17:05 Galway – Colm Quinn BMW Novice Hurdle (Listed)
Race Title & Conditions: Colm Quinn BMW Novice Hurdle (Listed), 2m 110y, 4yo+, Good ground (NH), 8 runners.
Pace Angles: A strong pace is forecast, likely creating a stamina emphasis late on, favouring efficient travellers or hold-up types. The specific pace hint suggests LA NOTE VERTE may find AVONDALE (IRE) too strong at the business end due to the very strong pace.
Draw Bias: No explicit draw bias over hurdles, but tactical positioning is critical due to Galway’s turning, undulating nature.
Runner Comments:
- LA NOTE VERTE (5 11-2 142p): Progressive and undefeated over hurdles, she’s dominant from the front, travels powerfully, and jumps fluently. Timeform analyst’s verdict fancies her to make it 3-3 over hurdles. Trainer Willie Mullins has an excellent strike rate with hurdlers at this distance. Score: 9/10 – Track and trip suit, leading tactics may test others.
- EMILY LOVE (6 11-2 147): A proven and thriving 5-time winner who has clocked high TFRs and handles good to soft ground. She races on the pace and has shown tactical versatility and strong finishing. She is considered a true danger. Score: 9/10 – Strong staying type, copes well with undulations, handles the pace.
- TIMELESS TREATY (IRE) (5 11-9 134p): A promising type who has won twice in good novice company and shows stamina. While not flashy, he finds plenty. His race-shape suitability is a slight concern with multiple front-runners, but he is a very likeable horse. Score: 8/10 – Slightly one-paced but very game. Tactical tempo might test him.
- AVONDALE (IRE) (5 11-6 133p): A promising horse who was an impressive maiden winner at Bellewstown and possesses Flat class. Open to big improvement, but might not enjoy a pace war. Score: 7/10 – Big talent but might get softened up near the pace or lack battle hardness.
- SYSKO (FR) (5 11-6 126p): Showed promise on his second hurdles start and handled a strong-run Punchestown race well. Trained by Mullins with upside, though his Timefigures are moderate, his FS% was solid. He touched an in-running high at least twice his starting Betfair SP when scoring last time. Score: 7/10 – Still learning, will need to settle well early. Capable, but exposed to errors.
- VICAR STREET (IRE) (6 11-6 125p): Possesses a pedigree that screams class and stamina (Galileo x Vroum Vroum Mag) and looked a good prospect on debut. Likely to progress, but this race is a marked step up in class, and the pace might catch him out. Score: 6.5/10 – Needs to come on again, might get done for experience/class today.
- STICKTOTHEPLAN (FR) (5 11-6 136): An honest and solid performer who stays well but could be outpaced in a truly run 2m and possibly lacks the class of others. Score: 6/10 – Honest, but may not be quick enough for Listed company over this trip.
- POUR ONE MORE (IRE) (6 11-6 120p): Unproven at this level, having won his hurdling debut in modest time and since changed yards. Likely outclassed unless showing significant improvement. Score: 5/10 – Not shown enough in one run to trust at this level.
Private Tissue Estimate:
- La Note Verte – 5/2
- Emily Love – 3/1
- Timeless Treaty – 6/1
- Avondale – 7/1
- Sysko – 8/1
- Vicar Street – 10/1
- Sticktotheplan – 14/1
- Pour One More – 33/1
ChatGPT Smart Plays:
- Win Selection: La Note Verte – Progressive, fluent, and well-suited to track and pace.
- Each-Way Saver: Timeless Treaty – Resilient stayer with an honest profile and an upward curve.
17:37 Galway – Latin Quarter Beginners Chase
Race Title & Conditions: Latin Quarter Beginners Chase, 2m 2f 54y, 4yo+, Good ground (NH), 10 runners.
Pace Angles: The pace forecast is weak, suggesting a tactical affair that will likely favour those with a turn of foot or tactical speed. Prominent racers from top yards could gain a positional edge.
Draw Bias: Galway’s tight, undulating track always makes jumping and positioning key.
Runner Comments:
- MY GREAT MATE (6 11-12 N/A): Proven dual bumper and hurdles winner, including at Galway, with Grade 2-placed form behind a subsequent Grade 1 winner. Returns from a 234-day break. Mullins excels here, and his jumping and tactical pace are positives. Win Selection. Score: 9/10 – Acts on course, goes well fresh, and has top form. Handles ground.
