-up 3 times in 2024/25. Well below form both starts this season. Unseated rider on chasing debut. Wears tongue tie. “s+t” flags.
- Private Tissue Odds: Not estimated in private tissue; falls into ‘Others – 16/1 to 100/1’ category.
- DOORMAN MOE (IRE) (A. McNamara / D. P. Maxwell):
- Comments: Best effort in maiden hurdles when 4th at Kilbeggan. Tried in tongue tie.
- Private Tissue Odds: Not estimated in private tissue; falls into ‘Others – 16/1 to 100/1’ category.
- GEORGIE’S GAL (IRE) (P. J. Rothwell / S. D. Torrens):
- Comments: Poor maiden handicap hurdler. Little show in 2024/25. In cheekpieces last time. “4” flag.
- Private Tissue Odds: Not estimated in private tissue; falls into ‘Others – 16/1 to 100/1’ category.
- HEAD FOR HOME (IRE) (O. McKiernan / Reserve):
- Comments: Well held completed starts over hurdles. Off 7 months prior to return.
- Private Tissue Odds: Not estimated in private tissue; falls into ‘Others – 16/1 to 100/1’ category.
- HITTHEHAYSON (IRE) (P. J. Rothwell / T. P. Roche):
- Comments: Poor maiden hurdler. Pulled up in handicap last time. In cheekpieces last 5 starts.
- Private Tissue Odds: Not estimated in private tissue; falls into ‘Others – 16/1 to 100/1’ category.
- KICK ON NELLIE (IRE) (J. P. Ryan / D. King):
- Comments: No show in maiden hurdles.
- Private Tissue Odds: Not estimated in private tissue; falls into ‘Others – 16/1 to 100/1’ category.
- MET OFFICE (IRE) (E. Doyle / Reserve):
- Comments: Fairly useful handicapper on Flat. Tailed off in 3 maiden hurdles.
- Private Tissue Odds: Not estimated in private tissue; falls into ‘Others – 16/1 to 100/1’ category.
- NORISKA DE LA MARE (FR) (P. Fenton / N. Moore):
- Comments: Poor bumper performer/maiden hurdler. Tried in tongue tie.
- Private Tissue Odds: Not estimated in private tissue; falls into ‘Others – 16/1 to 100/1’ category.
- TEDWORTH (IRE) (M. Barry / J. P. Shinnick):
- Comments: Poor form over hurdles. Well held in similar event last time.
- Private Tissue Odds: Not estimated in private tissue; falls into ‘Others – 16/1 to 100/1’ category.
- ANGELSWORKNOVRTIME (IRE) (J. A. Fahey / A. Harvey):
- ChatGPT Smart Plays:
- Win Selection: ANGELSWORKNOVRTIME – Solid profile and ideally positioned, returning to her winning venue with an ideal setup and in good form.
- Each-Way Saver: TIR OG – 4yo with upside, tactically versatile, and represents youthful potential off a light weight.
17:55 Kilbeggan – Massey Ferguson Johnston Farm Equipment Longford Handicap Hurdle (Div II)
- Race Conditions & Pace Angles: A 0-100 handicap hurdle for 4yo+ over 2m 2f 200y at Kilbeggan. The going is Good-good to yielding in places. The pace is expected to be even, though not overly strong, which favors prominently ridden types. Horses drawn to race handily, especially from the EPF 1–3 bracket, are advantaged. Hold-up horses like THATS ALL (IRE) may face a tactical ceiling unless a stronger pace develops mid-race.
- Runner Comments & Private Tissue Odds:
- JAADIL (IRE) (D. E. Fitzgerald / G. P. Brouder):
- Comments: Unexposed 4yo filly with just five hurdle runs. Improved markedly when a strong second at Bellewstown, staying on powerfully over 20.5f. Bred to stay further. Well-handicapped and gets weight from older rivals.
- Private Tissue Odds: 7/2.
- DEMANDING GERRY (IRE) (J. A. Fahey / A. Harvey):
- Comments: Modest maiden handicap hurdler. Comes here off a career-best second at Downpatrick. Strong on the figures and tactically versatile. Wears tongue tie. “2” (winner) flag.
- Private Tissue Odds: 4/1.
