13:30 Uttoxeter – Boots Opticians Uttoxeter Novices’ Hurdle (Division I)
Race Conditions: Class 4, 1m 7f 168y, Good ground. 10 runners. Pace forecast is Weak, suggesting it could favour those racing prominently or with a turn of foot.
Runners & Comments:
- BREAKING COVER (IRE):
- Form: Fair hurdler; off 14 months, won a 6-runner maiden by 2 lengths at Newton Abbot on return.
- Pace: May adopt positive tactics.
- Draw: Not relevant over hurdles.
- Fitness: Fit after winning following a 14-month layoff.
- Class: Proven at the level.
- Flags: Wears tongue tie. Jumps are a minor concern, having let himself down over fences.
- BREAK POINT:
- Form: Poor maiden on Flat and showed little in novice hurdles.
- Pace: Lacks pace or sits off the speed, which could be problematic in a slowly run event.
- Draw: Not relevant over hurdles.
- Fitness: N/A.
- Class: Little to suggest impact here based on poor Flat form.
- Flags: Olly Murphy has a 23% strike rate at Uttoxeter since the 2021/22 season.
- HEERATHETRACK:
- Form: Modest on Flat; has shown nothing in two novice hurdles.
- Pace: Lacks pace or sits off the speed, which could be problematic in a slowly run event.
- Draw: Not relevant over hurdles.
- Fitness: N/A.
- Class: No form to speak of under either code.
- JENTOBELLO:
- Form: Unbeaten in two bumpers, winning impressively by clear margins.
- Pace: Appears tactically adaptable.
- Draw: Not relevant over hurdles.
- Fitness: N/A.
- Class: Progressive type with raw ability and a serious engine. Timeform rates him 115+.
- Flags: Interesting hurdling newcomer.
- MASTER MUGGINS (FR):
- Form: Last of five finishers in his only point-to-point outing.
- Pace: N/A.
- Draw: Not relevant over hurdles.
- Fitness: N/A.
- Class: No form and only modest point experience.
- PASSION FOR GLORY (IRE):
- Form: Failed to complete both starts in Irish points.
- Pace: N/A.
- Draw: Not relevant over hurdles.
- Fitness: N/A.
- Class: From a jumping family, but hard to weigh up his chances.
- PERTEMPS DIAMOND:
- Form: Placed once in four bumper starts; little impact in two hurdles starts.
- Pace: Lacks pace or sits off the speed, which could be problematic in a slowly run event.
- Draw: Not relevant over hurdles.
- Fitness: Returning from a long layoff.
- Class: Limited evidence of ability.
- Flags: Olly Murphy has a £16.36 profit with hurdlers off for over a year.
- REINA DEL MAR (IRE):
- Form: Fair on Flat and fair over hurdles; won by 3 lengths on return at Ffos Las.
- Pace: Usually a front-runner/races prominently; tactically versatile.
- Draw: Not relevant over hurdles.
- Fitness: Won on first start for Tim Vaughan after a 3-month absence.
- Class: Proven winner with an adjusted rating of 119+.
- Flags: Wears tongue tie. Was beaten previously when trading at odds-on in-running.
- ANOTHER PEARL:
- Form: No better than mid-division in bumpers; green and well held in novice hurdles.
- Pace: N/A.
- Draw: Not relevant over hurdles.
- Fitness: N/A.
- Class: Likely lacks class, but has stamina on dam’s side. Weak on form.
- Flags: Georgina Nicholls has a £50.73 profit with only one runner on the card in hurdles.
- PRINCESSE MILANIA (IRE):
- Form: Off mark in Irish points; shaped like a stayer when third in a mares bumper.
- Flags: Non Runner (NR). Olly Murphy has a 23% strike rate at Uttoxeter.
Private Tissue Odds:
- JENTOBELLO: 15/8
- REINA DEL MAR: 5/2
- BREAKING COVER: 7/2
- ANOTHER PEARL: 16/1
- Others: 20/1 bar
ChatGPT Smart Plays:
- Win Bet: JENTOBELLO – He possesses untapped potential, a sharp turn of foot, and has a top rider booked, making him the top pick in this field.
- Each-Way Saver: ANOTHER PEARL – Despite modest form, her trainer’s smart stat and the potential for improvement at a big price make her an interesting each-way prospect.
14:02 Uttoxeter – Boots Opticians Uttoxeter Novices’ Hurdle (Division II)
Race Conditions: Class 4, 1m 7f 168y, Good ground. 10 runners. Pace forecast is Very Weak, which will favour those with tactical speed or who can race handily.
Runners & Comments:
- BERTIE THE REBEL:
- Form: Well held in bumpers; pulled up on hurdles debut.
- Pace: Likely to struggle from off the pace in a slowly run race.
- Draw: Irrelevant over hurdles.
- Fitness: N/A.
- Class: Very hard to fancy based on past performances.
