Preview of day 3 at Glorious Goodwood on Thursday afternoon.

·

Here is a concise professional preview for each race on the card, including bullet-point comments for each runner, private tissue odds, and ChatGPT Smart Plays:

1. 13:20 Goodwood – CORAL KINCSEM HANDICAP (Class 2, 1m 1f 197y, 3yo, Turf, £51,540)

Pace Forecast: Very Strong
Draw Bias: N/A
Tactical Note: Hold-up horses are generally favoured over this trip at Goodwood and will likely be well suited by the anticipated fierce gallop.

Runners’ Comments:

  • BEST SECRET (FR) (TFR 115p):
    • Form: Proven and progressive. Unlucky 3rd at Royal Ascot, finished strongly. Strong staying finish.
    • Pace/Draw: Ideal draw (2), and the strong pace will play perfectly into his hands.
    • Class/Fitness: Timefigures are strong and increasing (113+ last out). Well positioned tactically.
    • Flags: Horse in focus.
  • DANTE’S LAD (IRE) (TFR 111p):
    • Form: Found his rhythm with back-to-back wins, including a visually impressive Windsor performance. Sectional efficiency notable.
    • Pace/Draw: Drawn well (6), suited by trip, handles good to firm. Slightly pace-dependent if held up too far off a strong gallop.
    • Class/Fitness: Potential to improve further.
  • PAROLE D’ORO (TFR 112p):
    • Form: Strong recent figures, efficient closing style. Finished 2nd last time, form holding up well.
    • Pace/Draw: Hold-up style with inside draw (1)—perfect for the likely race shape.
    • Class/Fitness: Promising, on an upward curve. Ryan Moore back on board, suggesting intent.
    • Flags: Horse in focus.
  • SEAGOLAZO (IRE) (TFR 112):
    • Form: Produced a career-best last time out. Tactically versatile.
    • Pace/Draw: Slight stamina query at this trip under pressure if pace collapses.
    • Class/Fitness: Could still stay on into minor money.
  • DAIQUIRI BAY (TFR 110p):
    • Form: Mid-division run style, strong late turn of foot.
    • Pace/Draw: Could be well suited returning to 10f after being outstayed at 12f. Potentially neutral draw (17).
    • Class/Fitness: Good energy distribution profile. Remains capable of better.
    • Flags: Horse in focus.
  • HIGH DEGREE (TFR 107p):
    • Form: Still learning but gave a gritty display to win a maiden. Pedigree suggests he’ll relish the trip.
    • Pace/Draw: Wide draw (18) is a challenge, but as a hold-up horse, track position late may still suit.
    • Class/Fitness: May be a well-handicapped improver. Remains capable of better.
  • Calla Lagoon (TFR 107+): Rusty last time; strong trainer and figures suggest rebound potential.
  • Marhaba Ghaiyyath (IRE) (TFR 111): Proven but exposed; may get swamped in final furlong.
  • Brise Noir (FR) (TFR 112): Tough type, lacks upside.
  • Nebras (TFR 108): Classy pedigree, but may not be straightforward.
  • Hymnbook (IRE) (TFR 114): Improving, but could need a more even gallop; draw neutral.
  • Serenity Blue (TFR 113p): Potential but may be short of required sharpness in big field.
  • Best Adventure (IRE) (TFR 113): In form but has tactical limitations in this heat.
  • Janey Mackers (IRE) (TFR 108p): Unconvincing this season.
  • Magellan Cloud (TFR 112): Consistent but may lack weaponry for this level.
  • Thunder Wonder (IRE) (TFR 113): No standout angle; better on quieter circuits.
  • Ernst Blofeld (IRE) (TFR 114): Likely outclassed.
  • Fort George (TFR 110): Tough gig up in class.

Private Tissue Estimate:

  • Best Secret (FR) – 4/1
  • Parole D’Oro – 6/1
  • Dante’s Lad – 13/2
  • High Degree – 8/1
  • Seagolazo – 10/1
  • Daiquiri Bay – 12/1
  • Others – 16/1 bar

ChatGPT Smart Plays:

  • Win: BEST SECRET (FR) – Super profile for this setup and could be Group class.
  • Each-Way Saver: PAROLE D’ORO – Great track position, improving, trainer/jockey synergy ideal.

