Preview of Gowran Park’s card on Saturday afternoon.

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13:45 Gowran Park – Irish EBF Auction Series Fillies Maiden

Pace & Draw Dynamics:

  • A steady, even gallop is anticipated.
  • Hold-up runners are not dominant here, suggesting that horses positioned handily will be favored.
  • The draw strongly favors low numbers on this course.

Runner Comments:

  • TAHCAWIN (IRE): Progressive filly who built on her debut. Her fast finish (FS% 109.7) and sectionals indicate she’s crying out for a true-run 7f. She’s ideally drawn in stall 9, and her handy running style suits the even pace forecast, positioning her better than deep closers. Her trainer, Joseph Murphy, shows strong profits with single runners, indicating a potential “go day”. (Score: 8.5/10)
  • SANCTIJUDE (IRE): A promising filly who finished fourth at Leopardstown (TFR 72+), shaping with abundant promise and staying on well without being fully extended. Her pedigree suggests 7f will suit her well. She has a positive draw in stall 2, but her position will be vital to avoid getting caught behind slower types. (Score: 8/10)
  • IDIOCRACY (IRE): A promising Joseph O’Brien-trained debutante from a precocious family, showing an adjusted rating of 93p, indicating strong ability. Despite a wide draw in stall 11, she is likely educated enough to be forwardly placed, and her yard is adept at preparing debutantes for success. (Score: 7.5/10)
  • ALIBAH (IRE): Another promising debutante from Joseph O’Brien, hailing from a useful family and benefiting from a top jockey booking. She may be slightly less forward than her stablemate. Her optimal draw in stall 1 is a plus, though her readiness on debut remains an unknown factor. (Score: 7/10)
  • TENACIOUS (IRE): An interesting newcomer with a trainer, Mrs J. Harrington, who has won this race twice in recent years. Her pedigree hints at stamina, and her fitness could be sharp on her first start. Her tricky stall 14 is a slight concern, but she may not need to lead. (Score: 6.5/10)
  • LAKE SWAN: Showed promise on debut despite being hampered late. She is related to sharp juveniles and shaped better than her bare result. (Score: 6/10)
  • WHOOPI G (IRE): Displayed mild encouragement on debut despite being green and racing wide. Noel Meade’s juveniles often show sharp improvement on their second run. (Score: 5.5/10)
  • ANDOSKY, WIPEAWAYYOURTEARS, LOVE ORCHID: These runners have shown fair form but will need to improve significantly to be competitive. (Score: ~5/10)
  • Others (ZHELEZNAYA DAMA, GOODDAYATBLACKROCK, MOONLIGHT MOLLY, SASSY BOOM): Unproven or have shown limited merit so far. (Score: 3–4/10)

Private Tissue Estimate:

  • Tahcawin – 3/1
  • Sanctijude – 4/1
  • Idiocracy – 5/1
  • Alibah – 6/1
  • Tenacious – 10/1
  • Lake Swan – 12/1
  • Whoopi G – 16/1
  • Rest – 25/1+
  • Market watch is advised for runners making their second start.

ChatGPT Smart Plays:
This is a competitive maiden typical of the Irish EBF series, with a few standout fillies in a large field of unknowns. Tahcawin has the clearest credentials based on form, figures, and tactical fit. Sanctijude and Idiocracy are identified as the most likely improvers, with Idiocracy being a wildcard due to her debut status.

  • Win Selection: Tahcawin – Her strong sectionals and favorable draw make her a compelling form play.
  • Each-Way Saver: Lake Swan – She was unlucky on debut and is now drawn better, offering potential value.

14:15 Gowran Park – O’Driscolls Irish Whiskey Handicap

Pace & Draw Dynamics:

  • A very strong pace is anticipated, with multiple pace-forcers expected to severely test stamina over 7f.
  • The draw strongly favors low numbers, with low-to-mid stalls proving advantageous historically on this round course.