- DROMBEG LAD:
- Form: Showed marked improvement when second in a Worcester bumper on return from a break.
- Pace: Tactically versatile.
- Draw: Irrelevant over hurdles.
- Fitness: Returned after an 11-month break.
- Class: Progressive type, bred to do better over obstacles. Strong bumper effort, strong hurdles debut likely.
- FINAL STRAW (IRE):
- Form: Looked badly in need of experience when fourth on hurdles debut at Southwell.
- Pace: N/A.
- Draw: Irrelevant over hurdles.
- Fitness: N/A.
- Class: Promising for a top yard, expected to show significant improvement from his debut. Timeform rating reflects significant expected improvement (111p).
- MAJESTIC MOMENT (IRE):
- Form: Maiden pointer; pulled up last time out.
- Pace: N/A.
- Draw: Irrelevant over hurdles.
- Fitness: N/A.
- Class: No form to speak of, and trainer/jockey combo is cold.
- MAYOR KINGSTON (IRE):
- Form: Maiden Irish pointer; shown nothing in two maiden hurdles.
- Pace: May struggle from off the pace in a slowly run race.
- Draw: Irrelevant over hurdles.
- Fitness: N/A.
- Class: Well beaten in both runs so far.
- SOUL LIMBO (IRE):
- Form: Placed in bumpers; would have placed but for a fall on hurdles debut, though well held next time.
- Pace: Could be better suited by a stronger pace than expected here.
- Draw: Irrelevant over hurdles.
- Fitness: N/A.
- Class: Unexposed, but needs to show more finishing effort.
- WESTERN CLOUDS:
- Form: Winning Irish pointer; comfortably won her last start at Perth by 3¼ lengths.
- Pace: May be ridden forward and has the tactical pace to dominate in a race lacking tempo.
- Draw: Irrelevant over hurdles.
- Fitness: N/A.
- Class: Progressive mare with a rising profile, open to further progress. Timeform rating of 123p (adjusted 119+).
- Flags: Olly Murphy has a 23% strike rate at Uttoxeter; Sean Bowen has a 23% strike rate at Uttoxeter.
- CAELAN (IRE):
- Form: Fair on Flat, but unplaced last time; unproven over hurdles.
- Pace: May struggle from off the pace in a slowly run race.
- Draw: Irrelevant over hurdles.
- Fitness: Returning from a 92-day layoff.
- Class: Unproven over hurdles.
- Flags: Has had breathing operation. Olly Murphy has a 23% strike rate at Uttoxeter.
- NANNY DAISY (IRE):
- Form: Well held in bumper; modest effort over hurdles last time.
- Pace: N/A.
- Draw: Irrelevant over hurdles.
- Fitness: N/A.
- Class: Poor form, modest recent effort. Trainer (Mark Walford) is cold.
- MIZ KLIMT (IRE):
- Form: Some bumper promise but very poor hurdles form so far.
- Pace: N/A.
- Draw: Irrelevant over hurdles.
- Fitness: N/A.
- Class: Very poor hurdles form.
- Flags: Jake Thomas Coulson has a £10.40 profit with only one runner on the card in hurdles.
Private Tissue Odds:
- WESTERN CLOUDS: 13/8
- FINAL STRAW: 3/1
- SOUL LIMBO: 9/2
- DROMBEG LAD: 6/1
- CAELAN: 16/1
- Others: 25/1 bar
ChatGPT Smart Plays:
- Win Bet: WESTERN CLOUDS – She has the best form, fitness, and tactical edge in a race expected to be run at a very weak pace.
- Each-Way Saver: DROMBEG LAD – His recent bumper second was eye-catching, and he is unexposed over hurdles, making him a promising each-way prospect.
14:37 Uttoxeter – Peter Stott Plant and Haulage Handicap Chase (Class 5)
Race Conditions: Class 5, 3m 2f 13y, Good ground. 11 runners. Pace forecast is Weak, likely benefiting front-runners or prominent racers.
Runners & Comments:
- WHERESMEMONEYGONE (IRE):
- Form: Transformed by a switch to fences and a new yard; won his chasing debut by an emphatic 24 lengths at Perth.
- Pace: Expected steady pace should favour him. Jumped boldly in front last time.
- Draw: Not applicable in chases.
- Fitness: Fit from winning in points.
- Class: Promising and thoroughly unexposed as a chaser, with significant performance upgrade. Timeform rating 109p.
- Flags: Trainer Ben Pauling is a ‘hot trainer’. Ben Jones has a 40% strike rate on chase favourites.
- SHANTOU MOON (IRE):
- Form: Poor handicap hurdler; yet to convince over fences.
- Pace: N/A.
- Draw: Not applicable in chases.
- Fitness: N/A.
- Class: Longstanding modest chaser with little upside.
- GALWAY REEL (IRE):
- Form: Modest maiden handicap hurdler; below best since returning from a 5-month break.