- THATS ALL (IRE) (T. Doyle / C. M. Quirke):
- Comments: Poor maiden handicap hurdler. Hard to win with but often finishes well. Hit the frame at Cork, and has clocked decent figures. Likely pace scenario and Kilbeggan’s sharp configuration could blunt her closing kick. Usually held up. “4” (winner) flag.
- Private Tissue Odds: 6/1.
- NEWPORT (E. Doyle / D. Meyler):
- Comments: Modest maiden handicap hurdler. Back on track when 4th at Wexford last time. Yet to prove he stays this far, so trip is the main question. Wears headgear/tongue tie.
- Private Tissue Odds: 13/2.
- DEE’S GETAWAY (IRE) (J. P. Dempsey / Reserve):
- Comments: Modest hurdler, won maiden at Tramore. Much better than result last time when 4th at Bellewstown, shaped second best long way despite sitting closer to pace than ideal. Race-fit. A return to a sharper track might help her hold on better. “Horse In Focus” flag. In cheekpieces last 2 starts.
- Private Tissue Odds: 10/1.
- MASSABIELLE (IRE) (D. A. McLoughlin / P. O’Hanlon):
- Comments: Modest form over hurdles. Will be suited by further than 2½m. Track and trip fine; place squeak.
- Private Tissue Odds: 12/1.
- INFLUENTIAL LADY (IRE) (J. M. Barcoe / C. Owens):
- Comments: Modest handicap hurdler. Showed signs of life when 4th at Downpatrick in June. Rarely wins but can run into minor money with an efficient ride. Oldest mare in the field.
- Private Tissue Odds: 14/1.
- BLOSSOM DE MAI (FR) (P. J. Rothwell / T. P. Roche):
- Comments: Modest handicap hurdler. Well held final start in 2023/24 and absent since. Wears cheekpieces. “5” (winner) flag.
- Private Tissue Odds: Not estimated in private tissue; falls into ‘Others – 16/1 to 100/1’ category.
- HOB’S ANGEL (IRE) (J. M. Barcoe / D. Meyler):
- Comments: Poor maiden handicap hurdler. 3rd two starts back; has hinted at ability when conditions are right. Now gets Donagh Meyler.
- Private Tissue Odds: Not estimated in private tissue; falls into ‘Others – 16/1 to 100/1’ category.
- I’M FLATTERED (IRE) (P. Roche / A. P. Kelly):
- Comments: Well held in bumper and Flat maidens. Best effort in maiden hurdles when 8th on debut. In tongue tie last 3 starts.
- Private Tissue Odds: Not estimated in private tissue; falls into ‘Others – 16/1 to 100/1’ category.
- LEITZEL (A. McNamara / Reserve):
- Comments: Fairly useful form on Flat. Modest maiden hurdler. Good 2 lengths third in maiden at Ballinrobe.
- Private Tissue Odds: Not estimated in private tissue; falls into ‘Others – 16/1 to 100/1’ category.
- MASTERSTONEMASON (IRE) (F. Costello / C. Stone-Walsh):
- Comments: One-time fair handicap hurdler, retains little ability. Best treated with caution.
- Private Tissue Odds: Not estimated in private tissue; falls into ‘Others – 16/1 to 100/1’ category.
- MR DIBBS (IRE) (A. Murray / K. E. Buckley):
- Comments: Winning hurdler. Well held in handicaps since. “C” (course winner) flag.
- Private Tissue Odds: Not estimated in private tissue; falls into ‘Others – 16/1 to 100/1’ category.
- PEPPERPOTS (IRE) (B. J. Walsh / Mr B. J. Walsh):
- Comments: Bumper winner. Modest form at best over hurdles. Made mistakes and pulled up on chasing debut.
- Private Tissue Odds: Not estimated in private tissue; falls into ‘Others – 16/1 to 100/1’ category.
- RHYTHMIC TUNE (IRE) (M. Molloy / Reserve):
- Comments: Modest form over hurdles. Improved when 7th on handicap debut. Will benefit from a return to at least 2½m.
- Private Tissue Odds: Not estimated in private tissue; falls into ‘Others – 16/1 to 100/1’ category.
