13:25 YORK – EBF Fillies’ Novice Stakes (Class 3) – 6f – Good to Soft

Pace & Draw Angles:
The forecast indicates a weak pace, suggesting a tactical race where horses able to travel and quicken will be favoured, potentially disadvantaging hold-up types. The specific pace hint suggests this steady pace should favour GOLDEN PALACE over GOLDIE BEAR (IRE). With only 8 runners, the draw is neutral on this straight 6f at York.

Runner Comments:

• GOLDEN PALACE (2yo, 9-8, TFR 88p):
  • Form: Demonstrated a potent turn of foot (FS% 104.4) and sustained effort (Tfig 73) when making a winning debut at Beverley, winning by ½ length after being switched late on.
  • Pace: Expected to benefit from the weak pace forecast. Ideally drawn to sit just off a modest pace.
  • Fitness/Progression: Highly progressive, “sure to progress”. Well positioned to defy a penalty.
  • Class: Looked a “good prospect” on debut.
  • Ground: Handles easy ground, with dam effective on similar going.
  • Overall: Proven on debut; tactically and ground-suited. Well drawn.
• BERLINETTA (2yo, 9-2, TFR 75p):
  • Form: Ran creditably on debut, staying close until 1f out before weakening, suggesting she ran better than the distance beaten indicates.
  • Pace: Rated as one of the likeliest to benefit tactically from a weak pace.
  • Fitness/Progression: Capable of better and should be seen to better effect with race fitness.
  • Class: Costly purchase from a fast family.
  • Trainer: Her trainer, William Haggas, has a 22% strike rate with sprinters and 24% in mid-season.
  • Overall: Promising with potential to step forward, could travel well.
• CALLING A STAR (2yo, 9-2, TFR 86):
  • Form: Showed significant improvement from debut when fourth at York, displaying sharper tactical speed and sticking on gamely.
  • Pace: Suits her prominent running style in a race with less depth and pace.
  • Fitness/Progression: A “progressive” and “reliable type” with further improvement possible.
  • Overall: On the upgrade; well drawn and should be prominent.
• DARK ANGEL STAR (IRE) (2yo, 9-2, TFR 85):
  • Form: No prior form.
  • Pedigree: Well-related, being a sister to smart winners Rhythm Master and Midnight Affair. Her sire, Dark Angel (IRE), has a high number of progeny winning on flat debut (94).
  • Fitness/Progression: From a yard known for readying debutants. However, greenness may count against her in the weak pace forecast.
  • Overall: Bred to be useful; risk of inexperience in a tactical race.
• GOLDIE BEAR (IRE) (2yo, 9-2, TFR 77p):
  • Form: Modest form, but was “not knocked about” in her debut and is quietly shaping with promise. Her Tfigs (Timeform figures) are improving.
  • Pace: The expected steady pace should favour her sustained galloping style.
  • Fitness/Progression: “Likely to progress further”.
  • Overall: Quietly progressing; could pick up pieces.
• HELLCAT (2yo, 9-2, TFR 73):
  • Form: Shaped better on second start, finishing third at Thirsk and keeping on well.
  • Pace: Expected to be suited by 6f.
  • Overall: Likely flattered last time; may be outpaced early again.
• RUM THERAPY (IRE) (2yo, 9-2, TFR 70):
  • Form: Showed more on her second start, finishing third at Beverley.
  • Overall: Best watched on what she’s shown.
• SHES GOT THE BLUES (IRE) (2yo, 9-2, TFR 62):
  • Form: Very green on debut at Beverley.
  • Overall: Needs to improve considerably.

Private Tissue Estimate:

• Golden Palace – 15/8
• Calling A Star – 3/1
• Berlinetta – 4/1
• Dark Angel Star – 7/1
• Goldie Bear – 12/1
• Hellcat – 16/1
• Rum Therapy – 25/1
• Shes Got The Blues – 33/1

ChatGPT Smart Plays:

• Win Selection: GOLDEN PALACE – she sets the standard, is tactically advantaged in this novice race, and looked well above average on debut. She should get a favourable run from a handy position.
• Each-Way Saver: GOLDIE BEAR – shows signs of improvement and offers value as an each-way angle, especially if she gets a tow into the race.

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14:00 YORK – Sky Bet Dash Handicap (Class 2) – 6f – Good to Soft

Pace & Draw Angles:
This race is forecast to have a very strong pace, with many confirmed front-runners such as JUNGLE DRUMS, KORKER, SOPHIA’S STARLIGHT, SERGEANT WILKO, and ALMARADA PRINCE. This aggressive tempo should strongly favour hold-up or mid-pack runners who can deliver a late challenge. There is a notable strong low-draw bias, with stalls 1–7 significantly favoured, while high numbers face a tactical and positional disadvantage.

