13:52 Newcastle – HAPPY 40th BIRTHDAY TRACY MCLURE APPRENTICE HANDICAP (Class 6, 1m2f42y, AW Tapeta)

Pace Angles + Draw Angles: This race is expected to be run at a very weak gallop, which could disadvantage horses that prefer a strong pace to run at. The statistical draw bias at this trip on Tapeta marginally favours high numbers. This slow pace generally benefits closers from wider draws.

Runner Comments:

• BERKSHIRE PHANTOM (IRE)
  • Form: Well-handicapped gelding who scored comfortably at Redcar six days ago. Form looks solid for this grade.
  • Pace: Tactical versatility is a plus with no pace on; may be better suited if he races handier today. Usually races off pace.
  • Draw: Drawn wide in 8.
  • Fitness: Thrives in apprentice setups. First run under a penalty.
  • Class: Racing off 5 lb higher but looked well ahead of his mark.
  • Flags: Compact gelding; usually wears headgear (left off last 2 starts), tried in tongue tie; sometimes slowly away.
• MR WITHINGTON (FR)
  • Form: Rapid recent improver with career-best TFRs the last two starts. Posted a strong effort last time, trading significantly lower in running.
  • Pace: Well-drawn in 9 for a patiently-ridden closer, suited by the step back up in trip.
  • Draw: Drawn wide in 9.
  • Fitness: Profile suggests he’s finding his level now in handicaps.
  • Class: Could be a big improver in this company.
  • Flags: First foal; tried in hood.
• ETRETAT
  • Form: Hasn’t been in form recently on turf, but best career figure came on AW (Lingfield, March). Below form last 4 starts.
  • Pace: Likely to race handily, and might be best positioned in this slowly-run affair.
  • Draw: Drawn in 5.
  • Fitness: Could bounce back returned to all-weather.
  • Class: Drops back into 0–65 after a spell at higher levels; well-in if bouncing back to early-season form. Fair handicapper; stays 1¼m; acts on polytrack, tapeta, good to firm and good to soft going.
• BRUNELLO BREEZE
  • Form: Has strong Tapeta form at Newcastle, including two wins in 2024. Ran well on return from a 9-month break in a stronger race.
  • Pace: Often starts slowly and races off pace, heavily reliant on pace collapsing; lack of pace is a tactical negative.
  • Draw: Drawn in 6. Wide draw not an issue for his style.
  • Fitness: Off 9 months.
  • Class: Fair handicapper; stays 12.5f; acts on tapeta, good to firm and heavy going.
  • Flags: Wears headgear.
• FALCON NINE
  • Form: Consistently running to modest levels and shaped with some promise the last twice over further.
  • Pace: Often starts slowly, races freely. May benefit from a more patient ride.
  • Draw: Drawn in 3. Low draw puts him in the game if things fall right.
  • Class: Modest maiden; stays 12.5f.
  • Flags: Workmanlike gelding; acts on polytrack, tapeta and good to firm going; wears headgear; cold trainer.
• CROWNTHORPE
  • Form: Modest handicapper. Fifth at Hamilton in June; creditable second at Carlisle last time.
  • Pace: Draw neutral.
  • Class: Stays 10.5f; acts on all-weather, good to firm and heavy going.
  • Flags: Sturdy gelding; has worn headgear, including last 5 starts; tried in tongue tie.
• QUINTUS ARRIUS (IRE)
  • Form: Stepped up on reappearance when sixth at Carlisle in June; below form last time.
  • Pace: Often starts slowly, usually races off pace. Draw ok.
  • Class: Fair handicapper; stays 1m; acts on tapeta and soft going.
  • Flags: Has had breathing operation; has worn headgear, including latest start.
• EXCEPTIONALITY (IRE)
  • Form: Poor form; little show in varied events this year.
  • Pace: Often slowly away, races off pace.
  • Class: No positives on pace/form.
  • Flags: Often wears headgear. Scott Dixon’s profit to a £1 level stake with horses running after a break.
• FAZEN (IRE)
  • Form: Non Runner.

Private Tissue Odds:

• Berkshire Phantom – 5/2
• Mr Withington – 9/2
• Etretat – 11/2
• Brunello Breeze – 6/1
• Crownthorpe – 9/1
• Falcon Nine – 12/1
• Quintus Arrius – 16/1
• Exceptionality – 66/1

ChatGPT Smart Plays:

• Win Selection: BERKSHIRE PHANTOM – This gelding is fit, in-form, and tactically versatile, appearing well-in even under a penalty.
• Each-Way Saver: MR WITHINGTON – He is rapidly improving and has the potential to outstay his rivals in what is expected to be a slow-paced affair.

14:30 Newcastle – PREMIUM HOSPITALITY AT SEAT UNIQUE HANDICAP (Class 4, 1m4f98y, AW Tapeta)

Pace Angles + Draw Angles: An even gallop is predicted. There is no clear draw bias over this trip at Newcastle. Historically, patiently ridden types often finish best in this setup, which could benefit closers like LA PULGA and CAMARRATE over prominent racers such as ENVIRONMENT AMIGO.

