Pace + Draw Angles:
Pace Forecast: Very Strong – There are multiple habitual front-runners (e.g. She’s Got Bottle, Keats House, Bazball), suggesting a sustained gallop is very likely.
Draw Bias: Strong low draw bias at this 1m start on good to firm – favouring inside stalls. Keats House (stall 2) and Testimonial (stall 4) are best drawn of the prominent racers.
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Contenders + Tactical Fit + Trends
Strongest Contender:
EEETEE (TFR 82) – Unpenalised for last Sunday’s Redcar win, where he tanked through and won by nearly 3 lengths in a field of 8. Strong gallop suits his style ideally, and this is a rare chance for a follow-up without a ratings hit. Ground fine, thrives in big fields, and has form on both fast and soft. Proven and back in peak form. Clear form pick.
Main Dangers:
LOUIE THE LEGEND (TFR 79) – Career-best win last time, beating a next-time-out winner, and travelled like a horse ahead of his mark. He’s a hold-up type and will be suited by this setup, but has a tricky mid-wide draw (9). Progressive.
TESTIMONIAL (TFR 75) – Meets ideal conditions (strong pace, low draw, drying ground). Got caught up in traffic at Ripon last time and deserves marking up. Wetherby 2nd has worked out, and he’s lightly raced for this yard. Promising.
Interesting Outsiders:
KEATS HOUSE (TFR 72) – Consistent recently, a strong-travelling front-runner with stall 2, and likely to get the run of things for as long as he can resist the pace collapse. Ground ideal. May hold on for a place. Proven, though slightly vulnerable late.
PROJECT GEOFIN (TFR 77) – Needs to bounce back, but Timeform Smart Stat angle (profit when trainer runs just one on card) and return to Pontefract offer hope. Will be finishing, but drawn wide and must settle early. Unexposed at 1m here.
ARKENSTAAR (TFR 73) – Better than bare result at Ayr and Hamilton. Often keen, but if held onto early could sneak into minor money. Capable of better, though yard has cooled.
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Runner Scores and Suitability
Eeetee: 8.5/10 – Unpenalised winner; strong pace and ground ideal.
Louie The Legend: 8/10 – Improving; will be suited if delivered late.
Testimonial: 7.5/10 – Unlucky last time; track/trip/ground sweet spot.
Keats House: 7/10 – In-form and drawn well; likely to get first run.
Arkenstaar: 6.5/10 – Potentially well treated; might benefit from race collapse.
Project Geofin: 6.5/10 – Stats angle and ability to stay; must settle.
Lovette: 6/10 – Maiden winner last time but soft early pace helped.
Super Hit: 5.5/10 – Inconsistent but down in class; hard to trust.
Anjo Bonita: 5/10 – Patchy; drying ground a slight plus.
She’s Got Bottle: 4/10 – Won here last year but pace collapse against her.
Bazball: 3/10 – Needs major revival; weak recent finish.
Advice: “Keep an eye on the market for support or big drifts for runners returning from layoffs of 90+ days.”
“Watch out for in-form sprinters returning quickly; they can be hot.”
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Each-Way Angles (11 Runners)
TESTIMONIAL – Strongly run race, good draw, upgrade on last run.
LOUIE THE LEGEND – Peaking at right time and tactically suited.
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Private Tissue Estimate:
Eeetee – 5/2
Louie The Legend – 9/2
Testimonial – 6/1
Keats House – 15/2
Arkenstaar – 10/1
Project Geofin – 11/1
Lovette – 12/1
Others – 16/1+
Market watch advised for runners making their 2nd start.
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Summary & Smart Play
This is a tactically loaded contest where the very strong pace will count heavily against front-runners and reward efficient finishers. Eeetee stands out as the most solid option, being unpenalised for a clear-cut win, tactically suited, and in top form. Louie The Legend and Testimonial are both strong place contenders with the right race shape and improving profiles.
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Smart Play
Win Bet: EEETEE (Unpenalised improver with ideal race conditions)
Each-Way Saver: TESTIMONIAL (Cried out for pace collapse; drawn to attack late)
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14:25 Pontefract – Nick & Liz 40th Anniversary Handicap (Class 5, 1m6y, 0–70, Good to Firm in places)
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