TimeWise Chronicles

Preview of day 4 at Glorious Goodwood on Friday.

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13:20 Goodwood – Coral Goodwood Handicap

  • Race Details: Distance 2m 4f 97y, Class 2 (Handicap), Age 3yo+, Surface Turf, Going Heavy, 12 Runners.
  • Pace Forecast: Weak.
  • Draw Bias: N/A.

Runner Comments:

  • TASHKHAN (IRE) (7yo, 9-13):
    • Form: Smart performer, best in 2024 was 3rd in a Chester handicap. Last outing excused due to stumbling.
    • Pace: Acts on any turf going.
    • Draw: N/A.
    • Fitness: Long layoff (306 days), could need the run.
    • Class: Smart performer.
    • Flags: Jockey uplift (Tom Marquand).
  • OXFORD COMMA (IRE) (4yo, 9-8):
    • Form: Useful performer, won minor events in 2024 but well below form last time. Traded high when winning previously.
    • Pace: Not specified.
    • Draw: N/A.
    • Fitness: Off 260 days.
    • Class: Useful.
    • Flags: Hot trainer (Ralph Beckett). Scopey but needs to bounce back.
  • ALIGN THE STARS (IRE) (4yo, 9-5):
    • Form: Useful handicapper with erratic form, respectable 5th last time.
    • Pace: Usually races prominently, sometimes slowly away. Tactically awkward.
    • Draw: N/A.
    • Fitness: Off 21 days.
    • Class: Useful handicapper.
    • Flags: Has worn cheekpieces last 2 starts.
  • KYLE OF LOCHALSH (5yo, 9-4):
    • Form: Useful handicapper, won in 2024. Shaped better than result on reappearance.
    • Pace: Can go forward if desired, suited by trip/ground.
    • Draw: N/A. Drawn for tactical flexibility.
    • Fitness: Off 96 days.
    • Class: Useful, progressive.
    • Flags: Jockey uplift (Oisin Murphy). Oisin Murphy’s 32% strike rate when riding prominently.
  • MORDOR (FR) (5yo, 8-9):
    • Form: Fairly useful handicapper, won at Killarney. Creditable 10th in a big field last time.
    • Pace: May not benefit from a steady pace, tactically compromised if dawdling.
    • Draw: N/A.
    • Fitness: Off 33 days.
    • Class: Fairly useful, improving stayer.
    • Flags: Irish raider.
  • SHERADANN (FR) (5yo, 8-8):
    • Form: Fairly useful handicapper, 3rd at Newcastle last time, back to all-weather best.
    • Pace: Deeper closing style, weak pace might be a challenge.
    • Draw: N/A.
    • Fitness: Off 34 days.
    • Class: Fairly useful.
    • Flags: Hot trainer (Ian Williams). Mark looks lenient on best French form.
  • BEAULD AS BRASS (5yo, 8-7):
    • Form: Fairly useful handicapper, completed 4-timer, won last time.
    • Pace: Starts slowly, usually races in rear.
    • Draw: N/A.
    • Fitness: Off 14 days.
    • Class: Fairly useful, flying form.
    • Flags: Refused to race/looked reluctant at start. Suspect stamina and temperament.
  • AGGAGIO (FR) (7yo, 8-4):
    • Form: Fairly useful handicapper, won last time at Goodwood (fifth course success).
    • Pace: Has tactical pace for weakly run race.
    • Draw: N/A.
    • Fitness: Off 54 days.
    • Class: Fairly useful, Proven Course Specialist.
    • Flags: Horse for course.
  • ZINC WHITE (IRE) (7yo, 8-4):
    • Form: Fairly useful handicapper, shaped as if retaining ability after long layoff, but last run puzzling.
    • Pace: Not specified.
    • Draw: N/A.
    • Fitness: Off 17 days, but long layoff prior.
    • Class: Fairly useful.
    • Flags: Ground suits.
  • VINO VICTRIX (7yo, 8-2):
    • Form: Fairly useful handicapper, best effort this year was 6th at Goodwood in May.
    • Pace: Likely to benefit from the weak pace.
    • Draw: N/A.
    • Fitness: Off 31 days.
    • Class: Fairly useful, well-handicapped.
    • Flags: Horse for course. Form patchy.
  • KING’S REIGN (FR) (4yo, 8-2):
    • Form: Fairly useful performer, won handicap in 2024 but below form last time.
    • Pace: Usually front runner/races prominently.
    • Draw: N/A.
    • Fitness: Off 70 days.
    • Class: Fairly useful.
    • Flags: Poor comeback, stamina unproven, risky.
  • BASHFUL BOY (IRE) (9yo, 8-2):
    • Form: Fairly useful handicapper, ran better then for a while when 3rd last time.
    • Pace: Kicked on before worn down.
    • Draw: N/A.
    • Fitness: Off 38 days.
    • Class: Fairly useful.
    • Flags: Struggles at this level.

