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13:10 Ascot – BRITISH EBF CROCKER BULTEEL “CONFINED” MAIDEN STAKES (Class 2, 6f, 2yo)

Race Summary: This is forecast to be a very weakly run race, which should suit hold-up types with a turn of foot. Neither the draw nor track configuration offers a distinct bias in small fields over 6f at Ascot.

Runner Comments:

• NEW MONARCH (IRE) (TFR 91+): Showed abundant promise on debut, finishing second to an experienced odds-on favourite. Shaped as if 7f would suit, but the slow pace won’t inconvenience him as he travelled kindly. Timefigure (Tfig 83) was solid, and Oisin Murphy retains the ride.
• WORDS OF TRUTH (TFR 81+): Shaped better than the result on debut in a strong maiden, keeping on well after a sluggish start. Gelded since and William Buick is now booked. Timefigure of 67 underplays the run’s merit; looks sure to improve and is well-drawn for a closer.
• HARBOR LOCK: From a top yard (Charlie Appleby, who is “red-hot”) and out of a sharp juvenile mare. A half-brother to several talented horses, he has a strong physical and profile-based chance despite no prior form. May want 7f in time.
• DARK SHORE: Represents a stable (Jane Chapple-Hyam) with a strong debut record (£136.53 profit to a £1 level stake) and is bred to be smart. May want further than 6f, but is well-drawn, and a sharp 6f here could suit.
• KING OF THUNDER: By Night of Thunder, whose two-year-olds often win on debut, and his dam is a half-sister to Midday. Hugo Palmer’s yard is performing well, but the weak pace might expose any greenness.
• WECHAAD (IRE) (TFR 74+): Ran with some late purpose on debut but will need a strong pace to win. Given the likely slow race shape, he risks being left with too much to do.
• HAVANA SMILE: Well-bred but inexpensive, he showed little on his debut and appears to be outclassed.

Private Tissue Odds:

• New Monarch – 2/1
• Words of Truth – 11/4
• Harbor Lock – 4/1
• Dark Shore – 11/2
• King of Thunder – 12/1
• Wechaad – 16/1
• Havana Smile – 50/1

ChatGPT Smart Plays:

• Win Bet: NEW MONARCH – He is ready to progress further and possesses the best form.
• Each-Way Saver: DARK SHORE – His pedigree and the trainer’s debut statistics are highly persuasive.

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13:40 Ascot – SODEXO LIVE! PRINCESS MARGARET STAKES (Group 3, 6f, 2yo Fillies)

Race Summary: This race is projected to be run at a very strong pace, which significantly favours fillies with proven finishing speed and energy efficiency. The draw bias at Ascot’s 6f with strong pace tends to benefit high numbers, particularly from stall 7 outward.

Runner Comments:

• FLOWERHEAD (IRE) (TFR 109+): Massively stepped forward when second in the Group 2 Queen Mary Stakes at Ascot. She closed strongly and looks perfectly suited by 6f. With the highest Timeform Adjusted Rating and a high draw (10), the race shape is very much in her favour.
• MIDNIGHT TANGO (TFR 106+): Still learning but has improved with every run, finishing an unlucky second in a Listed race last time where she finished best from off the pace. Despite a low draw (3), her hold-up style suits the strong pace, and she can power home effectively.
• STAYA (TFR 106p): Clocked serious figures when fifth in the Queen Mary, handling pace pressure well. She can improve further for the step up to 6f and is well drawn in stall 8. James Doyle is a notable jockey booking.
• BELLA LYRA (GER) (TFR 105): A rapid improver with a solid third in Listed company, showing tactical versatility and a strong finish. Ryan Moore maintains the ride, and her consistent sectionals and outside draw (7) are positives.
• AMBERIA (IRE) (TFR 105p): A game filly who was narrowly beaten in a Listed race. She has solid Timefigures and possesses the early pace to sit just behind the speed. She could be a danger if the strong pace falters.
• FITZELLA (TFR 107): Finished fourth in the Albany Stakes at Royal Ascot, racing prominently in a race that went against front-runners. The strong pace here again looks hostile to her style, and she’s not favoured by her draw (5).
• SUKANYA (TFR 89p): A debut winner at Newbury with a smart turn of foot, whose form has since been mildly boosted. She is drawn widest in 11, which could actually be beneficial in this scenario. She’s improving and bred to stay 7f, which could play well off a strong pace.
• ARUGAM BAY (IRE) (TFR 103+): Comes into the race on the back of two wins in Ireland, including a Listed race. However, her tendency to race forward is a concern given the strong pace forecast, unless ridden more quietly.
• ESKIMO PIE (IRE) (TFR 101): Had a good run when seventh in the Queen Mary Stakes at Royal Ascot, but her low draw (1) may impede her in a strongly-run race.
• DANEH OF DANDY (IRE) (TFR 88p): Won easily on her last start, but this represents a significant step up in class.