- Pace: May be at a tactical disadvantage if the race becomes a sprint.
- Draw: Not applicable in chases.
- Fitness: Returned from a 5-month layoff.
- Class: More miss than hit; hard to win with.
- CAVE ARTICLE (IRE):
- Form: Modest handicap chaser; won three times in 2024/25 but had a lacklustre effort last time.
- Pace: N/A.
- Draw: Not applicable in chases.
- Fitness: N/A.
- Class: Backable form at this level but lacks a tactical edge in a weak pace scenario.
- ZOFFALEE (FR):
- Form: On a long losing run over hurdles; maiden chaser who was a good second last time.
- Pace: Expected steady pace may not favour him over Wheresmemoneygone.
- Draw: Not applicable in chases.
- Fitness: N/A.
- Class: Consistent rather than progressive, but vulnerable late as he can be a weak finisher.
- UNBLINKING:
- Form: Modest handicap chaser; returned to form with a neck second last time, albeit suited by race development.
- Pace: May be at a tactical disadvantage if the race becomes a sprint.
- Draw: Not applicable in chases.
- Fitness: Returned from a 3-month layoff.
- Class: Needs the race to fall into place; one-paced but honest.
- MOZZARO (IRE):
- Form: Fair at best over fences; pulled up in both starts since completing a hat-trick in May 2022.
- Pace: N/A.
- Draw: Not applicable in chases.
- Fitness: N/A.
- Class: Out of form since returning from a long absence.
- Flags: Martin Keighley has a £25.40 profit with only one runner on the card in chases. Sean Bowen has a 23% strike rate at Uttoxeter.
- SCHOOL FOR SCANDAL (FR):
- Form: Poor handicap chaser, but won gamely last time at Worcester.
- Pace: A front-runner/races prominently; likely to go forward and suits the steady tempo.
- Draw: Not applicable in chases.
- Fitness: N/A.
- Class: Unreliable, but can go well fresh.
- DEADLY MISSILE (IRE):
- Form: Poor handicap chaser, but back to his best when winning at Uttoxeter last time, beating Zoffalee.
- Pace: A prominent racer.
- Draw: Not applicable in chases.
- Fitness: N/A.
- Class: Proven C&D winner, in good form.
- Flags: CD (Course and Distance winner).
- EIGHTYTWO TEAM (IRE):
- Form: Poor handicap chaser; won at Warwick in May but well held last time.
- Pace: Usually a front-runner/races prominently.
- Draw: Not applicable in chases.
- Fitness: N/A.
- Class: Capable, but was disappointing last time.
- Flags: Was beaten last time when trading under 50% of her starting Betfair SP.
- CROOKBARROW:
- Form: Poor hurdler, but a winning pointer since (third latest start) and potentially interesting for his new stable.
- Flags: Non Runner (NR).
- TINY TANTRUM (IRE):
- Form: Largely disappointing over hurdles and fences since a win in late 2022/23.
- Pace: May be at a tactical disadvantage if the race becomes a sprint.
- Draw: Not applicable in chases.
- Fitness: N/A.
- Class: Very hard to recommend based on recent efforts.
Private Tissue Odds:
- WHERESMEMONEYGONE: 13/8
- DEADLY MISSILE: 6/1
- ZOFFALEE: 13/2
- SCHOOL FOR SCANDAL: 15/2
- CAVE ARTICLE: 10/1
- Others: 14/1 bar
ChatGPT Smart Plays:
- Win Bet: WHERESMEMONEYGONE – He is lightly raced over fences, produced an impressive chase debut win, and the race shape should play to his strengths again.
- Each-Way Saver: SCHOOL FOR SCANDAL – As a front-runner, if he gets an easy lead, his positional advantage could bring him into the frame at a fair price.
15:12 Uttoxeter – Julie Busst Handicap Hurdle (Class 5)
Race Conditions: Class 5, 1m 7f 168y, Good ground. 14 runners. Pace forecast is Strong, creating potential for front-runners to take each other on and set it up for mid-division or hold-up types.
Runners & Comments:
- EZ TIGER (IRE):
- Form: Modest handicap hurdler; successful in 3 of his last 6 starts, making all on his latest return from absence.
- Pace: Often forces the pace and is a front-runner.
- Draw: Not relevant in hurdles.
- Fitness: Back from a break and won last time.
- Class: Proven and reliable.
- GOWER PRINCE:
- Form: Maiden hurdler; fair handicap chaser at best, but badly out of sorts recently.
- Pace: Usually races close up, but has potential trouble in tactical races.
- Draw: Not relevant in hurdles.
- Fitness: N/A.
- Class: Regressing and unlikely to feature.
- Flags: Matt Sheppard has a £27.37 profit with only one runner on the card in hurdles.
- FINE POINT (IRE):
- Form: Modest hurdler; won a novice handicap but below form in 2 of 3 starts since.
- Pace: Usually a front-runner/races prominently; likely to push on; vulnerable if he doesn’t get an easy lead.