Private Tissue Estimate:

  • Kyle of Lochalsh – 4/1
  • Aggagio – 5/1
  • Sheradann – 6/1
  • Mordor – 13/2
  • Align The Stars – 15/2
  • Oxford Comma – 10/1
  • Vino Victrix – 11/1
  • Beauld As Brass – 12/1
  • Zinc White – 14/1
  • Tashkhan – 18/1
  • Bashful Boy – 25/1
  • King’s Reign – 28/1

ChatGPT Smart Plays:

  • Win Selection: KYLE OF LOCHALSH – Looks set for a peak run on favoured ground, suited to the trip and track, and can be ridden to suit the predicted weak pace.
  • Each-Way Saver: SHERADANN – Staying well again, his mark looks lenient on his best French form, and he handles the surface and trip well.

13:55 Goodwood – Bonhams Thoroughbred Stakes (Group 3)

  • Race Details: Distance 1m, Group 3, Age 3yo, Surface Turf, Going Heavy, 4 Runners (OPERA BALLO and SPECTACULAR VIEW are Non-Runners).
  • Pace Forecast: Very Weak.
  • Draw Bias: N/A.

Runner Comments:

  • COSMIC YEAR (3yo, 9-3):
    • Form: Smart performer, 2nd in Irish 2000 Guineas but disappointing 7th last time; proven form.
    • Pace: Usually travels strongly, can settle off a slow pace.
    • Draw: N/A.
    • Fitness: Off 26 days.
    • Class: Smart, proven form.
    • Flags: Best turf form on good going, untested on heavy.
  • DIEGO VENTURA (IRE) (3yo, 9-3):
    • Form: Useful, won a listed race, 4th last time despite little fluency.
    • Pace: Usually races towards rear, raises hold-up risk with slow pace.
    • Draw: N/A.
    • Fitness: Off 34 days.
    • Class: Useful, unexposed at the trip.
    • Flags: Acts on heavy going. Tried in cheekpieces after blinkers.
  • KING OF CITIES (IRE) (3yo, 9-3):
    • Form: Smart, 3rd to Opera Ballo last time, ran well in French Group 1 previously.
    • Pace: Ideally suited by stronger gallop, may lack tactical speed in a dawdle.
    • Draw: N/A.
    • Fitness: Off 22 days.
    • Class: Smart, progressive.
    • Flags: Acts on good to firm and good to soft going.
  • SEAGULLS ELEVEN (IRE) (3yo, 9-3):
    • Form: Smart, excellent 2nd to Opera Ballo last time at 22/1.
    • Pace: Has a sharp turn of foot.
    • Draw: N/A.
    • Fitness: Off 22 days.
    • Class: Smart, rebounding.
    • Flags: Breeding suggests he may handle soft/heavy going. Typical second-season improver.

Private Tissue Estimate:

  • Cosmic Year – 6/4
  • King of Cities – 5/2
  • Seagulls Eleven – 4/1
  • Diego Ventura – 9/2

ChatGPT Smart Plays:

  • Win Selection: COSMIC YEAR – Possesses the classiest form on offer and can bounce back from his last disappointing run. His ability to travel strongly and settle off a slow pace is an advantage in this very weak pace scenario.
  • Each-Way Saver: KING OF CITIES – Progressive and may be staying on best late if stamina comes into play on the heavy ground. While ideally suited by a stronger gallop, his stamina for the mile on heavy going could be a plus.

14:30 Goodwood – Coral Golden Mile (Heritage Handicap)

  • Race Details: Distance 1m, Heritage Handicap (Class 2), Age 3yo+, Surface Turf, Going Heavy, 20 Runners (LONGLAI and TREASURE TIME are Non-Runners).
  • Pace Forecast: Strong.
  • Draw Bias: N/A (low-to-mid stalls 2-9 offer better tactical options).

Runner Comments:

  • SKUKUZA (4yo, 10-13ex):
    • Form: Smart, back-to-back wins at the Curragh including a listed race last time, making all.
    • Pace: Made all last time.
    • Draw: Drawn wide in 17.
    • Fitness: Off 33 days.
    • Class: Smart, proven.
    • Flags: Acts on firm going, unproven on soft or heavy but sire handled cut. Carries a big weight.
  • TWO TEMPTING (IRE) (6yo, 9-10):
    • Form: Useful handicapper, won at Chester in May. Step back in right direction last time.
    • Pace: Not specified.
    • Draw: Drawn 14.
    • Fitness: Off 27 days.
    • Class: Useful handicapper.
    • Flags: Acts on polytrack, soft and good to firm going.
  • BOPEDRO (FR) (9yo, 9-8):
    • Form: Useful handicapper, 3rd at York and Ascot recently, hampered last time.
    • Pace: Tactically versatile.
    • Draw: Drawn 16.
    • Fitness: Off 6 days.
    • Class: Useful, big-field handicap specialist.
    • Flags: Acts on any turf going. Usually wears headgear.
  • ARISAIG (4yo, 9-7):
    • Form: Useful handicapper, won at Goodwood in 2024. 2nd last time at Sandown, best of those held up. Touched low in-running last time.
    • Pace: Usually waited with, strong closing sectionals. Hold-up risk with heavy ground.
    • Draw: Drawn 9.
    • Fitness: Off 27 days.
    • Class: Useful, proven.
    • Flags: Course winner. Heavy going is a question. Horse in focus, horse for course.
  • GREEK ORDER (5yo, 9-7):
    • Form: Smart, creditable efforts in Royal Ascot and Sandown handicaps.
    • Pace: Tactically versatile, suited by likely strong gallop.
    • Draw: Drawn well in stall 2.
    • Fitness: Off 27 days.
    • Class: Smart, highly promising progressive profile.
    • Flags: Heavy ground unknown but breeding gives hope.
  • RHOSCOLYN (7yo, 9-6):
    • Form: Useful handicapper, won at Epsom and Goodwood in 2024. 3rd at Epsom, 12th last time.
    • Pace: Not specified.
    • Draw: Drawn 3.
    • Fitness: Off 20 days.
    • Class: Useful handicapper.
    • Flags: Has had breathing operations. Most turf wins on soft/heavy going. Wears tongue tie. Horse for course.
  • EBT’S GUARD (4yo, 9-6):
    • Form: Useful handicapper, won at Newbury in April. Respectable 5th last time in Bunbury Cup.
    • Pace: Not specified. Keeps finding under pressure.
    • Draw: Drawn 12. Wide draw less ideal.
    • Fitness: Off 20 days.
    • Class: Useful, reliable and consistent.
    • Flags: Acts on polytrack, tapeta and any turf going.
  • WHITCOMBE ROCKSTAR (6yo, 9-6):
    • Form: Useful handicapper, won 6 times in 2024. Below form both starts this season.
    • Pace: Usually races prominently.
    • Draw: Drawn 4.
    • Fitness: Off 6 days.
    • Class: Useful handicapper.
    • Flags: Acts on polytrack and good to firm going. Wears tongue tie.
  • LATTAM (IRE) (6yo, 9-5):
    • Form: Useful, good 2nd in Balmoral Handicap final 2024 start. Well held in Lincoln last time.
    • Pace: Not specified.
    • Draw: Drawn 15.
    • Fitness: Off 125 days.
    • Class: Useful.
    • Flags: Acts on tapeta and heavy going. Tried in cheekpieces.
  • REAL GAIN (IRE) (5yo, 9-5):
    • Form: Useful handicapper, won in 2023. Shaped well on return from long absence last time (9th, pulled hard but not knocked about).
    • Pace: Usually front runner/races prominently.
    • Draw: Drawn 13. Attractively drawn.
    • Fitness: Off 367 days.
    • Class: Useful, unexposed.
    • Flags: Possible bounce from layoff.
  • MIRSKY (6yo, 9-5):