- KING OF KINGSFIELD (IRE) (7 11-12 149): Once smart over hurdles (rated 149). However, he has been beaten multiple times when trading at odds-on in-running. His chasing debut was okay, but his profile feels stale, and Timeform flags his in-running failures. Caution advised. Score: 7.5/10 – Class edge but regressive feel and not totally trustworthy.
- GREAT ATTITUDE (GER) (6 11-12 N/A): Promising outsider who won his hurdles debut at 8/1 after a huge market plunge. He has since switched yards and returns from a 157-day break. His profile hints at hidden upside, and he jumped well on debut, suggesting fences could suit. Each-Way Saver. Score: 8.5/10 – Debut effort suggested real promise. Could go well if sharp after layoff.
- MORE COKO (FR) (5 11-12 N/A): A promising smart novice hurdler who was travelling well before falling last time. He is from a good family and clearly unexposed. The switch to fences might help him focus, and he comes from the Mullins operation, which regularly lands these races. Score: 7.5/10 – Profile screams potential, though jumping is a mild concern.
- JET SETTING JIM (IRE) (8 11-12 136): An exposed performer who has run to a fair level over fences but lacks finishing power and has a patchy profile. He’s been on the go and may be vulnerable to classier types. Score: 6/10 – Tries hard, but may be found out for class and finishing kick.
- LISNAGAR FORTUNE (IRE) (7 11-12 137x): A risky contender with talent, but his jumping has repeatedly let him down over fences. He faded quickly last time after a promising previous effort and needs a clean round, which is not guaranteed. Score: 5.5/10 – Can’t fully trust jumping and has underperformed in similar setups.
- ROYAL EAGLE (IRE) (7 11-5 128p): A fair hurdler and a staying chaser in the making. Her chase debut wasn’t bad, and she’s tactically versatile. One to consider if others fail to fire, with potential place claims. Score: 6.5/10 – Improving mare but needs more to land this. Place claims.
- JUSTABITOFYOURS (IRE) (5 11-5 126): A fairly limited horse with well-held form in bumpers and maiden hurdles, and fair but well-held form over fences. Score: 4/10.
- BRIGHT LEGEND (IRE) (5 11-12 N/A): Has weak hurdles form and might be aimed at handicaps. Score: 3/10.
- GLENS SENSATION (IRE) (7 11-12 N/A): Possesses no meaningful chase or hurdle form. Score: 2/10.
Private Tissue Estimate:
- My Great Mate – 9/4
- King of Kingsfield – 3/1
- Great Attitude – 6/1
- More Coko – 7/1
- Jet Setting Jim – 10/1
- Royal Eagle – 14/1
- Lisnagar Fortune – 16/1
- Justabitofyours – 25/1
- Bright Legend – 50/1
- Glens Sensation – 100/1
ChatGPT Smart Plays:
- Win Selection: My Great Mate – Class act, well-placed, strong yard, proven course form.
- Each-Way Saver: Great Attitude – Big potential, unexposed, and could pop up fresh.
18:07 Galway – Colm Quinn BMW Irish EBF Fillies Maiden
Race Title & Conditions: Colm Quinn BMW Irish EBF Fillies Maiden, 7f, 2yo, Yielding ground (Flat), 8 runners.
Pace Angles: A weak pace is forecast, likely resulting in a steadily run affair where tactical speed and track position will be crucial. The specific pace hint suggests THENANDNOW (IRE) will be advantaged over PRETTY LIZ (IRE).
Draw Bias: No explicit draw bias declared, but low draws often help at Galway if the early pace is modest.
Runner Comments:
- AMELIA EARHART (IRE) (2 9-2 88P): Win Selection. Showed real promise on debut, shaping as if she’d improve for the experience. From a family that stays well, she’s expected to come forward significantly, especially with Aidan O’Brien’s excellent record in this race (4 wins in the last 10 runnings). Score: 8.5/10 – Proven stayer’s pedigree, clear scope, and sure to improve for debut run.