- Draw: Not relevant in hurdles.
- Fitness: N/A.
- Class: N/A.
- AL MOOTAMARID (IRE):
- Form: Progressive hurdler; won a novice handicap and was a good third last time.
- Pace: Likely to push on; may be vulnerable if the pace collapses, as he’s not one for a burn-up.
- Draw: Not relevant in hurdles.
- Fitness: N/A.
- Class: Consistent improver.
- Flags: In tongue tie last two starts.
- PAPA BARNS (IRE):
- Form: Modest maiden handicap hurdler; ran a strong second on return for new yard.
- Pace: N/A.
- Draw: Not relevant in hurdles.
- Fitness: Returned from a 3-month absence.
- Class: Well-treated on old Irish chase form; promising recruit for Olly Murphy.
- Flags: Olly Murphy has a 23% strike rate at Uttoxeter.
- TRAFALGAR SQUARE (IRE):
- Form: Modest hurdler; won a novice handicap but below that level since.
- Flags: Non Runner (NR).
- DYNAMITE DEFENSE (IRE):
- Form: Some encouragement on hurdles debut, but well held since.
- Pace: N/A.
- Draw: Not relevant in hurdles.
- Fitness: N/A.
- Class: Still learning; likely to find this tough.
- Flags: Olly Murphy has a 23% strike rate at Uttoxeter.
- AMBASSADOR (IRE):
- Form: Modest handicap hurdler; won twice at Uttoxeter in 2024/25 and shaped well last time.
- Pace: N/A.
- Draw: Not relevant in hurdles.
- Fitness: N/A.
- Class: Well handicapped; strong course credentials.
- Flags: CD (Course and Distance winner). Micky Hammond has 2 winners in past 10 runnings of this race.
- LADY GWEN:
- Form: Modest handicap hurdler; respectable fifth last time.
- Pace: Usually races close up.
- Draw: Not relevant in hurdles.
- Fitness: N/A.
- Class: Unreliable, but could pick up pieces if others fade.
- Flags: Wears tongue tie. Prone to playing up beforehand.
- GERARD MENTOR (FR):
- Form: Winning hurdler, but has lost his way recently, including back over hurdles.
- Pace: Usually dropped out.
- Draw: Not relevant in hurdles.
- Fitness: N/A.
- Class: Quirky and out of form.
- Flags: Has had breathing operations.
- DIESEL LINE (IRE):
- Form: Bumper winner; took his form up a level for his new stable when second over C&D last time.
- Pace: Suited by a strongly-run race, as confirmed by his strong finishing sectional (FS% 103.8).
- Draw: Not relevant in hurdles.
- Fitness: N/A.
- Class: Hard to side against off the same mark; value for more than the bare result last time. Timeform rates him 116 (adjusted).
- Flags: Has been beaten twice before when trading at odds-on in-running.
- HUIT REFLETS (FR):
- Form: Modest handicap hurdler; in-and-out form since winning at Hexham.
- Pace: Usually races prominently.
- Draw: Not relevant in hurdles.
- Fitness: N/A.
- Class: Inconsistent, modest upside.
- STOPHERANDGO (IRE):
- Form: Modest handicap hurdler at best; down the field in chases.
- Pace: Usually races off pace, which suits a strong pace scenario.
- Draw: Not relevant in hurdles.
- Fitness: Off 217 days.
- Class: Patchy form.
- LEOPOLDS ROCK (IRE):
- Form: Modest handicap hurdler; returned after 20 months off and likely needed the run.
- Pace: N/A.
- Draw: Not relevant in hurdles.
- Fitness: Big layoff; ran poorly on return.
- Class: Not one to trust.
- Flags: Has had breathing operation.
- NORMANDY LEGEND:
- Form: Regressive form over hurdles; well held last time.
- Flags: Non Runner (NR).
- CAWTHORNE BANKER (IRE):
- Form: Modest handicap hurdler at best; out of sorts currently.
- Pace: N/A.
- Draw: Not relevant in hurdles.
- Fitness: N/A.
- Class: Hard to trust.
Private Tissue Odds:
- DIESEL LINE: 11/4
- PAPA BARNS: 9/2
- EZ TIGER: 11/2
- AL MOOTAMARID: 7/1
- AMBASSADOR: 10/1
- Others: 14/1 bar
ChatGPT Smart Plays:
- Win Bet: DIESEL LINE – He impressed with how he travelled and finished last time, and is ideally suited by the strong pace expected here, making him ready to go one better.
- Each-Way Saver: AMBASSADOR – With two previous C&D wins and his trainer’s strong record in this race, he’s a well-handicapped contender with strong place claims.
15:47 Uttoxeter – 4 Oaks Group Handicap Hurdle (Class 4)
Race Conditions: Class 4, 2m 7f 70y, Good ground. 14 runners. Pace forecast is Strong, which could favour well-ridden hold-up horses or those racing just off the speed.