    • Form: Useful handicapper, won at Thirsk and Epsom. 9th last time.
    • Pace: Usually front runner/races prominently.
    • Draw: Drawn 6.
    • Fitness: Off 27 days.
    • Class: Useful handicapper.
    • Flags: Acts on good to firm and good to soft going. Tried in hood, has worn tongue tie.
  • THEORYOFEVERYTHING (5yo, 9-53ex):
    • Form: Useful handicapper, won at Ayr in July. Possibly found race coming too soon when 5th last time.
    • Pace: Not specified.
    • Draw: Drawn 1.
    • Fitness: Off 15 days.
    • Class: Useful handicapper.
    • Flags: Has had breathing operations. Acts on good to firm and heavy going.
  • BLUE FOR YOU (IRE) (7yo, 9-4):
    • Form: Useful handicapper, won at York. Shaped as if amiss last time.
    • Pace: Usually races off pace.
    • Draw: Drawn 20.
    • Fitness: Off 20 days.
    • Class: Useful handicapper.
    • Flags: Has had breathing operation. Acts on soft and good to firm going. Usually wears headgear.
  • FANTASTIC FOX (7yo, 9-4):
    • Form: Useful handicapper, unlucky not to finish closer when 4th last time (not clear run).
    • Pace: Not specified.
    • Draw: Drawn 19.
    • Fitness: Off 36 days.
    • Class: Useful handicapper.
    • Flags: Acts on polytrack, tapeta, firm and soft going. Potentially well-handicapped.
  • GREAT CHIEFTAIN (IRE) (4yo, 9-3):
    • Form: Useful handicapper, back-to-back wins in May/June, improved again last time.
    • Pace: Sometimes slowly away.
    • Draw: Drawn 10. Drawn okay.
    • Fitness: Off 69 days. Has run well fresh before.
    • Class: Useful, progressive.
    • Flags: Acts on polytrack, tapeta, soft and good to firm going. Horse in focus. Soft-ground pedigree.
  • STAR ANTHEM (IRE) (3yo, 9-1):
    • Form: Useful, won maiden in 2024. Best effort this season when 3rd last time.
    • Pace: Keeps on final 1f.
    • Draw: Drawn 18.
    • Fitness: Off 48 days.
    • Class: Useful, 3yo potential, still learning.
    • Flags: Acts on any turf going. Sometimes in hood.
  • TRIBAL CHIEF (FR) (4yo, 9-1):
    • Form: Useful handicapper, won 4 times this season. Not seen to best effect last time, denied run.
    • Pace: Usually slowly away, races off pace. Can run on late if pace collapses.
    • Draw: Drawn 11. Wide draw.
    • Fitness: Off 36 days.
    • Class: Useful, progressive.
    • Flags: Acts on polytrack and heavy going. Tried in hood, usually tongue tied.
  • AFENTIKO (IRE) (3yo, 8-13):
    • Form: Useful, won minor event and nursery in 2024. Shaped if still in good form last time from poor draw.
    • Pace: Not specified.
    • Draw: Drawn 22.
    • Fitness: Off 43 days.
    • Class: Useful.
    • Flags: Acts on polytrack, firm and soft going. In tongue tie last 2 starts at 2 yrs.
  • FIFTH COLUMN (IRE) (3yo, 8-123ex):
    • Form: Useful, won maiden and 2 handicaps, resumed progress last time leading final 100 yds.
    • Pace: Leads final 100 yds last time. Tactically adaptable.
    • Draw: Drawn 7. Ideally drawn.
    • Fitness: Off 20 days.
    • Class: Useful, rapidly on the up, progressive.
    • Flags: Acts on polytrack, firm and good to soft going. In cheekpieces last 2 starts. Hot trainer (John & Thady Gosden).
  • DUTCH DECOY (8yo, 8-66ex):
    • Form: Fairly useful handicapper, won two races in July readily.
    • Pace: Not specified.
    • Draw: Drawn 8.
    • Fitness: Off 13 days.
    • Class: Fairly useful.
    • Flags: Acts on all-weather and any turf going. Has worn headgear. Horse for course. Very exposed.