- THENANDNOW (IRE) (2 9-2 92p): Shaped well when second on debut to a horse who also beat Amelia Earhart. She closed late despite the weak early pace and looks like a galloper. Considered the strongest form of those with a run. Her Betfair SP went under 25% of her starting price when beaten last time. Score: 8/10 – Form pick; just needs the race not to crawl early.
- BLACK CAVIAR GOLD (IRE) (2 9-2 98): An interesting newcomer from a hot P. Twomey yard (27% strike rate with 7-10f runners and 26% mid-season) and was a pricey purchase (€270k). The market will be key for this debutante. Score: 7.5/10 – Market key; top yard and costly purchase suggest ability.
- PIVOTAL ATTACK (2 9-2 87p): Each-Way Saver. Showed plenty of promise on debut, keeping on after running green. Comes from a good family and has scope to improve with experience. Score: 7/10 – Eye-catching debut; scope to improve.
- GREEN TESTIMONY (IRE) (2 9-2 95): An unknown newcomer with a Dubawi pedigree from the Joseph O’Brien team. May need the run but respected on connections. Score: 6.5/10 – Debut runner from smart connections; neutral profile.
- BEAR RIGHT (IRE) (2 9-2 81): Her pedigree is okay, but her yard is not prolific with first-timers. Likely best watched. Score: 5.5/10.
- PRETTY LIZ (IRE) (2 9-2 63): Her dam is unraced, making her hard to assess, with no strong angles to recommend her today. Likely best watched. Score: 5/10.
- TRUSTY TYCOON (IRE) (2 9-2 75): Her pedigree suggests more stamina than speed, so she may need more time to show her best. Likely best watched. Score: 4.5/10.
Private Tissue Estimate:
- Amelia Earhart – 2/1
- Thenandnow – 5/2
- Black Caviar Gold – 9/2
- Pivotal Attack – 7/1
- Green Testimony – 10/1
- Bear Right – 16/1
- Pretty Liz – 25/1
- Trusty Tycoon – 33/1
ChatGPT Smart Plays:
- Win Selection: Amelia Earhart – A top pedigree, strong debut, and a trainer who excels in this race type.
- Each-Way Saver: Pivotal Attack – Potential to step forward with experience; looks a value play.
18:40 Galway – Colm Quinn BMW Mile Handicap (Premier Handicap)
Race Title & Conditions: Colm Quinn BMW Mile Handicap (Premier Handicap), 1m 123y, 3yo+, Yielding ground (Flat), 14 runners.
Pace Angles: A strong pace is forecast. While prominent racers are usually favoured at this trip, the fast early fractions may handicap DUNUM (IRE) and set it up for strong travellers or closers with proven finishing strength, assisting ORANDI (FR).
Draw Bias: No explicit draw bias declared.
Runner Comments:
- SLIEVE BINNIAN (IRE) (5 9-6 111): Win Selection. He is in the form of his life, having taken his form to a new level with back-to-back wins, including a strong success over several of these rivals. He can settle behind pace and quicken late, suiting today’s expected race shape. Trainer David Marnane has a significant profit to a £1 level stake with one runner at a flat meeting. Score: 9/10 – In form, versatile tactically, and handles pressure races well.
- MISSISSIPPI RIVER (IRE) (3 8-13 110): A promising 3yo from Ballydoyle who is still improving and has held his own in tough company. Had a good effort when fourth behind Slieve Binnian despite being up with a strong pace. Aidan O’Brien has a 21% strike rate with horses running between 7f and 10f. Score: 8.5/10 – Three-year-old on the up, unexposed against older handicappers.
- ORANDI (FR) (7 9-7 112): Proven handicapper who won the Irish Lincoln in March and has run well since. He relishes a strong pace and finishes well, making the setup ideal for him. His Betfair SP traded at 25% or less of his starting price when beaten last time. Trainer A. J. Martin has a good profit to a £1 level stake with one runner at a flat meeting. Score: 8.5/10 – Strong late closer with track-suited profile.
- EVENING BLOSSOM (IRE) (4 9-10 110): A progressive performer who has won two of her last three starts, including bolting up at Killarney. She has proven ability to sit handy and kick on, but might get caught out if this turns into a stamina test. Score: 8/10 – Progressive but more vulnerable if pace collapses.