Runner Comments:

• LA PULGA (IRE)
  • Form: Useful handicapper; returned to form with a solid third at Ascot in a stronger contest.
  • Pace: Front runner/races prominently, but is ideally suited by a dropped-out, closing style in this scenario.
  • Draw: Drawn in 8.
  • Fitness: Drops in grade.
  • Class: Proven C&D winner; well-treated after a 2 lb drop. Timefig of 93 ranks highly.
  • Flags: Close-coupled, well-made gelding; stays 1¾m; acts on tapeta, good to firm and good to soft going; has worn blinkers. Traded at 25% or less of his starting Betfair SP when beaten last time out.
• FAST FRED
  • Form: Fairly useful handicapper; comes here in form, having scored last time at Carlisle.
  • Pace: Always prominent in his wins; should be prominent in an even-paced affair.
  • Draw: Drawn in 1.
  • Class: Solid all-weather record, including C&D success. Remains competitive on figures despite a 2 lb rise.
  • Flags: Stays 1¾m; acts on tapeta and heavy going; has worn cheekpieces.
• ENVIRONMENT AMIGO
  • Form: Fairly useful handicapper with progressive back form, notably a 7-length Southwell win.
  • Pace: The even gallop probably won’t help him, as he ideally needs a strong gallop.
  • Draw: Drawn in 4.
  • Fitness: Off for 300 days. Market watch is essential.
  • Class: Timefigs are race-winning level (90+). Often needs ideal conditions to deliver.
  • Flags: Well-made gelding; has had breathing operation; in tongue tie last 5 starts; Jack Mitchell’s 21% strike rate at Newcastle.
• MOLINARI (IRE)
  • Form: Fairly useful handicapper; two wins at Newcastle in 2024. Consistent in staying handicaps with solid recent York efforts.
  • Pace: May lack the acceleration to win.
  • Draw: Drawn in 5.
  • Class: Dual C&D scorer. TFR ratings holding up near 89. Tough and reliable.
  • Flags: Lengthy gelding; stays 1¾m; acts on polytrack, tapeta, good to firm and heavy going; has worn cheekpieces.
• CAMARRATE (IRE)
  • Form: Fairly useful form on the Flat in France; fair winning hurdler but lost form recently.
  • Pace: Tactically suited by an even gallop.
  • Draw: Drawn in 6. Draw fine.
  • Fitness: Returns from a break; strong fitness query. Has won fresh. Has had breathing operation since last seen.
  • Class: Handicap debutant; represents a yard that improves recruits.
  • Flags: Stays 1½m.
• NATZOR (FR)
  • Form: Fairly useful handicapper, won twice at Newcastle in 2024. Modest form over hurdles.
  • Pace: Untapped potential, but limited hard evidence of progression.
  • Draw: Drawn in 2.
  • Fitness: Has had breathing operations, including since last seen.
  • Class: Stays 1½m; acts on tapeta, firm and good to soft going.
  • Flags: Big gelding; has worn headgear; tried in tongue tie.
• APPIER (IRE)
  • Form: Fairly useful handicapper; won at Lingfield in 2024; second there in May. Below form last time, virtually refusing to race.
  • Pace: Starts slowly.
  • Draw: Drawn in 3.
  • Class: Has form at track. Stays 16.5f; acts on polytrack, tapeta, good to firm and heavy going.
  • Flags: Good-bodied gelding; tried in first-time visor last time, which didn’t help. Best treated with caution.
• RIBBLE VIBE (IRE)
  • Form: Fairly useful form from sole start in 2023; probably needed run when fifth last time.
  • Pace: Lightly raced.
  • Draw: Drawn in 9.
  • Fitness: Off 14 months; second run after long layoff, fitness to prove.
  • Flags: Half-brother to high-class winner Ribchester. David O’Meara’s profit to a £1 level stake with horses being stepped up in trip.
• WHISKEY PETE (IRE)
  • Form: Useful handicapper at best; tailed-off last all 5 starts this year.
  • Pace: Usually races off pace.
  • Class: Lost form entirely; nothing recent to support.
  • Flags: Compact gelding; stays 1¼m; acts on soft and good to firm going.

Private Tissue Odds:

• La Pulga – 7/2
• Fast Fred – 4/1
• Environment Amigo – 5/1
• Molinari – 13/2
• Camarrate – 8/1
• Appier – 10/1
• Natzor – 12/1
• Ribble Vibe – 20/1
• Whiskey Pete – 50/1

ChatGPT Smart Plays:

• Win Selection: LA PULGA – He is back to form, proven on the surface, and the race setup is ideal for his closing style.
• Each-Way Saver: MOLINARI – A reliable stayer with good track form, he is consistently strong in the finish and makes an appealing each-way option.

15:08 Newcastle – RIO EBF RESTRICTED MAIDEN STAKES (Qualifier) (Class 4, 7f15y, 2yo, AW Tapeta)

Pace Angles + Draw Angles: An even pace is predicted, with several likely pace pressers. This should provide a fair shape to the race. There is no strong draw bias over this trip at Newcastle, and mid-division or tracking positions may be optimal. The pace scenario may be irrelevant given Zoiros’s chance.