Private Tissue Estimate:

  • Greek Order – 5/1
  • Fifth Column – 6/1
  • Skukuza – 7/1
  • Arisaig – 10/1
  • Bopedro – 12/1
  • Ebt’s Guard – 12/1
  • Tribal Chief – 14/1
  • Great Chieftain – 14/1
  • Real Gain – 20/1
  • Others – 25/1+

ChatGPT Smart Plays:

  • Win Selection: GREEK ORDER – Proven in big fields, looks ready to peak, and is well drawn. His progressive profile and suitability to the strong gallop make him a strong contender.
  • Each-Way Saver: BOPEDRO – Well-handicapped on his recent York/Ascot form, handles any ground, and offers value as a consistent big-field handicap specialist.

15:05 Goodwood – King George Qatar Stakes (Group 2)

  • Race Details: Distance 5f, Group 2, Age 3yo+, Surface Turf, Going Heavy, 12 Runners (CELANDINE is a Non-Runner).
  • Pace Forecast: Extreme.
  • Draw Bias: N/A (inside draws struggled when pace collapses).

Runner Comments:

  • JM JUNGLE (IRE) (5yo, 9-4):
    • Form: Smart handicapper, won ‘Dash’ at Epsom, good 2nd at York, respectable 3rd last time.
    • Pace: Usually races prominently, likely folds late in extreme pace.
    • Draw: Drawn 1.
    • Fitness: Off 20 days.
    • Class: Smart handicapper.
    • Flags: Best at short of 6f. Acts on any turf going. Tried in visor.
  • KERDOS (IRE) (5yo, 9-4):
    • Form: Smart, won Temple Stakes, 5th in King Charles III Stakes, below form last time.
    • Pace: Not specified.
    • Draw: Drawn 13.
    • Fitness: Off 27 days.
    • Class: Smart. Reliable but looks held.
    • Flags: Acts on polytrack, good to firm and heavy going.
  • KHAADEM (IRE) (9yo, 9-4):
    • Form: Smart, won Queen Elizabeth II Jubilee Stakes (twice). Likely needed run last time.
    • Pace: Races towards rear, benefits from pace collapse.
    • Draw: Drawn 10.
    • Fitness: Off 13 days.
    • Class: Smart, former winner of this race.
    • Flags: Loves Goodwood. Ageing profile makes him vulnerable.
  • MANACCAN (6yo, 9-4):
    • Form: Very smart at best. Well held both starts this season after long absence.
    • Pace: Best at 5f.
    • Draw: Drawn 9.
    • Fitness: Off 27 days.
    • Class: Very smart at best. Well below best now.
    • Flags: Wears tongue tie.
  • NIGHT RAIDER (IRE) (4yo, 9-4):
    • Form: Useful on turf, smart on all-weather. Shaped well when 3rd in Duke of York Stakes. Shaped better than result last time (went off too hard).
    • Pace: Strong-travelling front runner, contributes to burn-up early. Tries hard but better on AW.
    • Draw: Drawn 11.
    • Fitness: Off 20 days.
    • Class: Useful/Smart.
    • Flags: Has had breathing operation. Best turf form on good going.
  • SPARTAN ARROW (IRE) (5yo, 9-4):
    • Form: Smart, won handicaps and listed race last time, holding on gamely.
    • Pace: Usually races prominently, contributes to burn-up.
    • Draw: Drawn 7.
    • Fitness: Off 38 days.
    • Class: Smart, proven.
    • Flags: Best at 5f. Honest but others stronger, limited upside.
  • TIME FOR SANDALS (IRE) (3yo, 9-3):
    • Form: Smart, much improved when won Commonwealth Cup at Royal Ascot last time.
    • Pace: Adaptable in run style, powerful closer.
    • Draw: Drawn 3.
    • Fitness: Off 42 days.
    • Class: Smart, promising and unexposed.
    • Flags: Ground is an unknown but closing ability and top rider are major assets.
  • ASFOORA (AUS) (7yo, 9-1):
    • Form: Very smart, won Group 3 in April. Shaped well (better for run) when 5th in King Charles III Stakes. Went close in this last year.
    • Pace: Often travels strongly, tactical speed to handle early burn and class to last home.
    • Draw: Drawn 6.
    • Fitness: Off 45 days. Race-fit now.
    • Class: Very smart, proven high-class sprint profile.
    • Flags: Best form at short of 6f. Acts on firm and soft going. Horse in focus.
  • BIG MOJO (IRE) (3yo, 9-1):
    • Form: Smart, won Pavilion Stakes. Improved when 2nd in July Cup last time.
    • Pace: Effective at 5f/6f. Tactically flexible, contributes to burn-up early.
    • Draw: Drawn 5.
    • Fitness: Off 20 days.
    • Class: Smart, improving.
    • Flags: Has had breathing operation. Acts on firm going, heavy ground is a new question.
  • FROST AT DAWN (USA) (4yo, 9-1):
    • Form: Smart, won listed race in May. Career best when 2nd in King Charles III Stakes last time.
    • Pace: Usually front runner, low EPF and pace-pressure draw on heavy raises vulnerability. Confidence severely lessened by pace hint.
    • Draw: Drawn 2.
    • Fitness: Off 45 days.
    • Class: Smart, proven.
    • Flags: Acts on polytrack, dirt and firm going.
  • SHE’S QUALITY (IRE) (4yo, 9-1):
    • Form: Smart, won handicap, minor event, and listed race in 2024. Creditable 2nd last time. Deserves to win.
    • Pace: Very speedy, usually races close up, travels strongly. Pace-suited.
    • Draw: Drawn 8. Well drawn, likely to settle close to pace.
    • Fitness: Off 27 days.
    • Class: Smart, exceptionally consistent, progressive.
    • Flags: Acts on soft and good to firm going. Horse in focus.
  • TOWN AND COUNTRY (IRE) (3yo, 8-12):
    • Form: Useful, won listed race last time, value for bit extra after short of room.
    • Pace: Not specified.
    • Draw: Drawn 12. Wide draw could help settle off strong fractions.
    • Fitness: Off 48 days.
    • Class: Useful, likely to progress further, unexposed 3yo filly.
    • Flags: Horse in focus.

Private Tissue Estimate:

  • Asfoora – 3/1
  • Time For Sandals – 6/1
  • She’s Quality – 13/2
  • Big Mojo – 7/1
  • Frost At Dawn – 8/1
  • Khaadem – 12/1
  • Town And Country – 14/1
  • Spartan Arrow – 18/1
  • Kerdos – 20/1
  • Night Raider – 25/1
  • JM Jungle – 33/1
  • Manaccan – 66/1

ChatGPT Smart Plays:

  • Win Selection: ASFOORA – Class and tactical speed are a lethal combo in these conditions. She has a proven high-class sprint profile, shaped well on her return, and is now race-fit and well-suited to the extreme pace.
  • Each-Way Saver: SHE’S QUALITY – Her consistent runner-up form stacks up, she is drawn well, handles the mud, and has a race-suited profile for a strong late finish. She appeals as the type to find more.

15:45 Goodwood – Regent Seven Seas Cruises Bentinck Conditions Stakes

  • Race Details: Distance 1m 1f 11y, Class 2 (Conditions Stakes), Age 4yo+, Surface Turf, Going Heavy, 9 Runners.
  • Pace Forecast: Even.
  • Draw Bias: N/A (course tends to favour hold-up types).