Runner Comments:

  • SIERRA DE GREDOS: A proven handicapper in top form, having been runner-up at Dundalk off a similar mark and a course winner in June. His consistent Timefigures (Tfigs) in the mid-60s show tenacity and sustained effort off strong fractions. While stall 13 is a slight concern, it’s offset by his proven ability to sit just off a strong gallop. (Score: 8.5/10)
  • SNEDDY EDDIE: A progressive horse who recently won over 1m at this track and placed a good fourth at Ayr in a strong race for the grade. He is adaptable to distances between 7f and 1m, and the anticipated strong race tempo will help him settle off the pace. His claims are strong following a successful stable switch. (Score: 8/10)
  • JACKANDTHEFOX: An exposed but reliable horse with multiple placed efforts over various trips. However, the strong pace might expose him, given that he races close to the pace but lacks a significant change of gear. He is well drawn in stall 3, but his tactical fit in this scenario is questionable. (Score: 7.5/10)
  • GEGENPRESSING: A capable runner who won at Sligo in May. He had excuses in his last race at the Curragh and has the ability to go forward. He will need to manage his pace better in this confirmed high-pressure race. Stall 1 is very positive, but his chances may be compromised by a potential “burn-up” among early leaders. (Score: 7/10)
  • DRAFTED: A solid all-weather performer at Wolverhampton who is well treated off his turf marks. His stamina for 7f is assured, and his draw in stall 7 is ideal for tracking the strong pace. He has recently moved to Charles Byrnes’ yard, which could lead to improvement with new tactics. (Score: 7.5/10)
  • BIG BABY BULL: An interesting returnee who is well-handicapped on his old form. While his recent efforts have been only “okay,” the strong race shape could be beneficial for him. (Score: 7/10)
  • AMANIRENAS: Was unlucky in her last race, finishing mid-pack in a claimer but running into trouble. She can be ridden positively, and if the early pace collapses, she could hold on for a place. Her draw in stall 8 is reasonable, but a high-pressure race will test her stamina. (Score: 6.5/10)
  • MULLACASH BUZZ: A capable runner whose form has regressed on turf. (Score: 6.5/10)
  • Others (James The Second, Shangar, Navorrosse): These runners have limited or inconsistent profiles. (Score: 5–6/10)
  • Rest: Unproven or exposed in similar setups. (Score: 4/10 or below)

Private Tissue Estimate:

  • Sierra De Gredos – 4/1
  • Sneddy Eddie – 5/1
  • Drafted – 13/2
  • Jackandthefox – 7/1
  • Gegenpressing – 8/1
  • Big Baby Bull – 10/1
  • Amanirenas – 14/1
  • Mullacash Buzz – 16/1
  • Rest – 20/1+
  • Market watch is advised for runners making their second start.

ChatGPT Smart Plays:
This 0-60 handicap is expected to feature a brutal early gallop, which is likely to eliminate several front-runners. Sierra De Gredos is thriving and is well-placed to outstay her rivals, while Sneddy Eddie shapes as a solid closer with more upside. Drafted is considered the best each-way angle, having dropped in from higher all-weather marks and benefiting from a good tracking draw.

  • Win Selection: Sierra De Gredos – A proven stayer with top form who handles this track and trip.
  • Each-Way Saver: Drafted – Offers value at current marks, especially with the potential for improvement under new trainer Charles Byrnes.

14:50 Gowran Park – Irish Stallion Farms EBF Marble City Stakes (Listed)

Pace & Draw Dynamics:

  • A strong pace is forecast, with several runners expected to race prominently, creating a genuine test of stamina.
  • There is no significant draw bias noted over this distance at Gowran, with racing style relative to pace pressure being more important.
  • Horses with efficient energy use and proven stamina are advantaged. Hold-up runners may be aided by a race collapse, while prominent types must conserve energy early.