Runner Comments:

• ZOIROS (IRE)
  • Form: Fair form; improved markedly when second last time at Newcastle over 6f.
  • Pace: Shaped like 7f would suit, travelling powerfully and only collared late. Should be well suited by pace and surface.
  • Draw: Drawn in 4.
  • Fitness: Has left Raphael Freire since last run, suggesting intent.
  • Class: Posted a solid 84 Timeform rating (TFR). The step up in trip and switch to Jason Hart are positives. Strong favourite on known form.
  • Flags: Half-brother to smart 7f/1m winner Udododontu. Traded at 50% or less of his Betfair SP when beaten last time out.
• RIFFA SPIRIT (IRE)
  • Form: Debutant. Catches the eye on paper.
  • Pace: Nicely drawn to track the early leaders.
  • Draw: Drawn in 7.
  • Fitness: Debutant.
  • Class: Well-related gelding and a €50,000 yearling. Bred for speed and stamina mix; full-brother to useful 2yo winners. Trainer Crisford often strikes with debutants.
  • Flags: Jockey booking (Jack Mitchell) is a plus. Jack Mitchell’s 21% strike rate at Newcastle.
• SANIYAAT’S STAR
  • Form: Showed promise when fifth on debut at Doncaster, racing prominently at 80/1.
  • Pace: His closing effort hinted at above-average ability; energy distribution was efficient. Strong finisher.
  • Draw: Drawn in 6.
  • Fitness: Should improve plenty from his debut run.
  • Class: Form is solid.
  • Flags: Half-brother to useful 7f winner Molaqab.
• BENY NAHAR
  • Form: Debutant.
  • Draw: Drawn in 5. Draw gives options.
  • Fitness: Yard’s juveniles often need a run.
  • Class: By Kingman out of a Galileo mare, with high-quality breeding. Dam’s family has speed influence.
  • Flags: Kingman’s progeny have won on flat debut (90 of them).
• ELIZABETTY (IRE)
  • Form: Green but shaped with encouragement when midfield on debut here over 6f.
  • Pace: Slowly away and detached early, but finished respectably.
  • Draw: Drawn in 1.
  • Fitness: Open to improvement and should improve up in trip.
  • Class: From a smart sprinting family.
• SAXOPHONIST (IRE)
  • Form: Debutant.
  • Draw: Drawn in 8.
  • Class: Well-bred for this trip; O’Meara debutants can go close.
  • Flags: Half-brother to very smart 7f/1m winner Al Wukair. David O’Meara hot trainer.
• SUDBURY HILL (IRE)
  • Form: Never a threat when sixth in maiden at Ayr; poor debut.
  • Draw: Drawn in 2.
  • Fitness: Has been gelded.
  • Class: Some stamina on pedigree. Half-brother to very smart winner Champers Elysees.
• DUE TO SHINE
  • Form: Debutant.
  • Draw: Drawn in 10.
  • Class: Dam stayed well. Trainer Brian Ellison has a fair debut strike-rate (£81.33 profit with debutants).
  • Flags: First foal.
• JAMBEAREE (IRE)
  • Form: Well held in minor event at Newcastle; well beaten on debut.
  • Draw: Drawn in 3.
  • Fitness: Dam stayed well and can improve.
  • Flags: Second foal.
• BOBBYS PRIDE (IRE)
  • Form: Well held in minor event at Ayr; showed nothing on debut.
  • Draw: Drawn in 9.
  • Class: Poor form and profile.
  • Flags: Fourth foal, dam unraced.

Private Tissue Odds:

• Zoiros – 2/1
• Riffa Spirit – 4/1
• Saniyaat’s Star – 5/1
• Beny Nahar – 9/1
• Saxophonist – 10/1
• Elizabetty – 12/1
• Sudbury Hill – 14/1
• Due to Shine – 20/1
• Jambearee – 33/1
• Bobbys Pride – 100/1

ChatGPT Smart Plays:

• Win Selection: ZOIROS – He carries solid Newcastle form, is improving, and is well-placed tactically for this race.
• Each-Way Saver: SANIYAAT’S STAR – Showed a strong closing effort on debut and offers good value for a place.

15:40 Newcastle – BEST EXPERIENCES AT SEAT UNIQUE BEESWING HANDICAP (Class 4, 1m5y, AW Tapeta)

Pace Angles + Draw Angles: A strong pace is highly likely with multiple front-runners expected. The draw at this trip on Tapeta disfavours low numbers. This setup significantly favours closers, with MISS YORKSHIRE and DUTCH DUKE ideally suited by the pace shape.

Runner Comments:

• SHERIFF’S COURT (IRE)
  • Form: Fairly useful handicapper; improving each start for the in-form Sir Mark Prescott team. Won last time, making most.
  • Pace: Making most last time.
  • Draw: Drawn in 5.
  • Class: Lightly raced and upwardly mobile; pedigree suggests further progress now stepped back up to 1m. Likely well-handicapped still, particularly on synthetics. Sir Mark Prescott Bt has a 24% strike rate in mid-season.
  • Flags: Half-brother to smart winner Sheraz; acts on polytrack.
• CALLIANASSA (IRE)
  • Form: Fairly useful handicapper; two recent wins, including latest over C&D.
  • Pace: Travelled fluently and found more late; today’s strong pace could play even more to her strengths.
  • Draw: Drawn in 11.
  • Class: Up in grade but form is solid and rising on figures. C&D winner. Sturdy filly; stays 1m; acts on polytrack, tapeta and good to firm going; has worn headgear.
• MISS YORKSHIRE (FR)
  • Form: Fair form; improved when a close fifth last time.
  • Pace: Excellent finishing ability; well suited by this race’s expected strong pace, playing into her closing style. Ideally drawn to stalk the meltdown.
  • Draw: Drawn in 8.
  • Class: Well-treated. Posted solid time figures on each of her last two starts. Looks ready to strike with pace collapse in her favour.
  • Flags: Three-year-old filly from a smaller yard. Traded at 50% or less of her starting Betfair SP when beaten last time out.
• ROGUE ENCORE
  • Form: Fairly useful handicapper; inconsistent this season but returned to something like his best last time.
  • Draw: Drawn in 4. Central draw.
  • Class: Proven on Tapeta, including back-to-back wins here last year. Holds each-way claims. Stays 1m; acts on tapeta and good to firm going.
  • Flags: Has had breathing operation; wears cheekpieces; tried in tongue tie.
• HOSANNA POWER (IRE)
  • Form: Fairly useful handicapper; third at Newcastle in May; below form last time.
  • Pace: Strong TFRs and consistent at Newcastle, but his need to race prominently may be exposed by today’s strong pace. Will need to be more patient.
  • Draw: Drawn in 7.
  • Class: Well beaten off similar marks in stronger races. Stays 1¼m; acts on tapeta and heavy going.
  • Flags: Close-coupled gelding.
• BERAZ (FR)
  • Form: Fairly useful handicapper; third at Newcastle in March; below form last time.
  • Pace: Sometimes slowly away, often travels strongly.
  • Draw: Drawn in 6.
  • Fitness: Off 10 weeks.
  • Class: Capable of big figures, but inconsistent and form dipping. Stays 12.5f; acts on tapeta.
  • Flags: Has had breathing operations. Julie Camacho’s profit when having one runner at a flat meeting.
• BORGI (IRE)
  • Form: Fairly useful handicapper; won at Wolverhampton, Southwell and Newcastle in 2024. Below best both starts this year.
  • Pace: Races towards rear.
  • Draw: Drawn in 10.
  • Fitness: Possibly needed run last time.
  • Class: Course winner. Stays 9.5f; acts on polytrack and tapeta.
  • Flags: Sturdy gelding; tried in cheekpieces.
• WISH THIS
  • Form: Fair maiden; third in handicap at the Curragh in June; respectable eighth last time.
  • Draw: Drawn in 12.
  • Class: Stays 6.5f; acts on soft going. Little margin for error here.
  • Flags: Left Miss Jennifer Anne Lynch.
• RUNNINSONOFAGUN (IRE)
  • Form: Fair handicapper; won maiden claimer in 2024; best effort when second last time.
  • Pace: Usually leads; strong pace may not suit. Often races freely.
  • Draw: Drawn in 9.
  • Fitness: Left Anthony Mullins after final (2024) start.
  • Class: Stays 1m; acts on good to firm and good to soft going.
• TASEVER
  • Form: Fair handicapper; won twice at Newcastle in January; good efforts when placed next 5 starts but below form last 2 starts.
  • Pace: Well exposed.
  • Draw: Drawn in 3.
  • Class: Vulnerable to better-finished types. Stays 1m; acts on tapeta, good to firm and heavy going; wears headgear.
• NATIVE HONEY (IRE)
  • Form: Fair maiden handicapper; second at Doncaster in May; respectable ninth last time.
  • Pace: May get caught in early pace battle from a poor draw.
  • Draw: Drawn in 2. Poor draw.
  • Fitness: Left J. S. Bolger after final (2024) start.
  • Class: Stays 1m; acts on soft and good to firm going. Jim Goldie’s profit when having one runner at a flat meeting.
• DUTCH DUKE
  • Form: Modest form; little show in his races.
  • Draw: Drawn in 1. Lowly drawn.
  • Fitness: Left Iain Jardine.
  • Class: Exposed; hard to fancy.
  • Flags: Third foal.

Private Tissue Odds:

• Sheriff’s Court – 3/1
• Callianassa – 9/2
• Miss Yorkshire – 6/1
• Rogue Encore – 8/1
• Hosanna Power – 9/1
• Beraz – 10/1
• Borgi – 14/1
• Wish This – 16/1
• Runninsonofagun – 16/1
• Native Honey – 20/1
• Tasever – 25/1
• Dutch Duke – 50/1

ChatGPT Smart Plays:

• Win Selection: SHERIFF’S COURT – A classy improver from a red-hot yard, he looks set to defy his rise in the weights with a strong pace to aim at.
• Each-Way Saver: MISS YORKSHIRE – Represents excellent each-way value given the expected pace meltdown and her progressive profile as a closer.

16:15 Newcastle – AD GEFRIN WHISKY HANDICAP (Class 6, 5f, AW Tapeta)

Pace Angles + Draw Angles: This race is expected to be a strongly-run 5f, with multiple horses typically forcing or racing prominently. Despite being a speed trip, the strong pace combined with a bias against low draws makes it ideal for a closer from a middle-to-high berth. HENERY HAWK and NEWYORKSTATEOFMIND are noted as well-suited.

Runner Comments:

• HENERY HAWK
  • Form: Modest performer; won at Wolverhampton in June; good ½-length second last time despite traffic issues.
  • Pace: Pace shape suits his late running style.
  • Draw: Drawn in 13. Well drawn.
  • Class: Excellent course form with three C&D wins. Timefig 66+ is top here. Improving form profile. Usually races at 5f nowadays; acts on tapeta and good to firm going.
  • Flags: Linda Perratt’s profit with favourites.
• LADY OF THE GARR (IRE)
  • Form: Modest handicapper; won at Newcastle and Wetherby in June; consistent performer who keeps hitting the frame. Ran a big race when second last time.
  • Pace: Her racing style—tracking early speed—can offset a less ideal draw.
  • Draw: Drawn in 6. Slightly lower draw (6) isn’t ideal.
  • Class: Proven over C&D. Upward trend on TFRs. Stays 6f; acts on tapeta and good to firm going.
  • Flags: Lengthy, good-bodied filly; sometimes slowly away.
• NEWYORKSTATEOFMIND
  • Form: Modest handicapper; soon back to form when third last time. Has run some fair races in better company.
  • Pace: Usually slowly away, so benefits from strong pace. Often races freely. Needs things to fall right but holds solid claims if others overdo it early.
  • Draw: Drawn in 11.
  • Class: C&D winner. Drops into 0-55 grade again. Vulnerable late.
  • Flags: Strong, compact gelding; stays 6f; acts on polytrack, tapeta and firm going; wears headgear again nowadays.
• BETTER (IRE)
  • Form: Modest handicapper; best effort this season when second last time.
  • Pace: Often slowly away. Will be running on if the gaps appear.
  • Draw: Drawn in 4. Draw 4 is a concern given pace/draw combination.
  • Class: Timefigs are rising. Stays 6f; acts on tapeta and good to firm going.
  • Flags: Close-coupled gelding; has had breathing operation; has worn headgear, including last 3 starts; tried in tongue tie. Trainer Paul Midgley is in hot form.
• ARAIFJAN
  • Form: Modest handicapper nowadays; not discredited last time. Consistent if quirky.
  • Pace: Often races near the speed; needs the inside not to prove a trap.
  • Draw: Drawn in 8. Draw not ideal for pace profile.
  • Class: Some solid figures from earlier this season. Win record suggests he’s not far off. Mainly races at 5f/6f nowadays.
  • Flags: Has had breathing operations; acts on polytrack, tapeta, good to firm and good to soft going; has worn headgear, including latest start; has worn tongue tie; Michael Herrington hot trainer.
• BLACKCURRENT
  • Form: Modest handicapper; won at Beverley in May; shaped as if better for run last time.
  • Pace: Usually leads; can lead or fade quickly.
  • Draw: Drawn in 3.
  • Class: Stays 6f; acts on fibresand, tapeta and good to firm going; track form decent.
  • Flags: Wears headgear.
• ARLINGTON
  • Form: Modest handicapper; won at Southwell in May; below form last time.
  • Draw: Drawn in 14.
  • Class: Former scorer on Tapeta; lacks spark recently. Stays 6f; acts on tapeta and good to firm going.
  • Flags: Wears cheekpieces.
• DESERT MASTER
  • Form: Modest handicapper; won at Southwell in January; below form since.
  • Pace: Capable but not finishing races.
  • Draw: Drawn in 10.
  • Class: Barely stays 6f; acts on tapeta and soft going.
  • Flags: Has had breathing operation.
• BLACK CAB (FR)
  • Form: Modest handicapper; won at Wolverhampton in April; down the field last 2 starts.
  • Pace: Unreliable, inconsistent recent form.
  • Draw: Drawn in 1.
  • Fitness: Left Jamie Osborne.
  • Class: Stays 6f; acts on tapeta.
  • Flags: Often in tongue tie.
• CHIEF OF STATE (IRE)
  • Form: Modest maiden; fourth last time, outpaced.
  • Pace: Hard to win with and regressing.
  • Draw: Drawn in 5.
  • Fitness: Left J. F. Levins after sole (2024) start.
  • Class: Half-brother to 6f/7f winner Lady Onyx.
  • Flags: Tried in cheekpieces; in tongue tie last 2 starts.
• COAST
  • Form: Poor handicapper; successful 3 times at Lingfield in 2024; probably needed run last time.
  • Pace: Usually leads.
  • Draw: Drawn in 9.
  • Fitness: Off 3 months; well beaten on return, long layoff.
  • Class: Stays 6f; acts on polytrack, tapeta, good to firm and good to soft going.
  • Flags: Has worn cheekpieces. Scott Dixon’s profit to a £1 level stake with horses running after a break.
• SKYLER (IRE)
  • Form: Modest form; tailed off all 3 starts since March maiden.
  • Pace:
  • Draw: Drawn in 12.
  • Fitness: Off 10 weeks prior to latest; left James Tate.
  • Class: Not shown enough.
  • Flags: First foal. Traded at 25% or less of her starting Betfair SP when beaten last time out.
• BRAZEN BELLE
  • Form: One-time fair handicapper; no impact this season.
  • Pace: Looks regressive; often starts slowly.
  • Draw: Drawn in 2.
  • Class: Stays 6f; acts on polytrack, tapeta and good to firm going.
• GREEN VALENTINE (IRE)
  • Form: Modest maiden; second in handicap in 2024; well held last time.
  • Pace: Well held in Irish races.
  • Draw: Drawn in 7.
  • Fitness: Left Kevin Thomas Coleman.
  • Class: Stays 6f; best form on soft/heavy going.

Private Tissue Odds:

• Henery Hawk – 9/2
• Lady of the Garr – 11/2
• Newyorkstateofmind – 6/1
• Better – 7/1
• Araifjan – 8/1
• Blackcurrent – 10/1
• Arlington – 12/1
• Desert Master – 14/1
• Chief of State – 20/1
• Skyler – 25/1
• Coast – 33/1
• Green Valentine – 66/1
• Black Cab – 66/1
• Brazen Belle – 80/1

ChatGPT Smart Plays:

• Win Selection: HENERY HAWK – He boasts a strong C&D record, is in peak form, and the fast pace provides the perfect setup for his late run.
• Each-Way Saver: NEWYORKSTATEOFMIND – With a solid profile and the ability to close late, he is drawn to swoop and offers good value.

