15:47 Yarmouth – WINNING EXPERIENCE WITH MOULTON RACING CLASSIFIED STAKES (Class 6) – 1m 3f 104y (0–50) – Soft

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Pace Angles + Draw Angles:
This is forecast to be a weakly-run affair, with very little early pace among the field. Prominent racers tend to hold the advantage at this venue, especially under these conditions. Rolling Luck and Fen Tiger may have tactical leverage if ridden forward. The draw is not a notable factor over this trip at Yarmouth.


Strongest Contenders + Main Dangers + Interesting Outsiders + Trends/Timeform Comments

Strongest Contender – MARINAKIS (IRE)
Status: Proven
Was denied a clear run when finishing fourth in a near-identical contest here 12 days ago. That effort masked his merit; the sectional profile shows strong late gains. Has previously won in similar grade and is clearly effective at this trip. The Ian Williams yard remains in good form, and David Egan retains the ride.

Main Danger – ROLLING LUCK
Status: Promising
Has just five runs on the Flat and shaped with improvement last time, finishing second to Kilima in a race run to suit the winner. Closed from further back than ideal and ran straight through the line. The step back into softer conditions is of interest, and he remains relatively unexposed.

Interesting Outsider – FEN TIGER (IRE)
Status: Exposed but Reliable
Modest overall but consistently runs to a level in low-grade races. Fifth in the recent Yarmouth event but raced wider and without cover. Effective with cut in the ground and has more tactical flexibility than some. Place claims at bigger odds.

Trends/Timeform Notes:

  • Marinakis was unlucky latest; the reopposing Kilima and Rolling Luck both benefitted from better positioning.
  • Saxon Land is flagged as a potential pace beneficiary but continues to underperform and may need even slower fractions.
  • James Owen (trainer of Kilima and Saxon Land) has a good record with horses over 10f+.
  • Smart Stat: Simon Pearce (TRACKMAN) is +£47 to £1 level stakes with his sole runner at a Flat meeting.

Runner Scores and Suitability Analysis:

  • Marinakis (IRE): 8/10 – Well-suited to trip; unlucky last time; handles cut; top chance with better luck.
  • Rolling Luck: 7.5/10 – Unexposed; strong finish latest; soft ground unknown but open to further improvement.
  • Kilima: 7/10 – CD winner latest; well positioned that day; bit to prove on softer ground.
  • Wannabeawallaby (IRE): 6.5/10 – Repeated solid efforts; may find one or two better at the finish again.
  • Fen Tiger (IRE): 6/10 – Reliable type; track form okay; soft suits; lacks win threat.
  • Saxon Land (IRE): 5.5/10 – Outpaced of late but weak pace may help; hard to trust fully.
  • Maruna: 4.5/10 – Minor form; trip should suit, but stamina remains a question.
  • Bond Spirit: 4/10 – Not totally disgraced latest; not progressive; looks place material at best.
  • Trackman: 3.5/10 – Poor on turf; shape of race unlikely to suit; best efforts on AW.

Keep an eye on the market for support or big drifts for runners returning from layoffs of 90+ days.
Watch out for in-form stayers returning quickly; they can be hot.


Each-Way Angles (9 runners)

  • FEN TIGER – Proven in similar company; ground suits; could outrun odds for a place.
  • WANNABEAWALLABY – Solid profile in 0–50s; consistent and should be in the mix late on.

Private Tissue Estimate:

  • Marinakis (IRE) – 3/1
  • Rolling Luck – 4/1
  • Kilima – 5/1
  • Wannabeawallaby – 7/1
  • Fen Tiger – 10/1
  • Saxon Land – 12/1
  • Maruna – 14/1
  • Bond Spirit – 16/1
  • Trackman – 20/1

Market watch advised for runners making their 2nd start.


Summary + Professional Punter View (Smart Play)

This looks a tightly-knit Class 6 contest with several familiar rivals reopposing. The last race here on 16 July is a key piece of form, with Marinakis, Rolling Luck, Kilima and others emerging from it. Given a strongly-run race and better placement, Marinakis has a great chance to reverse form with Kilima, who had the run of things last time.

Smart Play:

  • Win – MARINAKIS – Unlucky latest; return to same venue gives chance to atone.
  • Each-Way – FEN TIGER – Ground, track and class conditions all suit; better than bare form.

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