Runners & Comments:
- GWASH (IRE):
- Form: Fair hurdler; stepped up on reappearance last time.
- Pace: Likely to take up a position at the rear; stays well and often finishes better than market expectation.
- Draw: Not applicable over hurdles.
- Fitness: N/A.
- Class: Unpredictable, but could exploit a collapsing pace.
- Flags: Betfair trading data suggests he’s dangerous late when conditions fall his way. Fergal O’Brien has a 20% strike rate at Uttoxeter.
- ILESTDANCINGSPIRIT (FR):
- Form: Placed in bumpers and first three hurdles starts (fair form); pulled up last time.
- Pace: May find it hard to assert if there’s interference mid-pack.
- Draw: Not applicable over hurdles.
- Fitness: N/A.
- Class: Needs a recovery after pulling up last time.
- FINISK RIVER:
- Form: Fair handicap hurdler; below form in his last 4 starts.
- Pace: Usually races prominently; may find it hard to assert if there’s interference mid-pack.
- Draw: Not applicable over hurdles.
- Fitness: Returned from a 7-month absence.
- Class: Out of sorts.
- SHANTOU EXPRESS (IRE):
- Form: Fair handicap hurdler; back on track when third last time.
- Pace: Usually a front-runner/races prominently; likely to press early; risky if a burn-up unfolds.
- Draw: Not applicable over hurdles.
- Fitness: N/A.
- Class: None too reliable.
- Flags: Has had breathing operations.
- MANOWEST (IRE):
- Form: Fair hurdler; won a maiden and was a good second last time.
- Pace: N/A.
- Draw: Not applicable over hurdles.
- Fitness: N/A.
- Class: Promising type with upside, could still have 7-10 lb in hand.
- Flags: Olly Murphy has a 23% strike rate at Uttoxeter.
- SUPREME YEATS (IRE):
- Form: Fair handicap hurdler; shaped well as runner-up on both starts this summer, posting strong figures (Adj 113+).
- Pace: Usually held up; favoured by the very strong pace forecast.
- Draw: Not applicable over hurdles.
- Fitness: N/A.
- Class: Progressive profile; ready to win, with ideal trip and sectionals.
- Flags: Harry Skelton has a 23% strike rate at Uttoxeter. Has had breathing operation.
- EXMOOR FOREST (IRE):
- Form: Winning hurdler; fair handicap chaser; creditable placed efforts recently.
- Pace: Has raced prominently of late.
- Draw: Not applicable over hurdles.
- Fitness: N/A.
- Class: Versatile, form solid but lacks a winning edge.
- LAND GIRL’S LUCK (IRE):
- Form: Fair handicap hurdler; better than ever with back-to-back wins followed by a strong second under a penalty.
- Pace: Has tactical pace to sit off a strong tempo.
- Draw: Not applicable over hurdles.
- Fitness: N/A.
- Class: Progressive mare thriving, in peak form and well positioned.
- PRINCE DE JUILLEY (FR):
- Form: Fair handicap hurdler; little impact in three starts over fences.
- Pace: N/A.
- Draw: Not applicable over hurdles.
- Fitness: N/A.
- Class: Chasing hasn’t worked out; minor place hopes.
- TZARMIX (FR):
- Form: Fair handicap hurdler; step back in the right direction when third last time, with best work finishing.
- Pace: N/A.
- Draw: Not applicable over hurdles.
- Fitness: N/A.
- Class: Capable late closer; live longshot.
- TROPICAL SPEED (IRE):
- Form: Modest handicap hurdler; won at Stratford but form dipped since.
- Pace: Likely to press early; the strong pace could shift advantage away from him.
- Draw: Not applicable over hurdles.
- Fitness: N/A.
- Class: May fade.
- Flags: Olly Murphy has a 23% strike rate at Uttoxeter.
- JACK’S JURY (IRE):
- Form: Modest hurdler; creditable placed efforts in handicaps recently.
- Flags: Non Runner (NR).
- RED PANDA:
- Form: Modest hurdler; won a 10-runner handicap last time, responding well.
- Pace: Front-runner/races prominently; likely to press early, but won’t get an easy lead today.
- Draw: Not applicable over hurdles.
- Fitness: N/A.
- Class: Improving and has learned how to win; solid profile.
- CAPTAIN’S PICK (IRE):
- Form: Modest handicap hurdler at best; stepped back in the right direction last time.
- Pace: Usually races towards rear.
- Draw: Not applicable over hurdles.
- Fitness: N/A.
- Class: One win but erratic since.
Private Tissue Odds:
- SUPREME YEATS: 4/1
- LAND GIRL’S LUCK: 5/1
- MANOWEST: 6/1
- RED PANDA: 15/2
- TZARMIX: 10/1
- GWASH: 12/1
- Others: 14/1 bar
ChatGPT Smart Plays:
- Win Bet: SUPREME YEATS – He has rock-solid form, is peaking, and the expected strong pace aligns perfectly with his closing style.