- SLEA HEAD (IRE) (P. Maher / S. F. O’Keeffe):
- Comments: No show in 4 maiden hurdles.
- Private Tissue Odds: Not estimated in private tissue; falls into ‘Others – 16/1 to 100/1’ category.
- WHO’S IN MIDFIELD (IRE) (S. K. Ryder / J. J. Slevin):
- Comments: Modest maiden hurdler. In frame first 2 starts in 2024/25. Usually front runner/races prominently. “2” (winner) flag.
- Private Tissue Odds: Not estimated in private tissue; falls into ‘Others – 16/1 to 100/1’ category.
- JAADIL (IRE) (D. E. Fitzgerald / G. P. Brouder):
- ChatGPT Smart Plays:
- Win Selection: JAADIL – Lightly raced and finished with running left at Bellewstown, showing upward potential and strong stamina.
- Each-Way Saver: DEE’S GETAWAY (if she gets in) or INFLUENTIAL LADY – Both are reliable and value-for-frame types.
18:30 Kilbeggan – Tote Handicap Hurdle
- Race Conditions & Pace Angles: This is a 0-100 Tote Handicap Hurdle for 4yo+ over 2m 2f 200y at Kilbeggan. The going is Good-good to yielding in places. The pace is forecast to be strong, which historically suits runners who are held up or settled mid-division, particularly when the front-end goes too hard. Horses with tactical patience and stamina will be well-positioned to benefit from a likely race collapse. SWELLTIME (IRE) may struggle if caught up early, while BOSTON JURY (IRE) could benefit.
- Runner Comments & Private Tissue Odds:
- SEA OF DOUBT (IRE) (I. P. Donoghue / S. Ewing):
- Comments: Consistent profile with recent strong efforts, notably 2nd at Tramore and solid 3rd at Wexford. Should relish the likely strong pace and shapes as one who will stay this trip well. Improving quietly and open to further progress.
- Private Tissue Odds: 4/1.
- SWELLTIME (IRE) (W. O’Doherty / J. Coen):
- Comments: Fair handicap hurdler. Returned to form emphatically when winning at Killarney. May be vulnerable if going forward too aggressively given today’s strong pace setup. A touch more exposed than ideal. “C” (course winner) flag.
- Private Tissue Odds: 5/1.
- FACEMAN (IRE) (D. H. Kelly / B. Hayes):
- Comments: Made frame in bumpers. Fair form over hurdles. Much improved under change of tactics when winning at Kilbeggan last time by making all. Raised in grade now but remains on a workable mark. Still unexposed at the trip. “Warning Horse” flag.
- Private Tissue Odds: 6/1.
- LOUP DE TALLANE (FR) (E. Griffin / A. P. Kelly):
- Comments: Fair handicap hurdler, hard to catch right. Course winner at Kilbeggan. Shaped as if better for run after 8 months off. Was racing closer to pace than ideal. With a more restrained ride, he could finish strongly off what looks a fair mark. 5lb claimer takes over and should be fitter now. “CD” (course and distance winner) flag.
- Private Tissue Odds: 8/1.
- WARM IN GOREY (IRE) (P. J. Rothwell / T. P. Roche):
- Comments: Fair handicap hurdler, won at Thurles. Modest maiden chaser. Creditable 2nd last time at Wexford. Consistent type running close to form. Handles these big fields well. “s” (worn cheekpieces) flag.
- Private Tissue Odds: 9/1.
- BOSTON JURY (IRE) (G. Elliott / J. W. Kennedy):
- Comments: Fairly useful form over hurdles, won maiden at Down Royal. Improved when 3rd at Ballinrobe. Possibly amiss in handicap at Bellewstown last time. Stays 2¾m. “X” (prone to mistakes) flag.
- Private Tissue Odds: 10/1.
- MARELLY (IRE) (P. J. Rothwell / S. D. Torrens):
- Comments: Fair handicap hurdler. Shaped as if still in good form when 4th at Naas. Has a bit to prove but figures OK. Wears headgear.
- Private Tissue Odds: 11/1.
