13:20 Goodwood – CORAL GLORIOUS STAKES (Group 3)
Race Conditions: This is a Group 3 race over 1m 3f 218y on Turf, with the going reported as Soft (Good to Soft in places). The pace forecast is Very Weak, which may favour hold-up horses, although the steady tempo could work against AL AASY. There is no discernible draw bias.
Runner Comments:
- CANDLEFORD (IRE): A sturdy gelding and smart performer. He recently won a listed race at Beverley by 3 lengths, going clear under 3f out, which is a highly transferable asset for this race’s pace scenario. Has form on polytrack, soft, and good to firm going. Latest TFR 118+. Analyst’s Verdict sees him as the chief threat to AL AASY.
- ARABIAN CROWN (FR): A sturdy, good-bodied colt and smart performer. Won the Classic Trial at Sandown in 2024. Fourth in Dubai City of Gold in March, and creditable third in a weak Princess of Wales’s Stakes last time, possibly needing the run. Stays 1½m and acts on soft and good to firm going. Peak TFR of 123+ from 2024. Trainer Charlie Appleby rarely misses.
- AMBIENTE FRIENDLY (IRE): An angular gelding and smart performer at best. Won listed Derby Trial in 2024, then second in the Derby. Has been disappointing recently, 4¼ lengths eighth in the Wolferton Stakes on his latest outing. Now gelded and tried without headgear; trainer James Owen is in hot form, but his recent efforts (TFRs of 108, 38, 102) are underwhelming.
- MOUNT ATLAS: Non Runner.
- MEYDAAN (IRE): A well-made gelding and smart performer. Had a good second in a listed race at Goodwood in May. Below form last time, but has tactical speed to sit handier than most. Stays 1¾m and acts on tapeta and firm going. Best TFRs of 124 and 118 came in easier company.
- AL AASY (IRE): An attractive gelding and smart performer. Won the Gordon Richards Stakes in April. Last time, he was seventh in the Hardwicke Stakes, again not ideally placed. Stays 13.5f, effective at shorter, acts on soft and good to firm going. Usually dropped out and a strong traveller. Ready winner of this race last year. Latest TFRs of 110+, 112+ confirm sustained quality. He is William Haggas’s runner, a trainer with 3 winners in the past 10 runnings of this race and a 24% strike rate with horses over 10f+. Analyst’s Verdict sees him as a force to be reckoned with and taken to make it back-to-back wins.
- RAJA RAJA: A rangy gelding and useful performer. Won a handicap at Southwell in 2024. Good third behind Candleford last time. Stays 1½m, acts on tapeta and firm going. Sometimes slowly away and races off pace, lacking the class to feature here barring a total pace collapse.
Private Tissue Estimate:
- Al Aasy – 7/4
- Candleford – 3/1
- Arabian Crown – 4/1
- Meydaan – 6/1
- Ambiente Friendly – 10/1
- Raja Raja – 33/1
ChatGPT Smart Plays:
- Summary: A slow-run Group 3 where tactical positioning may outweigh raw class.
- Win bet – Candleford: Proven at the trip, ideally positioned, soft ground fine.
- Saver – Al Aasy: Class horse but pace setup makes him a value risk at short odds.
13:55 Goodwood – CORAL SUMMER HANDICAP (Class 2)
Race Conditions: This is a Class 2 handicap over 1m 6f on Turf, with the going reported as Soft (Good to Soft in places). The pace forecast is Even, which should help DANCING IN PARIS and disadvantage FRENCH DUKE. There is no discernible draw bias.
Runner Comments:
- WONDER LEGEND (IRE): A lengthy gelding and smart handicapper. Won at Wolverhampton and Newcastle in March and April. Shaped as if amiss when pulled up in the Gold Cup last time. Stays 16.5f, acts on polytrack, tapeta, and heavy going. All-weather form is superior to his flop in the Ascot Gold Cup.
- GALASHIELS (IRE): Useful performer. Won a minor event at Chantilly and a listed race at Longchamp in 2024. Left A. Fabre and was below form when last of 5 in a listed race at Goodwood last time. Stays 15f and acts on polytrack and soft going. Hard to fancy off a poor reappearance.
- SUBSEQUENT (IRE): An angular gelding and useful performer. Won a minor event at Haydock, handicaps at Salisbury and Newmarket, and a listed race at Ascot in 2024. Looked rusty when last of 6 in the Silver Cup at York last time after 9 months off. Stays 14.5f and acts on any turf going. Often starts slowly, usually races off pace. May need another run.
- STRESSFREE (FR): A rather leggy gelding and useful handicapper. Won at Haydock in May and shaped as if still in good form when fifth there last time, left poorly placed. Stays 1½m and acts on good to firm and heavy going. Usually races off pace. Regularly runs well but lacks winning punch and needs things to fall right.