2. 13:55 Goodwood – MARKEL RICHMOND STAKES (Group 2, 6f, 2yo, Turf, £99,242)

Pace Forecast: Strong
Draw Bias: No clear draw bias recorded, but prominent racing styles have historically fared best over this 6f trip at Goodwood.
Tactical Insight: Despite the strong early pace forecast, the Goodwood 6f track tends to favour on-speed or tracking types. COPPULL and EGOLI look well positioned tactically, whereas deep closers like HAVANA HURRICANE may face a headwind.

Runners’ Comments:

  • COPPULL (TFR 113p):
    • Form: Huge run when 3rd in the Coventry Stakes, backed up by a strong timefigure (TFR 112+).
    • Pace/Draw: Shows good gate speed and travels prominently—an ideal profile at this track. Drawn (8) to keep a good position.
    • Class/Fitness: Open to further improvement.
  • EGOLI (TFR 107p):
    • Form: Two from three, with a front-running win at Newbury last time in good style.
    • Pace/Draw: Sets a solid standard with a TFR of 107+ and benefits from a pace-favourable style. Drawn (4).
    • Class/Fitness: Looks physically mature, and trainer Beckett excels with 2yos stepping up quickly in class.
  • PUERTO RICO (IRE) (TFR 108p):
    • Form: Aidan O’Brien-trained colt who ran very well in the Group 2 Railway Stakes last time.
    • Pace/Draw: His high cruising speed. Drawn (9).
    • Class/Fitness: Unexposed and makes him a live danger if handling the undulations.
  • HAVANA HURRICANE (TFR 112):
    • Form: Windsor Castle winner who found one too good in the Newbury Super Sprint. Talented.
    • Pace/Draw: Needs a precise ride from off the pace—less than ideal given track bias. Traded short in-play when beaten last time. Drawn (6).
  • SUPER SOLDIER (IRE) (TFR 111):
    • Form: Placed in French Group 2 last time when denied a run—significant upgrade potential.
    • Pace/Draw: Tactical speed in the right context. Drawn (1).
    • Class/Fitness: Bombed in the Coventry, so risk profile remains high.
  • Maximized (TFR 107): Strong debut wins, excuses in July Stakes, now wears headgear (first-time headgear profit for trainer). Drawn (7).
  • Azizam (TFR 104p): Good Windsor Castle effort; scope to improve but raw. Drawn (3).
  • Underwriter (FR) (TFR 99): Ayr wins solid but not yet Group class on evidence. Drawn (2).
  • Chicago Call (IRE) (TFR 91p): Nicely bred and visually impressive win; this is a jump in class. Drawn (5).

Private Tissue Estimate:

  • Coppull – 11/4
  • Egoli – 4/1
  • Puerto Rico – 6/1
  • Havana Hurricane – 13/2
  • Super Soldier – 10/1
  • Maximized – 12/1
  • Others – 14/1 bar

ChatGPT Smart Plays:

  • Win: COPPULL – Solid Coventry third, with scope to progress and ideal race setup.
  • Saver (Place or Exchange Back): PUERTO RICO – Classy, under the radar, peaking at right time.

3. 14:30 Goodwood – HKJC WORLD POOL GORDON STAKES (Group 3, 1m 3f 218y, 3yo, Turf, £113,420)

Pace Forecast: Even
Draw Bias: None noted.
Pace Insight: Although the trip usually doesn’t favour prominent racers at Goodwood, the even gallop forecast today might mitigate that bias. SIR DINADAN (IRE) looks tactically well-positioned, while RAHIEBB may find his usual hold-up tactics placing him at a disadvantage unless there’s a mid-race injection of pace.

Runners’ Comments:

  • MERCHANT (IRE) (TFR 127p):
    • Form: Royal Ascot success in the King George V Stakes looks highly significant, with the runner-up franking the form.
    • Pace/Draw: Versatile in position and finishes strongly. Drawn (4).
    • Class/Fitness: TFR of 127p shows he’s already bordering on Group class and still improving. Acts on firm, and this track/test looks ideal. Exciting prospect.
    • Flags: Horse in focus.
  • GALVESTON (TFR 121):
    • Form: Third in the King Edward VII Stakes behind top-level prospects, and did so from the front—blinkers have helped him concentrate.
    • Pace/Draw: Has the speed to sit handy and might get a soft lead. Drawn (3).
    • Class/Fitness: Good stamina and consistent form.
  • SIR DINADAN (IRE) (TFR 122):
    • Form: Underappreciated effort in the Irish Derby when still second inside the final furlong.
    • Pace/Draw: Consistent timefigures and drawn (7) for a quiet run in rear before launching late. Traded low last time.
    • Class/Fitness: A return to Group 3 against lesser rivals could suit him ideally.
  • WIMBLEDON HAWKEYE (TFR 120):
    • Form: Form has substance, with a second in the Princess of Wales’s Stakes (albeit a weak renewal).
    • Pace/Draw: Has trackcraft and might try to force the issue here. Drawn (2).
    • Class/Fitness: Could place if the big two underperform.
  • WINDLORD (TFR 121):
    • Form: Won listed race last time, but was under pressure a long way out and only just got up.
    • Pace/Draw: Usually front runner/races prominently. Drawn (1).
    • Class/Fitness: Best form may not be improving now. Still, a dual winner at pattern level and should be respected for the frame.
  • Rahiebb (TFR 116): Consistent and likeable but will need luck from rear. Drawn (5).
  • Too Soon (TFR 108): Unreliable at this level; form not strong enough. Drawn (6).

Private Tissue Estimate:

  • Merchant – 6/4
  • Sir Dinadan – 7/2
  • Galveston – 9/2
  • Rahiebb – 6/1
  • Windlord – 10/1
  • Wimbledon Hawkeye – 12/1
  • Too Soon – 66/1

ChatGPT Smart Plays:

  • Win: MERCHANT (IRE) – Royal Ascot form is elite and the trip/pace scenario is ideal.
  • Alternative/Forecast Play: SIR DINADAN (IRE) – Could benefit from a controlled gallop and is dangerous dropped in class.

4. 15:05 Goodwood – QATAR NASSAU STAKES (Group 1, 1m 1f 197y, 3yo+, Turf, £340,260)

Pace Forecast: Very Weak
Draw Bias: No significant draw bias at this trip.
Tactical Setup: With such a small field and no guaranteed pace-setter, a tactical affair is highly likely. Hold-up runners may struggle unless a mid-race move injects tempo. This potentially disadvantages SEE THE FIRE, while WHIRL (IRE) and BEDTIME STORY (IRE) are better positioned tactically.

Runners’ Comments:

  • WHIRL (IRE) (TFR 127p):
    • Form: Three-year-old who has gone from strength to strength this season, winning the Musidora, running second in the Oaks, then justifying favouritism in the Pretty Polly.
    • Pace/Draw: Versatile in run style—likely to sit just behind any pace. Traded low last time. Drawn (4).
    • Class/Fitness: Rated 127p by Timeform. Soft ground form, but also effective on quicker going. A major player who may not have reached her ceiling yet.
  • SEE THE FIRE (TFR 125):
    • Form: Middleton winner who ran a belter in the Prince of Wales’s Stakes, finishing third in a Group 1 versus males. Holds the best individual figure on offer.
    • Pace/Draw: Racing style (hold-up) and very weak pace forecast are major concerns. Could still win with a well-timed move but tactical risks are clear. Drawn (2).
  • BEDTIME STORY (IRE) (TFR 121):
    • Form: Lightly raced and improving. Strong second in the Prix de Diane last time having raced widest and from rear—a big upgrade.
    • Pace/Draw: The pace scenario here is much better suited to her usual racing style. She’s a smart Frankel filly. Drawn (3).
    • Class/Fitness: Upside, and the hood seems to have helped her settle. Live danger.
  • CERCENE (IRE) (TFR 121):
    • Form: Caused a surprise in the Coronation Stakes, staying on powerfully.
    • Pace/Draw: The extra trip is a question, but her running style and upward form profile suggest she might feature late if others underperform. Drawn (5).
  • RUNNING LION (TFR 113):
    • Form: Been below form in top races this season, including last time.
    • Pace/Draw: Profile suggests she might not want a slowly run 10f. Headgear persists and pace reliance is not in her favour. Drawn (1).

Private Tissue Estimate:

  • Whirl – 11/8
  • See The Fire – 9/4
  • Bedtime Story – 4/1
  • Cercene – 8/1
  • Running Lion – 33/1

ChatGPT Smart Plays:

  • Win: WHIRL (IRE) – Proven Group 1 filly with excellent tactical credentials and major upside.
  • Danger: BEDTIME STORY (IRE) – Massive upgrade last time and much better suited to this race shape.