- BEAR PROFIT (IRE) (6 8-12 112): Each-Way Saver. A progressive handicapper who won well in June and was a respectable third to Slieve Binnian. He travels strongly and handles different conditions, making him a potential place contender. Score: 7.5/10 – Strong traveller, needs luck in running.
- COEUR D’OR (IRE) (9 9-8 114): A useful handicapper and course specialist. He was last year’s winner of this race. However, he doesn’t appear to be in the same form this year. Score: 6.5/10.
- GREY LEADER (IRE) (5 8-9 112): A fairly useful handicapper and course specialist who handles Galway well and showed more spark again at Killarney. Versatile and adaptable, he is one to consider for exotics. Score: 7/10 – Reliable at Galway, could surprise again.
- DUNUM (IRE) (7 9-3 116): A useful performer and course specialist. However, recent runs suggest regression, and he possibly still needed the run last time. While he benefits from a strong pace, he’s more of a place proposition than a win contender now. Score: 6.5/10 – Needs things to fall just right; not one to rely on now.
- POWER UNDER ME (IRE) (7 10-0 109+): A smart performer who has won listed races. He is better over shorter trips, and a strong pace might not help him here. Score: 6/10.
- NORWALK HAVOC (4 9-12 113): A smart performer who has won listed races. He is exposed in higher company and was better for the run last time. Score: 4/10.
- INDEPENDENT EXPERT (IRE) (6 9-3 110): A useful handicapper who won at Naas in May. She can be inconsistent but could grab minor money. Score: 6/10.
- CHAZZESMEE (IRE) (7 9-2 106+): A fairly useful handicapper, but his form has dipped, and he struggles in big fields now. Score: 4/10.
- HOWYOULIKETHAT (IRE) (8 9-7 107+): A useful performer, but he’s been off the track a lot, and probably needed the run last time. Score: 5/10.
- MONASTERBOICE (IRE) (4 8-11 111+): A useful performer and course specialist. He has a limited profile lately and was well held last time. Score: 4.5/10.
Private Tissue Estimate:
- Slieve Binnian – 5/1
- Mississippi River – 6/1
- Orandi – 13/2
- Evening Blossom – 9/1
- Bear Profit – 10/1
- Grey Leader – 12/1
- Dunum – 14/1
- Coeur d’Or – 14/1
- Independent Expert – 16/1
- Norwalk Havoc – 20/1
- Power Under Me – 20/1
- Chazzesmee – 25/1
- Monasterboice – 33/1
- Howyoulikethat – 40/1
ChatGPT Smart Plays:
- Win Selection: Slieve Binnian – Holds key rivals and tactically flexible in a fast-run race.
- Each-Way Saver: Bear Profit – Travelling type who’ll be produced late; value at double-figure odds.
19:15 Galway – Caulfield Industrial Irish EBF Maiden
Race Title & Conditions: Caulfield Industrial Irish EBF Maiden, 7f, 3yo+, Yielding ground (Flat), 18 runners.
Pace Angles: A strong pace is forecast, but prominent racers remain advantaged, particularly from low-to-middle draws. A fast start and tactical positioning will be crucial given the likely crowding. The specific pace hint notes that a strong pace shouldn’t shift the advantage towards TERO D’ROSA (IRE) from COLLECTING COIN.
Draw Bias: No explicit draw bias declared.
Runner Comments:
- COLLECTING COIN (3 9-8 84p): Win Selection. This Lope De Vega gelding has shown promise on both starts, notably when just touched off after racing green. The strong pace is likely to suit his late-finishing style, and with gelding completed, further improvement is expected. He is well drawn in 5 and looks ready to win. He traded at 50% or less of his starting Betfair SP when beaten last time. Score: 9/10 – Ideal conditions; drawn well; scope for more.
- RAYKIR (IRE) (3 9-8 80): Each-Way Saver. D.K. Weld’s runner ran a career-best with cheekpieces applied last time. A strong pace and the step back in trip look ideal, and he is trained by a handler with a strong record in this race. His track shape suits his hold-up tactics if he breaks on terms. Score: 8.5/10 – Improving, suited by pace/trip combination.
- MONKSTOWN (IRE) (3 9-8 79): Aidan O’Brien’s colt has been beaten at short odds three times. He is clearly talented and bred to improve, but there’s a suspicion he’s not finding much under pressure, which Galway’s stiff finish could expose. Score: 7.5/10 – Has the ability but slight temperament concern.