Runner Comments:

• STRIKE RED (IRE) (7yo, 9-2, TFR 116):
  • Form: Displayed fluent travelling and late promise in a similarly structured race last time. His Timeform figures (Tfigs 99, 111) indicate he is in good form. He traded below half his starting Betfair SP when beaten last time.
  • Pace: A hold-up horse perfectly suited to this pace-heavy scenario, thriving off a pace collapse.
  • Draw: Drawn in stall 20. The previous analyst noted “very well drawn in stall 20”, however, this contradicts the stated strong low-draw bias. His predicted strategy is to track the burn-up before pouncing.
  • Class: A useful handicapper.
  • Overall: Proven and in form, with an ideal race set-up for his closing style.
• ELMONJED (IRE) (4yo, 9-6, TFR 114):
  • Form: Comes off a close second last time and has a previous win over Strike Red.
  • Pace: Tactically versatile.
  • Draw: Draw 10 is considered “fine”.
  • Overall: A York course specialist who thrives here, strong in the finish, and still has upside.
• JUBILEE WALK (4yo, 9-11, TFR 110):
  • Form: Showed improved form on return at Chester despite being caught wide.
  • Draw: Drawn ideally in stall 5 to tuck in and pounce.
  • Fitness/Progression: Low-mileage and likely to improve further, especially given his trainer’s success with horses second-up after breathing operations.
  • Overall: A progressive, low-mileage, and well-drawn improver, with a peak run possible.
• TOYOTOMI (FR) (4yo, 9-12, TFR 108+):
  • Form: A French Listed winner with genuine pattern form from a Group 3 effort, handling 6f with ease.
  • Trainer: Now with David O’Meara, who has won this race twice previously.
  • Pace: Could slot into mid-pack and stalk the speed.
  • Overall: Pattern-class form; dangerous to ignore, especially on first run for new yard.
• ARCTIC THUNDER (IRE) (4yo, 8-12, TFR 115+):
  • Form: Ran better than the bare result last time, encountering a rough trip. Prior speed figures (FS% 115) were excellent.
  • Draw: Drawn in stall 21. The previous analyst noted he “will get cover”, but this is a high draw and goes against the strong low-draw bias.
  • Overall: Needs luck in running but possesses raw ability and strong underlying form.
• KORKER (IRE) (6yo, 9-10, TFR 115):
  • Form: Respectable eighth in the Wokingham Stakes last time, staying on well despite hanging right.
  • Draw: Drawn wide in stall 18.
  • Overall: Capable, but wide draw and tendency to be awkward at the start are concerns.
• ALZAHIR (FR) (6yo, 9-10, TFR 112):
  • Form: In red-hot form this season with multiple wins.
  • Pace: Usually races prominently.
  • Overall: In red-hot form but risks getting swamped if he over-races early.
• POCKLINGTON (4yo, 9-4, TFR 115):
  • Form: Excellent short-head second last time after a 10-month layoff.
  • Draw: Drawn in stall 7. The previous analyst noted “high draw”, which is contradictory to the overall strong low-draw bias favoring stalls 1-7.
  • Equipment: Ran with visor previously, but analyst notes “Visor off”.
  • Overall: May have peaked in his last run.
• ALEEZDANCER (IRE) (6yo, 9-0, TFR 113):
  • Form: Won at York and Pontefract last time, making all.
  • Draw: Drawn in stall 2. The previous analyst noted “draw and scenario not ideal”, which contradicts the strong low-draw bias favoring stalls 1-7.
  • Overall: On a recovery arc but draw and scenario for him are not ideal.
• INDIAN RUN (IRE) (4yo, 9-3, TFR 114):
  • Form: A late runner with solid figures.
  • Overall: Needs to settle in his races.
• SERGEANT WILKO (IRE) (4yo, 9-3, TFR 114):
  • Form: A front-runner who won four times in 2024 and was a respectable fifth last time.
  • Overall: Likely to be involved in the early pace burn-up.
• JUNGLE DRUMS (IRE) (Pace Map entry 0.000 0.006 0.018 0.456 0.520):
  • Overall: Confirmed front-runner.
• SOPHIA’S STARLIGHT (FR) (5yo, 9-4, TFR 114):
  • Form: Won handicaps at Newmarket and Pontefract in 2024, usually leads.
  • Overall: Confirmed front-runner.
• ALMARADA PRINCE (IRE) (4yo, 8-7, TFR 111):
  • Form: Won at Wolverhampton in 2024, but very slowly away and well below form last time.
  • Overall: Confirmed front-runner.