Runner Comments:

  • LIBERTY LANE (IRE) (5yo, 9-12):
    • Form: Smart, won listed race at Goodwood in May. 12th last time (excused Royal Ascot run).
    • Pace: Needs to be ridden with more restraint.
    • Draw: Drawn 6. N/A.
    • Fitness: Off 45 days.
    • Class: Smart, proven, most class-solid option.
    • Flags: Course winner. Acts on any turf going. Hot trainer (K. R. Burke).
  • CARRYTHEONE (8yo, 9-10):
    • Form: Smart handicapper, won Balmoral Handicap in 2024. Probably needed run last time.
    • Pace: Usually races off pace, pace forecast works against him.
    • Draw: Drawn 3. N/A.
    • Fitness: Off 20 days. Fitness query.
    • Class: Smart handicapper.
    • Flags: Effective at 7f/1m. Acts on firm and soft going, but heavy is suspect.
  • FOX LEGACY (4yo, 9-10):
    • Form: Smart handicapper, won Newmarket and John Smith’s Cup at York last time, taking form to another level.
    • Pace: Usually races prominently. Races handy.
    • Draw: Drawn 9. Wide but less of a concern on this going.
    • Fitness: Off 20 days.
    • Class: Smart, progressive.
    • Flags: Acts on polytrack, tapeta, good to firm and good to soft going. Not yet fully exposed. Horse in focus.
  • GODWINSON (5yo, 9-10):
    • Form: Smart handicapper, successful 3 out of last 5 starts, including Lincoln and Newcastle last time.
    • Pace: Quickens well. Potential tactical disadvantage drawn wide and may need cover early.
    • Draw: Drawn 7. N/A.
    • Fitness: Off 36 days. Goes well fresh.
    • Class: Smart, progressive.
    • Flags: Acts on tapeta and good to soft going. Hot trainer (William Haggas).
  • HAUNTED DREAM (IRE) (6yo, 9-10):
    • Form: Smart, won minor event at Goodwood and Group 3. Last year’s winner of this race. Last run excused (badly hampered).
    • Pace: Not specified.
    • Draw: Drawn 4. N/A.
    • Fitness: Off 45 days.
    • Class: Smart, proven, rock-solid.
    • Flags: Course winner, horse for course. Acts on polytrack, tapeta, firm and soft going.
  • SOCIALITE (IRE) (4yo, 9-10):
    • Form: Smart, improved when won handicap last time after 10 months off, stylish return.
    • Pace: Tactically versatile, may benefit from even pace.
    • Draw: Drawn 1. N/A.
    • Fitness: Off 67 days.
    • Class: Smart, promising, still unexposed.
    • Flags: Acts on good to firm and good to soft going. Could still be well ahead of his mark. William Buick booked.
  • CASH (IRE) (6yo, 9-7):
    • Form: Smart, 4th in listed race at Goodwood. Ran poorly last time.
    • Pace: Often starts slowly, races off pace. Lacks finishing effort, inefficient energy use.
    • Draw: Drawn 8. N/A.
    • Fitness: Off 28 days.
    • Class: Smart, but unreliable.
    • Flags: Acts on good to soft going.
  • DIVINE KNIGHT (IRE) (4yo, 9-7):
    • Form: Looked useful prospect when won minor event last time. Unbeaten.
    • Pace: Travelled well last time.
    • Draw: Drawn 2. N/A.
    • Fitness: Off 30 days.
    • Class: Promising, bred to be suited by 1m 2f+, better to come.
    • Flags: Latest win was slowly run and on faster ground. Thrown in deep here.
  • JEFF KOONS (IRE) (5yo, 9-7):
    • Form: Useful, won minor event. Ran well when 3rd last time, but unreliable.
    • Pace: Raced freely last time.
    • Draw: Drawn 5. N/A.
    • Fitness: Off 28 days.
    • Class: Useful.
    • Flags: Effective at 1m to 11.5f. Better on quicker ground.

Private Tissue Estimate:

  • Liberty Lane – 3/1
  • Fox Legacy – 9/2
  • Godwinson – 5/1
  • Haunted Dream – 6/1
  • Socialite – 6/1
  • Carrytheone – 12/1
  • Divine Knight – 16/1
  • Cash – 20/1
  • Jeff Koons – 25/1

ChatGPT Smart Plays:

  • Win Selection: FOX LEGACY – A progressive handicapper who can translate his strong York form to conditions class. He acts on soft ground, races handy, and has demonstrated significant improvement.
  • Each-Way Saver: SOCIALITE – Unexposed with massive upside, posting a very strong FS% on his stylish return from a long layoff. He handles the ground well and the tactical setup of an even pace plays to his strengths.

16:20 Goodwood – Hawes & Curtis Nursery Handicap

  • Race Details: Distance 6f, Class 2 (Nursery Handicap), Age 2yo, Surface Turf, Going Heavy, 12 Runners (RISING POWER is a Non-Runner).
  • Pace Forecast: Very Strong.
  • Draw Bias: N/A (middle-to-high often fared well on softer ground).