16:50 Newcastle – LINDA BLACKBURN HANDICAP (Class 6, 1m, AW Tapeta)

Pace Angles + Draw Angles: The pace here looks weak-to-moderate, which may hinder later-finishers like Madame Plaintiff but suit horses who race prominently or mid-division pace-setters. Combined with a bias against low draws, this shifts the advantage toward middle/high-drawn front-runners or race-positional types, notably Kalganov and Greenlightforgo.

Runner Comments:

• KALGANOV (FR)
  • Form: Modest handicapper; good order on turf prior to a below-par display; second at Ayr in May.
  • Pace: Should be helped by expected weak pace. Suited to track and pace scenario.
  • Draw: Drawn in 9. Avoids the inside draw; well-drawn.
  • Fitness: Returned to the all-weather.
  • Class: Cheekpieces refitted. On a potentially very handy mark. Trainer Michael Dods and jockey Jack Mitchell both in form. Recent Tfigs solid (70), rated well-treated off 52. Strong each-way candidate. Stays 1m; acts on polytrack, tapeta, soft and good to firm going.
  • Flags: Has had breathing operation; wears headgear/tongue tie.
• MADAME PLAINTIFF (IRE)
  • Form: Modest handicapper; back to form when fourth last time, which was her best effort for new stable.
  • Pace: Likely to appreciate more pace than expected, which she won’t get. Low draw and race shape pose tactical risks.
  • Draw: Drawn in 5. Low draw.
  • Class: 9 lb lower than when last successful in Ireland for Gavin Cromwell. Still of interest off this reduced mark if breaking better. Stays 8.5f; acts on heavy going.
  • Flags: Often wears headgear; sometimes slowly away, including latest start.
• GREENLIGHTFORGO (IRE)
  • Form: Modest handicapper; back to form when winning last time over this C&D.
  • Pace: Usually front runner/races prominently. Got the first run last time; with pace likely lacking, could find it hard to produce the same turn-of-foot. May not get same race setup.
  • Draw: Drawn in 3. Drawn lower today.
  • Class: Still dangerous. Stays 1¾m; acts on tapeta and good to firm going.
  • Flags: Big gelding.
• MR HEINZ
  • Form: Modest handicapper; good 1½ lengths second last time, having run of race. Consistent.
  • Pace: Could race prominently; usually wears headgear.
  • Draw: Drawn in 12. Wide draw but may slot in. Draw is poor.
  • Class: Has place claims if pace collapses. Stays 8.5f; acts on tapeta and good to firm going. Trainer/jockey combination is not a noted Newcastle team.
• POP FAVORITE
  • Form: Modest handicapper; won at Newcastle in April; shaped as if still in good form there both starts since, creditable fifth last time.
  • Pace: Often races prominently. Sometimes slowly away.
  • Draw: Drawn in 1. Low draw to overcome. Low draw a concern.
  • Class: C&D winner. Useful AW form and rarely far away. Stays 8.5f; acts on all-weather.
  • Flags: Wears headgear.
• EVA ROSIE
  • Form: Modest handicapper; won at Newcastle in January and March, and Southwell in April; shaped as if still in good form last time.
  • Pace: Mid-tier chances; consistent but not improving lately. In-form sprinter coming off a break.
  • Draw: Drawn in 2.
  • Class: Multiple wins this season. Stays 11f; acts on tapeta.
  • Flags: Has worn headgear, including last 5 starts.
• TOP GUN TINA
  • Form: Modest handicapper; won female riders event at Carlisle in July. Unsuited by way race developed last time.
  • Pace: Usually slowly away, often races freely.
  • Draw: Drawn in 8. Draw OK.
  • Class: Won two starts back. Better with ease in ground. Stays 1m; acts on tapeta, good to firm and heavy going.
  • Flags: Has worn cheekpieces.
• CALCUTTA DREAM (IRE)
  • Form: Modest performer; won minor event at Southwell in January; well held last time.
  • Pace: Tends to race low/posterior; draw may cost. Needs things to fall right.
  • Draw: Drawn in 11.
  • Class: C&D winner. Stays 1¼m; acts on polytrack, tapeta, firm and good to soft going.
  • Flags: Usually wears headgear; Michael & David Easterby cold trainer.
• TIMETOBENICE
  • Form: Fair handicapper at best; well below form last 3 starts. Out of form.
  • Pace: Hard to recommend.
  • Draw: Drawn in 6.
  • Fitness: Left Marco Botti.
  • Class: Stays 11f; acts on polytrack, tapeta and soft going.
  • Flags: Has worn cheekpieces/tongue tie.
• APPROACHWITCAUTION (IRE)
  • Form: Down the field in 3 maidens. No positives to draw on.
  • Pace: Hard to recommend.
  • Draw: Drawn in 4.
  • Fitness: Leaving John Andrew Kinsella/off 11 months prior to latest. Unexposed.
  • Class: Half-sister to 1¼m-1½m winner Kadabration.
  • Flags: Tried in tongue tie.
• ROYAL JUSTICE (IRE)
  • Form: Modest maiden handicapper; not seen to best effect last time.
  • Pace: Usually races prominently. Hard to recommend.
  • Draw: Drawn in 10.
  • Fitness: Left John & Sean Quinn.
  • Class: Stays 7f; acts on soft going. Trainer in poor form, limited promise.
  • Flags: In first-time hood last time.
• SHOWMETHEWAYHOME (IRE)
  • Form: Modest maiden; tailed off last 2 starts. Well held both starts back.
  • Pace: Usually front runner/races prominently. Hard to recommend.
  • Draw: Drawn in 7.
  • Fitness: Off 9 months.
  • Class: Stays 1¼m; acts on tapeta and good to firm going.