- GLENDINE BILLY (IRE) (A. Mullins / D. E. Mullins):
- Comments: Fair maiden hurdler. Shaped as if needing run after 8 months off. Unreliable, but on past figures could sneak a place. Was turned over last time out when trading at 50% or less of his Betfair SP.
- Private Tissue Odds: 14/1.
- ANOTHER CHOICE (IRE) (M. J. Smith / J. Smith):
- Comments: Winning hurdler. Useful handicap chaser at best. Well held in handicap last time after dropping in trip. “h” (worn hood) flag.
- Private Tissue Odds: Not estimated in private tissue; falls into ‘Others – 16/1 to 66/1’ category.
- BALLYKINLAR (IRE) (D. Duggan / E. Staples):
- Comments: Modest form over hurdles. Best effort when 2nd in handicap at Kilbeggan. Run best excused last time when unsuited by drop in trip. Wears tongue tie.
- Private Tissue Odds: Not estimated in private tissue; falls into ‘Others – 16/1 to 66/1’ category.
- BROKEN ICE (IRE) (J. McConnell / Reserve):
- Comments: Fair handicap hurdler. Stepped up on reappearance when 7th last time. Wears headgears and usually tongue tie. “X” (prone to mistakes) flag.
- Private Tissue Odds: Not estimated in private tissue; falls into ‘Others – 16/1 to 66/1’ category.
- ITS NOT OVER YET (IRE) (O. McKiernan / P. Enright):
- Comments: Fair handicap hurdler, won at Tipperary and Roscommon. Inadequate test last time after 6 months off.
- Private Tissue Odds: Not estimated in private tissue; falls into ‘Others – 16/1 to 66/1’ category.
- LADY ROSE HACKETT (H. de Bromhead / D. J. O’Keeffe):
- Comments: Won sole outing in points. Fair form when making frame first 3 starts in maiden hurdles. Well held last 2 outings. “k” (keen) flag.
- Private Tissue Odds: Not estimated in private tissue; falls into ‘Others – 16/1 to 66/1’ category.
- LODILOMOCO (IRE) (J. P. Ryan / Reserve):
- Comments: Bumper winner. Modest maiden hurdler. Stepped up on reappearance when 2nd in handicap at Sligo. “BF” flag.
- Private Tissue Odds: Not estimated in private tissue; falls into ‘Others – 16/1 to 66/1’ category.
- SAYITFIRST (IRE) (D. Collins / Reserve):
- Comments: Modest handicap hurdler, won at Roscommon. Well held in handicap on chasing debut after 7 months off. Usually leads.
- Private Tissue Odds: Not estimated in private tissue; falls into ‘Others – 16/1 to 66/1’ category.
- SLIM MARVEL (FR) (A. Slattery / T. Ryan):
- Comments: Fair handicap hurdler, won mares maiden at Kilbeggan. Below form last time in first-time visor. “CD” (course and distance winner) and “Horse for course” flags.
- Private Tissue Odds: Not estimated in private tissue; falls into ‘Others – 16/1 to 66/1’ category.
- VALSORPRESA (R. J. Daniels / J. J. Slevin):
- Comments: Fair hurdler. Well held in handicap last time after 7 months off. Similar form over fences.
- Private Tissue Odds: Not estimated in private tissue; falls into ‘Others – 16/1 to 66/1’ category.
- SEA OF DOUBT (IRE) (I. P. Donoghue / S. Ewing):
- ChatGPT Smart Plays:
- Win Selection: SEA OF DOUBT – Stays well and race conditions (strong pace) are ideal for her.
- Each-Way Saver: LOUP DE TALLANE – Course winner, shaped with promise off the layoff, and could finish strongly off a fair mark with a more restrained ride.
19:05 Kilbeggan – Hurley Family Maiden Hurdle
- Race Conditions & Pace Angles: This is a 4yo+ Hurley Family Maiden Hurdle over 3m 100y at Kilbeggan. The going is Good-good to yielding in places. The pace forecast is very weak, with no known habitual front-runners, suggesting a tactical contest. This setup favors prominent racers with enough stamina. JIMMYBRIEN (IRE) should be better placed than REIKI REVOLUTION (IRE) in this respect.