- ARTISTIC STAR (IRE): An angular gelding and useful handicapper. Creditable neck second at Newbury last time. Stays 16.5f and acts on soft and good to firm going. Usually front runner/races prominently. Fair stayer but not the easiest to win with; better with a soft lead.
- BARNSO: Useful handicapper. Won at Fairyhouse in 2024. Ran well when fourth in the Copper Horse Handicap at Royal Ascot last time. Stays 1¾m and acts on polytrack, soft, and good to firm going. Place claims only; lacks tactical brilliance.
- DURAJI (IRE): A sturdy, good-bodied colt. Useful performer; won maiden at Leopardstown in 2024. Ran poorly in a listed race at Down Royal last time. Stays 1¾m and acts on good to soft going. Usually front runner/races prominently. Lightly raced and open to improvement off 98; stable brings runners on steadily and has strong Irish staying pedigree; Ryan Moore booking suggests intent.
- FRENCH DUKE (IRE): A good-topped gelding and useful handicapper. Won at Goodwood in 2024. Not seen to best effect when eighth in the Duke of Edinburgh Stakes at Royal Ascot last time, not ideally placed. Stays 1½m and acts on tapeta, firm, and good to soft going. Usually races off pace. Good course form and shaped very well on seasonal reappearance; likely sharper now. Analyst’s Verdict suggests he makes plenty of appeal. Ryan Moore’s strike rate on favourites (36%) is a positive flag, although he is not the favourite.
- FEIGNING MADNESS: A good-bodied gelding and useful performer. Respectable eleventh in Ascot Stakes last time. Should be suited by 2m+ and acts on any turf going. Exposed and short of this level.
- AERONAUTIC (IRE): Useful performer. Won maiden at Dundalk and minor event at Leopardstown in 2024. Stepped up on recent run when fifth in the Copper Horse Handicap at Royal Ascot last time, travelling as well as any. Stays 1¾m and acts on polytrack, good to firm, and good to soft going. Wears tongue tie. Lightly raced with untapped potential over staying trips; improving TFRs suggest more to come. Analyst’s Verdict fears him most.
- MASTER BUILDER: A workmanlike gelding and useful handicapper. Won at Salisbury and Haydock in 2024. Fourth at Goodwood last time, not sustaining effort. Stays 1¾m and acts on polytrack, good to firm, and heavy going. Has flattered to deceive. Traveled strongly last time but found little, a recurring trait; mentally tricky. Hit an in-running low of 50% or less of his starting Betfair SP when beaten last time.
- DANCING IN PARIS (FR): A good-topped gelding and useful handicapper. Won at York, Ascot, and Southwell in 2024. Second in Northumberland Plate in June. Too free when eighth in the Bet365 Trophy last time. Stays 16.5f and acts on tapeta, good to firm, and heavy going. Strong-finishing type with strong stamina credentials; well treated off OR 92 with a peak TFR of 118. Tactically suited by the predicted even tempo.
- SAM HAWKENS (IRE): Useful handicapper. Won at Newcastle in May and followed up at Hamilton last time. Stays 14.5f and acts on tapeta, good to firm, and heavy going. Haggas-trained with a 24% strike rate with horses over 10f+. Going for the hat-trick. Analyst’s Verdict finds him of interest.
- HALLELUJAH U: A good-bodied colt and useful performer. Won a handicap at Thirsk in May. Respectable third in Bahrain Trophy last time. Stays 1¾m and acts on tapeta, firm, and good to soft going. In cheekpieces last 3 starts. Exposed 3-y-o who may find this too tough.
Private Tissue Estimate:
- French Duke – 4/1
- Dancing In Paris – 5/1
- Aeronautic – 6/1
- Sam Hawkens – 6/1
- Duraji – 10/1
- Master Builder – 12/1
- Stressfree – 14/1
- Artistic Star – 14/1
- Subsequent – 16/1
- Barnso – 20/1
- Hallelujah U – 25/1
- Wonder Legend – 25/1
- Galashiels – 33/1
- Feigning Madness – 40/1
ChatGPT Smart Plays:
- Summary: A competitive renewal where several come in with the right profile. The pace should be even, and ground favours proven stayers with form in soft conditions.
- Win bet – Dancing In Paris: Conditions ideal, strong profile, well treated.
- Each-way saver – Aeronautic: Likely improver at the trip, well-weighted.
14:30 Goodwood – QATAR LILLIE LANGTRY STAKES (Group 2)
Race Conditions: This is a Group 2 race over 1m 6f on Turf, with the going reported as Soft (Good to Soft in places). The pace forecast is Weak, which should favour TERM OF ENDEARMENT over OXFORD COMMA. There is no prevailing draw bias.
Runner Comments:
- ALLONSY: A strong, compact filly. Useful performer; won a listed race at Pontefract last time. Stays 1¾m, acts on soft and probably firm going. Wears cheekpieces; usually front runner/races prominently. Useful but lacks the same turn of foot or recent figures; likely outclassed.
