Pace and Tactical Angles:

Pace Forecast: Strong. Several forward-goers likely to ensure a searching gallop.

Tactical Note: With an end-to-end pace anticipated, closers and strong stayers may benefit more than usual at this sharp track. Dalileo and Jack’s Jury appeal from that perspective, while habitual front-runner Gold Link may face pressure that blunts his usual advantage.



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Contenders and Tactical Fit

Strongest Contenders:

GOLD LINK (112 TFR) – Dual-purpose performer showing signs of life again; latest Fontwell second in a novice (at the trip) was a step back in the right direction. However, effectiveness dips when made to work hard early, which is likely here. Proven but vulnerable under pace pressure.

CHILLHI (111x TFR) – Flat-fit, capable, but temperament a concern. Pulled up latest over hurdles but arrives off a strong Flat run and gets a first-time visor. Sean Bowen booked. Promising but risky.



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Main Dangers:

DALILEO (109 TFR) – Comes from off the pace, which suits today’s shape. Won penultimate start at Perth (23.9f) and third there latest behind a subsequent winner. Consistent for this grade. Proven stayer with strong profile.

JACK’S JURY (108 TFR) – Lightly raced and holding form well, placed last three starts over staying trips. Not many miles on the clock and should appreciate honest pace. Progressive and solid each-way proposition.



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Interesting Outsiders:

WILD NEPHIN (110 TFR) – Back over hurdles after poor chase tries. Won last hurdle start and this trip suits. Fair case to be made if returning to that level. Viable bounce-back profile.

PRESENT FAIR (107 TFR) – Dual winner this spring. Might find the early pressure too hot here unless allowed an easy lead, which seems unlikely. Gutsy but potentially outpaced late.



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Runner Scores and Suitability

Dalileo: 8/10 – Stays well, well-handicapped, suited by pace.

Jack’s Jury: 7.5/10 – Lightly raced, unexposed stayer, could be progressive.

Gold Link: 7.5/10 – Solid recent effort, but pace might compromise his tactics.

Chillhi: 7/10 – Talented on Flat, question mark over temperament and fluency.

Wild Nephin: 6.5/10 – Return to hurdles could spark revival.

Present Fair: 6.5/10 – Front runner in strong pace field, danger of being softened up.

Esteban: 4.5/10 – Faller on return, needs more but has ability from France.

Beau Gold: 4.5/10 – Interesting pedigree but no signs of impact yet.

Dame Sarra: 4/10 – Breathing issues flagged; needs clean run to figure.

Jeepydoff Meel: 3.5/10 – Off form for a long time, hard to fancy.

Inoue: 3/10 – Poor form under both codes, unconvincing.

Leading Lion: 2.5/10 – No recent form.

Fenna’s Loss: 2/10 – In deep regression.


Advice: “Keep an eye on the market for support or big drifts for runners returning from layoffs of 90+ days.”
Also: “Watch out for in-form hurdlers reverting from chases, as they can re-spark.”


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Each-Way Angles (13 runners)

Jack’s Jury and Dalileo are both viable each-way bets in a wide-open race with a strong gallop likely to suit their profiles.



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Private Tissue Estimate

Gold Link – 4/1

Dalileo – 5/1

Chillhi – 11/2

Jack’s Jury – 6/1

Wild Nephin – 7/1

Present Fair – 15/2

Esteban – 14/1

Dame Sarra – 16/1

Beau Gold – 20/1

Jeepydoff Meel – 33/1

Inoue – 40/1

Leading Lion – 50/1

Fenna’s Loss – 66/1



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Summary and Smart Play

The race sets up for a strong-finishing type, with several exposed runners likely to cut each other up up front. Dalileo brings the right stamina, pace, and recent form profile to mount a serious challenge. Jack’s Jury, unexposed and consistent, is well worth a saver with the shape also in his favour.


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Smart Play

Win Bet: DALILEO – Suited by pace, recent form credible, value at likely odds.

Each-Way Saver: JACK’S JURY – Running into form, strong finisher, scope to improve.