Runner Comments:

  • EMIT (IRE): A proven and very solid Listed/Group performer who was unlucky to finish second in the Gallinule Stakes (TFR 102+, FS% 111) and shaped better than her bare result at Royal Ascot in a higher grade. Her run over 10f in the Gallinule strongly hints that stepping up to 1m4f will lead to further improvement. She is a strong finisher with an efficient style, ideally suited by today’s predicted strong gallop. (Score: 9/10)
  • ACAPULCO BAY (IRE): A proven, consistent, and Group-placed runner with strong adjusted ratings (111). His form is rock-solid, and his pedigree (by Dubawi out of a Galileo mare) is perfect for a 12f trip. He can sit just off the pace, which is ideal in this race setup. (Score: 8.5/10)
  • SHARPEN (IRE): A promising filly who took a significant step forward when fourth in the Limerick Listed race. She is still raw and jinked late in that race, showing scope with a 108+ rating. However, she usually races close to the pace, which carries a risk of her getting burned off if the gallop proves too strong. (Score: 7.5/10)
  • SEA CORAL (FR): A promising, heavy-backed maiden winner last time out after a 10-month break. Her trainer rarely asks for a full effort early, making her an improver to note. As a late runner, the strong gallop forecast will suit her. (Score: 7.5/10)
  • HEATHER (IRE): A progressive filly with a solid win at Ballinrobe and a second-place finish at Down Royal in her last start. She appears to be progressing with each race. Her form line, particularly being runner-up to Mo Ghille Mar, who has since been competitive in deeper races, is encouraging. (Score: 7.5/10)
  • IT’S A HEARTBEAT (IRE): An unexposed type with just one handicap start, but her impressive maiden win at the Curragh suggests significant upside. She appears pace efficient (FS% 109.2). She settles well, and the strong pace could help her unlock further progression. (Score: 7/10)
  • DERESSA (IRE): A well-suited runner with two course wins and credible Timefigures. Her last run is excusable (no clear run), and the race shape and trip are ideal for her. Her trainer, Weld, is in good form, potentially making her an under-the-radar contender. (Score: 7/10)
  • JANNAH STAR: Finished second to Sea Coral but others appear stronger in this field. (Score: 6/10)
  • Drama Queen / Denim And Diamonds / Calrissiana: These runners’ form is either exposed or they appear outclassed at this level. (Score: 5–6/10)

Private Tissue Estimate:

  • Emit – 5/2
  • Acapulco Bay – 7/2
  • Sharpen – 7/1
  • Heather – 15/2
  • Sea Coral – 8/1
  • Deressa – 10/1
  • It’s A Heartbeat – 11/1
  • Rest – 20/1+
  • Market watch is advised for runners making their second start.

ChatGPT Smart Plays:
This Listed race is expected to be strongly run over a demanding 12f trip, which should expose any stamina weaknesses. Emit brings the best raw form to the race and appears to have been waiting for this type of test. Acapulco Bay is a rock-solid contender with good tactical pace. The unexposed pair of Sea Coral and It’s A Heartbeat are noted as interesting late closers.

  • Win Selection: Emit – Possesses a class edge, strong late pace, and excellent stamina, all of which are significant positives.
  • Each-Way Saver: Sea Coral – Shows a strong energy profile and has plenty of untapped improvement, making her a valuable each-way proposition.

15:25 Gowran Park – Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Maiden

Pace & Draw Dynamics:

  • A weak pace is expected, with only marginal forward intent from a few runners.
  • This tactical setup will favor horses who can race prominently or possess a strong turn of foot. Deep closers risk getting caught in a sprint finish.
  • There is no significant draw bias noted over 1m on this course.

Runner Comments:

  • CONTINUITE: A promising filly who improved significantly on her second start at Gowran, where she was just denied (TFR 86, FS% 109.5). She is a Frankel filly from a powerful family, being a full sister to Time Lock. While she will likely be mid-pack in a slow race, she possesses a strong turn of foot and is highly efficient (ideal FS%), making her the clear one to beat. Her trainer, Ger Lyons, is in flying form, and G. F. Carroll retains the ride. (Score: 9/10)
  • KATASHUNA: Showed excellent promise with a third-place finish on debut at Naas (78+ TFR), where she was denied a clear run but finished strongly. Her pedigree suggests she will improve over further distances. There is a slight hold-up risk in a steadily-run race, but her class and finishing speed should be strong enough to overcome this. Dermot Weld’s yard is currently in strong form. (Score: 8/10)
  • GUARDED: A proven filly who placed at Naas (85 adjusted TFR). While she may have been slightly flattered by track bias, she remains one of the more exposed and consistent fillies in the field. Her front-running style could be an advantage in a slow-run race. Aidan O’Brien often wins these types of mid-season fillies’ maidens. (Score: 7.5/10)
  • DE BOODE: Was disappointing in her last run at Dundalk, but her prior fifth at Naas (72+ TFR) indicated more promise. This race might reveal her true level. She is likely to be handy, which suits the expected pace. (Score: 6.5/10)
  • MYSTIC BELLA: A debutante filly by Frankel out of a G1-placed dam. Her yard typically sees improvement with a run, so any significant market support for her would be noteworthy. (Score: 6.5/10)
  • THILOS: Showed some ability on soft ground at Galway and could improve if she settles better in her races. Joseph O’Brien has a fair strike rate with fillies who require a longer trip. (Score: 6/10)
  • MARMELADOVA: Has shown no form yet, but her pedigree is considered okay. (Score: 5/10)
  • Faberi, Roudha, Imnoaprilfool: These runners lack form and are difficult to recommend. (Score: 3–4/10)

Private Tissue Estimate:

  • Continuite – 6/4
  • Katashuna – 3/1
  • Guarded – 6/1
  • Mystic Bella – 8/1
  • De Boode – 10/1
  • Thilos – 12/1
  • Rest – 25/1+
  • Market watch is advised for runners making their second start.

ChatGPT Smart Plays:
This maiden race largely depends on Continuite’s ability to perform after a 308-day absence, though she sets a high standard and was narrowly beaten in a strong race last time. Katashuna appears to be the main threat, showing strong late work on her debut. Guarded offers a reliable profile but with limited upside.

  • Win Selection: Continuite – Boasts a top pedigree, an energy-efficient style, and comes from a yard in peak form.
  • Each-Way Saver: Katashuna (if betting 3 places) – Expected to improve significantly from her debut and shapes like a winner in waiting.

15:58 Gowran Park – Bolands Mazda Carlow Handicap

Pace & Draw Dynamics:

  • A strong pace is predicted, with front-runners likely to ensure a truly run race. This should favor strong mile specialists and mid-pack closers with a good turn of foot.
  • The draw is favorable to low numbers, with stalls 1–5 holding a statistical edge historically at this trip when the pace is on.

Runner Comments:

  • PIER PRESSURE: A proven and reliable handicapper with rock-solid recent form, placing in his last two starts in large fields. He demonstrates strong energy efficiency and consistent late sectionals. His draw in stall 4 is perfect, and he is tactically versatile, able to sit off a strong gallop and pounce. His TFR of 90 from his last run is the clear top rating, and he is holding a valid 80 rating. (Score: 9/10)
  • GIUSEPPE CASSIOLI: Reliable and holding form, with two solid efforts this summer, including a fourth-place finish in a race won by re-opposing Pier Pressure. He ran to an 85+ TFR in his last outing. As a prominent racer, his low draw and the strong pace angle are both positive. Trainer G. O’Leary’s runners are consistently performing to their marks. (Score: 8.5/10)
  • EARLS: Dangerous if fit, possessing classy back form, including a Haydock win last year. His return run in June after a break was eye-catching, and he is expected to be fitter now. He is better suited by a true gallop and could be peaking on his third start. His mid-draw in stall 6 might require him to find a clear lane. (Score: 7.5/10)
  • DAONETHATGOTAWAY: Shows a promising form cycle, having recently won at Bellewstown and followed up with a fair third. He is clearly in-form. However, his wide stall (16) presents a challenge, as he lacks the early zip to overcome it. (Score: 7/10)
  • HEMIGHT: A “horse for course” with a CD win here in May. He was poorly placed in his last race but shaped as if still in good form. He returns to his winning course and distance with a capable 7lb claimer, making him a value play. (Score: 7/10)
  • UNA MATATA: Showed hidden merit in her last race, trading low in running and hinting at a revival. She holds a strong adjusted TFR of 86 despite being beaten. A midfield slot is ideal for her usual running style. (Score: 6.5/10)
  • BRAINS: Is in form, but his deep draw is a disadvantage. (Score: 6/10)
  • NYMAN: Can be too keen at times and requires a perfect trip to succeed. (Score: 6/10)
  • PLASTIC PADDY: Is regressive and is considered a long shot for a reason. (Score: 4/10)
  • CAMACHERO: Has shown backward recent efforts despite a low draw. (Score: 3.5/10)