Private Tissue Odds:

• Flowerhead – 3/1
• Midnight Tango – 5/1
• Staya – 11/2
• Bella Lyra – 13/2
• Amberia – 8/1
• Fitzella – 9/1
• Sukanya – 14/1
• Arugam Bay – 16/1
• Eskimo Pie – 20/1
• Daneh of Dandy – 33/1

ChatGPT Smart Plays:

• Win Bet: FLOWERHEAD – She is top on figures, showed a strong-finishing second in the Queen Mary, and has an ideal draw and race shape.
• Each-Way Saver: STAYA – She is improving, drawn high, shapes like 6f is perfect for her, and James Doyle is a valuable asset.

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14:20 Ascot – LONGINES VALIANT STAKES (Group 3, 7f213y, 3yo+ Fillies & Mares)

Race Summary: This race is forecast to be run at an even tempo, which typically suits hold-up runners over Ascot’s stiff mile trip. There’s no notable draw bias, meaning tactical positioning and turn of foot will be more decisive.

Runner Comments:

• ROYAL DRESS (IRE) (TFR 121): Comfortably back to her best last time when winning a Listed race impressively, showing a fluent turn of foot. Her prior Group form confirms her credentials, and running without a hood seems to have helped. She has a class edge and an ideal running style.
• CHANTILLY LACE (IRE) (TFR 116p): Shaped with clear promise when fifth in the top-class Coronation Stakes, still appearing to need the experience. She remains lightly raced with a big reputation and steps down in class here. Likely to be held up, the race shape may suit her.
• CAJOLE (TFR 115p): By Dubawi out of a Group 1-winning mare, she is shaping up nicely with upward-pointing ratings and impressive sectionals. William Buick retains the ride, and she is expected to improve further. This is a class test, but her profile indicates significant upside.
• JANCIS (IRE) (TFR 115): A classy mare with solid Irish Group form, who may have been outstayed in stronger company last time. She stays this trip well and will be finishing strongly, posing a live threat if the race develops into a late collapse.
• AMERICAN GAL (TFR 116): The drop in class from a French Group 1 is noteworthy, and her previous Listed win demonstrated a strong turn of foot. She should benefit from the even pace and could offer value. Trainer Ed Walker has a strong record in this race.
• BERMUDA LONGTAIL (FR) (TFR 113): Capable of bouncing back from a disappointing run at Epsom where the ground and pace were unsuitable. Her peak Timeform rating was achieved over 7.9f on good ground, and the conditions here are perfect for her.
• GLITTERING SURF (TFR 108p): Lightly raced and still learning, she finished fifth in Listed company last time when below her best but still has scope for improvement. A market check is advised.
• PINA SONATA (TFR 103p): Has recorded two easy wins in minor events and has the scope to climb higher in class. This is a steep class test, but she has done little wrong so far.
• LOU LOU’S GIFT (TFR 107): Her return run was fair, and more is expected from her, but she will need to be at her peak to contend in this race.
• CHESHIRE DANCER (IRE) (TFR 108): To reverse form with Royal Dress, she would need to make a significant leap in performance.
• SUNFALL (TFR 112): She may require more time to recover from her comeback run.