Private Tissue Estimate:

• Strike Red – 6/1
• Elmonjed – 13/2
• Jubilee Walk – 13/2
• Arctic Thunder – 10/1
• Toyotomi – 11/1
• Alzahir – 12/1
• The field – 14/1 bar

ChatGPT Smart Plays:

• Win Selection: STRIKE RED – he is ideally profiled for this race’s strong pace setup, thrives off a pace collapse, and comes in good form. While his draw in stall 20 is high relative to the bias, his closing style should mitigate this.
• Each-Way Saver: JUBILEE WALK – reappeared with style, is drawn ideally in a low stall (5), and is primed for a big run as a low-mileage improver.

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14:40 YORK – Sky Bet York Stakes (Group 2) – 1m2f56y – Good to Soft

Pace & Draw Angles:
An even gallop is forecast, with no single habitual front-runner identified. BAY CITY ROLLER and STANHOPE GARDENS are most likely to race prominently. ALMAQAM is tactically versatile and can track or lead. This balanced tempo should make it a fair test, not disadvantaging any particular running style. ALMAQAM is specifically noted as likely to overcome any pace scenario. With only 7 runners over this turning 10f+ trip at York, the draw is neutral and has no tactical bearing.

Runner Comments:

• ALMAQAM (4yo, 9-8, TFR 132):
  • Form: A high-class and “likeable type”. Won the Group 3 Brigadier Gerard Stakes stylishly at Sandown by 1¾ lengths, confirming himself a high-class operator. His form has been “strongly boosted”.
  • Pace: Tactically versatile, able to track or lead, and expected to overcome any pace scenario.
  • Fitness/Class: Adjusted TFR of 132 marks him as the one to beat, indicating he’s a “genuine Group 1 horse in the making”.
  • Ground: Acts on soft going.
  • Overall: Peak performer, handles ground, possesses the best form in the field, and is tactically flexible. The standout and clear standard-setter.
• STANHOPE GARDENS (IRE) (3yo, 8-13, TFR 122p):
  • Form: Ran a “big race” in the Derby (fifth), making a promising sustained move before fading, confirming top-level potential.
  • Pace: One of the most likely to race prominently.
  • Fitness/Progression: Still learning and “remains capable of better”. Dropping to 10f should suit his current stamina base. From a yard in “flying form”.
  • Overall: Classy 3yo with more to come; a major player who can build on his Derby performance.
• BAY CITY ROLLER (IRE) (3yo, 8-13, TFR 120):
  • Form: Unbeaten in 2024 prior to a close second in the Group 2 Prix Eugene Adam in France last time. Proved he can compete at Group 2 level.
  • Pace: One of the most likely to race prominently. The even pace should be ideal, and his tactical speed makes him dangerous. He may get an uncontested lead.
  • Fitness/Progression: Rapidly improving and on a “clear upward curve”.
  • Overall: Solid G2 second, versatile, but might lack the raw gears/turn of foot of the top two.
• ROYAL CHAMPION (IRE) (6yo, 9-8, TFR 124):
  • Form: A “smart performer” who won the Winter Derby (G3). Ran well in the Gordon Richards Stakes but was outclassed at Royal Ascot.
  • Overall: Reliable G3 operator, honest and consistent, but vulnerable to improvers and likely lacks the extra gear at this level.
• GREEN IMPACT (IRE) (4yo, 9-8, TFR 123):
  • Form: Ran creditably in the Irish Derby and Listed company before that.
  • Pace: May be sent forward.
  • Fitness/Progression: Still a work in progress and lightly raced.
  • Overall: Stamina-heavy profile; the drop to 10f might test his pace, but he’s good enough to stay in contention for a place.
• ECUREUIL SECRET (FR) (4yo, 9-8, TFR 123):
  • Form: Posted a smart handicap win at Epsom but disappointed at Royal Ascot.
  • Overall: Unexposed, but his class ceiling may be below G2 level, needing a career best to figure prominently.
• CERTAIN LAD (9yo, 9-8, TFR 121):
  • Form: Admirably consistent and won Listed/Group 3 races in 2024. However, he has consistently been found out at Group 2 level in 2025.
  • Pace: Usually a front-runner. Could help ensure an even tempo.
  • Overall: An admirable veteran, but firmly exposed at this level and likely vulnerable to younger, more progressive types.