- DANIELLE: An angular filly and smart performer. Won a minor event at Wetherby in 2024 and second in St Simon Stakes. Stays 1½m and acts on polytrack and any turf going. Comes off a layoff and typically goes well fresh. No win since 2024 and lack of tactical pace in a slowly run race is a concern. John & Thady Gosden have a 21% strike rate with horses over 10f+ and in mid-season.
- GOODIE TWO SHOES (IRE): Useful performer. Won listed races at Gowran and Down Royal and completed a hat-trick in the Stanerra Stakes last time. Stays 2m, acts on good to soft going. On a serious upward curve; form stacks up strongly (TFRs 105, 109). Stamina edge could prove decisive. Analyst’s Verdict respects her current form.
- OXFORD COMMA (IRE): A sturdy, well-built filly and useful performer. Won minor events at Salisbury, Doncaster, and Pontefract in 2024. Well below form in listed race at Fontainebleau last time. Stays 2¼m and acts on heavy going. Exposed, held by others on collateral form.
- ROYAL ENTRY (IRE): Useful performer. Won maiden at Cork and handicap at Down Royal. Shaped as if still in good form when third in the Stanerra Stakes last time. Stays 2m, acts on good to soft going. Has worn headgear; usually slowly away. Likes soft but lacks raw class at this level.
- SUENO (IRE): Useful performer. Won minor event at Wolverhampton in 2024. Second in a listed race at Newmarket last time, clear of the rest. Stays 1¾m, acts on tapeta, firm, and good to soft going. Gradually stepping up in trip and form; stamina now being drawn on fully. Still needs to prove herself at G2 level.
- TERM OF ENDEARMENT: A good-topped mare and smart performer. Won Bronte Cup and Lillie Langtry Stakes at Goodwood in 2024. Second in Bronte Cup in May. Possibly failed to stay when last of 4 in a listed race at Sandown last time. Stays 1¾m, acts on any turf going. Wears hood. Won this race last year; ideal trip, track, and ground; top-class stamina filly who thrives in small fields. Analyst’s Verdict takes her to resume winning ways.
- SERENITY PRAYER (IRE): A sturdy filly. Useful form; won maiden at Newbury in April, then second in Musidora Stakes. Sixth in Ribblesdale Stakes last time, no extra final 1f. Should be suited by 1½m. Lightly raced 3-y-o and bred to stay; Balding rarely pitches one in unless confident. Ryan Moore booking notable.
- WAARDAH (IRE): Good-bodied filly. Useful form; much improved when won a listed race at Goodwood last time, suited by increase in trip. Will be suited by 1½m+; likely to progress further. Big step up in trip, but pedigree and running style scream stamina; very much unexposed at this level. Owen Burrows has a profit of £45.16 with one runner at a flat meeting. Analyst’s Verdict notes her as one to note.
Private Tissue Estimate:
- Term Of Endearment – 3/1
- Goodie Two Shoes – 4/1
- Waardah – 6/1
- Sueno – 6/1
- Danielle – 10/1
- Serenity Prayer – 10/1
- Allonsy – 14/1
- Royal Entry – 25/1
- Oxford Comma – 33/1
ChatGPT Smart Plays:
- Summary: A steadily-run staying contest favouring proven class and tactical nous.
- Win bet – Term of Endearment: Track, trip, and class all aligned.
- Each-way saver – Waardah: Progressive type who could relish the new trip.
15:05 Goodwood – CORAL STEWARDS’ CUP (HERITAGE HANDICAP) (Class 2)
Race Conditions: This is a Class 2 Heritage Handicap over 6f on Turf, with the going reported as Soft (Good to Soft in places). The pace forecast is Extreme, likely to compromise aggressive front-runners and favour strong closers. The draw bias Favours High numbers.
Runner Comments:
- APOLLO ONE: Rather leggy gelding and smart performer. Won Bengough Stakes in 2024; creditable seventh in Wokingham Stakes in June; fifth in a listed race at York last time. Best up to 6f; acts on polytrack, good to firm and heavy going.
- ANNAF (IRE): Sturdy horse and smart performer. Second in Chipchase Stakes in June; run best excused when seventh in a listed race at Chester last time. Stays 7f; acts on polytrack, tapeta, firm, and good to soft going. Usually slowly away/races off pace.
- GET IT: Sturdy gelding and smart handicapper. Won at Ascot in May; followed up in the Wokingham Stakes at Royal Ascot last time, forcing a strong gallop. Stays 6f; acts on tapeta and firm going. Usually leads. Last year’s winner. Vulnerable to pace collapse. Analyst’s Verdict sees him making a bold bid.
- JORDAN ELECTRICS: Well-made gelding and smart handicapper. In form of life in 2024 with multiple wins. Probably needed run when fifteenth at York last time. Stays 6f; acts on tapeta, soft, and good to firm going. Jim Goldie has a profit of £12.65 with one runner at a flat meeting.