- Runner Comments & Private Tissue Odds:
- WILLIAM BUTLER (IRE) (G. Elliott / J. W. Kennedy):
- Comments: Fairly useful form in bumpers, won maiden at Fairyhouse. Fair form over hurdles. Better than result last time when 4th at Wexford, left with too much to do. Will stay beyond 3m. Remains open to improvement. Blinkers applied for the first time, which may sharpen him up early. “Horse in Focus” flag.
- Private Tissue Odds: 9/4.
- REIKI REVOLUTION (IRE) (P. J. Rothwell / T. P. Roche):
- Comments: Fair form in bumpers, winning at Galway. Similar form over hurdles. Probably should have won last time, finishing strongly after jumping ponderously early. Clearly capable but slow starts and ponderous early jumping have cost him. A strongly run race might suit him better than this setup. Likely to be held up. “Horse in Focus” flag and “BF” flag.
- Private Tissue Odds: 11/4.
- MIDNIGHT MOONSHINE (IRE) (W. Harvey / B. W. Harvey):
- Comments: Winning pointer. Length 2nd on hurdling debut at Downpatrick. Strong staying type who chased home a useful winner. Stays well and doesn’t lack for toughness.
- Private Tissue Odds: 11/2.
- NORTH MOON (FR) (W. P. Mullins / P. Townend):
- Comments: Disappointed as favourite on bumper debut (7th at Wexford). Confidence from that day suggests more was expected. Dam and relatives point to stamina. Debut over hurdles is likely to suit better. Obvious potential improver from the all-conquering Mullins’ yard. “BF” flag.
- Private Tissue Odds: 6/1.
- STICKMAN (IRE) (D. Duggan / E. Staples):
- Comments: Maiden pointer. Placed only start in bumpers. Fair form at best over hurdles. Shaped okay on penultimate start before pulling up latest. Could revive, though risky. Wears a hood for the first time.
- Private Tissue Odds: 16/1.
- JIMMYBRIEN (IRE) (M. Phillips / Ms H. Phillips):
- Comments: Winning pointer. Down the field both starts over hurdles. Could lead in slow-run race, but stamina questionable. In cheekpieces last 3 starts.
- Private Tissue Odds: 20/1.
- BELTOY (IRE) (S. Crawford / Mr T. C. Kileff):
- Comments: Closely related to a point winner. Last of 7 finishers in completed point start. Tactically well-placed; may give each-way players a brief thrill if allowed an easy lead, though lacks substance. No prior form.
- Private Tissue Odds: Not estimated in private tissue; falls into ‘Others – 25/1 to 100/1’ category.
- CAPPAHO (IRE) (E. Seymour / C. M. Quirke):
- Comments: Down the field in bumper. Pulled up both starts in mares maiden hurdles.
- Private Tissue Odds: Not estimated in private tissue; falls into ‘Others – 25/1 to 100/1’ category.
- DANCING TARIFF (IRE) (D. K. Budds / Mr E. T. Mellerick):
- Comments: No prior form.
- Private Tissue Odds: Not estimated in private tissue; falls into ‘Others – 25/1 to 100/1’ category.
- FULMINIS INSTAR (IRE) (A. J. Black / Non Runner):
- Comments: Non-runner.
- Private Tissue Odds: Not estimated in private tissue; falls into ‘Others – 25/1 to 100/1’ category.
- JUSTMADEIT (IRE) (D. Hogan / D. King):
- Comments: Poor maiden hurdler. Well held in handicap last time. Usually in tongue tie.
- Private Tissue Odds: Not estimated in private tissue; falls into ‘Others – 25/1 to 100/1’ category.
- LUCKY JACK (IRE) (I. P. Donoghue / J. Smith):
- Comments: Little impact over hurdles. Should stay further than 2m. In cheekpieces/tongue tie last time.
- Private Tissue Odds: Not estimated in private tissue; falls into ‘Others – 25/1 to 100/1’ category.
- SINGING CASAMENTO (IRE) (B. J. Walsh / Mr B. J. Walsh):
- Comments: No prior form.
- Private Tissue Odds: Not estimated in private tissue; falls into ‘Others – 25/1 to 100/1’ category.
- URBAN LEE (IRE) (G. Keane / Mr E. Finegan):
- Comments: No prior form.