Runner Comments:

  • OLD IS GOLD (IRE) (2yo, 9-6):
    • Form: Fairly useful, won minor event in May but failed to improve in Windsor Castle Stakes.
    • Pace: Strong EPF suggest suited by strong pace.
    • Draw: Drawn 6. Wide draw might make early positioning trickier.
    • Fitness: Off 44 days.
    • Class: Fairly useful, lightly raced, proven.
    • Flags: Raced only at 5f. Form stacks up, but ground a query.
  • JAN STEEN (2yo, 9-6):
    • Form: Fairly useful, won maiden in April, 3rd in minor event, well held in Windsor Castle Stakes.
    • Pace: Could go well at a price if race collapses late.
    • Draw: Drawn 9. N/A.
    • Fitness: Off 44 days.
    • Class: Fairly useful, capable.
    • Flags: Hot trainer (K. R. Burke).
  • LOGI BEAR (IRE) (2yo, 9-2):
    • Form: Fairly useful, won minor event in May. Ran poorly last 2 starts.
    • Pace: Front-runner.
    • Draw: Drawn 12. Draw negative.
    • Fitness: Off 13 days.
    • Class: Fairly useful.
    • Flags: Acts on good to firm and good to soft going. Stamina concerns, may get swamped late.
  • SHAMAN CHAMPION (IRE) (2yo, 9-2):
    • Form: Fairly useful, won maiden in May, shaped much better than result last two starts.
    • Pace: Strongly run race will suit.
    • Draw: Drawn 13. N/A.
    • Fitness: Off 22 days.
    • Class: Fairly useful, remains capable of better, promising.
    • Flags: Horse in focus. Jockey uplift (Oisin Murphy). Looks to improve tackling nurseries.
  • BLUE ORBIT (IRE) (2yo, 9-1):
    • Form: Fairly useful, won maiden in June. Stiff task when 6th in listed race last time, racing freely.
    • Pace: Racing freely last time. Tactically awkward.
    • Draw: Drawn 3. N/A.
    • Fitness: Off 28 days.
    • Class: Fairly useful.
    • Flags: Early promise not really built upon.
  • TRY STORM CAT (IRE) (2yo, 9-0):
    • Form: Fairly useful, won minor event last time. Not beaten far previously.
    • Pace: Not specified.
    • Draw: Drawn 8. N/A.
    • Fitness: Off 32 days.
    • Class: Fairly useful, promising, progressive.
    • Flags: Will stay at least 7f. Conditions likely ideal given stamina. Booking of Rossa Ryan noted.
  • ARDISIA (IRE) (2yo, 9-0):
    • Form: Fair, won two minor events. Last run excused (not clear run).
    • Pace: Usually slowly away, races off pace. Strong early pace but faces competition, vulnerable.
    • Draw: Drawn 4. N/A.
    • Fitness: Off 13 days.
    • Class: Fair.
    • Flags: Raced only at 5f. Acts on good to firm going.
  • PENHALLAM (IRE) (2yo, 8-11):
    • Form: Fair, won minor event last time by nose, suited by drop in trip. Solid nursery win.
    • Pace: Still green when won. One-paced type suited by pace collapse.
    • Draw: Drawn 11. N/A.
    • Fitness: Off 22 days.
    • Class: Fair, on an upward curve, progressive, unexposed.
    • Flags: Stayed on well over 6f, conditions might suit. Hot trainer (Brian Meehan).
  • SON OF SARABI (2yo, 8-11):
    • Form: Fairly useful maiden, 2nd in nursery in July. Excuses last time (racing wide).
    • Pace: Benefits from very strong pace. Profile suggests strong finisher, needs gaps. Hold-up risk.
    • Draw: Drawn 5. N/A.
    • Fitness: Off 13 days.
    • Class: Fairly useful maiden. Interesting outsider.
    • Flags: Acts on good to firm going. Hot trainer (Jonathan Portman).
  • GOLDEN BROWN (IRE) (2yo, 8-11):
    • Form: Fair, neck 2nd last time, edged out dying strides. Traded low when beaten.
    • Pace: Not specified.
    • Draw: Drawn 2. N/A.
    • Fitness: Off 34 days.
    • Class: Fair. Regressive?, may be flattered.
    • Flags: Gelded since last seen. Has to prove he handles soft, an issue. Hot trainer (Ed Walker).
  • GAME STRIKER (2yo, 8-11):
    • Form: Fair, won maiden in June. 7th in listed race last time.
    • Pace: Not specified.
    • Draw: Drawn 10. N/A.
    • Fitness: Off 36 days.
    • Class: Fair.
    • Flags: C&D winner. Outclassed, needs big career best.
  • AIRSIDE (2yo, 8-10):
    • Form: Fair, best effort when 3rd last time, having run of race.
    • Pace: Had run of race last time.
    • Draw: Drawn 1. N/A.
    • Fitness: Off 22 days.
    • Class: Fair.
    • Flags: Profile looks too modest for this. Hot trainer (Eve Johnson Houghton).

Private Tissue Estimate:

  • Shaman Champion – 4/1
  • Old Is Gold – 5/1
  • Penhallam – 13/2
  • Try Storm Cat – 7/1
  • Son of Sarabi – 10/1
  • Jan Steen – 12/1
  • Golden Brown – 12/1
  • Logi Bear – 14/1
  • Blue Orbit – 16/1
  • Game Striker – 20/1
  • Ardisia – 25/1
  • Airside – 25/1

ChatGPT Smart Plays:

  • Win Selection: SHAMAN CHAMPION – His profile points to untapped potential on nursery debut, particularly suited by a strongly run race on heavy ground. He’s well-regarded, has shaped well in deeper races, and benefits from the Oisin Murphy booking.
  • Each-Way Saver: TRY STORM CAT – His stout breeding and profile suggest he is primed for this test, especially with a very strong pace likely to set things up for closers. He should appreciate the conditions.