Private Tissue Odds:

• Kalganov (FR) – 3/1
• Greenlightforgo – 4/1
• Madame Plaintiff – 6/1
• Mr Heinz – 13/2
• Pop Favorite – 8/1
• Eva Rosie – 10/1
• Calcutta Dream – 12/1
• Top Gun Tina – 14/1
• Others – 20/1+ (Timetobenice, Royal Justice, Showmethewayhome, Approachwitcaution)

ChatGPT Smart Plays:

• Win Bet: KALGANOV (FR) – His solid profile, advantageous draw, and strong sectionals from previous runs make him the top pick.
• Each-Way Saver: MADAME PLAINTIFF (IRE) – She is handicapped to go close and could be dangerous with better luck in running.

17:25 Newcastle – probio-energy.com ENERGY:REBORN CLASSIFIED STAKES (Div I, Class 6, 7f14y, 0-50, 3yo+, AW Tapeta)

Pace Angles + Draw Angles: The pace forecast is weak. This race is likely to unfold steadily, which could disadvantage hold-up types like Elettaria and favour tactical speed horses such as Superior Council and Mavetheforcebewivu. There is no standout draw bias, but positioning is critical in slowly run races.

Runner Comments:

• SUPERIOR COUNCIL (IRE)
  • Form: Modest handicapper; won at Hamilton in June; respectable fourth last time. Consistent in similar grade.
  • Pace: Well suited by likely pace scenario; tactical speed. Tactically advantaged.
  • Draw: Drawn in 1.
  • Class: Versatile regarding tactics; shaped well in amateurs and small-field handicaps recently. Has effective Tapeta form. Represents a yard that excels at placing these types. Has form up to 8.5f but races at shorter nowadays.
  • Flags: Wears headgear/tongue tie. Iain Jardine cold trainer.
• ELETTARIA (IRE)
  • Form: Modest performer; C&D winner earlier in the year; has held her form admirably since. Creditable effort last time.
  • Pace: Often slowly away, races off pace. Her late kick might be blunted in this race setup. Will need luck from rear.
  • Draw: Drawn in 7.
  • Class: Regularly finishes her race off strongly. Holds strong claims in context. Stays 1m.
  • Flags: Has worn cheekpieces, including last 5 starts.
• MAVETHEFORCEBEWIVU
  • Form: Modest maiden; shaped as if still in good form when third last time. Has shown clear ability on AW.
  • Pace: Drop back to 7f looks a big plus. Tactical speed.
  • Draw: Drawn in 2.
  • Class: Profile of quiet upward progression in a low-level field. Scope to improve at this level.
  • Flags: In headgear last 4 starts.
• DARLA’S SECRET (IRE)
  • Form: Modest maiden; hinted at better when staying on from off the pace last time.
  • Pace: May improve.
  • Draw: Drawn in 6.
  • Fitness: Lightly raced; left Adrian Keatley and rejoined former yard/off 10 weeks.
  • Class: Could sneak into the frame with improvement. Stays 7.5f; acts on good to firm going.
  • Flags: Tried in headgear.
• MISS CAST (IRE)
  • Form: Modest maiden; below form last time.
  • Pace: Usually races prominently. If ridden positively, she may out-run her odds. Double-digit draw in a race lacking pace.
  • Draw: Drawn in 10.
  • Class: Unexposed 3yo. Poor turf form but shaped as though some promise remains on Tapeta. Stays 6f.
  • Flags: Wears cheekpieces.
• PINJARRA (IRE)
  • Form: Modest maiden handicapper; below form last time, racing closer to pace than ideal. Occasionally runs to a mark, hard to predict.
  • Pace: Racing closer to pace than ideal last time.
  • Draw: Drawn in 5.
  • Class: Stays 1m; acts on polytrack, tapeta and good to firm going.
  • Flags: Has had breathing operation; often in headgear.
• ROGUE THUNDER
  • Form: Modest handicapper; in frame 8 times this year; well held last time. Bits of form but generally regressive.
  • Pace: Often starts slowly.
  • Draw: Drawn in 3.
  • Fitness: Off 7 weeks.
  • Class: Stays 7f; acts on polytrack and tapeta.
  • Flags: Has had breathing operation; wears hood; has worn tongue tie.
• BROTHER DAVE
  • Form: Modest performer at best; little impact this season. Hard to fancy based on recent runs.
  • Pace: Sometimes slowly away.
  • Draw: Drawn in 4.
  • Class: Won minor event and handicap at Southwell in 2024; stays 7f; acts on tapeta.
• REBEL REDEMPTION
  • Form: Poor handicapper nowadays, on long losing run; well held last time.
  • Pace: Usually front runner/races prominently; likely to lead but form completely tailed off.
  • Draw: Drawn in 9.
  • Fitness: Off 10 weeks.
  • Class: Stays 7f; acts on polytrack, tapeta, good to firm and good to soft going.
  • Flags: Wears headgear; has worn tongue tie.
• PRINCESS VIVI
  • Form: Little show in 3 minor events; no sign of promise in three starts.
  • Draw: Drawn in 8.
  • Class: Dam, 2-y-o 7f winner.