- Private Tissue Odds: Not estimated in private tissue; falls into ‘Others – 25/1 to 100/1’ category.
- WILLIAM BUTLER (IRE) (G. Elliott / J. W. Kennedy):
- ChatGPT Smart Plays:
- Win Selection: WILLIAM BUTLER – Looks ready to win and tactically suited by the slow pace forecast, with stamina and improvement potential.
- Each-Way Saver: MIDNIGHT MOONSHINE – Honest and stays well; could grind into the frame in a slow-run contest.
19:40 Kilbeggan – Egan Stone Kilbeggan Handicap Chase
- Race Conditions & Pace Angles: This is a 0-100 Handicap Chase for 5yo+ over 2m 4f 5y at Kilbeggan. The going is Good-good to yielding in places. The pace is forecast to be even, but prominent runners appear tactically advantaged on Kilbeggan’s sharp circuit. ST CUTHBERT’S CAVE (IRE) looks well-placed, while A WAVE OF THE SEA (IRE), often held up, may be compromised.
- Runner Comments & Private Tissue Odds:
- ST CUTHBERT’S CAVE (IRE) (G. Elliott / J. W. Kennedy):
- Comments: Fairly useful hurdler. Made a bright start over fences when 2nd here in June. Forgiven a below-par 3rd at Tipperary where his jumping went awry. Reunited with J. W. Kennedy, who has a 41% strike rate on chase favourites. Back at a track that suits his style. Tactically sound and likely to be well positioned. “BF” flag. “X” (prone to mistakes) flag. Wears tongue tie.
- Private Tissue Odds: 11/4.
- WOODSTREAM LAD (IRE) (P. J. Rothwell / T. P. Roche):
- Comments: Fair handicap hurdler. Bolted up over hurdles at Downpatrick last week. Reverts to fences from the same mark. Still unproven as a chaser (limited evidence), but his hurdles win suggested he’s ahead of the assessor. Blinkers retained. “Jockey Uplift” flag. “X” (prone to mistakes) flag.
- Private Tissue Odds: 7/2.
- A WAVE OF THE SEA (IRE) (J. P. Broderick / M. P. Walsh):
- Comments: Fairly useful handicap chaser. On long losing run, but potentially well treated on pick of 2024/25 form. Probably needed run on return at Tipperary. Often ridden cold and his finishing effort may be blunted by the likely even pace and tight finish. “CD” (course and distance winner) flag.
- Private Tissue Odds: 6/1.
- GENERAL CLERMONT (FR) (D. E. Fitzgerald / G. P. Brouder):
- Comments: Fair handicap chaser, won at Limerick and Wexford. Consistent this spring in small-field chases. Perhaps best excused his latest hurdle effort. A gritty type who may try to lay up near the front; danger if getting loose. “X” (prone to mistakes) flag.
- Private Tissue Odds: 13/2.
- I A CONNECT (IRE) (M. McCutcheon / J. C. Gainford):
- Comments: Winning hurdler. Fair handicap chaser. Good 1½ lengths 3rd at Tramore last time, travelling strongly long way. Travels well but has pulled up frequently and remains a high-risk proposition. Prone to mistakes over fences. “X” (prone to mistakes) flag.
- Private Tissue Odds: 8/1.
- GARDE LA PECHE (FR) (H. de Bromhead / D. J. O’Keeffe):
- Comments: Fair chaser, won maiden at Clonmel. Jumped none too fluently and had breathing problem last time. Prior effort behind a strong winner reads better than it looks. Could go close if back to best. Wears tongue tie. “k” (keen) flag.
- Private Tissue Odds: 10/1.
- CAESAR ROCK (IRE) (M. F. Morris / C. G. O’Dwyer):
- Comments: Winning hurdler. Fairly useful maiden chaser. Proved retains ability when 2nd on return. Weak finisher. Wears headgear and tongue tie. “X” (prone to mistakes) flag.
- Private Tissue Odds: 12/1.
- BOCELLI’S VOICE (IRE) (D. A. McLoughlin / P. M. O’Brien):
- Comments: Winning hurdler. Fair handicap chaser. Below best of late, possibly still needed run last time. Wears cheekpieces/tongue tie.