- ADIEU SPIRIT (3 9-8): An interesting newcomer with a smart pedigree, fetching €180,000 as a 2yo. While trainers’ runners usually improve from a run, he has trialled well. A market check is vital. Score: 7/10 – Eye-catching pedigree, market useful.
- GRAN HABANO (IRE) (3 9-8 83): A consistent but exposed maiden who has been placed several times and was luckless last time. He may sneak a place but has had enough chances and is likely vulnerable to improvers. Adrian Murray has a significant profit to a £1 level stake with one runner at a flat meeting. Score: 7/10 – Place claims, needs others to falter.
- EICHAN SAN (IRE) (3 9-8 70p): Showed promise on debut, finishing fourth in a large field and showing late headway. However, he is drawn very wide in 18, which will be a significant tactical obstacle on a turning 7f track. Score: 6.5/10 – Wide draw tempers otherwise good profile.
- CHESTER NIMITZ (IRE) (3 9-8 83): A reliable type who has been placed several times in maidens. However, he lacks a turn of foot. Score: 6.5/10.
- MEN OF HONOUR (IRE) (3 9-8 67): Has shown gradual improvement, but might need further than 7f. Score: 6/10.
- TEFFIAN WARRIOR (IRE) (3 9-8 66): Has a moderate profile so far, having been mid-field in two maidens. Score: 5/10.
- RAPID SEQUENCE (IRE) (3 9-3): Has shown no real encouragement to date. Score: 4.5/10.
- BARON BLAKE (FR) (4 10-1): An ex-hurdler who is outclassed at this level on the Flat. Score: 4/10.
- TERO D’ROSA (IRE) (3 9-8 66): Was slowly away on debut and has too much to find at this level. Ross O’Sullivan has a good profit to a £1 level stake with one runner at a flat meeting. Score: 4/10.
- CASH ME (IRE) (3 9-3 64): Returns from a layoff and had a moderate debut. Score: 4/10.
- FLAGSTONE (IRE) (3 9-8): Has nothing in her form to recommend her. Score: 4/10.
- PAPERBOY (IRE) (3 9-8): An unraced newcomer whose trainer/jockey combo has been quiet. Score: 3.5/10.
- MISS PRINCESS (IRE) (3 9-3): Not bred to stay this trip, giving her limited claims. Score: 3/10.
- SKIPPINANDAJUMPIN (IRE) (3 9-3): Has shown no signs of ability yet in three maiden starts. Score: 2.5/10.
- ARKLOW LAD (IRE) (3 9-8): An outsider on all known form. Score: 2.5/10.
Private Tissue Estimate:
- Collecting Coin – 5/2
- Raykir – 4/1
- Monkstown – 11/2
- Adieu Spirit – 8/1
- Gran Habano – 10/1
- Eichan San – 12/1
- Chester Nimitz – 16/1
- Men of Honour – 18/1
- Others – 25/1+
ChatGPT Smart Plays:
- Win Selection: Collecting Coin – Solid form, bred for 7f, looks ready now.
- Each-Way Saver: Raykir – Peaked last time and drawn well to pounce again.
19:50 Galway – CaulfieldIndustrial.com Handicap
Race Title & Conditions: CaulfieldIndustrial.com Handicap, 7f, 4yo+, Yielding ground (Flat), 18 runners, 0-90 handicap.
Pace Angles: A strong pace is forecast, but hold-up horses remain disadvantaged at this turning 7f track, which historically favours early position. Prominent racers from mid to low draws are strongly favoured. Horses like Mile End and Expound could benefit from controlling the race from the front or stalking close behind.
Draw Bias: No explicit draw bias declared, but low-to-mid draws are historically favourable for prominent racers.
Runner Comments:
- IMPOSING SUPREME (IRE) (9 9-10 90): Win Selection. A course specialist with 4 Galway wins, including over this trip. Ran with promise after a 10-month layoff when 4th at Killarney, which should leave him spot on and makes him ideally placed draw- and tactically. T. Gibney’s runner was a division I winner of this race in 2021. Score: 8.5/10 – Proven at track, fitter for recent run.