5. 15:45 Goodwood – BUCCELLATI HANDICAP (Class 3, 5f, 3yo, Turf, £25,770)

Pace Forecast: Very Strong
Draw Bias: Favours Low
Pace Insight: A furious early gallop is expected, with multiple confirmed front-runners. This likely sets the race up for a closer drawn low. Runners needing to press the pace or racing wide are at risk of being swallowed up late. Late closers like NAD ALSHIBA GREEN and MARTY HOPKIRK look favoured.

Runners’ Comments:

  • NAD ALSHIBA GREEN (IRE) (TFR 107):
    • Form: Sturdy filly peaking at the right time. Second to Kassaya at Sandown (strong pace, ran through tiring rivals), and her win at Nottingham reads well.
    • Pace/Draw: Her style—mid-division and travelling sweetly—fits this fast-run race. Ideal low draw (5) and conditions look perfect. Traded low last time.
    • Flags: Horse in focus.
  • RUBY’S PROFIT (IRE) (TFR 110):
    • Form: Much better than the bare result at Royal Ascot. Speedy and game. Speedy front runner.
    • Pace/Draw: Major pressure up front today may expose her late. Drawn (8).
    • Class/Fitness: Still very consistent and capable if the field doesn’t collapse.
    • Flags: Horse in focus.
  • THE MAN (IRE) (TFR 109):
    • Form: Big York win last time on return from gelding and wind surgery. Took 22-runner race smoothly and is bred for this level.
    • Pace/Draw: Slight concern about being trapped behind the pace wall in mid-draw (9) if slowly away.
    • Class/Fitness: A major threat if in position.
  • GETREADYTORUMBLE (TFR 106):
    • Form: Won here impressively and backed that up at Sandown.
    • Pace/Draw: Good tactical speed and proven finishing kick. Drawn (11).
    • Class/Fitness: Another who could benefit from pace implosion. No reason he can’t feature again.
  • WHEELS OF FIRE (IRE) (TFR 112):
    • Form: Track specialist who shaped like an unlucky loser at Catterick. Good course form.
    • Pace/Draw: Late-finishing style could see him run into a place at a price. Needs a clear run but will be finishing off. Drawn (12).
    • Flags: Horse in focus, horse for course.
  • Marty Hopkirk (IRE) (TFR 106): Will be running on strongly. Drawn (3).
  • Dan Tucker (TFR 108): Tough front-runner, but drawn out (13) and will face heat.
  • Fluorescence (TFR 105): Honest but not hidden. Drawn (4).
  • Kinetic Force (TFR 106): Likeable but vulnerable to closers. Drawn (2).
  • Naana’s Sparkle (TFR 109): Speedy but caught in speed duel?. Drawn (6).
  • Star Chorus (IRE) (TFR 108): Regressing and needs luck. Drawn (15).
  • Speed of Maajid (TFR 104): Respected but cold yard. Drawn (16).
  • Hi Lord (TFR 105): Unlikely to cope with this depth. Drawn (10).
  • Winchurch (IRE) (TFR 108): Out of form and vulnerable. Drawn (7).
  • Dyonisos (FR) (TFR 104+): French form not translating yet. Drawn (1).
  • Brosay (TFR 108): Needs a collapse and best run looks flattered. Drawn (14).
    • Flags: Horse in focus.

Private Tissue Estimate:

  • Nad Alshiba Green – 6/1
  • The Man – 13/2
  • Ruby’s Profit – 15/2
  • Getreadytorumble – 8/1
  • Wheels of Fire – 10/1
  • Marty Hopkirk – 12/1
  • Dan Tucker – 14/1
  • Others – 16/1+

ChatGPT Smart Plays:

  • Win: NAD ALSHIBA GREEN (IRE) – Ideal scenario for her run style and draw.
  • Each-Way Saver: WHEELS OF FIRE (IRE) – Course-suited, strong closer, and a value play at double digits.