- Private Tissue Odds: Not estimated in private tissue; falls into ‘Others – 14/1 to 50/1’ category.
- JOYEUX VIVO (FR) (J. E. & T. Kiely / S. D. Torrens):
- Comments: Fairly useful maiden hurdler at best. Fair form over fences (has had jumping issue). Well held when reverted to hurdles on return. “X” (prone to mistakes) flag.
- Private Tissue Odds: Not estimated in private tissue; falls into ‘Others – 14/1 to 50/1’ category.
- PAKENS ROCK (IRE) (D. Collins / S. F. O’Keeffe):
- Comments: Fairly useful handicap hurdler, won at Kilbeggan. Fair handicap chaser, though struggled in non-veteran events lately. Worn tongue tie. “CD” (course and distance winner) and “C” (course winner) flags.
- Private Tissue Odds: Not estimated in private tissue; falls into ‘Others – 14/1 to 50/1’ category.
- ST CUTHBERT’S CAVE (IRE) (G. Elliott / J. W. Kennedy):
- ChatGPT Smart Plays:
- Win Selection: ST CUTHBERT’S CAVE – Reverts to an ideal track with optimal conditions, has the right profile and is forgiven his latest run.
- Each-Way Saver: GENERAL CLERMONT – Reliable, consistent, and should be thereabouts, especially if trying to lay up near the front.
20:15 Kilbeggan – Bretland Construction Edenderry Handicap Chase
- Race Conditions & Pace Angles: This is a 0-100 Handicap Chase for 4yo+ over 2m 4f 5y at Kilbeggan. The going is Good-good to yielding. The pace projection is even but potentially contested, with mid-pack and prominent runners best positioned. PECKHAM SPRINGS (IRE) and GINA MOON (IRE) are likely to sit handy and benefit, while MOVIE KING (IRE) could find himself shuffled back. Track craft and tactical speed are vital.
- Runner Comments & Private Tissue Odds:
- ZOLPHARINE (IRE) (J. P. Ryan / H. E. Sexton):
- Comments: Winning hurdler, won at Kilbeggan. Ran a screamer when just touched off at Killarney last week, jumping more cleanly and travelling well. Returns here in form for a yard in good nick. Solid jumper, handles this ground, and should be handy in the run. Traded at 25% or less of his starting Betfair SP when beaten last time. “X” (prone to mistakes) flag. “C” (course winner) flag.
- Private Tissue Odds: 7/2.
- GINA MOON (IRE) (G. Elliott / J. W. Kennedy):
- Comments: Modest maiden hurdler. Two fair chase runs and returns quickly after shaping okay at Downpatrick. Jumping still patchy but a touch of stamina and consistency coming through. Booking of J. W. Kennedy is notable and suggests she’s not far off ready to strike. “X” (prone to mistakes) flag.
- Private Tissue Odds: 5/1.
- MOVIE KING (IRE) (A. J. Martin / Mr B. M. Coonan):
- Comments: Modest handicap hurdler. Shaped well on sole 2024/25 outing over hurdles. Remains with upside in chasing sphere, but has a tendency to be ridden cold, which may not be ideal here. Second-time cheekpieces could aid focus. “D” (distance winner) flag.
- Private Tissue Odds: 11/2.
- PECKHAM SPRINGS (IRE) (D. A. McLoughlin / P. O’Hanlon):
- Comments: Fairly useful hurdler at best. Ran better than for a while when 4th over hurdles last time. Now back chasing. Better signs last time and a return to fences might unlock more. Yard has a decent strike rate when switching codes after a good run. Wears tongue tie.
- Private Tissue Odds: 7/1.
- ALIUNDE (IRE) (M. McNiff / D. King):
- Comments: Modest handicap chaser. Won this race in 2024 (with a bit in hand off 3lb lower). Recent form is mixed; fell last time and pulled up before that. Would be a strong contender if finding his old rhythm. “CD” (course and distance winner) flag. “X” (prone to mistakes) flag.
- Private Tissue Odds: 10/1.
- DOYEN MAGIC (IRE) (P. J. Rothwell / T. P. Roche):
- Comments: Point winner. Modest maiden handicap hurdler. Has changed yards and showed hints of promise in modest company before. Could surprise if finding the right tempo. Tends to find little.