Private Tissue Odds:

• Superior Council – 3/1
• Elettaria – 4/1
• Mavetheforcebewivu – 5/1
• Darla’s Secret – 6/1
• Miss Cast – 8/1
• Pinjarra – 10/1
• Rogue Thunder – 14/1
• Brother Dave – 25/1
• Rebel Redemption – 40/1
• Princess Vivi – 66/1

ChatGPT Smart Plays:

• Win Bet: SUPERIOR COUNCIL (IRE) – He is tactically advantaged, reliable, and possesses a strong profile for this race shape.
• Each-Way Saver: MAVETHEFORCEBEWIVU – She could go close if building on her latest run and tracking the pace effectively.

17:55 Newcastle – probio-energy.com ENERGY:REBORN CLASSIFIED STAKES (Div II, Class 6, 7f14y, 0-50, 3yo+, AW Tapeta)

Pace Angles + Draw Angles: A strong pace is predicted due to a number of habitual pace-forcers. There is no strong draw bias, but a strong pace negates any rail advantage. Hold-up types like Starshot are tactically favoured by this setup, whereas front-runners like Martin’s Brig may face early pressure and pace burn-out.

Runner Comments:

• STARSHOT (IRE)
  • Form: Modest maiden; below expectations last time as favourite, but has been consistent prior.
  • Pace: Typically held up, which perfectly suits today’s likely strong pace. Strong closer, ideal pace.
  • Draw: Drawn in 2. Drawn to track late. Well drawn.
  • Fitness: Forgive latest run – likely found race coming too soon. Could bounce back with pace collapsing. Left P. Charalambous & J. Clutterbuck after his fifth (2025) start.
  • Class: Stays 1m; acts on polytrack and soft going. Track/trip suitability high.
  • Flags: Compact gelding; wears headgear; has worn tongue tie (not for current yard).
• MARTIN’S BRIG (IRE)
  • Form: Modest handicapper; won at Newcastle in March and Wetherby in April; creditable third last time. Solid form this spring.
  • Pace: Races on/near lead; with so much pace drawn around, may be vulnerable late due to pace burn-out.
  • Draw: Drawn in 8.
  • Class: Course winner. Stable’s runners generally maintain form but pattern is exposed. Stays 1m; acts on polytrack, tapeta, good to firm and heavy going.
  • Flags: Wears headgear.
• POET
  • Form: Modest handicapper; won at Newcastle in May; not seen to best effect last time.
  • Pace: Shaped as though a return to this trip would be welcomed. Effective closer.
  • Draw: Drawn in 9.
  • Fitness: Form dipped on turf but has excuses (traffic, switching).
  • Class: Strong-finishing C&D winner earlier in year. Return to Tapeta a plus. Can outrun odds with late support. Stays 7f; acts on polytrack and tapeta.
  • Flags: Lengthy gelding; has worn headgear; often starts slowly.
• MARY ANNE MAXIMUS (IRE)
  • Form: Modest form, still learning; ran well for a long way last time but faded late. Minor promise in modest company.
  • Pace: An inside run and more conservative ride could see improvement. Could improve in calmer tempo; unexposed. May be a sneaky place angle if the market speaks.
  • Draw: Drawn in 4.
  • Class:
  • Flags: Traded at 25% or less of her Betfair SP when beaten last time out.
• BUTTERCROSS FLYER (IRE)
  • Form: Modest performer; sixth last time, weakening. Unreliable profile.
  • Pace: Likely to help force pace. Usually races close up. Blunt finisher.
  • Draw: Drawn in 1.
  • Fitness: Off 166 days.
  • Class: Better on AW than turf but profile flat. Stays 7f; acts on tapeta and good to soft going.
  • Flags: Scott Dixon’s profit with horses running after a break.
• SPARTAN FIGHTER
  • Form: Modest handicapper; below form last time; bits of form but generally regressive.
  • Pace: Often leads.
  • Draw: Drawn in 7.
  • Class: C&D scorer in past, but looks gone at the game. Stays 7f; acts on tapeta, firm and good to soft going.
  • Flags: Wears headgear.
• HURRICANE BEA
  • Form: Little show in varied events; below form last time.
  • Pace: Poorly positioned tactically.
  • Draw: Drawn in 5.
  • Class: Form weak. Stays 7f; acts on tapeta and firm going.
  • Flags: First foal; wears headgear.
• OSELTON
  • Form: Modest maiden; found race coming too soon when well held last time. Looks regressive.
  • Draw: Drawn in 6.
  • Fitness: Off 10 days; left Mark Walford, Ivan Furtado after second (2025) outing.
  • Class: Probably stays 7f; acts on tapeta.
  • Flags: Has had breathing operation; in first-time hood last time; has worn tongue tie.
• ELZOUR
  • Form: Little promise in bumper/varied events on Flat. Best watched.
  • Draw: Drawn in 3.
  • Class: Half-brother to 3 winners, including useful 1m winner Establish.
  • Flags: Tried in blinkers. Ian McInnes’s profit when having one runner at a flat meeting.

Private Tissue Odds:

• Starshot – 3/1
• Martin’s Brig – 7/2
• Poet – 9/2
• Mary Anne Maximus – 7/1
• Buttercross Flyer – 8/1
• Spartan Fighter – 12/1
• Hurricane Bea – 14/1
• Oselton – 20/1
• Elzour – 50/1

ChatGPT Smart Plays:

• Win Selection: STARSHOT – He profiles best for today’s race conditions and pace makeup, making him the top pick.
• Each-Way Saver: MARY ANNE MAXIMUS – If market support arrives, her past efforts suggest enough upside from a low mark to warrant place money consideration.