Private Tissue Estimate:

  • Pier Pressure – 9/2
  • Giuseppe Cassioli – 11/2
  • Earls – 7/1
  • Daonethatgotaway – 15/2
  • Hemight – 9/1
  • Una Matata – 12/1
  • Brains – 14/1
  • Rest of field – 16/1–50/1+
  • Market watch is advised for runners making their second start.

ChatGPT Smart Plays:
This is an ultra-competitive handicap expected to be run at a strong gallop, which will suit runners with a blend of stamina and efficiency over a mile. Pier Pressure holds the best combination of form, draw, and tactical adaptability. Giuseppe Cassioli brings strength from collateral form and may be slightly underestimated. Hemight returns to his favored track and offers a smart each-way angle at a potentially good price.

  • Win Selection: Pier Pressure – Boasts consistent form, the top TFR, the best draw, and an ideal race shape.
  • Each-Way Saver: Hemight – Returning to his winning course and distance, with a strong pace to aim at and a good jockey booking.

16:33 Gowran Park – Racing TV Apprentice Handicap (Division I)

Pace & Draw Dynamics:

  • A strong early pace is projected, with front-runners like Together Aclaim, Thompson Gunner, and DeLuca Chop expected to ensure a well-run contest.
  • The draw bias favors high draws at this trip at Gowran when pace pressure is evident, positioning late closers from mid-to-high stalls well.

Runner Comments:

  • DAZZLING SPIRIT: A proven runner who returned to form two starts back and performed creditably in a deeper apprentice race last time. She is likely to benefit from the strong pace and is ideally drawn in stall 7. Her FS% efficiency aligns well with winning profiles in this grade. (Score: 8/10)
  • TOGETHER ACLAIM: A proven horse who recently won at Cork and has not been disgraced in deeper fields since. He is often slowly away but is effective at this trip. He is tactically versatile and should be suited by a strong pace collapse. His mid-draw and profile make him a consistent threat. (Score: 7.5/10)
  • CARRICKFINN: A progressive runner who posted a solid fourth at Dundalk last time, with that form holding up in a similar grade. His strong second-place finish here in June over 1m demonstrates his course affinity. He will benefit from a patient ride if the leaders set too fast a pace. (Score: 7.5/10)
  • GALLO DELL CIELO: A track specialist with a previous win here, and he often travels well through races. The strong pace may set up well for him, but his overall profile is slightly inconsistent. (Score: 7/10)
  • CHOU CHOU: Inconsistent, as her recent win came from a handy position in a weaker race. She will need things to go tactically right for her to be competitive here. (Score: 6.5/10)
  • MS MESSI: Unexposed at this trip, showing mild late gains in recent efforts. Her pedigree suggests some scope for improvement, and her recent FS% efficiency hints at upside. Both her draw and the race setup are positive for her. (Score: 6.5/10)
  • LOHENGRIN: Shows questionable current form, capable of fair figures but running below par last time. A trainer change earlier in the season may have affected his rhythm. His stall 3 is okay, but his profile remains uncertain. (Score: 6/10)
  • SUPER OVER: An interesting prospect due to a yard switch, but carries a long layoff risk. (Score: 5.5/10)
  • BARRETSTOWN: Has a noted C&D second, but is otherwise inconsistent. (Score: 5.5/10)
  • FLIER: Faces a tough challenge from a wide draw. (Score: 5/10)
  • DELUCA CHOP, THOMPSON GUNNER: Possible pace casualties in this strong gallop. (Score: 4.5/10)
  • SLANEY SWAGGER, DRISH MELODY: Will need a significant form revival to be competitive. (Score: 3.5/10)