6. 16:20 Goodwood – PHASE EIGHT NURSERY HANDICAP (Class 2, 7f, 2yo, Turf, £30,924)

Pace Forecast: Very Strong
Draw Bias: Not significant.
Pace Insight: This race promises an extremely strong pace. This tempo is likely to favour those who can settle off the early burn and finish late. Horses like AMAZING JOURNEY and SIR ALBERT, who are more tactically versatile or can close, look particularly well positioned.

Runners’ Comments:

  • AMAZING JOURNEY (IRE) (TFR 98p):
    • Form: Unbeaten in nurseries, his latest win at York showcased strong travel and a determined finish.
    • Pace/Draw: The strong pace here will bring his stamina and strong-finishing style into play. Has a low draw (4) to drop in and finish late. Will probably be steadied off the lead so has a good chance of trading much higher than Betfair SP.
    • Class/Fitness: Still on an upward trajectory.
  • SIR ALBERT (IRE) (TFR 97):
    • Form: Beat two of these rivals decisively at Chester.
    • Pace/Draw: Travels smoothly, handles tempo shifts, and his tactical adaptability is ideal for Goodwood. Drawn (10).
    • Class/Fitness: Shaped like 7f would suit even better. Carries a big weight, but brings the strongest adjusted rating on form.
  • HEY TRU BLUE (TFR 94p):
    • Form: Built on solid maiden efforts when winning decisively at Doncaster. Strong through the line.
    • Pace/Draw: Looks well suited by the step up to 7f. Drawn (11).
    • Class/Fitness: A bold showing looks likely if handling the switch to a much sharper track.
  • AMERICAN GULF (TFR 93):
    • Form: Beaten far in the Coventry, but impressive at Windsor prior and bred to stay 7f.
    • Pace/Draw: Will have plenty of company up front, but if Tom Marquand can control the fractions or drop in. Drawn (9).
    • Class/Fitness: Interesting class dropper, remains with upside.
  • VICTORIOUS ONE (TFR 89):
    • Form: Placed on all three starts and shapes like a galloper.
    • Pace/Draw: Blinkers helped, but blinkers off here, and needs a strong tempo—which he gets. Drawn (6).
    • Class/Fitness: Might find a few too quick off the bridle.
  • CHAMPION ISLAND (IRE) (TFR 97):
    • Form: Backed when beaten by Sir Albert.
    • Pace/Draw: Not tactically flexible and has a tendency to over-race, which could see him done no favours by today’s setup. Drawn (2).
    • Class/Fitness: Pace vulnerable.
  • Steel Drum (FR) (TFR 96p): Front-runner with stamina; vulnerable to late closers. Drawn (1).
  • Gascony (TFR 95): Will be running on, but draw and profile suggest limited upside. Drawn (7).
  • Spinning Lizzie (TFR 85): Exposed now; place best. Drawn (8).
  • Goldwork (TFR 89): Slightly flattered in lesser company. Drawn (5).
  • Sovereign Bright (TFR 90): Needs weaker test or big improvement. Drawn (3).

Private Tissue Estimate:

  • Amazing Journey – 9/2
  • Sir Albert – 5/1
  • Hey Tru Blue – 11/2
  • American Gulf – 7/1
  • Victorious One – 8/1
  • Champion Island – 10/1
  • Others – 14/1+

ChatGPT Smart Plays:

  • Win: AMAZING JOURNEY (IRE) – Strong pace suits his profile; sharp improver.
  • Each-Way Saver: HEY TRU BLUE – Stamina, improvement, and draw all suggest upside.

7. 16:55 Goodwood – TATLER BRITISH EBF MAIDEN FILLIES’ STAKES (Class 2, 7f, 2yo, Turf, £30,924)

Pace Forecast: Strong
Draw Bias: Against High
Pace Insight: A brisk gallop is expected. That pace profile, combined with a draw bias against high numbers, gives a strong tactical advantage to lower-drawn runners who can sit midfield and pounce late.