- ELMONJED (IRE): Compact gelding and useful handicapper. Won at Windsor and Constantine Handicap at York in 2024; career-best effort winning a 19-runner event at York last time. Should stay 7f; acts on firm and good to soft going. Often in headgear. Proven in big field sprint handicaps; stays strongly. Analyst’s Verdict sees him sure to be on the premises.
- KORKER (IRE): Close-coupled gelding and smart handicapper. Third at York in May; not seen to best effect when eleventh at same course last time, not ideally paced and short of room. Stays 6f; acts on tapeta and any turf going. Usually slowly away/races off pace.
- PUROSANGUE: Useful-looking gelding and smart performer. Second in a listed race at York in 2024; shaped as if still in good form when ninth in Wokingham Stakes last time. Stays 6f; acts on good to firm going but ideally suited by softer than good (acts on heavy). Sometimes slowly away. Capable sprinter stepping up; may settle mid-division and finish strongly.
- ALZAHIR (FR): Rangy gelding and useful handicapper. Won multiple races in 2025 including a hat-trick. Not discredited when eighth at York last time. Has form at 1m, best efforts at 5f/6f; acts on polytrack, tapeta, and any turf going. Usually front runner/races prominently.
- COMMANCHE FALLS: Strong gelding and useful handicapper. Second at Hamilton in June; respectable eighth at same course last time. Stays 6f; acts on good to firm and heavy going. Wears headgear. Won this race in 2021 and 2022. Michael Dods has 2 winners in past 10 runnings.
- SEVEN QUESTIONS (IRE): Tall, useful-looking gelding and useful performer. Won Palace House Stakes in 2024; best effort this season when sixth at York last time. Stays 6f; acts on polytrack, good to firm and heavy going. Often wears headgear. Robert Cowell is a cold trainer.
- HAMMER THE HAMMER (IRE): Smart performer. Won maiden and handicaps at Southwell and Chester; progressed again when second in Palace of Holyroodhouse Handicap last time. Stays 6f; acts on tapeta and firm going. Strong-travelling front runner. Analyst’s Verdict fancies him to take another sizeable step forward. May struggle to hold a deep 28-runner field with relentless pace. Vulnerable to pace collapse.
- COMPLETELY RANDOM: Strong gelding and useful handicapper. Won at Southwell and Leicester in April; shaped well when fifth in Wokingham Stakes last time. Stays 6f; acts on tapeta and good to firm going. Often starts slowly, usually held up. Sweet-traveller who loves strong gallops; likely to pick up in final furlong if pace holds.
- DESERT COP: Sturdy gelding and useful performer. Won Local Group 1 Chairman’s Cup in March; well held in Wokingham Stakes last time. Usually races at sprint trips; acts on polytrack, tapeta, and good to firm going. Usually races prominently.
- ORAZIO (IRE): Sturdy gelding and useful handicapper. Third in Wokingham Stakes in 2024; off 8 months and well held in corresponding event last time. Stays 6f; acts on good to firm and heavy going. Charles Hills has 2 winners in past 10 runnings.
- TWILIGHT CALLS: Sturdy gelding and smart performer at best. Well held in July Cup last time, doing too much too soon. Stays 6f; acts on good to firm going. Tried in cheekpieces; usually slowly away/races off pace.
- CIRCE (IRE): Good-topped filly and useful handicapper. Won at Newmarket and Windsor in May; won a 7-runner event at Newmarket last time, readily. Effective at 6f to 1m; acts on polytrack, tapeta, good to firm, and good to soft going. Usually races prominently. Well-handicapped and consistent; finishes well if pace stays honest.
- TWILIGHT JET (IRE): Strong gelding and useful performer. Second in a handicap at Epsom in June; well held in a similar event at Goodwood last time. Has form at 7f, races over shorter; acts on soft and good to firm going. Usually wears headgear.
- TOCA MADERA (IRE): Tall gelding and useful handicapper. Fourth at Ascot last time. Stays 6f; acts on firm going. Tried in tongue tie; sometimes slowly away. Horse for course flag.
- VADREAM: Well-made mare and useful performer. Made frame several times in 2024, including Bengough Stakes. Not at best this year. Best at 5f/6f; acts on polytrack, tapeta, good to firm and heavy going. Sometimes slowly away. Charlie Fellowes is a cold trainer.
- GERMANIC (IRE): Stocky gelding and useful handicapper. Second at Newcastle in May; failed to settle when below form in valuable events at Ascot last 2 starts. Stays 7f; acts on tapeta, good to firm and good to soft going. Usually races prominently. Julie Camacho is a cold trainer.
- JAKAJARO (IRE): Compact gelding and useful performer. Fifth in a handicap at Newcastle in June; sixth in a similar event at Goodwood last time, left with too much to do. Has form at 7f, usually races over shorter; acts on polytrack, firm, and soft going. Horse in focus flag.