Private Tissue Estimate:

  • Dazzling Spirit – 9/2
  • Together Aclaim – 5/1
  • Carrickfinn – 6/1
  • Gallo Dell Cielo – 13/2
  • Chou Chou – 8/1
  • Ms Messi – 10/1
  • Super Over – 12/1
  • Others – 14/1+
  • Market watch is advised for runners making their second start or with recent yard changes.

ChatGPT Smart Plays:
This is a solid, pace-affected apprentice handicap where the tempo should bring stamina and positioning to the forefront. Dazzling Spirit is well-positioned to benefit from a strong gallop and has been operating efficiently in better contests. Carrickfinn is another runner well-suited by the race shape and course. Ms Messi is an interesting unexposed type to keep tabs on as a potential late improver in this class.

  • Win Selection: Dazzling Spirit – Favored by the pace setup, boasts solid figures, and is well-suited to the track.
  • Each-Way Saver: Carrickfinn – Has solid course form and is well-handicapped in the context of this race.

17:07 Gowran Park – Racing TV Apprentice Handicap (Division II)

Pace & Draw Dynamics:

  • A weak pace is anticipated, which may compromise deep closers and favor those able to sit handy or control fractions.
  • High draws are favored at this trip in steadily-run races at Gowran, meaning prominent types in wide stalls should be advantaged.

Runner Comments:

  • WARAZAM (IRE): A proven runner holding form exceptionally well, including an eye-catching third-place finish on her return at Navan behind a subsequent winner. Her Timefigure and FS% are in line with efficient runners at this grade. The weak pace plays to her strength in racing forward or pressing early. Drawn in stall 8, she is well placed tactically. (Score: 8.5/10)
  • NUMIDIA (IRE): Resurgent, showing her best recent effort when finishing fourth at Down Royal in a deeper event. She is tactically versatile and stays further, which is a significant advantage in a slowly-run race. Drawn in stall 10, which is ideal for a prominent early position. (Score: 8/10)
  • RODERICK: Proven, having won a hot apprentice handicap last time from a tricky spot in the race. However, a 7lb penalty makes life tougher, though his FS% was exceptional in his win. He is drawn wide in stall 14, which is considered a slight negative. (Score: 7.5/10)
  • OBAMA ARMY: Inconsistent but capable, having hit the frame in recent efforts. However, he lacks tactical pace. His draw in stall 9 is middling, and the weak pace may not assist a late-runner like him. (Score: 7/10)
  • PICPOUL (IRE): Presents a hold-up risk, as she is usually outpaced early, but she is capable of picking off late places. The weak pace and mid-draw may not help her get involved in the finish. (Score: 6.5/10)
  • WALNUT BEACH (IRE): Lightly raced this season, coming off a 131-day layoff. However, his FS% in prior runs was strong, and he has fair course form. Drawn in stall 3, there’s a risk of him being locked in if not alert early. (Score: 6.5/10)
  • FAMOUS ENOUGH (IRE): A profiled improver whose sectionals from his Leopardstown fourth suggest he may be underrated. However, drawn on the rail (stall 1), there’s a danger of him being shuffled back. (Score: 6.5/10)
  • SERAFINA (IRE): Has only had one run since 2022. The market will be a guide after her long absence, but her trainer is in flying form. Her pedigree suggests she could show more over this trip. (Score: 6/10)
  • I’VE BEEN DREAMING: Has lost form and is returning from a long layoff. (Score: 5.5/10)
  • TOMAHAWK KING: Has been well held in his last two starts. (Score: 5.5/10)
  • LEABALAND: Is on his lowest mark in a while but has not shown any spark recently. (Score: 5/10)
  • GIANH RIVER: Has a poor overall profile. (Score: 4.5/10)
  • SKIB GOLD: Has weak maiden form and faces a massive ask here. (Score: 4.5/10)
  • ROYAL TRIBUTE: Is going backwards in form with wide-margin losses. (Score: 4/10)

Private Tissue Estimate:

  • Warazam – 4/1
  • Numidia – 5/1
  • Roderick – 6/1
  • Obama Army – 8/1
  • Famous Enough – 10/1
  • Picpoul – 12/1
  • Walnut Beach – 12/1
  • Rest – 16/1 to 66/1+
  • Market watch is advised for runners making their second start or returning from extended breaks.