Private Tissue Estimate:

• Almaqam – 4/5
• Stanhope Gardens – 7/2
• Bay City Roller – 11/2
• Royal Champion – 14/1
• Green Impact – 16/1
• Ecureuil Secret – 20/1
• Certain Lad – 25/1

ChatGPT Smart Plays:

• Win Selection: ALMAQAM – he is the top-rated horse, has proven himself at this level and beyond, and is tactically versatile. His Brigadier Gerard win has been strongly franked, making him the standout contender.
• Next Best: STANHOPE GARDENS – a classy 3yo who shaped remarkably well in the Derby and holds significant scope for further improvement. He drops in trip with a clear chance.

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15:50 YORK – Sky Bet, For The Fans Handicap (Class 3) – 1m 3f 188y – Good to Soft

Pace & Draw Angles:
The forecast predicts a weak pace, indicating a tactical affair where early positioning will be crucial. Horses close to the speed are likely to benefit. Hold-up runners like CREATIF and KILDARE LEGEND may be disadvantaged unless the tempo increases. There is no draw bias.

Runner Comments:

• CHILLINGHAM (IRE) (6yo, 10-2, TFR 101):
  • Form: A useful handicapper and “horse for course”. Was awarded a 12-runner event at York in June and ran a credible sixth in the Old Newton Cup last time. His form stacks up well.
  • Pace: His draw (5) and tactical pace are well-suited to this scenario.
  • Overall: Proven at the track, nicely weighted, and ideally drawn for a tactical race.
• KILDARE LEGEND (IRE) (4yo, 9-11, TFR 102):
  • Form: A progressive and useful handicapper, he improved to finish a neck second last time at Haydock. He has a history of trading at a low in-running price when beaten.
  • Pace: A switch to positive tactics almost paid off last time. However, a slow pace could hinder him unless the race turns out faster than expected.
  • Overall: Progressive profile and eye-catching latest run, but needs a proper pace to truly shine.
• PER CONTRA (IRE) (4yo, 9-4, TFR 103):
  • Form: A fairly useful handicapper who has been consistent, placing in his last three starts.
  • Draw: Drawn ideally in stall 2.
  • Overall: Reliable, goes on the ground, and well-positioned to get the first run in a steady gallop.
• L’EAGLE AID (IRE) (4yo, 8-13, TFR 101):
  • Form: A fairly useful handicapper who has hit a personal best in his last two starts, including a win at Newcastle and being awarded a race at Chester.
  • Trainer: Trainer Charlie Johnston is in “red-hot form”.
  • Pace: Can race prominently.
  • Overall: Thriving and promising, especially if the pace picks up sufficiently.
• DARK MOON RISING (IRE) (6yo, 9-8, TFR 98):
  • Form: Won this specific race in 2023. Ran creditably in the John Smith’s Cup last time, indicating he might be coming back into form despite previous underperformance this year.
  • Overall: A course winner who could bounce back, but hard to trust given recent form.
• ALBANY (5yo, 9-12, TFR 100):
  • Form: Won at Nottingham in 2024 but likely needed her last run after a 6-month break.
  • Fitness: Shaped as if in need of the run last time.
  • Ground: Ground is no issue.
  • Overall: Talented but fragile, capable if she returns to her best form.
• CREATIF (IRE) (4yo, 9-10, TFR 102):
  • Form: A useful handicapper who won at Newcastle and placed at Hamilton and Redcar in spring. His stamina for longer trips was questioned last time.
  • Pace: Identified as a hold-up horse, he is a “big-finisher type” who might be disadvantaged by a steady tempo.
• INTINSO (5yo, 9-9, TFR N/A):
  • Form: Well held in the Northumberland Plate last time, having been ridden too aggressively.
  • Overall: Very risky given his poor latest effort, despite previous useful form.
• BEYLERBEYI (5yo, 8-11, TFR 99):
  • Form: A fairly useful handicapper who recently showed improved form to finish third at York.
  • Pace: Usually starts slowly and races off pace.
  • Overall: Solid recent third, but needs to improve further to contend for a win.

Private Tissue Estimate:

• Kildare Legend – 10/3
• Chillingham – 9/2
• Per Contra – 5/1
• L’Eagle Aid – 6/1
• Albany – 10/1
• Creatif – 10/1
• Dark Moon Rising – 12/1
• Beylerbeyi – 16/1
• Intinso – 33/1

ChatGPT Smart Plays:

• Win Selection: CHILLINGHAM – he is course-proven, tactically sound for a slow pace, and comes into the race off a good effort. He has already shown high-level form at York and can handle a steadily run affair.
• Each-Way Saver: PER CONTRA – consistently runs well, is drawn to secure a prime tactical position, and has been very reliable this year, making him an excellent each-way prospect.