- RUN BOY RUN: Good-topped gelding and useful handicapper. Runner-up 3 of first 4 starts this year; below form when sixth in Bunbury Cup last time. Stays 7f; acts on polytrack, tapeta, firm, and soft going. Wears cheekpieces; front runner/races prominently.
- SAINT LAWRENCE (IRE): Good-topped gelding and useful handicapper. Sixth in Prix Maurice de Gheest in 2024; well held in Wokingham Stakes last time. Effective at 6f/7f; acts on soft and good to firm going. Sometimes slowly away.
- TWO TRIBES: Lengthy gelding and useful handicapper. Won International Stakes at Ascot last time, at least as good as ever. Stays 7f; acts on polytrack, good to firm, and good to soft going. Wears headgear. Running well in pattern company; needs strong pace to assist.
- STRIKE RED (IRE): Sturdy gelding and useful handicapper. Second at Leicester in April; shaped well when sixth at York last time. Stays 6.5f; acts on polytrack, tapeta, good to firm, and heavy going. Wears tongue tie. Trailed Hammer in Ascot but saw market support last run; excellent finishing ability suits projected race shape. Horse in focus flag.
- JUNGLE DRUMS (IRE): Good-topped gelding and useful performer. Won maiden, minor event, and listed race in 2024. Probably needed run when eighth at Southwell last time. Stays 6f; acts on soft and good to firm going. Usually leads.
- DRAMA: Lengthy gelding and useful handicapper. Won at Kempton in May; shaped as if still in good form when seventh at Newcastle last time, short of room. Raced mainly at 6f; acts on polytrack, tapeta, and good to firm going. Wears headgear/tongue tie; quirky sort.
- THE X O (IRE): Compact gelding and useful handicapper. Seasonal best when second at Doncaster in 2024; off 6 months and shaped as if needed run when well held at Newmarket last time. Stays 7f; acts on polytrack, tapeta, and soft going. Robert Cowell is a cold trainer.
Private Tissue Estimate:
- Strike Red ~10/1
- Circe ~16/1
- Completely Random ~20/1
- Two Tribes ~25/1
- Purosangue ~14/1
- Elmonjed ~12/1
- Hammer The Hammer ~9/1
- Get It ~8/1
ChatGPT Smart Plays:
- Summary: The race looks squarely set up for riders who can conserve energy early and pounce late.
- Win bet – Strike Red: Class sprinter with strong finish; pace should suit.
- EW bet – Circe and Completely Random: Best value runners shaping to outrun odds at value prices, combining stamina, ground adaptability, and closing bursts.
- Caution advised for front-runner types like Hammer The Hammer and Get It.
15:45 Goodwood – WHISPERING ANGEL HANDICAP (Class 2)
Race Conditions: This is a Class 2 handicap over 7f for 3yos on Turf, with the going reported as Soft (Good to Soft in places). The pace forecast is Very Strong, which will probably hurt MIAMI MATRIX and improve RARE CHANGE. The draw bias is Against High numbers.
Runner Comments:
- THE WACO KID (IRE): Smallish colt and useful performer. Won minor event at Newbury and Somerville Tattersall Stakes in 2024. Yet to fire this season. Should be suited by 1m; acts on good to firm and heavy going. Usually wears tongue tie; usually front runner/races prominently.
- PELLITORY: Tall colt and useful performer. Won minor event at Newmarket in April; below form when seventh in Jersey Stakes last time. Stays 1m; acts on good to firm and heavy going. Sometimes slowly away.
- YAH MO BE THERE: Compact colt and useful performer. Won a listed race at Newbury in 2024; fifth in Jersey Stakes last time. Stays 7f; acts on good to firm going. Usually slowly away, races off pace. Needs luck; high draw + strong pace should help, but running style demands a clear trip.
- MONTPELLIER: Angular gelding and useful form. Won maiden at Thirsk and minor event at Newbury; improved when second in a handicap at Salisbury last time. Stays 7f; open to further progress. Strong Tfigs, but wide draw is a setback.
- HALLASAN: Neat gelding and useful performer. Won minor event at Meydan in January; below form all 4 starts since. Stays 1m; best form on good going.
- WOLF OF BADENOCH: Non Runner.
- CONSOLIDATION: Compact gelding and useful performer. Won minor event at Kempton in 2024 and handicap at Goodwood in May; unsuited by draw when tenth in Britannia Stakes last time. Stays 1m; acts on polytrack and firm going. Highly competitive at this level; well-handicapped on that form and versatile ground-wise.
- COLUMNIST: Useful-looking gelding and useful performer. Won minor event at Chester in 2024; best effort this season when fifth at Newmarket last time. Stays 7f; acts on soft and good to firm going. Well held repeatedly; looks outclassed.