16:55 Goodwood – Coral Pipped At The Post Winners Handicap

  • Race Details: Distance 1m 3f 44y, Class 3 (Handicap), Age 3yo, Surface Turf, Going Heavy, 13 Runners.
  • Pace Forecast: Very Strong.
  • Draw Bias: Against High.

Runner Comments:

  • PUSH THE LIMIT (FR) (3yo, 9-10):
    • Form: Useful, won at Kempton inK (IRE)** (3yo, 9-8):
    • Form: Useful handicapper, won at Lingfield, Chester and Epsom. Below form last time.
    • Pace: Front-runner in a setup that doesn’t suit.
    • Draw: Drawn 10. Drawn wide.
    • Fitness: Off 21 days.
    • Class: Useful handicapper.
    • Flags: Acts on polytrack, tapeta and soft going.
  • MUNSIF (IRE) (3yo, 9-6):
    • Form: Useful, won maiden and minor event. Good 3rd on handicap debut last time.
    • Pace: Led until well inside final 1f last time. Hold-up style favoured by very strong pace.
    • Draw: Drawn 8. Well-drawn.
    • Fitness: Off 62 days. Subsequently gelded. Likely to progress further.
    • Class: Useful, progressive, class act.
    • Flags: Horse in focus. From red-hot Roger Varian yard.
  • YABHER (3yo, 9-6):
    • Form: Useful handicapper, won maiden and Sandown last time, proving strong at the finish. Touched high in-running when scoring.
    • Pace: Travelled well and proved strong at the finish. Relishes strong pace. Assisted by strongly run race.
    • Draw: Drawn 12. Low draw not ideal but strong gallop helps.
    • Fitness: Off 27 days.
    • Class: Useful, remains with potential, progressive.
    • Flags: Will be suited by 1m 4f. Acts on firm going. Sometimes slowly away. Horse in focus. Powerful finish last time.
  • AMMES (IRE) (3yo, 9-5):
    • Form: Fairly useful, held form well in strong handicaps.
    • Pace: Usually races):
    • Form: Fairly useful handicapper, won at Goodwood, then good 2nd at Epsom. Found race coming too soon last time.
    • Pace: Not specified.
    • Draw: Drawn 9.
    • Fitness: Off 43 days.
    • Class: Fairly useful.
    • Flags: Acts on polytrack, soft and good to firm going.
  • **7, 240].
    • Flags: Will stay 1m 2f. Acts on any turf going.
  • SEA OF KINGS (IRE) (3yo, 9-2):
    • Form: Fairly useful, 2nd last time after 6 weeks off, not knocked about.
    • Pace: Not specified.
    • Draw: Drawn 1.
    • Fitness: Off 23 days.
    • Class: Fairly useful, remains with potential, promising.
    • Flags: Good pedigree (brother to Sea of Class). Stamina is a big positive.
  • BURJ ZABEEL (IRE) (3yo, 9-2):
    • Form: Fairly useful, won maiden. Hung badly left when 3rd last time.
    • Pace: Needs softPace: Usually front runner, tactically vulnerable but can stay on if ridden off pace.
    • Draw: Drawn 4.
    • Fitness: Off 7 days. Very fit and consistent.
    • Class: Fairly useful handicapper.
    • Flags: Acts on tapeta, good to firm and good to soft going.
  • MIGHTY BOY (FR) (3yo, 8-13WI (IRE)** (3yo, 8-12):
    • Form: Fairly useful, won minor event and handicap. Ran well when 2nd last time, staying on under patient tactics. Ran very well here on Wednesday.
    • Pace: Stayed on last time under patient tactics. Effective setup.
    • Draw: Drawn 13. Positioning not ideal, but can come late.
    • Fitness: Off 2 days. Quick turnaround positive.
    • Class: Fairly useful, proven.
    • Flags: Acts on polytrack, tapeta, good to firm and good to soft going. Unexposed at trip.
  • RAEDWALD (IRE) (3yo, 8-11):
    • Form: Fairly useful, won handicap in June. Disappointing 8th last time.
    • Pace: Not specified.
    • Draw: Drawn 3.
    • Fitness: Off 22 days.
    • Class: Fairly useful. Outclassed on exposed form.
    • Flags: N/A.

Private Tissue Estimate:

  • Munsif – 3/1
  • Yabher – 5/1
  • Push The Limit – 71
  • Mighty Boy – 25/1
  • Burj Zabeel – 28/1
  • Raedwald – 33/1

ChatGPT Smart Plays:

  • Win Selection: MUNSIF – A class act, set to thrive off a strong pace and now gelded. His hold-up style is perfectly suited to the very strong pace forecast.
  • Each-Way Saver: YABHER – Demonstrated a powerful finish last time, and the predicted scorching gallop will play perfectly into his hands. His stamina and trending upward form make him an ideal value pick.

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