- ALPHA CAPTURE (IRE) (5 9-11 94): Win Selection. Caught the eye with a close 2nd at Leopardstown before being poorly positioned at Killarney last time. He is well-handicapped on old form and retains ability. Suited by a strong pace if he can settle midfield, but needs luck from mid-draw. Trainer Willie Mullins has a 27% strike rate with hurdlers at up to 2m2f, and Seamie Heffernan has a 36% strike rate on favourites. Score: 9/10 – Needs things to fall right but very well-handicapped.
- APACHE OUTLAW (IRE) (5 9-12 93): Each-Way Saver. He has tumbled down the weights, and recent efforts suggest he’s coming back to form. He is drawn ideally in 4 and will race close-up, making him very dangerous if he finds his rhythm. Score: 8/10 – Big weight drop, right setup today.
- DARK VIPER (4 9-12 89): A progressive handicapper who ran a career-best second at Naas last week, shaping like a horse still ahead of his mark. He is well-handicapped and has tactical speed. Needs a smooth passage from stall 12. Score: 8/10 – Improving, well in off current mark.
- EXPOUND (6 9-13 88): A reliable and genuine type who has run well all year. He is tactically versatile, but his wide draw (18) could be a major stumbling block, as he does not race prominently. Score: 8/10 – Solid, tactically versatile, wide draw an issue.
- SUMMER SNOW (IRE) (5 10-1 85): A progressive mare who comes here off back-to-back wins, including a clear-cut Down Royal success. While her escalating mark may catch her out, she is thriving and well drawn in 5. Score: 7.5/10 – In form but rising weights a challenge.
- RHYTHM KING (IRE) (5 10-0 92): An interesting contender returning from a 135-day layoff. He has course-winning form and is capable fresh, with trainer Mark Fahey having strong “Smart Stats” with such types. Score: 7.5/10 – Talented and well drawn, check fitness.
- FLYING BAY (IRE) (4 9-10 86): A course maiden winner last year, who shaped much better than the result last time when too far back. She races best when ridden handy and is still unexposed. Score: 6.5/10 – OK comeback, may need more time.
- FACETHEPUCKOUT (IRE) (9 10-0 86): A fairly useful handicapper, but inconsistent, and not ideally drawn. Score: 6/10.
- EXQUISITE ACCLAIM (IRE) (6 10-2 86): A fairly useful performer who is reliable but vulnerable to improvers and better at Dundalk. Score: 6/10.
- GOAL EXCEEDED (4 10-0 88): His form has flattened, and he’s best on all-weather. Score: 6/10.
- MERLIN THE WIZARD (5 10-0 86): A fairly useful handicapper who flashes ability but is not straightforward. Score: 5.5/10.
- MILE END (5 9-10 89): A fairly useful handicapper who might get a soft lead, but her form has gone backwards. Score: 5.5/10.
- FINSCEAL ANNIE (IRE) (4 9-12 87): A fairly useful handicapper with two recent wins, but now exposed. Score: 5/10.
- TITANIUM (FR) (6 10-0 ?): A useful handicapper who is currently out of sorts. Score: 4.5/10.
- ON A SESSION (USA) (9 9-9 82): A fairly useful handicapper, but a big price and tough draw. Score: 3-4/10.
- RAMIRO (IRE) (9 9-9 86): A fairly useful handicapper who needs a sharp bounce back from recent poor form. Score: 3-4/10.
- NO MORE PORTER (IRE) (7 9-10 89): A fairly useful handicapper who is more effective in lower grades. Score: 3-4/10.
Private Tissue Estimate:
- Alpha Capture – 5/1
- Imposing Supreme – 6/1
- Apache Outlaw – 13/2
- Dark Viper – 7/1
- Expound – 8/1
- Summer Snow – 10/1
- Rhythm King – 12/1
- Rest – 16/1+
ChatGPT Smart Plays:
- Win Selection: Imposing Supreme – Loves Galway, well drawn, should peak now.
- Each-Way Saver: Apache Outlaw – Back in form, perfect draw, strong pace suits.
20:20 Galway – CaulfieldIndustrial.com Handicap
The 20:20 race at Galway is the Caulfield Industrial Handicap, run over a distance of 1m 123y on Turf with a yielding going. It is for horses aged 4yo+ and offers a prize of €10,200. There are 21 runners declared for this race.
