Pace Angles + Draw Angles:

A weak pace is forecast in this 11-runner low-grade handicap. Dingwall and Lights Go Down are most likely to track the pace, while several including Dwindling Funds and Transfuse are habitual hold-up horses who may struggle to get into it unless things collapse late. No draw bias to report over this trip at Ayr.

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Strongest Contenders + Main Dangers + Interesting Outsiders

• ZEBRA STAR (IRE) – Proven, In-Form
  In the form of her life, having won over C&D seven days ago with a decisive turn of foot. Sectionals show she was strong late, confirming effectiveness at 10f. Up 5 lb but not harshly treated considering how well she travelled. Unexposed at this trip and clearly thrives at Ayr (C&D record: 1st and 2nd in last two). Repeat of latest sees her go very close again.
• CISCO DISCO (IRE) – Reliable at this track
  Strong finisher who has run well in defeat on all three recent runs here. Often gets caught in traffic or races too far back, but showed strength late on last time when fourth in the same race as Zebra Star. Now slightly better drawn and in same form. Dangerous with clean run.
• DINGWALL – Lightly Raced, Back-Class
  Won at this course last year and shaped better than result in a strong pace-averse race last time. Holds a bit of back class and is well suited to this trip. Would benefit from a more even pace than forecast, but should sit handy.
• LIGHTS GO DOWN – Unexposed
  Only a 3yo, shaped nicely in handicaps at Leicester and Wetherby but flopped last time when pace didn’t suit. Sectionals show he’s much better when allowed to roll into a gallop. This slower-run race might help him control his rhythm mid-pack.

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Interesting Outsiders

• STRAYA (IRE) – Course Winner
  Won well over C&D two starts ago, though didn’t get the run of the race at Hamilton latest. Returning to this track could see her bounce back.
• SWEET KISS – Bred to stay
  Last run best ignored on soft ground over inadequate trip. Steps up to more suitable trip and trainer excels with 3yo fillies in Class 6.

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Runner Scores and Suitability Analysis:

• Zebra Star: 8.5/10 – Strong late effort last time; unexposed at trip; thriving at track.
• Cisco Disco: 7.5/10 – Reliable yardstick; may need luck in running; running well.
• Dingwall: 7/10 – Could benefit from more pace; still capable at this level.
• Lights Go Down: 7/10 – Scopey 3yo; needs race run to suit; pace helps.
• Straya: 6.5/10 – Back to her best track; forgiving Hamilton run.
• Sweet Kiss: 6/10 – Looks to be improving with distance; not dismissed.
• Dwindling Funds: 5/10 – Often too far back; needs perfect setup.
• Transfuse: 4.5/10 – Eyecatching pedigree but unreliable; may not stay.
• Ravenswell: 3/10 – Out of form and hard to support.
• Orient Lad: 2.5/10 – No signs of competitiveness.
• Uncle Liam: 2/10 – Unplaced in all runs; hard to fancy.

Keep an eye on the market for support or big drifts for runners returning from layoffs of 90+ days.

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Each-Way Angles (11 runners):

• Straya (IRE) – Course win two starts ago, and excuses last time. Each-way angle if 8/1+.
• Lights Go Down – Tactically suited by the pace; unexposed 3yo with more to come.

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Private Tissue Estimate:

• Zebra Star – 3/1
• Cisco Disco – 5/1
• Dingwall – 11/2
• Lights Go Down – 6/1
• Straya – 7/1
• Sweet Kiss – 10/1
• Dwindling Funds – 12/1
• Transfuse – 14/1
• Ravenswell – 33/1
• Orient Lad – 50/1
• Uncle Liam – 66/1

Market watch advised for runners making their 2nd start.

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Summary + Professional Punter View (Smart Play):

This is a compressed 0–60 handicap in which a few exposed types return to a familiar battleground, but Zebra Star stands out for her recent win and course affinity. She’s unexposed at 10f and could dominate this again with a similar ride. Cisco Disco remains a live threat with clearer passage, and Lights Go Down has a lot of upside as a 3yo off a break with potential to progress.

Smart Play:

• Win Bet: Zebra Star (IRE) – Unexposed over 10f and clearly thrives at Ayr.
• Each-Way Saver: Lights Go Down – Likely better than latest; pace and trip may unlock more.