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16:25 York – Sky Bet Go-Racing-In-Yorkshire Summer Festival Handicap (Class 4) – 7f 192y – Good to Soft

Pace & Draw Angles:
The pace forecast is very strong, which is atypical for this trip and track where prominent racers usually have the upper hand. This suggests a frenetic early gallop that will favour strong-travelling, patiently-ridden types. There is a strong draw bias against high numbers, with low-to-mid draws historically favoured.

Runner Comments:

• COSMOS RAJ (7yo, 9-8, TFR 93):
  • Form: In “flying form,” having recently scored at Ripon with a strong time figure.
  • Pace: Ideally suited by a collapse of pace. Tends to travel powerfully and has a solid record over 1m.
  • Draw: Well drawn in stall 10 to stalk the burn-up.
  • Trainer: Comes from a yard in form.
  • Overall: Trip and ground ideal, well-drawn, and poised to be played late for a win.
• DRIFTS AWAY (TFR 94) (Draw 17 in betting forecast):
  • Form: Possesses a “potent finishing kick”. His form ties in with higher-rated horses, indicating class.
  • Draw: His wide draw is a significant concern.
  • Overall: A classy hold-up type who may benefit from the rapid early fractions, but needs luck from his wide stall.
• BELLARCHI (IRE) (4yo, 9-7, TFR 94):
  • Form: A recent winner at Catterick and in good form.
  • Pace: Tactically versatile, travels well, and has stamina for further.
  • Draw: Drawn low in stall 7.
  • Overall: Proven, well-placed, thriving, and can contend if she avoids traffic.
• YAASER (IRE) (7yo, 9-9, TFR 93):
  • Form: A strong finisher who had excuses when third in a big field at Ayr. Has course form.
  • Pace: Needs a pace collapse to perform at his best.
  • Overall: Well-weighted and in good form, but reliant on a strong pace and needs gaps to appear.
• MUDAMER (IRE) (6yo, 9-5, TFR 93):
  • Form: A consistent “grinder” this term, with a good effort last time at Pontefract.
  • Draw: Well drawn in stall 4.
  • Overall: Might outrun his odds, capable of sitting handy and benefiting if the early pace collapses.
• BILLYB (FR) (6yo, 9-9, TFR 95):
  • Form: A fairly useful handicapper whose recent third at Doncaster franked the form.
  • Draw: From the inside gate (1), he can sit tight.
  • Overall: Holds good finishing speed, but can get outpaced mid-race.
• CHUZZLEWIT (5yo, 8-13, TFR 94):
  • Form: Ran better than the bare result last time, visually showing more than his numbers suggest.
  • Draw: Wide draw in stall 19 is a concern.
  • Overall: On the cusp of a good performance, with an upgradeable profile, but hampered by the wide draw.
• NORTHBOUND (IRE) (7yo, 8-7, TFR 94):
  • Form: His form is rebounding, and he shaped with purpose last time.
  • Draw: Another with a wide draw (20) that will hurt his chances.
  • Overall: A finisher with upside, dangerous late if the field spreads out due to the pace.
• MR MISTOFFELEES (TFR 89) (Draw 16 in betting forecast):
  • Form: A reliable and honest type who consistently hits the frame.
  • Overall: Not a flashy winner, but offers consistent place claims if the race collapses as expected.
• MR KING (IRE) (5yo, 9-9, TFR 97):
  • Form: Useful handicapper, but has been below form recently at York. The very strong pace forecast is expected to work in his favour.
  • Overall: Needs everything to fall right from his mid-draw (6).
• ATA RANGI (IRE) (4yo, 9-9, TFR 95):
  • Form: Fairly useful performer, won a handicap in April, but showed little impression last time. Usually races prominently.
• TELE RED (8yo, 9-1, TFR 93):
  • Form: Fairly useful handicapper, recently ran up to his best when second at Ripon.
• MASTER OF COMBAT (IRE) (7yo, 9-1, TFR 89):
  • Form: Fairly useful handicapper, won at Wolverhampton in 2024, but shaped as if better for a run last time after a 4-month layoff.
• BOWOOD (5yo, 9-0, TFR 92):
  • Form: Fairly useful handicapper, did well to finish third last time despite being slowly away.
• SIAM FOX (IRE) (7yo, 8-12, TFR 94):
  • Form: Fair handicapper, good third last time in an apprentices’ event.
• KING CHAOS (IRE) (4yo, 8-12, TFR 95):
  • Form: Fair handicapper, won a minor event in 2024, but below form last time. Often starts slowly and races off pace.
• PERSEVERANTS (FR) (7yo, 9-7, TFR 93):
  • Form: Fairly useful handicapper who won in 2024 but has been below form in both subsequent starts.