Runners’ Comments:

  • AYLIN (IRE) (TFR 92p):
    • Form: Made a promising debut, caught late on debut, pulled clear of others in strong time. Form rock-solid.
    • Pace/Draw: Well drawn (4) to track the speed and pounce. Shouldn’t be troubled by any pace scenario. Traded low last time.
    • Class/Fitness: Bred to improve for 7f. Expected to be sharper for the run.
  • BRIGHLEE (FR) (TFR 85p):
    • Form: Unlucky not to win on debut, showing greenness but finishing strongly.
    • Pace/Draw: Hung left late, so further improvement is likely with experience. Drawn (6), which is favourable.
    • Class/Fitness: Looks sure to appreciate this stiffer track.
  • PROPOSAL (TFR 93):
    • Form: Frankel filly for William Haggas. Dam was high-class (Nassau-placed), strong pedigree with middle-distance potential.
    • Pace/Draw: Drawn (9) is not disastrous.
    • Class/Fitness: Needs to overcome debut naivety in a deep maiden but shouldn’t be overlooked given connections. Progeny of Frankel win on debut (92 winners).
  • ICE SOVEREIGNS (IRE) (TFR 76p):
    • Form: Ran with promise at Newmarket despite greenness, staying on well through the line.
    • Pace/Draw: Drawn well (5) and has tactical pace to get position.
    • Class/Fitness: Improvement expected, and she’s from a family that improves with racing.
    • Flags: Horse in focus.
  • QUIESCENT (TFR 83p):
    • Form: Stayed on late from poor position in a fair Newmarket maiden.
    • Pace/Draw: Will be suited by 7f, but wide draw (12) is a clear negative.
    • Class/Fitness: Likely to come on a good deal.
  • DICTAL (TFR 81):
    • Form: Third to a good sort at Newbury when sent off odds-on.
    • Pace/Draw: Stays. Draw (3) is fine.
    • Class/Fitness: Overall profile and sectional figures suggest others have more scope. Exposed against improvers.
  • UNCERTAINTY (IRE) (TFR 78p):
    • Form: Shaped well over C&D when finishing mid-pack. Ran green but picked up late.
    • Pace/Draw: Wide-drawn (11).
    • Class/Fitness: Trainer’s record with 2yo improvers means she can’t be dismissed at a price.
  • Barefoot Beach (IRE) (TFR 94): Forward-goer. Drawn (15). No form yet.
  • Lyrics of Life (TFR -): Significant support but stall (16) is a negative. Very green on debut.
  • Tryst (IRE) (TFR 75): Likeable type but poorly drawn (18) and may need further. No form yet.
  • Just Call Me Angel (TFR 60p): Held by debut form, wide draw (8).
  • Mythical Night (IRE) (TFR 61): Not shown enough yet. No form yet.
  • Isle of Fernandez (TFR 80p): Some encouragement on debut, entitled to progress. Drawn (1).
  • Kilkenny Warrior (IRE) (TFR 75): Debutant. Richard Hughes’s profit to £1 level stake with debutants. Drawn (2).
  • Deedaydiva (IRE) (TFR 69): Debutant. Drawn (13). No form yet.
  • Eleanor Shelby (TFR 61): Green on debut. Drawn (14).
  • Sea Mehalah Run (TFR 70): Debutant. Tom Clover’s profit to £1 level stake with debutants. Drawn (10). No form yet.
  • Brigid’s Well (IRE) (TFR 80): Debutant. Drawn (17). No form yet.

Private Tissue Estimate:

  • Aylin – 4/1
  • Brighlee – 11/2
  • Proposal – 13/2
  • Ice Sovereigns – 15/2
  • Quiescent – 8/1
  • Dictal – 10/1
  • Uncertainty – 14/1
  • Others – 16/1+

ChatGPT Smart Plays:

  • Win: AYLIN (IRE) – Top form, right draw, plenty of improvement expected.
  • Each-Way Saver: BRIGHLEE (FR) – Likely improver, handled debut well, ideal setup.

8. 17:30 Goodwood – WORLD POOL BET WITH THE TOTE HANDICAP (Class 3, 1m, 3yo, Turf, £25,770)

Pace Forecast: Very Strong
Draw Bias: Against High
Pace Insight: A very strong pace is forecast, which historically undermines front-runners at this trip on Goodwood’s turning mile. This sets up ideally for hold-up horses and stalkers drawn middle-to-low. The draw bias is against high numbers, especially when the field compresses into the straight off a hot gallop.