- Each-Way Saver: TZARMIX – With a strong pace expected to burn out the early leaders, his capable late closing ability makes him a live each-way prospect.
16:23 Uttoxeter – Boots Opticians Handicap Hurdle (Class 4)
Race Conditions: Class 4, 2m 3f 207y, Good ground. 14 runners. Pace forecast is Very Strong, increasing risk for front-runners and giving closers a tactical edge.
Runners & Comments:
- ICARE ALLEN (FR):
- Form: Fairly useful handicap hurdler; best recent effort was a second in May, but has run poorly in his last two starts.
- Pace: Typically needs cover and rhythm, relying on the race breaking up late.
- Draw: Not applicable over hurdles.
- Fitness: N/A.
- Class: Regressive; form is tailing off.
- Flags: Wears tongue tie.
- WHIZZ KID (GER):
- Form: Fairly useful handicap hurdler; creditable efforts in his last two starts.
- Pace: N/A.
- Draw: Not applicable over hurdles.
- Fitness: N/A.
- Class: Respectable, but less upside compared to others.
- Flags: Has had multiple breathing operations.
- SACCHOANDVANZETTI (IRE):
- Form: Fairly useful handicap hurdler; won at Stratford on his second start in 2024/25 after a long break.
- Pace: N/A.
- Draw: Not applicable over hurdles.
- Fitness: Returned from a 388-day layoff.
- Class: Interesting course horse, well-handicapped on old form.
- Flags: Horse for course. Fergal O’Brien has a 20% strike rate at Uttoxeter.
- DOC MCCOY (IRE):
- Form: Fairly useful hurdler; won two handicaps in May and ran well to be second last time.
- Pace: Usually a front-runner/races prominently; expected to show early speed, but may be drawn into a pace duel.
- Draw: Not applicable over hurdles.
- Fitness: N/A.
- Class: Proven and consistent, thriving recently.
- Flags: Wears headgear.
- LIVERPOOL KNIGHT:
- Form: Fairly useful handicap hurdler; ran creditably when fourth last time and was placed in this race last year.
- Pace: Usually a front-runner/races prominently; expected to show early speed, but tactically vulnerable with so much early pace.
- Draw: Not applicable over hurdles.
- Fitness: N/A.
- Class: Reliable; can stay on into places.
- Flags: Fergal O’Brien has a 20% strike rate at Uttoxeter.
- BALLYBEGG (IRE):
- Form: Fairly useful handicap hurdler; below form this season.
- Pace: Usually a front-runner/races prominently; aggressive front-runner who may be softened by the strong pace.
- Draw: Not applicable over hurdles.
- Fitness: N/A.
- Class: N/A.
- LAHINCH WAVE (IRE):
- Form: Fairly useful hurdler; won a mares maiden and was a good second last time to Rockola.
- Pace: N/A.
- Draw: Not applicable over hurdles.
- Fitness: N/A.
- Class: Better as a front-runner, but was runner-up to Rockola last time.
- Flags: Wears hood.
- LUCKIE SEVEN (IRE):
- Form: Fairly useful hurdler; placed in all three hurdle starts, shaping better than the bare result on handicap debut.
- Pace: Likely to take a position at the rear; favoured by a very strong pace scenario.
- Draw: Not applicable over hurdles.
- Fitness: Returning from a 258-day layoff. Potential improver after a break if fit.
- Class: Promising and lightly raced; unexposed.
- Flags: Nicky Richards has a £40.03 profit with hurdlers running after a break. His individual price hint mentions winning after trading much higher than Betfair SP.
- LIPA K (IRE):
- Form: Fair handicap hurdler; won at Bangor in June but was disappointing last start.
- Flags: Non Runner (NR).
- GETAWAY DRUMLEE (IRE):
- Form: Fair handicap hurdler; creditable second last time (disqualified); disappointing in chases since.
- Pace: N/A.
- Draw: Not applicable over hurdles.
- Fitness: N/A.
- Class: Fair run behind Doc McCoy, but lacks tactical class.
- CALLIN BATON ROUGE (IRE):
- Form: Fair handicap hurdler; won at Uttoxeter in June but below par last time.
- Pace: Expected to show early speed.
- Draw: Not applicable over hurdles.
- Fitness: N/A.
- Class: C&D winner; could sneak into the frame.
- Flags: Has had breathing operation.
- UKANTANGO (IRE):
- Form: Fair hurdler; disappointing fourth last time but shaped better than the result.
- Pace: N/A.
- Draw: Not applicable over hurdles.
- Fitness: N/A.
- Class: Inconsistent, but viable closer with late energy; back in class.
- Flags: Has had breathing operations. Olly Murphy has a 23% strike rate at Uttoxeter.
- HICONIC:
- Form: Fair handicap hurdler; won this corresponding race in 2024/25, but well-beaten last time.