Private Tissue Estimate:

• Cosmos Raj – 13/2
• Bellarchi – 8/1
• Drifts Away – 8/1
• Yaaser – 9/1
• Mudamer – 10/1
• Billyb – 12/1
• Chuzzlewit – 14/1
• Mr Mistoffelees – 16/1
• Northbound – 16/1
• The Rest – 20/1+

ChatGPT Smart Plays:

• Win Selection: COSMOS RAJ – a strong-travelling miler who is in excellent form and ideally drawn to strike late in what is expected to be a fast-run race. His stable is also thriving.
• Each-Way Saver: BELLARCHI (IRE) – a progressive filly who is tactically flexible and arrives in good form. She is very well positioned from her low draw (7) to benefit from the pace scenario.

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17:00 York – Sky Bet Extra Places Every Day Handicap (Class 4) – 7f – Good to Soft

Pace & Draw Angles:
An extremely strong pace is forecast, with multiple pace-forcers in the field like Chesneys Charm and Pearly Squirrel. This should cause the race to collapse late, heavily favouring hold-up horses with track craft and a potent turn of foot. While no official draw bias is stated, York’s 7f typically favours middle-to-low draws when the pace is strong. The pace is expected to harm CAIRDEAS’s chances while benefiting LEVER UP.

Runner Comments:

• LEVER UP (3yo, 8-12, TFR 95):
  • Form: A “fair maiden” who produced a very encouraging 1¼ length second in a handicap last time at Hamilton, wearing a first-time visor. Has “caught the eye with the way he’s moved through his races”.
  • Pace: The strong pace forecast will suit him, making him a strong finisher.
  • Draw: Ideally drawn in stall 1 to stalk the pace.
  • Equipment: Retains the visor, which seemed to have a positive effect.
  • Overall: A promising contender with solid claims for a breakthrough win, well-suited to the conditions.
• KISSKODI (IRE) (3yo, 9-8, TFR 93):
  • Form: A “fairly useful handicapper” who has rattled off a hat-trick of wins, including his latest at Epsom in strong style.
  • Fitness: Carries a penalty, but is thriving.
  • Ground: Handles all ground.
  • Draw: His wide-ish draw in stall 13 is not ideal, but his tactical versatility helps.
  • Overall: In hot form and the penalty is manageable, but the wide draw slightly tempers enthusiasm.
• MYSTICAL STORM (3yo, 9-5, TFR 91) (Draw 4 in pace map):
  • Form: Lightly raced and won with plenty in hand at Chepstow.
  • Pace: His prominent running style is “slightly at odds with the expected collapse,” but he could sit just behind the leaders and pounce.
  • Overall: Improving and well drawn, but faces some risk from the pace burn-up.
• BRAVE BYREFLECTION (IRE) (3yo, 9-7, TFR 93):
  • Form: A “fairly useful handicapper” who won impressively last time at Chepstow, making all. Showed previous promise and confirmed it.
  • Draw: Well drawn in stall 3.
  • Overall: Competitive and gritty, with a low draw ideal for exploiting the likely late chaos.
• PIETRO (IRE) (3yo, 9-4, TFR 92):
  • Form: A “fairly useful handicapper” who has been building a solid record, including a recent win at Brighton. Has a genuine 7f profile.
  • Draw: Drawn wide in stall 17.
  • Overall: Will need the race to pan out perfectly from his wide gate, but not to be dismissed.
• U SURE DO (IRE) (3yo, 9-8, TFR 89):
  • Form: Showed “fairly useful form”. Was just behind the principals last time out and is a staying-on type. Has only raced at 6f, so this is a step up in trip.
  • Trainer: His trainer excels with these types.
  • Overall: A sneaky, unexposed angle with pedigree to enjoy further, but needs to lift his TFR.
• GREEN PURSUIT (IRE) (3yo, 9-4, TFR 93):
  • Form: A “fairly useful handicapper” whose best efforts have come with a strong pace to chase. Fared best of those held up last time.
  • Pace: The extreme pace forecast will play to his strengths. He is “very unlikely to take up a prominent position” and likely to trade higher in-running when successful.
  • Overall: Capable on his day, with a slight class drop being a bonus. A market move for him would be significant.
• GOLDEN REDEMPTION (3yo, 9-0, TFR N/A):
  • Form: Produced a career best on her UK debut.
  • Overall: Her stamina and tactical speed profile fit the race, but she needs to back up her last run.
• EAZY ON THE EYE (3yo, 9-0, TFR N/A):
  • Form: Faced a massive ask last time at Ascot.
  • Overall: Could find this easier; a potential stayer at 7f who might pop up if the race falls apart.
• MONOTONE (IRE) (3yo, 9-9, TFR 93):
  • Form: Fairly useful performer, but has been below form recently. Best form on soft/heavy going.
• NAINA (3yo, 9-7, TFR N/A):
  • Form: Fairly useful performer, won multiple races in 2024, but well held in handicaps this year. Usually front runner/races prominently.
• CAIRDEAS (3yo, 9-4, TFR N/A):
  • Pace: The forecast very strong pace is predicted to harm his chances.
• CHESNEYS CHARM (3yo, 9-1, TFR 91):
  • Pace: Identified as a pace-forcer. Also noted for being slowly away in recent outings.
• FAN MAIL (3yo, 9-1, TFR 92):
  • Form: Fair performer, won maiden in February, but below form in his last three starts.
• PEARLY SQUIRREL (IRE) (3yo, 8-11, TFR 93):
  • Pace: Identified as a pace-forcer. Won recently at Doncaster.
• TUSCAN POINT (IRE) (3yo, 8-7, TFR 90):
  • Form: Fair maiden, ran respectably last time but did “too much too soon”. Usually races off pace.
• EAZY ON THE EYE (3yo, 8-7, TFR N/A):
  • Form: Fair maiden, second in a handicap in April.