Runners’ Comments:

  • SEA FORCE (IRE) (TFR 106p):
    • Form: Progressive profile. Should have finished closer on handicap debut at Ascot when caught too far back off steady fractions. Excellent energy metrics (FS% 106).
    • Pace/Draw: Now gets a proper pace to aim at from a good mid-field draw (9).
    • Class/Fitness: Smart pedigree, versatile ground-wise. Tom Marquand takes over. Big chance. Remains with potential.
    • Flags: Horse in focus.
  • WICKED (FR) (TFR 101p):
    • Form: Promising colt who did well to win at Sandown despite a positional bias.
    • Pace/Draw: Well-drawn (6). Strong late sectionals.
    • Class/Fitness: Looks a slow learner but now steps up again with potential. Represents a powerful yard (John & Thady Gosden) with a strong mid-season strike rate. Will go on progressing.
  • KALEIDO (TFR 105):
    • Form: From the family of Mishriff, has been brought along steadily and hacked up at Yarmouth last time.
    • Pace/Draw: Only concern is his likely prominent style into a strong pace. Drawn (8). Usually front runner.
    • Class/Fitness: Off a workable mark and has tactical speed. His stamina and class should compensate if ridden cold. Gosdens yard.
  • POINT OF CONTACT (IRE) (TFR 102p):
    • Form: Progressive. Still raw but showed strong form in defeat behind a demoted winner last time.
    • Pace/Draw: Drawn (5).
    • Class/Fitness: Hasn’t been seen at his best yet, and extra pace here should suit. Remains capable of better.
  • ORGAN (TFR 101):
    • Form: Proven. Comes here off a hat-trick, most recently over C&D, where he overcame a positional disadvantage.
    • Pace/Draw: Drawn (4).
    • Class/Fitness: Quiet yard but rider booking (Harry Davies) is positive. Needs another step up but has a winning habit.
  • IMPARTIALITY (TFR 103):
    • Form: Proven and in form. Posted a strong figure last time.
    • Pace/Draw: Wide draw (20) and likely hold-up style may mean he’ll need to weave through traffic. Traded low last time.
    • Class/Fitness: “Horse in Focus” on Timeform.
    • Flags: Horse in focus.
  • SIR PAUL RAMSEY (TFR 102):
    • Form: Improving and slammed his rivals last time.
    • Pace/Draw: Potential for more off the front, but risks being one of many in a pace clash. Drawn (16).
    • Class/Fitness: Usually races prominently.
  • ABUNDANCE (TFR 101):
    • Form: Progressive, and the stable is flying. Won last two starts.
    • Pace/Draw: Pace and draw (18) not ideal, but this galloper looks on the up and might go under the radar. Usually races prominently.
  • Antipodes (IRE) (TFR 99p): Up in class; needs more. Drawn (3). Wears hood.
  • King Casper (IRE) (TFR 103): Lost way since seasonal bow. Drawn (17). Wears hood.
  • War Socks (TFR 101): Regressed since early season. Drawn (7). Wears hood.
  • Gilet (IRE) (TFR 102): Exposed; recent run was poor. Drawn (11).
  • Principality (IRE) (TFR 99): Fading mark and draw disadvantage. Drawn (13).
  • Canvas (TFR 104): Better on softer ground?. Drawn (10). Usually front runner.
  • Winston’s Warrior (IRE) (TFR 101): Inconsistent and pace exposed. Drawn (14).
  • Transparent (IRE) (TFR 103): Fair AW form, turf less convincing. Drawn (2). Usually races prominently.
  • Knights Gold (IRE) (TFR 102): Hot spell may be over. Drawn (12). Wears hood.
  • Cavolo Nero (TFR 98): Regressive profile. Drawn (1).
  • Atherstone Warrior (IRE) (TFR 100): Badly drawn (19) and long layoff.
  • We Dare To Dream (IRE) (TFR 102): In form; will be pressing pace. Drawn (15). Usually races prominently.

Private Tissue Estimate:

  • Sea Force – 9/2
  • Wicked – 6/1
  • Kaleido – 13/2
  • Point of Contact – 7/1
  • Organ – 9/1
  • Impartiality – 10/1
  • Abundance – 12/1
  • Sir Paul Ramsey – 14/1
  • We Dare To Dream – 16/1
  • Rest – 20/1+

ChatGPT Smart Plays:

  • Win: SEA FORCE – Royal Ascot form is elite and the trip/pace scenario is ideal.
  • Each-Way Saver: WICKED – Class dropper with form in top-level races; late closer could pounce.

Leave a comment

Get updates

From art exploration to the latest archeological findings, all here in our weekly newsletter.

Subscribe