Pace Angles & Draw:
This small-field nursery is forecast to be run at a very weak gallop, strongly favouring prominent racers or those with tactical speed. With no discernible draw bias on this straight 6f strip on the July Course, early positioning and initiative will be decisive. AZLEET is a notable pace angle, having made all in dominant fashion last time, while RUBY’S ANGEL also tends to race handily but has folded after being keen in slowly-run races. Hold-up types like SAYIDAH HARD SPUN could be inconvenienced unless a stronger pace materialises.


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Strongest Contenders, Main Dangers & Outsiders:

AWAAFI (Proven/Promising) – 92p
A striking pedigree being a half-sister to Kylian, she caught the eye in both her starts. She made a taking debut win at Hamilton and then backed it up with a strong staying-on second at Haydock in a race where she was arguably unsuited by the steady fractions. Her profile screams more to come over 6f+ and she’s well positioned in a small field tactically. Fahey has won this race twice in the past 10 years.

SAYIDAH HARD SPUN (Progressive) – 94
Two wins from last three starts, including a gutsy success at Ascot in a four-runner nursery where she stayed on well despite a steady pace. She’s shown versatility but is potentially vulnerable in a tactical dawdle. The EPF profile suggests she lacks natural early speed and will need some luck.

AZLEET (Promising) – 93
Tactically advantaged filly who produced a huge figure on the clock when making all at Southwell, quickening 2f out and pulling clear. That race has already thrown up subsequent winners, and she’s clearly thriving. Her stamina-laden pedigree (family includes 12f+ winners) suggests 6f is the minimum now. She’s a big player if able to dictate again.

RUBY’S ANGEL (Fair/Form Flat) – 90
Looks exposed by comparison and has traded short in running multiple times before getting outbattled or fading – a known in-running cliff horse. Best efforts have come when allowed to control the early gallop, but she now faces pace pressure and a classier field. Likely opposable late on.

MEELAF (Repressive Trend) – 91
Useful early-season performer, including a maiden win and a solid fourth in France (Prix du Bois), but she ran poorly last time out and might be feeling the effects of a busy campaign. No obvious excuses and others look to have more upside.


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Runner Scores & Suitability Analysis:

AWAAFI: 9/10 – Well suited to course, trip, and likely race shape. Upwardly mobile.

SAYIDAH HARD SPUN: 8/10 – Form stacks up, but hold-up risk in a tactical setup.

AZLEET: 8/10 – Big upside with her pace, will be suited by the small field.

RUBY’S ANGEL: 6/10 – Poor value in running, prone to underdeliver late on.

MEELAF: 5/10 – Career bests behind her for now, needs revival.


Keep an eye on the market for support or big drifts for runners returning from layoffs of 90+ days.
Watch out for in-form sprinters returning quickly; they can be hot.


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Each-Way Angles:

Not applicable – 5 runners only.


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Private Tissue Estimate:

AWAAFI – 9/4

AZLEET – 3/1

SAYIDAH HARD SPUN – 7/2

RUBY’S ANGEL – 13/2

MEELAF – 7/1


Market watch advised for runners making their 2nd start.


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Summary & Professional Punter View:

This small field features a blend of precocity and potential. With the likely dawdling gallop and tactical importance, AWAAFI stands out as the most upwardly mobile and best suited profile. She’s open to progress and handled similar conditions well last time despite needing a stronger pace. AZLEET brings an imposing front-running profile and could dominate again if left alone. SAYIDAH HARD SPUN has proven form but risks getting caught out if the race turns into a dash.


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Smart Play:

Win Bet: AWAAFI – Well-handicapped, improving, and tactically sound.

Saver Bet: AZLEET – Dangerous front-runner with big upside in a tactical race.