- Pace: Typically needs cover and rhythm.
- Draw: Not applicable over hurdles.
- Fitness: N/A.
- Class: Down the field lately, but loves this course.
- Flags: CD (Course and Distance winner).
- GENTLEMAN JACQUES (IRE):
- Form: Fair handicap hurdler; won at Wincanton but failed to stay last time.
- Pace: Typically needs cover and rhythm.
- Draw: Not applicable over hurdles.
- Fitness: Returned from a 3-month absence.
- Class: May need more help from pace than likely.
- Flags: Has had breathing operation.
- ROCKOLA (IRE):
- Form: Fair hurdler; won a 7-runner mares handicap last time, with the pair clear.
- Pace: Front-runner/races prominently; ideally suited by a pace collapse.
- Draw: Not applicable over hurdles.
- Fitness: N/A.
- Class: Upwardly mobile mare, capable of taking a 5 lb higher mark in her stride. Progressive and getting better with each run.
- Flags: D (Distance winner).
- MR YEATS (IRE):
- Form: Fair handicap hurdler; below form this season.
- Flags: Non Runner (NR).
Private Tissue Odds:
- ROCKOLA: 4/1
- DOC MCCOY: 5/1
- LUCKIE SEVEN: 13/2
- SACCHOANDVANZETTI: 15/2
- LIVERPOOL KNIGHT: 8/1
- Others: 12/1 bar
ChatGPT Smart Plays:
- Win Bet: ROCKOLA – This mare is improving rapidly and her strong closing figure from last time suggests she will thrive in the expected strong pace scenario.
- Each-Way Saver: LUCKIE SEVEN – Unexposed over hurdles, he could relish the anticipated pace collapse and represents a typical improver for his second handicap start at a good price.
16:58 Uttoxeter – Nagaraj Rao Memorial Handicap Chase (Class 4)
Race Conditions: Class 4, 1m 7f 214y, Good ground. 5 runners. Pace forecast is Very Weak, which could hand the initiative to whoever takes the lead early. Positional advantage will be crucial.
Runners & Comments:
- SCHMILSSON:
- Form: Fairly useful over fences; won twice at Perth, but let down by jumping last time.
- Pace: Held up normally, but the weak pace may suit him best if allowed to track and pounce.
- Draw: Not applicable in chases.
- Fitness: N/A.
- Class: Proven over fences, holds the highest adjusted Timeform rating (128). Class act.
- Flags: D (Distance winner). Olly Murphy has a 23% strike rate at Uttoxeter; Sean Bowen has a 23% strike rate at Uttoxeter and 39% on chase favourites.
- BALLYWILLIAM BOY (IRE):
- Form: Fairly useful hurdler/maiden chaser, on a long losing run; should have won at Warwick in May.
- Pace: N/A.
- Draw: Not applicable in chases.
- Fitness: N/A.
- Class: Capable but frustrating; still a maiden over fences and unreliable when asked to win.
- IN THE AIR (FR):
- Form: Fairly useful when runner-up on chasing debut but disappointing since.
- Pace: Usually a front-runner/races prominently; one of the likely pace-setters.
- Draw: Not applicable in chases.
- Fitness: N/A.
- Class: Inconsistent and lacking polish over fences.
- HOLD ONTO THE LINE (IRE):
- Form: Winning hurdler; fair handicap chaser, won at Newcastle and placed credibly last time; recently sold to Olly Murphy.
- Pace: Favoured by a slowly run affair; likely to be ridden handily and suits this style.
- Draw: Not applicable in chases.
- Fitness: Returned from a 105-day layoff.
- Class: Proven and capable in small fields; well treated after yard switch. One of the best adjusted efforts (121+).
- Flags: Trainer uplift (Olly Murphy). Olly Murphy has a 23% strike rate at Uttoxeter.
- EN AVANT (FR):
- Form: Fair hurdler; absent since 2023/24 season; only one chase start in career.
- Pace: N/A.
- Draw: Not applicable in chases.
- Fitness: Returning from a 616-day layoff; fitness unknown.
- Class: Unknown at present; unproven over fences.
- Flags: Olly Murphy has a 23% strike rate at Uttoxeter.
- ALSHADHIAN (IRE):
- Form: Best effort over fences was a win in June, but disappointing last time.
- Flags: Non Runner (NR).
Private Tissue Odds:
- SCHMILSSON: 2/1
- HOLD ONTO THE LINE: 11/4
- BALLYWILLIAM BOY: 4/1
- IN THE AIR: 7/1
- EN AVANT: 16/1
ChatGPT Smart Plays:
- Win Bet: SCHMILSSON – He holds the best chase form, can control or stalk in a slowly-run race, and is expected to bounce back from his last blip.
- Saver Bet: HOLD ONTO THE LINE – His form, fitness, and prominent style are ideally suited to this race type, and his new yard is a positive factor for a strong showing.