- EL MATADOR (IRE): Fairly useful form. Won 4-runner minor event at Salisbury and followed up in a 9-runner similar event at Chepstow last time. Will be suited by a return to 1m; will go on improving. Has won both minor events nicely and retains upside.
- SHOUT (IRE): Good-topped gelding and useful handicapper. Won minor event at Salisbury and nursery at Doncaster in 2024; rare poor effort when well held in Britannia Stakes last time. Stays 7f; acts on firm going. In headgear last 2 starts; sometimes slowly away. Has run better than finishing positions suggest; badly drawn here though and risky.
- SPIRIT OF FARHH (IRE): Sturdy gelding and useful performer. Improved when won 6-runner handicap at Newmarket last time. Stays 1m; acts on good to firm and heavy going. Latest Newmarket win rated a career best; handles cut, will get cover from low draw.
- MUDBIR: Good-topped colt and useful form. Won maiden at Chelmsford in May; back on the up winning a 9-runner handicap at Sandown last time. Effective at 7f/1m. Proven & Progressive; drawn well in 1; handles ease underfoot; profiles like a typical Gosden improver. John & Thady Gosden have a 20% strike rate in races between 7f and 10f, and a 21% strike rate in mid-season.
- RARE CHANGE (IRE): Sturdy gelding and useful handicapper. Won at Windsor, York, and Pontefract in May and June. Not seen to best effect when seventh at Newcastle last time, short of room and raced freely. Effective at 6f/7f; acts on polytrack and firm going. Usually waited with. Likely to be one of those out the back early so could trade much higher than Betfair SP. Highly progressive in earlier wins; last run can be upgraded.
- THE FINGAL RAVEN (IRE): Tall gelding and useful performer. Back to form when third in a handicap at Sandown last time. Stays 1m; acts on polytrack and good to firm going. In headgear last 4 starts; sometimes slowly away. Often slowly away and inconsistent.
- ANDESITE: Strong gelding and useful performer. Won minor event at York at 2 yrs; ran well despite carrying head awkwardly when fifth at Chester last time. Raced only at 6f; acts on firm going. Usually races freely; pulls hard. Headstrong; difficult to back at this level.
- AURORA MAJESTY (IRE): Good-topped colt and fairly useful performer. Won maiden at Newcastle and minor event at Wolverhampton in March; won a handicap at Epsom last time. Stays 7f; acts on tapeta; usually races prominently.
- HEADMASTER: Fairly useful form. Won 9-runner maiden at Haydock last time. Stays 1m. Promising; William Haggas’s 22% strike rate with handicap debutants is significant. Bred for better ground but acts fine on good-to-soft.
- DANCE IN THE STORM: Well-made filly and useful performer. Won minor event at Wolverhampton in January and handicap at Sandown in June. Shaped as if still in good form when fourth at Sandown last time, doing too much too soon. Raced only at 7f but worth a try at 6f; acts on tapeta and good to firm going. Often races freely. Andrew Balding has won this race in 2021.
- MIAMI MATRIX (IRE): Useful performer. Won maiden at Wolverhampton in February and handicap at Chester in June; followed up at Chester last time. Stays 7.5f; acts on tapeta, soft, and good to firm going. Unlikely to get the easy lead needed to win given the very strong pace forecast.
- FONDO BLANCO: Fairly useful performer. Won minor event at York in 2024; second in a handicap at Newmarket in May; not in same form when seventh at Leicester last time. Stays 7f; acts on soft and good to firm going. Consistent but others have greater upside. Roger Varian is a hot trainer.
Private Tissue Estimate:
- Mudbir – 6/1
- Rare Change – 13/2
- Dance in the Storm – 15/2
- Consolidation – 8/1
- Headmaster – 8/1
- El Matador – 10/1
- Spirit of Farhh – 12/1
- Yah Mo Be There – 12/1
- Montpellier – 14/1
- Others – 16/1 bar
ChatGPT Smart Plays:
- Summary: A fast-run handicap with a deep field and strong trends suggesting a collapse in pace late on. Low-to-mid draws and patient rides could be rewarded.
- Win Selection – MUDBIR: Progressive, tactically ideal, and thrives with pace to aim at.
- Each-Way Saver – RARE CHANGE: Well treated, better than bare result latest, and perfectly drawn for a late surge.
- Race likely to be set up for closers.
16:20 Goodwood – BRITISH STALLION STUDS EBF MAIDEN STAKES (Class 2)
Race Conditions: This is a Class 2 Maiden Stakes over 7f for 2yos on Turf, with the going reported as Soft (Good to Soft in places). The pace forecast is Strong, which may favour those drawn in mid-to-low positions who can sit off the leaders and finish strongly. There is no strong draw bias, but middle-to-low numbers typically offer better tactical options. ISAAC NEWTON is expected to be good enough to overcome any pace scenario.