Private Tissue Estimate:

• Lever Up – 6/1
• Kisskodi – 7/1
• Mystical Storm – 8/1
• Brave Byreflection – 10/1
• Pietro – 11/1
• U Sure Do – 12/1
• Green Pursuit – 14/1
• Golden Redemption – 16/1
• Others – 20/1+

ChatGPT Smart Plays:

• Win Selection: LEVER UP – he is perfectly placed in stall 1 with a strong late kick, and the extreme pace forecast plays directly into his hands. He looks ready for a breakthrough win.
• Each-Way Saver: BRAVE BYREFLECTION (IRE) – her low draw and gritty, staying style make her an excellent each-way prospect, as she is well-suited to exploiting the likely late chaos in this race.

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Based on the Timeform Race Pass data, here are the horses that demonstrate a combination of high Finishing Speed Percentage (FS%), high Timeform Figure (Tfig), and high Timeform Rating (TFR) in their recent performances. These metrics collectively indicate a strong finishing effort, strong overall performance ability, and a high assessment of their talent by Timeform.

Here is a list of horses meeting these criteria across today’s card:

• 13:25 York – EBF Fillies’ Novice Stakes (3)
  • GOLDEN PALACE
    • FS%: 104.4 from her winning debut at Beverley.
    • Tfig: 73 from the same race, which is a strong figure for a juvenile novice.
    • TFR: 88p, indicating a high rating with significant potential for further improvement.
  • CALLING A STAR
    • FS%: 102.9 from her fourth-place finish at York.
    • Tfig: 73 from the same race, showing a high level of performance.
    • TFR: 86, a high rating for a novice in this class.
• 14:00 York – Sky Bet Dash Handicap (2)
  • TOYOTOMI (FR)
    • FS%: 106 from his fourth-place finish in a Group 3 at Deauville.
    • Tfig: 108 from the same Group 3 race.
    • TFR: 108+, indicating a high Timeform Rating and potential for more.
  • ALZAHIR (FR)
    • FS%: 109 from his Ascot win on 12 July.
    • Tfig: 107 from the same Ascot win.
    • TFR: 112, showcasing his very strong performance level.
  • KORKER (IRE)
    • FS%: 109 from his Wokingham Stakes run at Royal Ascot.
    • Tfig: 104 from the Wokingham Stakes.
    • TFR: 115, marking him as a high-class handicapper.
  • ARCTIC THUNDER (IRE)
    • FS%: 115 from his second-place finish at Haydock, noted for his “excellent speed figures prior”.
    • Tfig: 98+ from the Haydock race, indicating a strong performance with upside.
    • TFR: 114+, a very high rating suggesting he is on the verge of a peak.
  • STRIKE RED (IRE)
    • FS%: 103 from his recent fifth-place finish at Hamilton.
    • Tfig: 99 from the Hamilton race.
    • TFR: 116, a high rating for a useful handicapper.
  • ROCK OPERA
    • FS%: 100 from her seventh-place finish at York.
    • Tfig: 107 from the same York race.
    • TFR: 111, indicating a strong performance despite the placing and a solid rating for a useful handicapper.
• 14:40 York – Sky Bet York Stakes (Group 2)
  • ALMAQAM
    • FS%: 99.9 from his Brigadier Gerard Stakes win, which is very close to the 100% threshold, indicating an efficient finish.
    • Tfig: 127 from the same win.
    • TFR: 132, a commanding figure that makes him the top-rated horse in the race by a significant margin, described as a “high-class performer” and a “genuine Group 1 horse in the making”.
  • BAY CITY ROLLER (IRE)