17:35 Uttoxeter – QuinnBet Mares’ Open National Hunt Flat Race (Class 4)
Race Conditions: Class 4, 1m 7f 168y, Good ground. 14 runners (4-5yo mares). Pace forecast is Strong, suggesting the race may collapse late, favoring well-balanced types with staying pedigrees and patient tactics.
Runners & Comments:
- ADA’S DAY (FR):
- Form: Placed on her second of two bumper starts in 2023/24.
- Pace: N/A.
- Draw: Not applicable in bumpers.
- Fitness: Returning from a long layoff (542 days).
- Class: Good second last term.
- BLUE TOPAZ:
- Form: Successful on last of 4 starts in points.
- Pace: N/A.
- Draw: Not applicable in bumpers.
- Fitness: Unraced on the track.
- Class: Big pedigree (daughter of Blue Bresil) and from a strong yard (Fergal O’Brien).
- Flags: Fergal O’Brien has a 20% strike rate at Uttoxeter.
- HIDDEN STAR:
- Form: Well held in a bumper at Uttoxeter.
- Pace: N/A.
- Draw: Not applicable in bumpers.
- Fitness: N/A.
- Class: Poor first run.
- Flags: Ran in a hood last time, which is off now.
- JAX BELLE:
- Form: Unraced.
- Pace: N/A.
- Draw: Not applicable in bumpers.
- Fitness: Unraced.
- Class: Nicely bred (sister to useful hurdler Jax Junior).
- ELIOT GIRL:
- Form: Unraced.
- Pace: N/A.
- Draw: Not applicable in bumpers.
- Fitness: Unraced.
- Class: Stout pedigree, but trainer is new to the bumper sphere.
- GREY AQUILA:
- Form: Unraced.
- Pace: N/A.
- Draw: Not applicable in bumpers.
- Fitness: Unraced.
- Class: Weak sales profile; needs time.
- GRIZZLED SQUIRREL:
- Form: Shaped encouragingly amidst greenness on her Fontwell debut, staying on well.
- Pace: Expected strong pace is ideal, she can come off a strong pace.
- Draw: Not applicable in bumpers.
- Fitness: N/A.
- Class: Promising and a staying type, with a good NH family pedigree.
- KNOLTON PARK (IRE):
- Form: Down the field in two bumpers.
- Pace: N/A.
- Draw: Not applicable in bumpers.
- Fitness: N/A.
- Class: Uninspiring on paper, but has the right build and breeding for better.
- LITTLE LADY ROCK (IRE):
- Form: Runner-up in both bumper starts (modest form).
- Pace: Did too much too soon last time, could be vulnerable if ridden aggressively again.
- Draw: Not applicable in bumpers.
- Fitness: N/A.
- Class: Proven to a fair standard.
- Flags: Hit an in-running low of 25% or less of her starting Betfair SP when beaten last time. Sean Bowen has a 23% strike rate at Uttoxeter.
- MASKED MISTRESS (FR):
- Form: Encouraging third on debut at Newton Abbot, doing her best work late.
- Pace: N/A.
- Draw: Not applicable in bumpers.
- Fitness: N/A.
- Class: Promising debut with smart pedigree and clear stamina.
- MS CINDY KATE (IRE):
- Form: Unraced.
- Pace: N/A.
- Draw: Not applicable in bumpers.
- Fitness: Unraced.
- Class: Pedigree is modest, but from Nicky Richards who has a strong record with bumper debutants (£10.32 profit).
- MYSTERY NITUNA:
- Form: Well-beaten seventh on debut.
- Pace: N/A.
- Draw: Not applicable in bumpers.
- Fitness: N/A.
- Class: Modest debut; hard to fancy.
- SINCERELY ME:
- Form: Finished alone in her only point-to-point start.
- Pace: N/A.
- Draw: Not applicable in bumpers.
- Fitness: Unraced.
- Class: Unknown quantity, but stable produces notable bumper debutants.
- YANKA BLUE (IRE):
- Form: Hinted at ability on debut but unseated in points and faded last time.
- Pace: N/A.
- Draw: Not applicable in bumpers.
- Fitness: N/A.
- Class: Could improve slightly.
Private Tissue Odds:
- GRIZZLED SQUIRREL: 4/1
- LITTLE LADY ROCK: 9/2
- MASKED MISTRESS: 11/2
- BLUE TOPAZ: 6/1
- MS CINDY KATE: 13/2
- SINCERELY ME: 8/1
- Others: 14/1 bar
ChatGPT Smart Plays:
- Win Bet: GRIZZLED SQUIRREL – She is expected to improve significantly from her debut, and her run-style and pedigree are perfectly suited to the projected strong pace of this mares’ bumper.
- Each-Way Saver: MASKED MISTRESS – She stuck on nicely on her debut, has a solid pedigree suggesting stamina, and should relish this strong pace, making her a strong each-way contender.
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