Private Tissue Odds:

• Royal Dress – 3/1
• Chantilly Lace – 9/2
• Cajole – 6/1
• American Gal – 7/1
• Jancis – 8/1
• Bermuda Longtail – 10/1
• Lou Lou’s Gift – 12/1
• Glittering Surf – 14/1
• Pina Sonata – 16/1
• Cheshire Dancer – 20/1
• Sunfall – 33/1

ChatGPT Smart Plays:

• Win Bet: ROYAL DRESS – Delivered a peak performance last time and has an excellent profile at this level.
• Each-Way Saver: AMERICAN GAL – A strong Listed winner who is dropping in class from a French Group 1, making her likely to be underestimated in the market.

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15:00 Ascot – MOET & CHANDON INTERNATIONAL STAKES (Heritage Handicap) (Class 2, 7f, 3yo+)

Race Summary: This race is forecast for a strong gallop throughout, which typically favours hold-up types over Ascot’s stiff 7f. Low draws are disadvantaged due to the critical early positioning required with a fast pace.

Runner Comments:

• AALTO (FR) (TFR 121): Came within a neck of winning a second successive Bunbury Cup recently, showing high cruising speed and ferocious stamina. He carries a career-high mark but is effectively 1lb lower. He thrives off a fast pace and is progressive.
• NORTHERN EXPRESS (IRE) (TFR 113): Last year’s winner, he is returning to form after a strong Royal Ascot second. He handles a swift gallop well and has won under similar conditions previously. He is a course specialist.
• BILLYJOH (TFR 115): Possesses course form and has been consistent in recent high-end handicaps. He is positioned to run on hard late, with an effective trainer/jockey combination for this track. He is effective at Ascot and holds pace well.
• CLASSIC (TFR 119ex): Dropped from Listed company, he put in a career-best effort at Sandown. He is a strong finisher, but his high draw (11) might compromise his ground-saving position, and he could be vulnerable if the pace is sustained.
• AKKADIAN THUNDER (TFR 113): Ran well at Doncaster and Ascot recently. He is proven at this trip and acts strongly under a strong gallop, making him an each-way contender. He is consistent but his tactics will be key.
• QAZAQ (FR) (TFR 116): From a consistent stable, he has run well in competitive races. His mark is workable, but he will need a stronger gallop to be seen at his best.
• GALERON (IRE) (TFR 117): A hold-up specialist whose big finishing style suits a strongly-run race. He can be underestimated in the in-running markets despite a potentially worse draw.
• SWORD (TFR 115§): Showed smart form in two earlier runs this season and appears well handicapped on a low weight. He could be well placed if ridden patiently.
• ZOUM ZOUM (TFR 115): Seemed unsuited by conditions and was not ideally placed in his last outing.
• CITY HOUSE (IRE) (TFR 113): Was not disgraced in his last start, but was not ideally placed.
• ARRAY (IRE) (TFR 111): Was well held in the Chipchase Stakes last time.
• NORTHERN EXPRESS (IRE) (TFR 113): Last year’s winner, he wasn’t at the same level this year but showed one of his better efforts when fourth at Haydock last time.
• GOLDEN MIND (IRE) (TFR 116): Was well held in the Wokingham Stakes at Royal Ascot last time.
• OLIVER SHOW (IRE) (TFR 116): Did not convince with his attitude and was well held at Royal Ascot.
• YORKSHIRE (IRE) (TFR 114): Did not have the clearest of runs in his last outing.
• FRESH (TFR 113): Shaped as if he would benefit from the run in his last start.
• CERULEAN BAY (IRE) (TFR 115): Was below his best in his last start.
• NOBLE TRUTH (FR) (TFR 91?): Was well held in the Wokingham Stakes at Royal Ascot.
• KODI LION (IRE) (TFR 116): Was below form in his last race.
• LORD BERTIE (FR) (TFR 115): His last run is best excused as his hood came loose.
• TWO TRIBES (TFR 115): Quickly returned to form in his most recent start.
• PALS BATTALION (IRE) (TFR 114): Shaped as if still in form last time despite encountering trouble.
• AL AMEEN (IRE) (TFR 114): Was below form in his last outing.

Private Tissue Odds:

• Aalto – 4/1
• Northern Express – 6/1
• Billyjoh – 7/1
• Classic – 8/1
• Akkadian Thunder – 12/1
• Qazaq – 14/1
• Galeron – 16/1
• Sword – 20/1

ChatGPT Smart Plays:

• Win Bet: AALTO – He is progressive, proven at top-weight, and ideally suited by the race shape.
• Each-Way Saver: AKKADIAN THUNDER (or GALERON if significant market support) – Both are strong hold-up runners who will benefit from the expected strong pace.