Runner Comments:
- ARBAAWY: Half-brother to smart 1m winner Bullet Point. No form yet. Likely pace-maker, but may struggle tactically.
- ASPECT ISLAND: Brother to very smart winner up to 7f Tasleet. Ninth on debut at Newmarket. Will improve but not yet at this level. James Owen is a hot trainer.
- ATLAS MOUNTAIN (IRE): Half-brother to 2-y-o 6f winner Zumbi. No form yet. Limited profile.
- CAPTAIN FOX (IRE): Non Runner.
- CORINTH: First foal; half-sister to useful 7f winner Spanish Intent. Shaped as if needed experience when fourth at Sandown on debut. Will stay 1m+; will improve. Green on debut, but bred to stay further and can improve significantly. John & Thady Gosden are a hot trainer with a 20% strike rate in races between 7f and 10f.
- EVANESCO: Half-brother to useful 1¼m winner Lope de Lilas. Shaped well when fifth at Haydock on debut, pressing leader until weakening. Will improve. Bred to stay further, and shaped well despite fading late; a galloping type for the future.
- EXCLUSIVE CODE (IRE): Well-made colt. Shaped well when fourth at Newbury on debut, nearest finish. Sure to progress. Cost €280,000; shaped as if the run was badly needed on debut; has the pedigree and profile to make a big leap forward. Archie Watson is a hot trainer.
- GHOST MODE (IRE): Second foal. Plenty of promise when third at Kempton on debut, running on without being knocked about. Will be suited by at least 7f; sure to progress. Hit an in-running low of 25% or less of his starting Betfair SP when beaten last time. Eye-catching third on debut, likely worth more than the bare result; could be sharper now. Andrew Balding has 3 winners in past 10 runnings of this race.
- ISAAC NEWTON (IRE): Half-brother to 7f winner Betty Loch. Plenty of promise when nose second at the Curragh on debut, closing all way to line. Sure to improve. Made a very promising start to his career and will be tough to beat. Ran to a notably high TFR (103p) when narrowly denied; should relish the soft ground and extra experience. Ryan Moore rides, and has a 38% strike rate on favourites.
- ISLAND BEAR (IRE): Brother to 2-y-o 6f winner Harmony Lil and smart 6f/7f winner Ever Given. Fair form; third in a maiden at Salisbury last time. Kept on steadily; now gets first-time cheekpieces and drops into a more tactical setup.
- LION OF ALBA: Third foal. Shaped well when fifth at Newbury on debut, late headway under hands and heels. Will be suited by 1m+; will improve. Likely pace angle, could fade late. Hugo Palmer is a cold trainer.
- MY OLD MATE (IRE): First foal. No form yet. Limited profile.
- PHANTOM WATCH (IRE): Half-brother to several winners, including smart 1m winner History Writer. Fair form; second at Nottingham last time, taking second final 1f. Will stay 7f. Solid on form but pace setup could be a challenge.
- RECEDING (IRE): Second foal. Well held in a maiden at Goodwood on debut. Debut well below par.
Private Tissue Estimate:
- Isaac Newton – 11/8
- Exclusive Code – 9/2
- Corinth – 13/2
- Ghost Mode – 7/1
- Evanesco – 14/1
- Island Bear – 16/1
- Lion of Alba – 20/1
- Phantom Watch – 20/1
- Others – 33/1+
ChatGPT Smart Plays:
- Summary: A warm maiden on paper, with Isaac Newton setting a very high bar. Plenty will improve, but he’s already clocked a rating good enough to win most years.
- Win Selection – ISAAC NEWTON: Very strong debut, top connections, ideal pace setup.
- Each-Way Saver – GHOST MODE: Huge eye-catcher on debut, bred to improve, and drawn for a perfect stalking trip.
- A race with depth and class – expect the form to work out long-term.
16:55 Goodwood – CORAL GOLDEN REWARDS SHAKER HANDICAP (Class 3)
Race Conditions: This is a Class 3 handicap over 1m 1f 11y (9.07f) on Turf, with the going reported as Soft (Good to Soft in places). The pace forecast is Strong, which can only work in favour of SILENT FILM and against GLADIUS. Hold-up horses have a better record at this trip here. There is no pronounced draw bias, but soft ground on the round course can favour those avoiding the inner rail late on.
Runner Comments:
- OVIEDO (IRE): Sturdy gelding and useful handicapper. Down the field all starts in 2024. Stays 10.5f; acts on tapeta and firm going. Sold and had breathing operation. Market says little expected; on a retrieval mission.
- TREASURE TIME: Sturdy gelding and useful handicapper. Won at Newmarket and York in 2024; better for run when fifth at Sandown last time after 10 months off. Stays 1m; acts on polytrack and good to firm going. Usually responds generously to pressure. Comes from a red-hot William Haggas yard (21% strike rate at this trip and in mid-season). Looks set for a peak effort.