Pace Angles & Draw Bias: A strong pace is forecast for this race. Traditionally, prominent racers are favoured at this trip on this course; however, the predicted strong pace might disadvantage EVERYLITTLESTEP (IRE) while potentially benefiting LOINGSEOIR (IRE). There is no specific draw bias noted for this event.
Runner Comments:
• LOINGSEOIR (IRE) (Draw 4): This 9-year-old fair handicapper has undergone a breathing operation and wears a tongue tie. He recently shaped well with a credible sixth-place finish at the Curragh despite encountering a lack of a clear run. As a horse that typically races off the pace, the strong pace forecast is expected to be advantageous for him. He acts on heavy going and is considered appealing off a workable mark.
• EVERYLITTLESTEP (IRE) (Draw 9): A 7-year-old fair handicapper, she returned to her best form last time out with a half-length second at Leopardstown. She wears a tongue tie and has previously worn a hood. The strong pace forecast for this race is noted as a potential disadvantage for her. She stays 1¼m and acts on good to firm and heavy going.
• RAMPAGE (IRE) (Draw 12): This 6-year-old fair handicapper is a recent all-weather winner, securing a neck victory at Dundalk in his last start. He also finished second at Bellewstown in July. He often wears headgear and has worn a tongue tie in his last four starts. He stays 9f and performs well on polytrack, good to firm, and heavy going.
• CASTLEHEATH (IRE) (Draw 5): A 4-year-old fair handicapper, he is running after a 138-day break. His trainer, Ciaran Murphy, has a notable profit record with horses running after a break. He won a maiden in 2024 and has shown useful form over juvenile hurdles, with his last effort indicating a step in the right direction.
• GOD KNOWS (IRE) (Draw 16): This 6-year-old fair performer won an 11-runner claimer at Bellewstown by a neck in her last start, following a 10-month absence. She stays 10.5f and performs well on good to firm and heavy going.
• CONVINCING (IRE) (Draw 19): A 4-year-old fair maiden, he finished third in a maiden at Killarney in May and ran in first-time cheekpieces when eighth in a handicap at Down Royal last time. He stays 1m and acts on heavy going.
• SI SENIOR (IRE) (Draw 2): This 4-year-old fair handicapper won at Ballinrobe in June but struggled to see out the race last time at Killarney, pulling hard. He often starts slowly and typically races off pace.
• SINBAD MY DAD (IRE) (Draw 20): A 4-year-old fair maiden handicapper, he proved to retain ability when fourth at Killarney recently after a 9-month layoff. He often wears cheekpieces. It’s noted that he traded below 50% of his starting Betfair SP when beaten last time out.
Private Tissue Odds:
• Rampage: 15/2
• Everylittlestep: 8/1
• Castleheath: 9/1
• Loingseoir: 10/1
• God Knows: 10/1
• Convincing: 12/1
• Heliogabalus: 16/1
• Lady Arwen: 16/1
• Comfort Line: 18/1
• Rockbury Lad: 18/1
• Si Senior: 20/1
• Darkdeserthighway: 22/1
• Una Matata: 25/1
• Chavajod: 33/1
• Just For One Day: 40/1
• Speckled Meadow: 40/1
• Hutton Glen: 50/1
• Lexington Dash: 100/1
• Storm Averted: 497/1
• Sinbad My Dad: 498/1
• Zabeir: 499/1
Smart Plays:
• Win Selection: LOINGSEOIR (IRE)
◦ Reasoning: Loingseoir is the horse that the Timeform analyst’s verdict recommends. His last run indicated good form despite encountering traffic. Given his off-pace style, the strong pace anticipated for this race is expected to be a significant advantage. He is also considered to be racing off a favourable mark.
• Each-Way Saver: EVERYLITTLESTEP (IRE)
◦ Reasoning: Everylittlestep is identified as the main danger in the analyst’s verdict. She demonstrated a strong return to form with a second-place finish in her most recent outing. While the strong pace could be a slight concern for her, her proven recent form makes her a strong contender for a place.
• Value Pick Consideration: RAMPAGE (IRE)
◦ Reasoning: Rampage is highlighted by the analyst as a recent winner on the all-weather, indicating current good form and confidence. This recent success suggests he is in a good place to perform well again.
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