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15:35 Ascot – BETFRED HANDICAP (Class 2, 1m Straight, 3yo+)

Race Summary: This race is forecast to be run at a strong pace, with a distinct bias favouring high draws. Prominent racers are often disadvantaged here; strong finishers and midfield hold-up types are well-suited by a sustained gallop.

Runner Comments:

• COSI BELLO (TFR 116p): Lightly raced and rapidly improving, he was only narrowly denied in his handicap debut at Chester despite a track bias. He stays the mile well and has posted strong figures. Well-drawn and his hold-up style suits the race shape. He is highlighted as a “Horse in Focus“.
• BULLET POINT (TFR 108): Finished second in the Royal Hunt Cup and has shown consistent high-level form. He has a top Timefigure, confirmed stamina, and a high cruising speed. His track record is solid, and the track suits him with a leading rider aboard.
• FEARNOT (IRE) (TFR 112): A consistent colt with strong Ascot form, having finished close-up in the Britannia Stakes. He has a good draw and responds well to a strong pace. As a 3-year-old with upside, his reliable closing style makes him a threat.
• TEROOMM (IRE) (TFR 109p): Had excuses at Royal Ascot after winning three consecutive races prior. He was an impressive visual winner before that, is bred to stay, and remains unexposed. He thrives off a strong pace and is a key contender if his last run is forgiven. He has a “Keen go day” profile.
• BOPEDRO (FR) (TFR 113): Has placed in big-field handicaps, including the Royal Hunt Cup. He is a resilient type with form off a strong pace and is well-drawn. While his age might limit his upside, he remains very competitive.
• SISYPHEAN (IRE) (TFR 112): Has been runner-up twice recently in competitive York races. He prefers to be handy, which could be a drawback given the track bias. However, he is a consistent performer and is bred to stay.
• SUPIDO (FR) (TFR 113): Ran a big race at Royal Ascot in the Britannia Stakes and stays the distance well. He is drawn wide, which suits, and his finishing effort suggests there’s more to come from him.
• MYTHICAL GUEST (IRE) (TFR 110): His course record is solid, and his recent form is respectable. He regularly hits the frame and benefits from a strong gallop.
• COMPETIZIONE (FR) (TFR 107): Lightly raced and won easily last time, coming from a hot stable (John & Thady Gosden). He is drawn high and may have more to offer under Oisin Murphy.
• TARKHAN (GER) (TFR 110): Has been well held in recent starts since moving from Germany.
• WHITCOMBE ROCKSTAR (TFR 107): Shaped as if needing the run in his last outing at Royal Ascot.
• TALIS EVOLVERE (IRE) (TFR 111): Has returned to form, placing in his last two starts.
• COGITATE (IRE) (TFR 109): Was disappointing in his last race and has shown signs of temperament.
• HICKORY (IRE) (TFR 112): Shaped better than the bare result in his last outing.
• HAWKSBILL (TFR 108): Was well held in the Britannia Stakes at Royal Ascot.
• DUKE’S COMMAND (TFR 109): Was disappointing in his last race.
• MYTHICAL GUEST (IRE) (TFR 110): A course specialist who gets a significant pace advantage.
• MADAME DE SEVIGNE (IRE) (TFR 110): Ran a respectable race in her last outing.

Private Tissue Odds:

• Cosi Bello: 5/1
• Bullet Point: 6/1
• Fearnot: 7/1
• Teroomm: 8/1
• Bopedro: 10/1
• Supido: 12/1
• Sisyphean: 14/1
• Mythical Guest: 16/1
• Competizione: 20/1+

ChatGPT Smart Plays:

• Win Bet: COSI BELLO – He is unexposed, well drawn, and showing rapid progress, making for an ideal setup.
• Each-Way Saver: TEROOMM – His Royal Ascot run can be ignored; he has the profile to bounce back strongly and finish late.

