Pace Angles + Draw Angles:
A strong pace is expected here, and that should favour those who can settle mid-to-rear and finish strongly, particularly on soft ground. There’s a low-draw bias over this 1m trip at Yarmouth, which further boosts Hinitsa Bay (stall 2) and Willow’s Kiss (stall 1). Front-runners may struggle to hold on if the gallop proves honest.

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Strongest Contenders + Main Dangers + Interesting Outsiders

• HINITSA BAY (IRE) – Proven & Improving
  Won a C&D handicap convincingly last time, doing so by 1½ lengths and shaping as though there was more to come. Well on top at the finish and now only 4 lb higher. The soft ground is a slight question mark (form all on quicker), but breeding and style suggest he’ll stay on it. Tactically versatile and drawn perfectly in stall 2.
• ROKUNI (IRE) – Progressive Profile
  Eye-catching figures in recent runs despite failing to land a blow. Regularly races behind the pace but has shown a consistent ability to close off strong fractions. Fast sectionals in previous efforts and remains lightly raced. Ideal setup today, especially if pace collapses. Drawn a bit wide in 11 but rider is skilled at slotting in.
• UNITED FORCE (IRE) – Proven C&D Winner
  Winner of division of this race in 2024. Form is patchy since, but he’s back under more suitable conditions (C&D, softer ground) and gets De Sousa in the plate. If bouncing back, he’s dangerous off current mark. Needs race to collapse late.

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Interesting Outsiders:

• BORDERLINE MADNESS – Unexposed Improver
  Good form at Beverley and Yarmouth in mid-pack finishes. Handles softer underfoot and stays the mile well. Drawn okay in 6, and may run into the frame with a patient ride.
• TYPEFACE – Handicap Debut
  Well-bred type (Wootton Bassett) now switching to handicaps. Very lightly raced and has shown little in novice/maiden company but steps up to suitable trip with first-time tongue tie. Drawn low in stall 8. Profile suggests there’s a fair chance of a jolt forward.

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Runner Scores and Suitability Analysis:

• Hinitsa Bay: 8.5/10 – Proven, tactically versatile, well drawn, course winner.
• Rokuni (IRE): 8/10 – Ticking upward, figures strong, right race shape.
• United Force (IRE): 7/10 – Inconsistent but C&D winner, gets soft again.
• Typeface: 6.5/10 – Very interesting as handicap debutant; well bred.
• Borderline Madness: 6.5/10 – Quiet improver; could be dangerous late.
• Willow’s Kiss: 5.5/10 – May find this test stretches her; better at 7f.
• Zaramara: 5/10 – Soft may help, but needs to improve her finish.
• Iftikhaar: 5/10 – Out of sorts; unconvincing profile.
• Eagle Landed: 4.5/10 – Returning from layoff; tough ask off break.
• Darlo Lady: 4/10 – Stays well but overall lacks finishing power.
• Primrose Maid: 3.5/10 – Tired finisher, may struggle in testing ground.
• Duffus Castle: 3/10 – Limited evidence; hard to fancy.

Keep an eye on the market for support or big drifts for runners returning from layoffs of 90+ days.
Watch out for in-form sprinters returning quickly – Hinitsa Bay returns just 19 days after win.

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Each-Way Angles (12 runners):

• Rokuni (IRE) – Reliable closer with good sectionals; strong pace suits.
• Typeface – Unexposed on handicap debut; significant upside.

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Private Tissue Estimate:

• Hinitsa Bay – 2/1
• Rokuni – 9/2
• United Force – 6/1
• Typeface – 10/1
• Borderline Madness – 11/1
• Zaramara – 14/1
• Willow’s Kiss – 14/1
• Eagle Landed – 16/1
• Darlo Lady – 20/1
• Iftikhaar – 20/1
• Primrose Maid – 25/1
• Duffus Castle – 33/1

Market watch advised for runners making their 2nd start.

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Summary + Professional Punter View (Smart Play):

This 0–52 contest features a few well-treated and progressive types amidst exposed runners. Hinitsa Bay is upwardly mobile and landed a similar event with authority. He remains fairly handicapped and well drawn for another bold showing. Rokuni brings strong pace-adjusted sectionals and is overdue a breakthrough. Typeface is a potential dark horse stepping up to this trip and into handicap company.

Smart Play:

• Win bet: Hinitsa Bay – Course winner, adaptable, improving.
• Each-way saver: Rokuni (IRE) – Well suited by pace, numbers favour a closer.