ChatGPT Smart Plays:
This race is expected to have little obvious pace, which gives a distinct advantage to tactically adaptable, race-fit contenders. Warazam has shaped well in higher grades and should be able to position ideally under Nicola Burns. Numidia appears to be back on the right trajectory and remains competitively treated if she can avoid early trouble.

  • Win Selection: Warazam – She is in-form, well-drawn, and tactically suited to a weak pace.
  • Each-Way Saver: Numidia – Her figures are peaking again, and she is drawn to press, giving her a clear chance.

17:40 Gowran Park – Get Galway Races Ready With The Tote

Pace & Draw Dynamics:

  • A weak early gallop is anticipated, which will likely benefit those with tactical speed who can sit close up or control the fractions.
  • This pace implication specifically favors Cristal Clere, who has the best late efficiency profile, while Spoken Truth, a deep closer, is disadvantaged.
  • The draw is not a decisive factor with only six runners, but stall 1 (Crypto Force) can aid positioning in a steadily-run race.

Runner Comments:

  • CRISTAL CLERE (IRE): A proven and consistent runner, having been runner-up three times this season, including twice at Listed level. Her latest effort in a handicap at Ballinrobe was strong, benefiting from a well-handled tactical ride in a steadily-run affair. She is likely to track leaders and pick up late, boasting top efficiency in her FS% and maintaining good form. (Score: 8.5/10)
  • CRYPTO FORCE: A class dropper, having competed in the Copper Horse at Royal Ascot and previously in Group races. He has the strongest adjusted rating in the field and retains plenty of ability, though he is generally best at longer trips. The step down in trip and weak pace could catch him out if he is forced to chase. (Score: 8/10)
  • PENZANCE: A lurking danger who won earlier this year on the All-Weather (AW), with his best turf form coming on good ground. He is consistent at a slightly lower level and remains reliable, especially in small fields. He typically races prominently, which is a positive in this race. (Score: 7/10)
  • DAWN SPIRIT (IRE): An unexposed 3yo filly from a powerful yard, who was not beaten far in a Group 3 race two starts ago. Her positional speed is limited, but she profiles well in terms of efficiency. (Score: 6.5/10)
  • SPOKEN TRUTH (IRE): Presents a hold-up risk, despite a smart pedigree and a Cork maiden win in 2024. He has been gelded since and is lightly raced, with his trainer currently in top form. However, he needs the pace to collapse, which is unlikely in this small field. (Score: 6/10)
  • SIMURGH (IRE): An unknown quantity, being very lightly raced and returning from a 282-day layoff. His pedigree shows stamina influences. While he could improve, his FS% and layoff suggest he will likely need this run. (Score: 5/10)

Private Tissue Estimate:

  • Cristal Clere – 6/4
  • Crypto Force – 2/1
  • Penzance – 6/1
  • Dawn Spirit – 8/1
  • Spoken Truth – 10/1
  • Simurgh – 25/1
  • Market watch is advised for lightly-raced types and those returning from long breaks.

ChatGPT Smart Plays:
This is a small, tactical affair where the likely modest tempo places a premium on a blend of tactical speed and stamina. Cristal Clere appears ideally suited to this scenario, being consistent, efficient, and race-fit. Crypto Force is dropping significantly in grade, but the trip and pace scenario could test him more than expected.

  • Win Selection: Cristal Clere – Possesses strong form in deeper races and an ideal tactical setup for this event.
  • No Each-Way Saver: The field size of six runners means an each-way saver is not applicable.

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