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16:10 Ascot – KING GEORGE VI AND QUEEN ELIZABETH STAKES (Group 1, 1m3f211y, 3yo+)

Race Summary: This is a small field Group 1 race with a weak pace forecast. A weak pace favours horses that race handily. Hold-up types, particularly Calandagan, may be disadvantaged unless the tempo unexpectedly lifts mid-race. Jan Brueghel and Rebel’s Romance hold tactical advantages.

Runner Comments:

• CALANDAGAN (IRE) (TFR 132+): The top-rated performer, he was an impressive King Edward VII winner and has been consistent in Group 1 races. His win in the Grand Prix de Saint-Cloud showed peak form. However, his hold-up style makes him vulnerable to tactical setups in a weak pace. Despite this, on raw form, he’s the one to beat if the pace quickens mid-race, with elite FS%, energy efficiency, and closing speed.
• JAN BRUEGHEL (IRE) (TFR 133): Unbeaten in Group races last season, including the St Leger. He reappeared with a Coronation Cup win, defeating Calandagan on merit. He is likely to have a positional advantage, travelled well, and showed a good attitude under pressure. He handles all ground and can press the pace if needed. He wears first-time headgear.
• REBEL’S ROMANCE (IRE) (TFR 130): A proven world-class horse with top-level wins in the US, Middle East, and Europe, including the Hardwicke Stakes last time with a strong finishing effort. He is consistent, adaptable, and tactically flexible, likely to sit close to the pace, which is a significant advantage in this tactical setup.
• KALPANA (TFR 127): A course and distance winner with a strong record at Ascot. She has finished close-up in Group 1s, being the only filly in the field. She travelled best in the Pretty Polly and was only edged out late. There’s a slight stamina doubt at the full 12f against elite males, but she brings reliable form and strong closing figures.
• CONTINUOUS (JPN) (TFR 119): Has recently been used as a pacemaker and is a former St Leger runner-up. However, he has not been competitive this season and is unlikely to feature unless the pace becomes tactical and other contenders falter significantly.

Private Tissue Odds:

• Calandagan: 15/8
• Jan Brueghel: 2/1
• Rebel’s Romance: 3/1
• Kalpana: 6/1
• Continuous: 66/1

ChatGPT Smart Plays:

• Win Bet: JAN BRUEGHEL – He has an ideal setup, continues to improve, and has the ability to dictate the race.
• Saver (Exacta/Forecast): CALANDAGAN – He remains the benchmark on raw ability and is a strong contender for a place.

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16:45 Ascot – ME2 CLUB HANDICAP (Class 4, 1m3f211y, 3yo+)

Race Summary: This handicap is predicted to have a weak pace, with few confirmed front-runners. Horses racing prominently are at risk of overdoing it. While hold-up types typically fare well, the muddling pace could favour those with tactical speed and versatility in positioning.

Runner Comments:

• TENABILITY (TFR 75p): A highly promising Frankel colt who won a novice race at Windsor by 8 lengths, quickening impressively. He is stepping up to 1m4f, which is a positive, and his trainer (William Haggas) has an excellent 22% strike rate with handicap debutants. The form of his win was modest, but the visual impression was significant. He is well-drawn and settles kindly.
• KUREDU KING (IRE) (TFR 83): Rallied late to win at Haydock in first-time blinkers, and his form has since been boosted. He has some quirks (hangs under pressure), but the trip and ground suit him. The trainer/jockey combination (John & Thady Gosden and Robert Havlin) is strong in mid-season, and his tactical run style will be useful here.
• VENEZUELAN (IRE) (TFR 84): Has placed in his last two starts and was well backed last time in first-time cheekpieces; now switches to blinkers. He has a handy style but can travel too strongly. His profile suggests he may still be learning to finish off, but he is a likely player if the blinkers sharpen his focus.
• CRIMINAL (TFR 80): His form is solid, as he kept on late in races at Chester and Wolverhampton. The trip looks ideal, and he is bred to stay. William Buick’s booking is notable. He has a consistent profile, though with less upside than the top three.
• BOHEMIAN BREEZE (IRE) (TFR 82): Just prevailed at Brighton, but has shown quirks and inconsistent finishes. While the trip suits, this field contains more progressive types, so he’s best watched unless supported in the market.
• BELCAMO (TFR 79): An ex-hurdler with modest recent jump form, but some fair efforts on AW and soft turf. He lacks gears but could pick up minor placings in a small field if the race collapses late.
• BUXTED TOO (TFR 82): He is not the force he once was. This 7-year-old is exposed, and his recent runs have been ordinary despite an AW win in February. He would require a very slow pace and perfect positioning to contend.
• HACKNEY DIAMONDS (TFR 82): Showed improvement last time but her record remains patchy. She is still learning, but her stamina for the full 1m4f in this class is questionable.