- Private Tissue Odds: 14/1.
- HOB’S ANGEL (IRE) (J. M. Barcoe / D. Meyler):
- Comments: Poor maiden handicap hurdler. 3rd two starts back; has hinted at ability when conditions are right. Now gets Donagh Meyler.
- Private Tissue Odds: 16/1.
- DUE COURSE (IRE) (G. P. Cromwell / Reserve):
- Comments: Winning pointer. Fair handicap hurdler, won at Bellewstown and Punchestown. Just modest form so far over fences. Failed to stay last time. Well-handicapped on hurdle form and would be of interest if getting in. “BF” flag.
- Private Tissue Odds: Not estimated in private tissue; falls into ‘Others – 20/1 to 100/1’ category.
- FR GILLIGANSVOYGE (J. G. Carr / Reserve):
- Comments: Maiden hurdler. Poor handicap chaser. Ran better than for a while when 4th last time. Prone to mistakes over fences. Wears headgear/tongue tie. “X” (prone to mistakes) flag.
- Private Tissue Odds: Not estimated in private tissue; falls into ‘Others – 20/1 to 100/1’ category.
- HERO IN THE SKY (IRE) (A. Ott / G. B. Noonan):
- Comments: Poor maiden hurdler. Well held in handicap last time. Usually in tongue tie.
- Private Tissue Odds: Not estimated in private tissue; falls into ‘Others – 20/1 to 100/1’ category.
- KATZOFF (IRE) (J. Morrison / Reserve):
- Comments: Poor maiden handicap hurdler. No form in handicap chases. Unproven beyond 17f.
- Private Tissue Odds: Not estimated in private tissue; falls into ‘Others – 20/1 to 100/1’ category.
- L’UN DEUX TROIS (IRE) (O. McKiernan / P. Enright):
- Comments: Fair maiden hurdler at best. Tailed off on chasing debut. Unproven beyond 17f.
- Private Tissue Odds: Not estimated in private tissue; falls into ‘Others – 20/1 to 100/1’ category.
- MASTERMIND (IRE) (M. P. Markham / S. D. Torrens):
- Comments: One-time fairly useful handicap hurdler. Poor handicap chaser nowadays. Lately left Alan Fleming. Usually races off pace. “NT” (new trainer) flag.
- Private Tissue Odds: Not estimated in private tissue; falls into ‘Others – 20/1 to 100/1’ category.
- MIST ON THE BOG (IRE) (L. Casey / S. Flanagan):
- Comments: Poor maiden handicap hurdler. Third of 17 in handicap only chase start. Tricky to assess on back of another lengthy absence.
- Private Tissue Odds: Not estimated in private tissue; falls into ‘Others – 20/1 to 100/1’ category.
- RACING DAISY (IRE) (P. J. F. Hassett / P. Hanlon):
- Comments: Poor maiden hurdler. Well-beaten last time on return. Worn tongue tie.
- Private Tissue Odds: Not estimated in private tissue; falls into ‘Others – 20/1 to 100/1’ category.
- ROBIN DE ROOST (IRE) (G. Keane / D. J. O’Keeffe):
- Comments: Fair handicap chaser at best, won at Downpatrick. Well below form both starts this season. Wears tongue tie. “D” (distance winner) flag.
- Private Tissue Odds: Not estimated in private tissue; falls into ‘Others – 20/1 to 100/1’ category.
- TUFF DAYS (IRE) (M. Barry / M. P. O’Connor):
- Comments: Modest form at best in chases. Well held on return after 10 months off. Often let down by jumping over fences. “X” (prone to mistakes) flag.
- Private Tissue Odds: Not estimated in private tissue; falls into ‘Others – 20/1 to 100/1’ category.
- ZOLPHARINE (IRE) (J. P. Ryan / H. E. Sexton):
- ChatGPT Smart Plays:
- Win Selection: ZOLPHARINE – Recent run marks him as a well-handicapped and peaking type, ideally suited by the track and setup.
- Each-Way Saver: GINA MOON – Top jockey up (J. W. Kennedy); every chance with a clear round and continues to shape well.
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