    • FS%: 113 from his Group 2 second-place finish at Saint-Cloud.
    • Tfig: 120 from the same race.
    • TFR: 120, marking him as a smart performer.
  • STANHOPE GARDENS (IRE)
    • FS%: 109.9 from his fifth-place finish in the Derby at Epsom.
    • Tfig: 112 from the Derby.
    • TFR: 122p, denoting a high rating with clear potential for further progression.
• 15:20 York – Sky Bet “Jump Jockeys’ Nunthorpe” Handicap (4)
  • LOOKING FOR LYNDA (IRE)
    • FS%: 103 from his fourth-place finish at Haydock in September 2024.
    • Tfig: 65 from the Haydock race, considered strong for this handicap class.
    • TFR: Although not explicitly numerical in the immediate source, for a 0-80 handicap, a Tfig of 65 implies a high relative rating for the class.
  • AIR FORCE ONE (IRE)
    • FS%: 103.3 from a win at Navan in May 2024.
    • Tfig: 60 from the Navan win, considered a good figure for the class.
    • TFR: 64, a high rating for this handicap level.
  • COPPER KNIGHT (IRE)
    • FS%: 101.2 from his fourth-place finish at York on 11 July.
    • Tfig: 61 from the York race.
    • TFR: 62, a good rating for this class, especially for a “7-time course winner”.
  • FORTUNATE STAR (IRE)
    • FS%: 103.2 from his Haydock win earlier this month.
    • Tfig: 69+ from the Haydock win.
    • TFR: 60, while not numerically highest, is considered very competitive, with Timeform noting he is “clearly at the top of his game” and “unlucky not to win” last time.
• 16:25 York – Sky Bet Go-Racing-In-Yorkshire Summer Festival Handicap (4)
  • YAASER (IRE)
    • FS%: 102.7 from his Musselburgh win on 1 July.
    • Tfig: 87 from the Musselburgh win.
    • TFR: 93, a high rating for a fairly useful handicapper.
  • ALESSIA FERNANDA (IRE)
    • FS%: 113.2 from her win at Musselburgh in April.
    • Tfig: 84 from the Musselburgh win.
    • TFR: 90, a strong rating demonstrating her ability.
  • DRIFTS AWAY
    • FS%: 102.1 from his Yarmouth win in May.
    • Tfig: 91 from the Yarmouth win.
    • TFR: 94, indicating a high-quality performance level.
  • PERSEVERANTS (FR)
    • FS%: 103.7 from his Windsor win in April 2024.
    • Tfig: 81 from the Windsor win.
    • TFR: 93, a high rating for a fairly useful handicapper.
  • NORTHBOUND (IRE)
    • FS%: 101.1 from his third-place finish at Wolverhampton in June.
    • Tfig: 87 from the Wolverhampton race.
    • TFR: 94, a high rating for a horse described as “horse in focus”.
• 17:00 York – Sky Bet Extra Places Every Day Handicap (4)
  • KISSKODI (IRE)
    • FS%: 109.9 from his recent win at Epsom.
    • Tfig: 91 from the Epsom win.
    • TFR: 93, a high rating for a “fairly useful handicapper” who has secured a hat-trick of wins.
  • BRAVE BYREFLECTION (IRE)
    • FS%: 104.7 from her win at Chepstow on 11 July.
    • Tfig: 66 from the Chepstow win.
    • TFR: 93, a high rating for a fairly useful handicapper. While the Tfig is lower, her high TFR indicates overall quality within the context of her class.
  • CAIRDEAS
    • FS%: 101 from his fourth-place finish at Newmarket in June.
    • Tfig: 86 from the Newmarket race.
    • TFR: 93, a strong rating for a useful performer.
  • EAZY ON THE EYE
    • FS%: 101.6 from his third-place finish at Sandown in June.
    • Tfig: 80 from the Sandown race.
    • TFR: 90, indicating a good level of performance.