Private Tissue Odds:

• Tenability: 11/4
• Kuredu King: 7/2
• Venezuelan: 9/2
• Criminal: 6/1
• Bohemian Breeze: 10/1
• Hackney Diamonds: 12/1
• Belcamo: 16/1
• Buxted Too: 25/1

ChatGPT Smart Plays:

• Win Bet: TENABILITY – A highly promising Frankel colt with a perfect setup and from a trusted yard.
• Each-Way Saver: CRIMINAL – An honest and consistent performer who could capitalise if tactical misfires occur among others.

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17:15 Ascot – WHISPERING ANGEL HANDICAP (Class 2, 5f, 3yo+)

Race Summary: The forecast indicates an extremely strong early gallop, which should favour hold-up horses with a good turn of foot. There is no consistent draw bias, meaning the field might split into groups, placing tactical emphasis on where the pace is located.

Runner Comments:

• ARAMRAM (IRE) (TFR 112): A strong profile, thriving this season, with a breathing operation sparking consistency. He finished a good fourth last time in a fast-run Newcastle race, is track adaptable, well drawn, and a prominent runner with a finishing kick. He possesses a class edge and is versatile across different going conditions. He should cope with a strong pace but might be vulnerable late if he over-races.
• TROPICAL STORM (TFR 108): A speedy 3-year-old colt who won a Listed race at York impressively in May. He was outpaced in a Group 1 last time but drops significantly in grade here. 5f is still his optimal trip, and he is well treated off his current mark. He is likely to be dropped in and delivered late, which is a perfect setup. His trainer (Andrew Balding) has a 17% strike rate with handicap debutants.
• COVER UP (IRE) (TFR 113): His last 5f effort in a strong Musselburgh race was off 101, and he is now 4lb lower. He had excuses in the Wokingham Stakes last time. William Buick is back aboard, and he is well drawn to stalk a strong pace. He should be finishing fastest if the ground isn’t too quick, and Timefigures suggest he retains his ability.
• VINTAGE CLARETS (TFR 110): The form of his recent narrow second at Newcastle has worked out well. While he is best on easier ground, he has solid good-to-firm form. He is often slowly away but finishes off strongly. He would prefer pace near him, so his position relative to the speed should be monitored.
• AZURE ANGEL (TFR 109): A breathing operation has brought consistency to this mare. She put in a strong run in a York Class 2 last time, and her Redcar win prior was tidy. She can race handily but still finish off, has a win over this course and distance, and retains her tongue tie.
• GLAMOROUS BREEZE (TFR 109): Her form figures are solid, and she stays 5f strongly. She appears well handicapped on her Haydock win, has placed at Ascot, and ran well last time here despite a poor start. She is a reliable type with place claims.
• MESAAFI (TFR 110): A course specialist with multiple wins in 2025. He finished third in a big field last time despite racing near a hot pace. If allowed to dictate from stall 5, he could be tough to peg back.
• TOCA MADERA (IRE) (TFR 111): Was disappointing last time, but his form prior was strong. He might be lit up in a strong gallop and is tactically versatile. His 6f stamina could be an advantage in a strongly run 5f race.
• EMPEROR SPIRIT (IRE) (TFR 108): Returned from a long layoff to win at Newmarket but now carries a penalty. As a 7-year-old and somewhat fragile, he is a risky prospect to follow up.
• WOOLHAMPTON (IRE) (TFR 110): Has multiple course wins in 2024. She is temperamental but can be a dangerous late closer if the tempo of the race collapses.
• ROMAN DRAGON (TFR 110): Has been well held in recent valuable events.
• KING OF STARS (IRE) (TFR 104): Was well below form in his last start.
• MICHAELA’S BOY (IRE) (TFR 110): Finished a creditable second in his last race.
• RHYTHM N HOOVES (TFR 111): Was below form in his last outing.