- TOIMY SON (FR): Good-topped gelding and useful handicapper. Won Golden Mile Handicap at Goodwood in 2024; yet to fire this season. Stays 1m; acts on polytrack, firm, and soft going. Regressive and poorly positioned recently.
- ALPHA CRUCIS (IRE): Rather leggy gelding and useful handicapper. Won at Goodwood (twice) in 2024; good second at Epsom last time. Stays 1¼m; acts on polytrack and heavy going. Wears cheekpieces. Course specialist, including heavy-ground wins; tactically versatile and drawn well. A solid place chance.
- WHIP CRACKER (IRE): Smallish gelding and useful handicapper. Fourth at Wolverhampton in March; run best excused when well held in Royal Hunt Cup last time. Stays 1¼m; acts on polytrack, tapeta, good to firm, and heavy going. Likely too forwardly ridden for this test.
- BLUE FOR YOU (IRE): Rangy gelding and useful handicapper. Won at York in 2024; shaped as if amiss when last at Goodwood last time. Stays 1m; acts on soft and good to firm going. No recent form.
- SILENT FILM: Well-made gelding and useful handicapper. Probably needed run when seventh at Newcastle last time after 6 months off. Stays 9f; acts on polytrack, tapeta, soft, and good to firm going. Sometimes slowly away, usually races off pace. Likely to be ridden patiently, which suits the setup.
- BOYFRIEND: Good-topped colt and useful handicapper. Won at Nottingham in June; good fourth at Newmarket last time. Stays 8.5f; acts on any turf going. Sometimes slowly away. Lightly-raced, strong form this season, and now gets Ryan Moore.
- WESTERTON (IRE): Rather leggy gelding and fairly useful handicapper. Respectable fifth at Ayr last time. Best at around 1¼m; acts on good to firm and heavy going. Tried in cheekpieces.
- KILLYBEGS WARRIOR (IRE): Big, strong gelding and useful handicapper. Better for run when fifth at Windsor last time. Stays 11f; acts on polytrack, firm, and soft going. Has worn cheekpieces.
- PRIMO LARA (IRE): Useful handicapper. Won at Chelmsford and York in 2024; failed to stay when fifth at Windsor last time. Will prove suited by a return to 1¼m; acts on polytrack and heavy going.
- GLADIUS (IRE): Useful form. Won maiden at Kempton in April; looked smart prospect winning at Sandown on handicap debut last time. Stays 9f; sure to go on to better things. Lightly-raced 3yo with two wins from three starts; sectional profile shows he sustained his effort late. Conditions suit, and could be ahead of the handicapper.
- INDALO (IRE): Fairly useful handicapper. Improved when won at Sandown last time. Should stay 1¼m; acts on tapeta. Has worn hood; sometimes slowly away. Racing regularly and progressing steadily; has the right style and freshness. Roger Varian is a hot trainer.
- DUTCH DECOY: Sturdy gelding and fairly useful handicapper. Won at Newmarket in July and followed up there last time. Stays 9f; acts on all-weather and any turf going. Has worn headgear. In flying form; well-handicapped on past efforts, but wide draw and pace-forcing style are potential drawbacks. Hit an in-running low of 25% or less of his starting Betfair SP when beaten last time. Horse for course flag.
- LINWOOD (IRE): Fairly useful form. Won minor events at Newbury and Ripon in 2024; creditable fifth in a listed race at Haydock final start that year. Stays 1m.
- LONGLAI (FR): Good-bodied gelding and fairly useful handicapper. Promise when third at Newmarket last time, not clear run. Stays 1¼m; acts on polytrack, tapeta, good to firm, and good to soft going. Tried in blinkers.
- MILETUS (IRE): Strong, lengthy gelding. Fairly useful handicapper; won minor event at Windsor in 2024. Stepped up on reappearance when fourth at Kempton last time. Stays 1m; acts on polytrack and heavy going. Charles Hills is a cold trainer.
- URBAN SPRAWL: Sturdy gelding and fairly useful handicapper. Won at Lingfield in April and May; second at Beverley last time. Stays 1¼m; acts on polytrack, tapeta, good to firm, and heavy going. Wears cheekpieces; usually front runner/races prominently. Horse for course flag.
Private Tissue Estimate:
- Gladius – 3/1
- Treasure Time – 5/1
- Alpha Crucis – 13/2
- Boyfriend – 7/1
- Indalo – 10/1
- Dutch Decoy – 12/1
- Silent Film – 16/1
- Others – 20/1+
ChatGPT Smart Plays:
- Summary: A deep and competitive middle-distance handicap, with pace on and conditions favouring those coming late.
- Win Selection – GLADIUS: Strong turn of foot, ideal setup, and future Group-race type.
- Each-Way Saver – ALPHA CRUCIS: Ground specialist, loves the track, drawn to go well again.
- Expect strong form lines to emerge from this race.
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