Private Tissue Odds:

• Tropical Storm: 5/1
• Aramram: 11/2
• Cover Up: 13/2
• Vintage Clarets: 7/1
• Azure Angel: 8/1
• Mesaafi: 10/1
• Glamorous Breeze: 10/1
• Toca Madera: 14/1
• Emperor Spirit: 16/1
• Woolhampton: 16/1

ChatGPT Smart Plays:

• Win Bet: TROPICAL STORM – A proven stakes performer who has an ideal scenario and will be ridden by a top-class jockey.
• Each-Way Saver: COVER UP – This horse benefits from a strong pace and a big field, returning to 5f off a favourable mark.

Drawing on the provided Timeform Race Pass data and our conversation history, here are the horses highlighted for having high Timeform Ratings (TFR), high Timefigures (Tfig), and/or strong Finishing Speed Percentages (FS%):

• FLOWERHEAD (IRE) (13:40 Ascot)
  • TFR: 109, Adjusted TFR 109+.
  • Tfig: 109.
  • FS%/Finishing Ability: She “closed strongly” in the Queen Mary Stakes and is expected to suit 6f, with the race shape “very much in her favour”. This indicates a strong finishing effort.
• MIDNIGHT TANGO (13:40 Ascot)
  • TFR: 106p.
  • Tfig: 104.
  • FS%/Finishing Ability: Explicitly noted as “Notably efficient in FS% and sectional finish”. She “finished best” in her last race and is likely to be held up, which suits the expected strong pace.
• STAYA (13:40 Ascot)
  • TFR: 106p.
  • Tfig: 101.
  • FS%/Finishing Ability: She “clocked serious figures in the Queen Mary” and “handles pace pressure well”, suggesting a strong finishing capability.
• ROYAL DRESS (IRE) (14:20 Ascot)
  • TFR: 121, Adjusted TFR 116+.
  • Tfig: 105.
  • FS%/Finishing Ability: She demonstrated a “fluent turn of foot” when winning impressively last time, indicating strong finishing speed. Her “running style [is] ideal” for the forecast even pace.
• CAJOLE (14:20 Ascot)
  • TFR: 115p, Adjusted TFR 112+.
  • FS%/Finishing Ability: She has “upward-pointing ratings and impressive sectionals” in her recent defeats, which directly correlates with a high finishing speed percentage.
• AMERICAN GAL (14:20 Ascot)
  • TFR: 116, Adjusted TFR 114+.
  • Tfig: 104+.
  • FS%/Finishing Ability: Her Listed win showed a “strong turn of foot”, indicating good finishing speed.
• AALTO (FR) (15:00 Ascot)
  • TFR: 121, Adjusted TFR 121. This is the “top TFR” in the field.
  • Tfig: 121.
  • FS%/Finishing Ability: He showed “high cruising speed and ferocious stamina” in his last race, indicating strong sustained pace rather than just a quick burst. He thrives off a fast pace.
• CALANDAGAN (IRE) (16:10 Ascot)
  • TFR: 132, Adjusted TFR 132+. He is the “Top-rated performer”.
  • FS%/Finishing Ability: Explicitly stated as having “Peak FS%, energy efficiency, and closing speed all elite“.
• KALPANA (16:10 Ascot)
  • TFR: 127, Adjusted TFR 125.
  • FS%/Finishing Ability: She possesses “strong closing figures”, indicating a good finishing speed percentage.
• TROPICAL STORM (17:15 Ascot)
  • TFR: 108, Adjusted TFR 100+.
  • FS%/Finishing Ability: This “speedy colt” is “likely to be dropped in and delivered late – perfect setup”, implying a strong finishing burst suited to a very strong early pace.
• COVER UP (IRE) (17:15 Ascot)
  • TFR: 113, Adjusted TFR 109.
  • FS%/Finishing Ability: Expected to be “finishing fastest” and is “well drawn to stalk a strong pace”.

These horses are identified from the sources as having highly rated performances, significant Timefigures, and/or proven ability to finish strongly, which aligns with strong Finishing Speed Percentages.